Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
peach twig borer [stone fruits]
insect model of 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: peach twig borer [stone fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: 1st consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps
   (ca. 405 DD after Mar 1 or Jan 1 in warm climates) Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 15 Ending date: 9 30 Model validation status: requires local validation Region of known use: used in NW USA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 55 DDs after biofix: OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 2. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 3. 350 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 4. 500 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 5. 684 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 6. 1080 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7. 1280 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 8. 1500 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 9. 1760 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 10. 2240 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 11. 2580 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight 12. 2820 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 3rd gen. 4% male flight 13. 3180 DDs after biofix: 4th gen. ca. 13% egg hatch (warmer climates only) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24585 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Oliver Cherries OR Lat45.9717 Long:-118.3739 Elev:882 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 5 26 70.80 50.80 0.00 10.80 10.8 * START * 5 27 69.80 50.90 0.00 10.35 21.1 5 28 76.10 48.20 0.00 12.34 33.5 5 29 79.60 52.60 0.00 16.10 49.6 5 30 76.30 48.20 0.00 12.44 62.0 Vx OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 5 31 84.80 40.80 0.00 14.63 76.7 Vx 6 1 85.20 49.50 0.00 17.37 94.0 6 2 78.10 60.80 0.00 19.45 113.5 6 3 86.40 57.20 0.00 21.80 135.3 6 4 89.00 50.30 0.00 19.58 154.9 6 5 91.20 54.30 0.00 22.35 177.2 6 6 99.20 58.30 0.00 26.19 203.4 Vx 6 7 94.00 64.20 0.00 27.93 231.3 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 6 8 87.70 66.90 0.00 27.30 258.6 6 9 77.20 56.40 0.00 16.80 275.4 6 10 67.70 53.30 0.01 10.50 285.9 6 11 72.00 46.10 0.00 9.70 295.6 6 12 77.30 44.50 0.00 11.87 307.5 6 13 74.90 53.00 0.00 13.95 321.5 Vx 6 14 69.30 50.10 0.00 9.70 331.2 6 15 69.30 46.50 0.00 8.49 339.7 6 16 69.60 45.30 0.01 8.35 348.0 6 17 79.10 42.50 0.00 12.27 360.3 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 6 18 66.80 52.50 0.06 9.65 369.9 6 19 76.30 42.50 0.00 10.93 380.9 6 20 80.20 46.80 0.00 13.92 394.8 6 21 80.50 58.70 0.00 19.60 414.4 6 22 87.20 45.70 0.00 17.04 431.4 6 23 81.30 59.80 0.00 20.55 452.0 6 24 75.60 54.00 0.02 14.80 466.8 6 25 81.50 48.10 0.00 14.99 481.8 6 26 87.70 46.80 0.00 17.63 499.4 6 27 93.50 60.50 0.00 26.03 525.4 Vx Vn 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 6 28 91.20 59.30 0.00 24.82 550.2 6 29 94.60 63.50 0.00 27.73 578.0 Vx 6 30 92.00 66.20 0.00 28.42 606.4 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.10 0.00 25.97 632.4 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 26.32 658.7 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 25.20 683.9 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 19.05 702.9 Vx Vn 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 7 5 78.70 52.30 0.00 15.50 718.4 7 6 81.40 60.50 0.00 20.95 739.4 7 7 81.50 60.50 0.00 21.00 760.4 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 60.30 0.05 19.05 779.4 Vx 7 9 77.60 57.50 0.06 17.55 797.0 7 10 69.90 57.20 0.00 13.55 810.5 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 19.90 830.4 Vx Vn 7 12 80.20 56.30 0.02 18.25 848.7 7 13 84.30 55.40 0.00 19.85 868.5 7 14 89.80 53.00 0.00 21.23 889.8 Vx 7 15 81.40 57.00 0.00 19.20 909.0 Vx 7 16 83.70 58.00 0.00 20.85 929.8 Vx 7 17 88.10 55.40 0.00 21.75 951.6 Vx 7 18 80.80 59.10 0.00 19.95 971.5 Vx 7 19 82.90 56.80 0.00 19.85 991.4 7 20 87.70 58.90 0.00 23.30 1014.7 Vx 7 21 95.20 52.10 0.00 22.38 1037.0 Vx 7 22 83.00 64.50 0.00 23.75 1060.8 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 55.90 0.00 20.00 1080.8 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7 24 90.20 51.90 0.00 20.82 1101.6 Vx 7 25 96.80 58.40 0.00 25.77 1127.4 Vx 7 26 95.90 69.30 0.00 30.71 1158.1 Vx 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 30.64 1188.7 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 63.40 0.00 28.58 1217.3 Vx 7 29 101.70 63.60 0.00 29.02 1246.3 Vx 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 31.66 1278.0 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.40 0.00 24.65 1302.6 Vx Vn 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 8 1 90.90 57.00 0.00 23.59 1326.2 Vx Vn 8 2 78.70 57.30 0.00 18.00 1344.2 Vx 8 3 84.00 54.10 0.00 19.05 1363.3 Vx 8 4 90.20 50.00 0.00 19.88 1383.2 8 5 93.70 53.50 0.00 22.68 1405.8 Vx 8 6 85.60 63.50 0.00 24.55 1430.4 8 7 83.10 60.50 0.00 21.80 1452.2 Vx 8 8 77.20 51.30 0.00 14.25 1466.4 Vx 8 9 72.80 54.70 0.00 13.75 1480.2 8 10 84.30 53.90 0.00 19.10 1499.3 Vx 8 11 90.30 57.60 0.00 23.69 1523.0 Vx Vn 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 8 12 95.70 61.50 0.00 27.01 1550.0 Vx Vn 8 13 97.20 65.20 0.00 29.04 1579.0 Vx Vn 8 14 95.60 69.90 0.00 30.94 1610.0 Vx Vn 8 15 95.90 63.20 0.00 27.86 1637.8 Vx Vn 8 16 95.70 59.30 0.00 25.96 1663.8 Vx 8 17 91.20 59.40 0.00 24.86 1688.6 8 18 96.70 58.80 0.00 25.94 1714.6 Vx 8 19 88.60 57.20 0.00 22.86 1737.4 8 20 91.10 52.50 0.00 21.42 1758.9 8 21 93.10 52.40 0.00 21.97 1780.8 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 8 22 78.00 52.80 0.00 15.40 1796.2 8 23 82.00 50.10 0.00 16.05 1812.3 8 24 87.10 52.40 0.00 19.75 1832.0 Vx 8 25 88.40 50.20 0.00 19.28 1851.3 8 26 91.90 49.40 0.00 20.17 1871.5 8 27 91.80 60.70 0.00 25.68 1897.2 8 28 89.20 63.30 0.00 26.14 1923.3 Vx 8 29 94.40 54.60 0.00 23.39 1946.7 Vx 8 30 82.20 62.40 0.00 22.30 1969.0 8 31 85.00 55.50 0.00 20.25 1989.3 9 1 80.30 60.60 0.00 20.45 2009.7 9 2 76.40 55.50 0.00 15.95 2025.7 9 3 73.30 56.60 0.00 14.95 2040.6 9 4 76.10 46.70 0.00 11.87 2052.5 9 5 75.80 47.40 0.00 11.94 2064.4 Vx 9 6 64.60 54.50 0.00 9.55 2074.0 9 7 75.80 54.50 0.00 15.15 2089.1 9 8 77.10 57.70 0.00 17.40 2106.5 9 9 76.80 44.30 0.00 11.58 2118.1 9 10 85.10 45.10 0.00 15.84 2133.9 9 11 77.90 53.10 0.00 15.50 2149.4 Vx 9 12 75.20 42.90 0.00 10.50 2159.9 Vx 9 13 68.90 36.80 0.00 6.61 2166.6 9 14 76.40 44.70 0.00 11.49 2178.0 9 15 81.30 45.50 0.00 14.09 2192.1 9 16 85.70 46.90 0.00 16.67 2208.8 9 17 68.60 61.90 0.04 15.25 2224.0 9 18 73.00 56.80 0.00 14.90 2238.9 9 19 68.10 57.90 0.00 13.00 2251.9 Vx 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 9 20 67.00 48.00 0.00 7.78 2259.7 9 21 67.20 42.30 0.00 6.63 2266.4 Vx 9 22 56.80 47.20 0.00 2.66 2269.0 9 23 66.70 51.00 0.00 8.85 2277.9 9 24 70.10 52.20 0.00 11.15 2289.0 9 25 80.60 44.00 0.00 13.35 2302.4 9 26 82.90 46.30 0.00 15.10 2317.5 Vx 9 27 83.00 55.20 0.00 19.10 2336.6 9 28 75.00 49.00 0.00 12.08 2348.7 9 29 78.70 47.10 0.00 13.28 2361.9 9 30 74.40 49.90 0.00 12.15 2374.1 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24585 2006-2015
peach twig borer model - 2007 USU Ext.
Location: 2016 MF24585 Oliver Cherries OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-30-16 62OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying
 6-7-16 2311st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight
 6-17-16 3601st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight
 6-27-16 5251st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight
 7-4-16 7031st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation
 7-23-16 10812nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight
 7-31-16 13032nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight
 8-11-16 15232nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight
 8-21-16 17812nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight
 9-19-16 22523rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight
 9-30-16 25843rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight
degree-day graph of peach twig borer [stone fruits] 2007 USU Ext.