Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24513 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Wondra OR Lat45.9542 Long:-118.4481 Elev:839 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 64.40 40.70 0.00 11.56 11.6 * START * 3 2 65.30 41.90 0.00 12.60 24.2 3 3 68.20 43.10 0.00 14.65 38.8 3 4 70.00 33.50 0.00 12.22 51.0 3 5 65.50 48.50 0.00 16.00 67.0 3 6 65.70 47.50 0.00 15.60 82.6 3 7 58.50 42.30 0.00 9.40 92.0 3 8 59.00 36.70 0.00 7.67 99.7 3 9 58.70 42.90 0.00 9.80 109.5 3 10 63.60 49.00 0.00 15.30 124.8 3 11 48.50 35.20 0.00 2.56 127.4 3 12 50.30 40.20 0.00 4.35 131.7 3 13 60.50 37.20 0.00 8.51 140.2 3 14 55.50 39.10 0.00 6.58 146.8 3 15 53.00 39.70 0.00 5.52 152.3 3 16 64.30 39.00 0.00 10.89 163.2 3 17 65.60 33.30 0.00 10.09 173.3 3 18 66.10 27.90 0.00 9.38 182.7 3 19 71.40 34.20 0.00 13.06 195.7 3 20 65.60 37.90 0.00 11.19 206.9 3 21 65.00 42.60 0.00 12.80 219.7 3 22 52.70 43.50 0.00 7.10 226.8 3 23 60.90 45.30 0.00 12.10 238.9 3 24 55.40 47.00 0.00 10.20 249.1 3 25 56.10 43.10 0.00 8.60 257.7 3 26 62.90 40.40 0.00 10.69 268.4 3 27 56.60 48.40 0.00 11.50 279.9 3 28 51.50 39.40 0.00 4.70 284.6 Vx 3 29 63.00 35.30 0.00 9.27 293.9 3 30 64.50 35.10 0.00 9.95 303.8 3 31 71.10 44.80 0.00 16.95 320.8 4 1 76.20 44.00 0.00 19.10 339.9 4 2 75.50 51.20 0.00 22.35 362.2 4 3 75.20 48.90 0.00 21.05 383.3 4 4 59.40 47.70 0.00 12.55 395.8 4 5 60.50 43.80 0.00 11.15 407.0 4 6 71.70 39.20 0.00 14.63 421.6 4 7 74.00 38.30 0.00 15.47 437.1 4 8 77.10 44.80 0.00 19.95 457.0 4 9 80.80 57.10 0.00 27.95 485.0 4 10 73.20 50.80 0.00 21.00 506.0 4 11 75.70 47.70 0.00 20.70 526.7 4 12 66.40 51.80 0.00 18.10 544.8 4 13 64.00 48.30 0.00 15.15 559.9 4 14 62.60 44.80 0.00 12.70 572.6 4 15 64.60 45.70 0.00 14.15 586.8 4 16 70.10 39.50 0.00 13.94 600.7 4 17 75.20 39.30 0.00 16.41 617.1 4 18 79.00 39.90 0.00 18.53 635.7 4 19 81.80 45.00 0.00 22.40 658.1 4 20 84.80 44.20 0.00 23.50 681.6 4 21 79.00 55.60 0.00 26.30 707.9 4 22 76.80 55.60 0.00 25.20 733.1 4 23 70.50 53.30 0.00 20.90 754.0 4 24 66.40 51.90 0.00 18.15 772.1 4 25 64.90 43.20 0.00 13.05 785.2 4 26 66.00 45.80 0.00 14.90 800.1 4 27 60.80 50.10 0.00 14.45 814.5 4 28 70.50 51.50 0.00 20.00 834.5 4 29 59.00 52.00 0.00 14.50 849.0 4 30 68.50 48.80 0.00 17.65 866.7 5 1 78.00 41.00 0.00 18.50 885.2 5 2 85.50 46.30 0.00 24.88 910.0 5 3 90.90 62.10 0.00 34.34 944.4 first moth catch 5 4 79.70 59.00 0.00 28.35 972.7 5 5 69.20 44.90 0.00 16.05 988.8 Hx Hn 5 6 77.00 53.90 0.00 24.45 1013.2 5 7 82.90 53.50 0.00 27.20 1040.4 5 8 77.70 54.80 0.00 25.25 1065.7 5 9 65.90 48.00 0.00 15.95 1081.6 5 10 72.90 41.60 0.00 16.25 1097.9 Vx 5 11 81.10 46.00 0.00 22.55 1120.4 Vx Vn 5 12 85.70 62.30 0.00 32.95 1153.4 5 13 82.70 46.20 0.00 23.45 1176.8 50% moth emergence 5 14 68.70 54.80 0.00 20.75 1197.6 5 15 59.30 53.50 0.00 15.40 1213.0 5 16 70.90 53.20 0.00 21.05 1234.0 5 17 78.30 49.90 0.00 23.10 1257.1 5 18 83.60 60.80 0.00 31.20 1288.3 Vx first egg hatch 5 19 67.40 49.50 0.00 17.45 1305.8 5 20 62.30 44.80 0.00 12.55 1318.3 5 21 64.50 47.60 0.00 15.05 1333.4 5 22 69.70 53.70 0.00 20.70 1354.1 50% egg hatch 5 23 70.70 51.40 0.00 20.05 1374.1 Vx 5 24 73.80 53.00 0.00 22.40 1396.5 5 25 78.10 53.00 0.00 24.55 1421.1 5 26 72.50 55.50 0.00 23.00 1444.1 95% moth emergence 5 27 68.30 51.40 0.00 18.85 1462.9 5 28 75.60 50.10 0.00 21.85 1484.8 5 29 79.70 55.80 0.00 26.75 1511.5 5 30 76.30 50.00 0.00 22.15 1533.7 5 31 85.40 45.60 0.00 24.48 1558.2 6 1 86.10 52.70 0.00 28.32 1586.5 6 2 78.90 65.60 0.00 31.25 1617.7 6 3 87.00 59.90 0.00 32.22 1650.0 6 4 94.30 53.20 0.00 30.83 1680.8 6 5 95.80 55.60 0.00 32.25 1713.0 6 6 100.00 65.00 0.00 37.12 1750.2 Vx 6 7 100.00 68.10 0.00 38.44 1788.6 6 8 89.70 70.30 0.00 37.99 1826.6 6 9 81.00 61.00 0.00 30.00 1856.6 6 10 69.10 54.40 0.00 20.75 1877.3 6 11 72.20 51.20 0.00 20.70 1898.0 6 12 79.90 49.50 0.00 23.70 1921.7 6 13 77.10 56.60 0.00 25.85 1947.6 6 14 69.60 52.40 0.00 20.00 1967.6 6 15 68.60 48.30 0.00 17.45 1985.0 6 16 69.70 47.30 0.00 17.50 2002.5 6 17 79.10 47.00 0.00 22.05 2024.6 6 18 67.20 55.10 0.00 20.15 2044.7 6 19 78.20 45.00 0.00 20.60 2065.3 6 20 81.70 47.90 0.00 23.80 2089.1 Vx 6 21 79.70 58.10 0.00 27.90 2117.0 6 22 85.70 50.50 0.00 27.06 2144.1 Vx 6 23 80.10 62.30 0.00 30.20 2174.3 6 24 74.80 55.30 0.00 24.05 2198.3 6 25 81.50 53.50 0.00 26.50 2224.8 Vx 6 26 90.80 51.20 0.00 29.04 2253.9 first moth catch (2nd flight) 6 27 93.20 58.30 0.00 33.02 2286.9 Vx 6 28 95.00 68.30 0.00 37.94 2324.8 6 29 94.40 64.90 0.00 36.32 2361.2 Vx Vn 6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 35.93 2397.1 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 34.57 2431.7 Vx Vn 7 2 89.80 62.80 0.00 34.42 2466.1 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 65.00 0.00 34.26 2500.3 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 28.10 2528.4 Vx Vn 7 5 80.30 58.40 0.00 28.35 2556.8 7 6 80.60 60.50 0.00 29.55 2586.3 Vx 7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 30.20 2616.5 Vx Vn 7 8 77.60 61.10 0.00 28.35 2644.9 Vx 7 9 78.00 57.80 0.00 26.90 2671.8 Vx 7 10 69.70 58.90 0.00 23.30 2695.1 7 11 78.50 59.70 0.00 28.10 2723.2 7 12 77.20 58.50 0.00 26.85 2750.0 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 13 83.20 59.70 0.00 30.45 2780.5 Vx 7 14 90.00 53.50 0.00 29.95 2810.4 Vx 7 15 81.40 59.30 0.00 29.35 2839.8 Vx 7 16 83.60 60.60 0.00 31.10 2870.9 Vx first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 17 88.10 60.00 0.00 32.61 2903.5 Vx 7 18 80.80 62.40 0.00 30.60 2934.1 Vx 7 19 79.50 61.60 0.00 29.55 2963.7 Vx 7 20 87.70 63.10 0.00 34.02 2997.7 Vx 7 21 95.00 56.50 0.00 32.53 3030.2 Vx 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 22 82.60 64.30 0.00 32.45 3062.6 Vx Vn 7 23 85.20 58.50 0.00 30.84 3093.5 7 24 90.20 55.10 0.00 30.79 3124.3 Vx 7 25 96.70 60.10 0.00 34.49 3158.8 Vx 7 26 95.60 72.90 0.00 40.00 3198.8 Vx 7 27 96.60 70.00 0.00 38.88 3237.7 7 28 99.00 66.40 0.00 37.61 3275.3 7 29 101.90 67.00 0.00 38.17 3313.4 Vx 95% emergence (2nd flight) 7 30 94.80 76.30 0.00 41.33 3354.8 Vx 7 31 87.20 62.60 0.00 33.62 3388.4 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24513 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF24513 Burkes Wondra OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 944first moth catch
 5-13-16 117750% moth emergence
 5-18-16 1288first egg hatch
 5-22-16 135450% egg hatch
 5-26-16 144495% moth emergence
 6-26-16 2254first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-12-16 275050% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-16-16 2871first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-21-16 303050% egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-29-16 331395% emergence (2nd flight)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)