Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
oriental fruit moth [stone fruit]
insect model of CA IPM


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: oriental fruit moth [stone fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: CA IPM Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 45 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 90 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first catch in pheromone trap Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 9 30 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: California ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 28 DD after biofix first egg-laying 2. 200 DD after biofix first egg-hatch 3. 395 DD after biofix peak larvae 4. 587 DD after biofix first pupae 5. 965 DD after biofix first moth catch 1st generation 6. 993 DD after biofix first egg-laying 2nd gen 7. 1165 DD after biofix first egg-hatch 2nd gen 8. 1360 DD after biofix peak larvae 2nd gen ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24585 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Oliver Cherries OR Lat45.9717 Long:-118.3739 Elev:882 mn day max min precip DD45 CUMDD45 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 25 65.50 39.60 0.00 8.62 8.6 * START *Vx 4 26 63.80 41.50 0.00 8.25 16.9 4 27 60.00 47.20 0.03 8.60 25.5 4 28 68.00 48.50 0.00 13.25 38.7 first egg-laying 4 29 57.40 48.90 0.03 8.15 46.9 4 30 66.20 47.50 0.02 11.85 58.7 5 1 74.60 40.20 0.00 13.17 71.9 5 2 85.00 42.80 0.00 19.11 91.0 Vx 5 3 86.10 62.60 0.00 29.35 120.4 5 4 77.70 57.20 0.00 22.45 142.8 5 5 69.30 45.60 0.00 12.45 155.3 Hx Hn 5 6 75.00 51.20 0.00 18.10 173.4 5 7 79.60 52.10 0.00 20.85 194.2 5 8 77.00 57.80 0.00 22.40 216.6 first egg-hatch 5 9 65.50 47.70 0.00 11.60 228.2 Vx 5 10 71.10 37.90 0.00 10.93 239.1 5 11 82.00 46.10 0.00 19.05 258.2 Vx Vn 5 12 83.40 57.40 0.00 25.40 283.6 5 13 80.70 45.70 0.00 18.20 301.8 5 14 67.50 51.80 0.07 14.65 316.4 5 15 58.80 51.70 0.11 10.25 326.7 5 16 72.00 52.00 0.01 17.00 343.7 Vx 5 17 75.70 49.80 0.00 17.75 361.4 5 18 82.20 53.80 0.00 23.00 384.4 5 19 67.80 49.30 0.00 13.55 398.0 peak larvae 5 20 61.40 40.90 0.00 6.94 404.9 5 21 63.60 44.40 0.01 9.04 414.0 5 22 68.50 50.30 0.00 14.40 428.4 5 23 70.80 50.70 0.00 15.75 444.1 5 24 74.00 49.50 0.00 16.75 460.9 5 25 76.90 47.60 0.00 17.25 478.1 5 26 70.80 50.80 0.00 15.80 493.9 5 27 69.80 50.90 0.00 15.35 509.3 5 28 76.10 48.20 0.00 17.15 526.4 5 29 79.60 52.60 0.00 21.10 547.5 5 30 76.30 48.20 0.00 17.25 564.8 Vx 5 31 84.80 40.80 0.00 18.36 583.1 Vx 6 1 85.20 49.50 0.00 22.35 605.5 first pupae 6 2 78.10 60.80 0.00 24.45 629.9 6 3 86.40 57.20 0.00 26.80 656.7 6 4 89.00 50.30 0.00 24.65 681.4 6 5 91.20 54.30 0.00 27.66 709.0 6 6 99.20 58.30 0.00 31.85 740.9 Vx 6 7 94.00 64.20 0.00 33.47 774.4 6 8 87.70 66.90 0.00 32.30 806.7 6 9 77.20 56.40 0.00 21.80 828.5 6 10 67.70 53.30 0.01 15.50 844.0 6 11 72.00 46.10 0.00 14.05 858.0 6 12 77.30 44.50 0.00 15.93 873.9 6 13 74.90 53.00 0.00 18.95 892.9 Vx 6 14 69.30 50.10 0.00 14.70 907.6 6 15 69.30 46.50 0.00 12.90 920.5 6 16 69.60 45.30 0.01 12.45 932.9 6 17 79.10 42.50 0.00 16.08 949.0 6 18 66.80 52.50 0.06 14.65 963.7 6 19 76.30 42.50 0.00 14.69 978.3 first moth catch 1st generation 6 20 80.20 46.80 0.00 18.50 996.8 first egg-laying 2nd gen 6 21 80.50 58.70 0.00 24.60 1021.4 6 22 87.20 45.70 0.00 21.45 1042.9 6 23 81.30 59.80 0.00 25.55 1068.4 6 24 75.60 54.00 0.02 19.80 1088.2 6 25 81.50 48.10 0.00 19.80 1108.0 6 26 87.70 46.80 0.00 22.25 1130.3 6 27 93.50 60.50 0.00 31.51 1161.8 Vx Vn 6 28 91.20 59.30 0.00 30.15 1192.0 first egg-hatch 2nd gen 6 29 94.60 63.50 0.00 33.29 1225.2 Vx 6 30 92.00 66.20 0.00 33.86 1259.1 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.10 0.00 31.05 1290.2 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 31.55 1321.7 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 30.20 1351.9 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 24.05 1376.0 Vx Vn peak larvae 2nd gen 7 5 78.70 52.30 0.00 20.50 1396.5 7 6 81.40 60.50 0.00 25.95 1422.4 7 7 81.50 60.50 0.00 26.00 1448.4 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 60.30 0.05 24.05 1472.5 Vx 7 9 77.60 57.50 0.06 22.55 1495.0 7 10 69.90 57.20 0.00 18.55 1513.6 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 24.90 1538.5 Vx Vn 7 12 80.20 56.30 0.02 23.25 1561.7 7 13 84.30 55.40 0.00 24.85 1586.6 7 14 89.80 53.00 0.00 26.40 1613.0 Vx 7 15 81.40 57.00 0.00 24.20 1637.2 Vx 7 16 83.70 58.00 0.00 25.85 1663.0 Vx 7 17 88.10 55.40 0.00 26.75 1689.8 Vx 7 18 80.80 59.10 0.00 24.95 1714.7 Vx 7 19 82.90 56.80 0.00 24.85 1739.6 7 20 87.70 58.90 0.00 28.30 1767.9 Vx 7 21 95.20 52.10 0.00 27.87 1795.7 Vx 7 22 83.00 64.50 0.00 28.75 1824.5 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 55.90 0.00 25.00 1849.5 Vx 7 24 90.20 51.90 0.00 26.04 1875.5 Vx 7 25 96.80 58.40 0.00 31.36 1906.9 Vx 7 26 95.90 69.30 0.00 36.39 1943.3 Vx 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 36.29 1979.6 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 63.40 0.00 34.30 2013.9 Vx 7 29 101.70 63.60 0.00 34.80 2048.7 Vx 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 37.33 2086.0 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.40 0.00 29.65 2115.7 Vx Vn 8 1 90.90 57.00 0.00 28.89 2144.5 Vx Vn 8 2 78.70 57.30 0.00 23.00 2167.5 Vx 8 3 84.00 54.10 0.00 24.05 2191.6 Vx 8 4 90.20 50.00 0.00 25.09 2216.7 8 5 93.70 53.50 0.00 28.12 2244.8 Vx 8 6 85.60 63.50 0.00 29.55 2274.4 8 7 83.10 60.50 0.00 26.80 2301.2 Vx 8 8 77.20 51.30 0.00 19.25 2320.4 Vx 8 9 72.80 54.70 0.00 18.75 2339.2 8 10 84.30 53.90 0.00 24.10 2363.3 Vx 8 11 90.30 57.60 0.00 28.94 2392.2 Vx Vn 8 12 95.70 61.50 0.00 32.60 2424.8 Vx Vn 8 13 97.20 65.20 0.00 34.72 2459.5 Vx Vn 8 14 95.60 69.90 0.00 36.61 2496.1 Vx Vn 8 15 95.90 63.20 0.00 33.47 2529.6 Vx Vn 8 16 95.70 59.30 0.00 31.53 2561.1 Vx 8 17 91.20 59.40 0.00 30.20 2591.3 8 18 96.70 58.80 0.00 31.53 2622.8 Vx 8 19 88.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 2650.7 8 20 91.10 52.50 0.00 26.72 2677.5 8 21 93.10 52.40 0.00 27.38 2704.8 8 22 78.00 52.80 0.00 20.40 2725.2 8 23 82.00 50.10 0.00 21.05 2746.3 8 24 87.10 52.40 0.00 24.75 2771.0 Vx 8 25 88.40 50.20 0.00 24.30 2795.3 8 26 91.90 49.40 0.00 25.48 2820.8 8 27 91.80 60.70 0.00 31.07 2851.9 8 28 89.20 63.30 0.00 31.25 2883.1 Vx 8 29 94.40 54.60 0.00 28.87 2912.0 Vx 8 30 82.20 62.40 0.00 27.30 2939.3 8 31 85.00 55.50 0.00 25.25 2964.6 9 1 80.30 60.60 0.00 25.45 2990.0 9 2 76.40 55.50 0.00 20.95 3011.0 9 3 73.30 56.60 0.00 19.95 3030.9 9 4 76.10 46.70 0.00 16.40 3047.3 9 5 75.80 47.40 0.00 16.60 3063.9 Vx 9 6 64.60 54.50 0.00 14.55 3078.5 9 7 75.80 54.50 0.00 20.15 3098.6 9 8 77.10 57.70 0.00 22.40 3121.0 9 9 76.80 44.30 0.00 15.59 3136.6 9 10 85.10 45.10 0.00 20.10 3156.7 9 11 77.90 53.10 0.00 20.50 3177.2 Vx 9 12 75.20 42.90 0.00 14.28 3191.5 Vx 9 13 68.90 36.80 0.00 9.66 3201.1 9 14 76.40 44.70 0.00 15.56 3216.7 9 15 81.30 45.50 0.00 18.40 3235.1 9 16 85.70 46.90 0.00 21.30 3256.4 9 17 68.60 61.90 0.04 20.25 3276.7 9 18 73.00 56.80 0.00 19.90 3296.6 9 19 68.10 57.90 0.00 18.00 3314.6 Vx 9 20 67.00 48.00 0.00 12.50 3327.1 9 21 67.20 42.30 0.00 10.13 3337.2 Vx 9 22 56.80 47.20 0.00 7.00 3344.2 9 23 66.70 51.00 0.00 13.85 3358.0 9 24 70.10 52.20 0.00 16.15 3374.2 9 25 80.60 44.00 0.00 17.37 3391.6 9 26 82.90 46.30 0.00 19.60 3411.2 Vx 9 27 83.00 55.20 0.00 24.10 3435.3 9 28 75.00 49.00 0.00 17.00 3452.3 9 29 78.70 47.10 0.00 17.90 3470.2 9 30 74.40 49.90 0.00 17.15 3487.3 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24585 2006-2015
oriental fruit moth model - CA IPM
Location: 2016 MF24585 Oliver Cherries OR
DateDDsEvent
 4-28-16 39first egg-laying
 5-8-16 217first egg-hatch
 5-19-16 398peak larvae
 6-1-16 605first pupae
 6-19-16 978first moth catch 1st generation
 6-20-16 997first egg-laying 2nd gen
 6-28-16 1192first egg-hatch 2nd gen
 7-4-16 1376peak larvae 2nd gen
degree-day graph of oriental fruit moth [stone fruit] CA IPM