Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25976 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Nash Gala OR Lat:45.9667 Long:-118.4167 Elev:882 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.80 41.00 0.00 11.40 11.4 * START *Vx Vn 3 2 60.60 43.10 0.00 10.85 22.2 Vx Vn 3 3 64.30 44.50 0.00 13.40 35.6 Vx Vn 3 4 62.40 34.10 0.00 8.73 44.4 Vx Vn 3 5 66.10 49.60 0.00 16.85 61.2 Vx Vn 3 6 66.50 45.40 0.00 14.95 76.2 Vx Vn 3 7 56.60 42.70 0.00 8.65 84.8 Vx Vn 3 8 53.80 36.10 0.00 5.08 89.9 Vx Vn 3 9 58.30 43.00 0.00 9.65 99.6 Vx Vn 3 10 63.50 43.70 0.00 12.60 112.2 Vx Vn 3 11 47.90 34.90 0.00 2.27 114.4 Vx Vn 3 12 51.90 40.40 0.00 5.21 119.6 Vx Vn 3 13 60.00 37.80 0.00 8.42 128.1 Vx Vn 3 14 53.30 40.80 0.00 6.06 134.1 Vx Vn 3 15 51.60 40.60 0.00 5.13 139.3 Vx Vn 3 16 55.90 39.20 0.00 6.80 146.1 Vx Vn 3 17 54.90 33.50 0.00 5.16 151.2 Vx Vn 3 18 58.50 28.90 0.00 6.14 157.4 Vx Vn 3 19 62.80 34.50 0.00 9.00 166.4 Vx Vn 3 20 61.00 38.00 0.00 8.97 175.3 Vx Vn 3 21 64.10 43.20 0.00 12.65 188.0 Vx Vn 3 22 53.90 44.60 0.00 8.25 196.2 Vx Vn 3 23 60.10 45.20 0.00 11.65 207.9 Vx Vn 3 24 56.40 45.80 0.00 10.10 218.0 Vx Vn 3 25 56.10 39.90 0.00 7.12 225.1 Vx Vn 3 26 62.70 39.80 0.00 10.37 235.5 Vx Vn 3 27 57.20 42.00 0.00 8.60 244.1 Vx Vn 3 28 51.10 38.10 0.00 4.20 248.3 Vx Vn 3 29 61.90 35.70 0.00 8.83 257.1 Vx Vn 3 30 64.60 36.00 0.00 10.20 267.3 Vx Vn 3 31 71.80 47.40 0.00 18.60 285.9 Vx Vn 4 1 76.80 45.80 0.00 20.30 306.2 Vx Vn 4 2 76.90 53.70 0.00 24.30 330.5 Vx Vn 4 3 75.80 49.10 0.00 21.45 352.0 Vx Vn 4 4 62.00 41.60 0.00 10.80 362.8 Hx Hn 4 5 62.20 41.70 0.00 10.95 373.7 Hx Hn 4 6 62.30 41.80 0.00 11.05 384.8 Hx Hn 4 7 76.30 40.20 0.00 17.30 402.1 Vx Vn 4 8 62.70 42.00 0.00 11.35 413.4 Hx Hn 4 9 62.90 42.10 0.00 11.50 424.9 Hx Hn 4 10 74.50 50.70 0.00 21.60 446.5 Vx Vn 4 11 76.50 47.60 0.00 21.05 467.6 Vx Vn 4 12 67.50 51.20 0.00 18.35 485.9 Vx Vn 4 13 64.50 45.20 0.00 13.85 499.8 Vx Vn 4 14 63.30 44.60 0.00 12.95 512.7 Vx Vn 4 15 65.70 45.60 0.00 14.65 527.4 Vx Vn 4 16 71.10 39.50 0.00 14.44 541.8 Vx Vn 4 17 76.60 39.40 0.00 17.14 558.9 Vx Vn 4 18 80.00 42.80 0.00 20.40 579.3 Vx Vn 4 19 83.10 46.60 0.00 23.85 603.2 Vx Vn 4 20 85.70 45.50 0.00 24.56 627.7 Vx Vn 4 21 79.00 54.10 0.00 25.55 653.3 Vx Vn 4 22 77.30 54.80 0.00 25.05 678.3 Vx Vn 4 23 70.90 52.90 0.00 20.90 699.2 Vx Vn 4 24 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 715.4 Vx Vn 4 25 65.50 42.10 0.00 12.80 728.2 Vx Vn 4 26 66.50 43.00 0.00 13.75 742.0 Vx Vn 4 27 61.30 49.50 0.00 14.40 756.4 Vx Vn 4 28 71.30 50.10 0.00 19.70 776.1 Vx Vn 4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 13.30 789.4 Vx Vn 4 30 68.50 47.90 0.00 17.20 806.6 Vx Vn 5 1 77.90 41.40 0.00 18.65 825.2 Vx Vn 5 2 85.00 47.20 0.00 25.10 850.3 Vx Vn 5 3 68.60 45.70 0.00 16.15 866.5 Hx Hn 5 4 68.90 45.90 0.00 16.40 882.9 Hx Hn 5 5 69.20 46.20 0.00 16.70 899.6 Hx Hn 5 6 77.60 53.40 0.00 24.50 924.1 Vx Vn 5 7 82.50 53.10 0.00 26.80 950.9 Vx Vn first moth catch 5 8 77.60 54.50 0.00 25.05 975.9 Vx Vn 5 9 65.50 47.50 0.00 15.50 991.4 Vx Vn 5 10 75.30 41.20 0.00 17.25 1008.7 Vx Vn 5 11 81.80 46.30 0.00 23.05 1031.7 Vx Vn 5 12 86.00 63.10 0.00 33.46 1065.2 Vx Vn 5 13 83.10 48.40 0.00 24.75 1090.0 Vx Vn 5 14 67.90 54.40 0.00 20.15 1110.1 Vx Vn 5 15 58.70 52.30 0.00 14.50 1124.6 Vx Vn 5 16 72.00 52.40 0.00 21.20 1145.8 Vx Vn 5 17 79.00 50.10 0.00 23.55 1169.4 Vx Vn 50% moth emergence 5 18 83.50 56.50 0.00 29.00 1198.4 Vx Vn 5 19 67.00 49.90 0.00 17.45 1215.8 Vx Vn 5 20 62.30 42.10 0.00 11.20 1227.0 Vx Vn 5 21 64.30 48.20 0.00 15.25 1242.3 Vx Vn 5 22 67.90 52.50 0.00 19.20 1261.5 Vx Vn 5 23 70.30 52.00 0.00 20.15 1281.6 Vx Vn first egg hatch 5 24 73.00 52.00 0.00 21.50 1303.1 Vx Vn 5 25 78.50 51.70 0.00 24.10 1327.2 Vx Vn 5 26 70.50 53.70 0.00 21.10 1348.3 Vx Vn 50% egg hatch 5 27 67.50 50.80 0.00 18.15 1366.5 Vx Vn 5 28 75.40 49.10 0.00 21.25 1387.7 Vx Vn 5 29 78.50 55.30 0.00 25.90 1413.6 Vx Vn 5 30 76.30 49.30 0.00 21.80 1435.4 Vx Vn 95% moth emergence 5 31 84.80 47.20 0.00 25.00 1460.4 Vx Vn 6 1 85.30 54.00 0.00 28.64 1489.0 Vx Vn 6 2 76.90 64.20 0.00 29.55 1518.6 Vx Vn 6 3 86.80 59.00 0.00 31.70 1550.3 Vx Vn 6 4 94.10 54.10 0.00 31.21 1581.5 Vx Vn 6 5 95.50 59.00 0.00 33.78 1615.3 Vx Vn 6 6 99.40 67.30 0.00 38.04 1653.3 Vx Vn 6 7 98.30 69.00 0.00 38.64 1692.0 Vx Vn 6 8 86.00 64.60 0.00 34.21 1726.2 Vx Vn 6 9 78.20 58.30 0.00 27.25 1753.4 Vx Vn 6 10 70.00 54.40 0.00 21.20 1774.6 Vx Vn 6 11 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 1794.7 Vx Vn 6 12 78.60 49.20 0.00 22.90 1817.6 Vx Vn 6 13 74.90 58.40 0.00 25.65 1843.2 Vx Vn 6 14 68.70 51.60 0.00 19.15 1862.4 Vx Vn 6 15 68.10 47.90 0.00 17.00 1879.4 Vx Vn 6 16 68.30 49.10 0.00 17.70 1897.1 Vx Vn 6 17 80.20 48.80 0.00 23.50 1920.6 Vx Vn 6 18 67.30 53.40 0.00 19.35 1939.9 Vx Vn 6 19 77.20 46.70 0.00 20.95 1960.9 Vx Vn 6 20 81.50 50.10 0.00 24.80 1985.7 Vx Vn 6 21 79.80 57.90 0.00 27.85 2013.5 Vx Vn 6 22 85.70 48.70 0.00 26.16 2039.7 Vx Vn 6 23 81.50 62.30 0.00 30.90 2070.6 Vx Vn 6 24 73.80 54.40 0.00 23.10 2093.7 Vx Vn 6 25 81.50 51.80 0.00 25.65 2119.3 Vx Vn 6 26 91.50 52.50 0.00 29.85 2149.2 Vx Vn 6 27 93.50 60.40 0.00 34.07 2183.3 Vx Vn 6 28 95.20 66.60 0.00 37.21 2220.5 Vx Vn 6 29 94.50 65.10 0.00 36.42 2256.9 Vx Vn first moth catch (2nd flight) 6 30 90.40 65.80 0.00 36.00 2292.9 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.20 0.00 34.42 2327.3 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 34.62 2361.9 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 34.16 2396.1 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2424.1 Vx Vn 7 5 78.40 55.40 0.00 25.90 2450.0 Vx Vn 7 6 81.20 59.60 0.00 29.40 2479.4 Vx Vn 7 7 81.60 60.50 0.00 30.05 2509.5 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 61.50 0.00 28.65 2538.1 Vx Vn 7 9 78.00 58.30 0.00 27.15 2565.3 Vx Vn 7 10 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 2588.7 Vx Vn 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 28.90 2617.6 Vx Vn 7 12 79.80 59.80 0.00 28.80 2646.4 Vx Vn 7 13 83.40 56.70 0.00 29.05 2675.4 Vx Vn 7 14 89.80 57.90 0.00 32.05 2707.5 Vx Vn 7 15 81.40 57.90 0.00 28.65 2736.1 Vx Vn 7 16 83.70 59.20 0.00 30.45 2766.6 Vx Vn 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 17 88.00 58.00 0.00 31.59 2798.2 Vx Vn 7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 30.15 2828.3 Vx Vn 7 19 79.70 60.40 0.00 29.05 2857.4 Vx Vn 7 20 87.40 61.10 0.00 32.94 2890.3 Vx Vn first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 21 95.20 57.00 0.00 32.80 2923.1 Vx Vn 7 22 83.00 64.70 0.00 32.85 2956.0 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 59.00 0.00 30.55 2986.5 Vx Vn 7 24 90.20 54.50 0.00 30.49 3017.0 Vx Vn 7 25 96.90 59.80 0.00 34.39 3051.4 Vx Vn 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 26 95.90 72.40 0.00 39.83 3091.2 Vx Vn 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 38.45 3129.7 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 68.80 0.00 38.67 3168.4 Vx Vn 7 29 101.70 70.20 0.00 39.45 3207.8 Vx Vn 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 39.44 3247.2 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.50 0.00 33.47 3280.7 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF25976 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF25976 Davis Nash Gala
DateDDsEvent
 5-7-16 951first moth catch
 5-17-16 116950% moth emergence
 5-23-16 1282first egg hatch
 5-26-16 134850% egg hatch
 5-30-16 143595% moth emergence
 6-29-16 2257first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-16-16 276750% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-20-16 2890first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-25-16 305150% egg hatch (2nd gen)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)