Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth [apple & pear]
insect model of Brunner and Hoyt (1987)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner and Hoyt (1987) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: Fully tested and in use Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 250 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 2. 360 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 3. 484 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 4. 610 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5. 800 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6. 1000 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 7. 1260 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 8. 1460 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 9. 1580 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 10. 1750 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 11. 2100 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 12. 2220 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 13. 2430 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 14. 2620 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF22663 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burlinggame Lefore OR Lat45.9592 Long:-118.3756 Elev:925 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 75.20 48.70 0.00 12.07 12.1 * START * 4 11 78.80 47.80 0.00 13.55 25.6 4 12 67.70 50.80 0.02 9.25 34.9 4 13 63.10 48.40 0.00 5.98 40.8 4 14 64.90 42.50 0.01 5.61 46.5 4 15 67.20 44.70 0.00 7.07 53.5 4 16 71.50 40.10 0.00 8.24 61.8 4 17 79.00 38.80 0.00 11.49 73.3 4 18 79.00 40.50 0.00 11.81 85.1 Vx 4 19 84.30 47.60 0.00 16.21 101.3 4 20 87.30 46.40 0.00 17.31 118.6 4 21 79.80 53.70 0.00 16.75 135.3 4 22 75.10 54.60 0.01 14.85 150.2 4 23 71.70 52.80 0.00 12.25 162.4 4 24 66.20 49.20 0.00 7.77 170.2 4 25 64.60 42.40 0.00 5.46 175.7 Vx 4 26 65.40 43.00 0.00 5.92 181.6 4 27 60.70 47.70 0.01 4.62 186.2 4 28 71.70 49.50 0.00 10.63 196.8 4 29 58.40 48.30 0.03 3.65 200.5 4 30 68.30 47.60 0.01 8.30 208.8 5 1 77.70 42.90 0.00 11.69 220.5 5 2 84.70 45.80 0.00 15.84 236.3 Vx 5 3 88.40 64.80 0.00 26.58 262.9 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 5 4 77.30 58.70 0.00 18.00 280.9 5 5 69.10 45.80 0.00 8.22 289.1 Hx Hn 5 6 77.70 51.50 0.01 14.60 303.7 5 7 83.70 52.70 0.00 18.20 321.9 5 8 78.70 58.70 0.00 18.70 340.6 5 9 65.30 47.50 0.00 6.80 347.4 Vx 5 10 73.80 40.70 0.00 9.41 356.8 5 11 81.10 46.20 0.00 14.19 371.0 Vx Vn 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 5 12 86.50 62.10 0.00 24.30 395.3 5 13 82.90 47.60 0.00 15.52 410.8 5 14 67.50 52.70 0.08 10.10 420.9 5 15 59.20 50.90 0.09 5.05 426.0 5 16 70.10 51.60 0.03 10.85 436.8 5 17 77.90 49.90 0.00 13.90 450.7 5 18 83.30 56.40 0.00 19.85 470.6 5 19 68.80 49.20 0.00 9.07 479.7 5 20 61.20 40.90 0.00 3.77 483.4 5 21 64.10 46.00 0.02 5.87 489.3 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 5 22 69.10 50.80 0.00 9.95 499.2 5 23 72.00 51.20 0.00 11.60 510.8 5 24 71.90 50.20 0.00 11.05 521.9 5 25 77.70 48.60 0.00 13.28 535.2 5 26 70.50 51.20 0.00 10.85 546.0 5 27 68.30 50.50 0.00 9.40 555.4 5 28 76.30 48.80 0.00 12.66 568.1 5 29 78.70 55.30 0.00 17.00 585.1 5 30 75.90 50.60 0.00 13.25 598.3 Vx 5 31 84.40 46.70 0.00 15.97 614.3 Vx 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 6 1 84.00 52.30 0.00 18.15 632.4 6 2 75.70 62.00 0.00 18.85 651.3 6 3 85.80 57.70 0.00 21.75 673.0 6 4 92.60 51.70 0.00 21.49 694.5 6 5 92.90 56.40 0.00 23.88 718.4 6 6 99.00 65.60 0.00 29.52 747.9 Vx 6 7 97.00 65.70 0.00 29.24 777.2 6 8 86.50 66.90 0.00 26.70 803.9 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6 9 76.90 58.20 0.00 17.55 821.4 6 10 70.50 52.70 0.04 11.60 833.0 6 11 74.00 48.90 0.00 11.55 844.6 6 12 79.50 46.50 0.00 13.49 858.1 6 13 74.70 54.30 0.00 14.50 872.6 Vx 6 14 70.00 50.40 0.00 10.20 882.8 6 15 69.00 48.30 0.00 8.86 891.6 6 16 67.90 47.00 0.02 7.94 899.6 6 17 77.10 46.60 0.00 12.34 911.9 6 18 59.00 54.70 0.07 6.85 918.7 6 19 73.40 46.80 0.00 10.58 929.3 6 20 79.60 47.20 0.00 13.75 943.1 6 21 80.70 58.40 0.00 19.55 962.6 6 22 85.80 50.10 0.00 17.95 980.6 6 23 81.10 58.70 0.00 19.90 1000.5 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 6 24 74.50 54.20 0.01 14.35 1014.8 6 25 80.70 49.90 0.00 15.30 1030.1 6 26 90.80 49.20 0.00 19.74 1049.9 6 27 93.30 56.90 0.00 24.23 1074.1 Vx 6 28 86.00 64.60 0.02 25.30 1099.4 6 29 94.40 66.20 0.00 28.97 1128.4 Vx 6 30 91.80 66.20 0.00 28.37 1156.7 Vx Vn 7 1 88.90 60.50 0.00 24.63 1181.4 Vx 7 2 89.90 62.70 0.00 26.09 1207.4 Vx 7 3 85.40 67.00 0.00 26.20 1233.6 Vx 7 4 80.30 57.30 0.00 18.80 1252.4 Vx Vn 7 5 78.70 55.00 0.00 16.85 1269.3 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 7 6 80.70 61.00 0.00 20.85 1290.1 7 7 81.30 56.80 0.00 19.05 1309.2 Vx 7 8 77.70 59.70 0.16 18.70 1327.9 Vx 7 9 77.70 57.60 0.07 17.65 1345.5 7 10 67.80 57.30 0.00 12.55 1358.1 7 11 80.50 58.70 0.00 19.60 1377.7 Vx Vn 7 12 80.00 56.80 0.01 18.40 1396.1 7 13 83.70 57.10 0.00 20.40 1416.5 7 14 89.60 57.60 0.00 23.45 1439.9 Vx 7 15 81.20 56.90 0.00 19.05 1459.0 Vx 7 16 83.50 58.50 0.00 21.00 1480.0 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 7 17 87.80 59.80 0.00 23.80 1503.8 Vx 7 18 80.60 59.70 0.00 20.15 1523.9 Vx 7 19 80.00 60.00 0.00 20.00 1543.9 7 20 87.40 61.70 0.00 24.55 1568.5 Vx 7 21 95.10 55.60 0.00 24.05 1592.5 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 7 22 82.80 63.30 0.00 23.05 1615.6 Vx 7 23 83.90 57.00 0.00 20.45 1636.0 Vx 7 24 90.00 56.20 0.00 22.89 1658.9 Vx 7 25 96.60 63.60 0.00 28.18 1687.1 Vx 7 26 95.20 71.40 0.00 31.56 1718.7 Vx 7 27 95.00 69.20 0.00 30.51 1749.2 Vx Vn 7 28 99.10 67.70 0.00 30.49 1779.7 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 7 29 101.50 69.60 0.00 31.64 1811.3 Vx 7 30 94.50 71.70 0.00 31.58 1842.9 Vx Vn 7 31 86.50 59.70 0.00 23.10 1866.0 8 1 90.70 57.30 0.00 23.67 1889.7 Vx Vn 8 2 78.70 62.60 0.00 20.65 1910.3 8 3 83.70 56.60 0.00 20.15 1930.5 Vx 8 4 92.80 55.40 0.00 23.36 1953.8 Vx Vn 8 5 93.50 60.80 0.00 26.18 1980.0 Vx 8 6 88.40 63.80 0.00 26.08 2006.1 8 7 82.80 62.10 0.00 22.45 2028.5 Vx 8 8 77.50 53.90 0.00 15.70 2044.2 Vx 8 9 74.00 56.00 0.02 15.00 2059.2 8 10 84.00 56.00 0.00 20.00 2079.2 Vx 8 11 90.00 57.50 0.00 23.54 2102.8 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 8 12 95.50 56.00 0.00 24.33 2127.1 Vx 8 13 97.00 65.10 0.00 28.96 2156.1 Vx Vn 8 14 95.50 69.80 0.00 30.87 2186.9 Vx Vn 8 15 95.70 63.30 0.00 27.87 2214.8 Vx Vn 8 16 95.40 61.20 0.06 26.81 2241.6 Vx 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 8 17 94.90 62.80 0.04 27.46 2269.1 Vx 8 18 96.40 65.90 0.00 29.22 2298.3 Vx 8 19 86.20 60.40 0.02 23.30 2321.6 8 20 81.20 57.90 0.09 19.55 2341.1 8 21 94.40 59.70 0.00 25.86 2367.0 8 22 78.60 56.00 0.00 17.30 2384.3 8 23 82.90 52.50 0.00 17.70 2402.0 8 24 86.90 58.60 0.00 22.75 2424.7 Vx 8 25 89.10 53.60 0.00 21.27 2446.0 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 8 26 91.20 57.20 0.00 23.78 2469.8 8 27 89.40 67.80 0.00 28.45 2498.2 8 28 89.00 64.00 0.04 26.41 2524.7 Vx 8 29 94.20 57.00 0.00 24.51 2549.2 Vx 8 30 79.70 62.40 0.00 21.05 2570.2 8 31 84.70 58.00 0.00 21.35 2591.6 9 1 78.20 60.60 0.00 19.40 2611.0 9 2 74.60 55.30 0.00 14.95 2625.9 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 9 3 72.90 56.70 0.00 14.80 2640.7 9 4 76.00 47.90 0.00 12.20 2652.9 9 5 74.60 49.90 0.00 12.25 2665.2 Vx 9 6 63.70 55.50 0.03 9.60 2674.8 9 7 78.70 56.10 0.00 17.40 2692.2 9 8 79.50 58.90 0.00 19.20 2711.4 9 9 79.30 47.40 0.00 13.67 2725.0 9 10 88.90 49.40 0.00 19.12 2744.2 9 11 77.50 57.80 0.00 17.65 2761.8 9 12 75.00 44.20 0.00 10.69 2772.5 Vx 9 13 70.80 42.10 0.00 8.26 2780.8 9 14 80.90 47.30 0.00 14.43 2795.2 9 15 83.20 50.10 0.00 16.65 2811.8 9 16 88.80 54.60 0.00 21.65 2833.5 9 17 70.60 62.70 0.01 16.65 2850.1 9 18 72.30 59.40 0.00 15.85 2866.0 9 19 67.90 58.30 0.00 13.10 2879.1 Vx 9 20 68.90 49.50 0.00 9.23 2888.3 9 21 64.70 44.40 0.00 5.84 2894.2 9 22 58.00 49.20 0.00 3.70 2897.9 9 23 67.10 51.70 0.00 9.40 2907.3 9 24 71.20 51.70 0.00 11.45 2918.7 9 25 83.00 48.50 0.00 15.88 2934.6 9 26 82.40 48.70 0.00 15.66 2950.2 Vx 9 27 86.40 59.70 0.00 23.05 2973.3 9 28 75.60 51.50 0.00 13.55 2986.8 9 29 78.50 50.20 0.00 14.35 3001.2 9 30 73.50 51.40 0.00 12.45 3013.6 10 1 71.00 47.20 0.00 9.51 3023.2 10 2 67.70 43.70 0.00 7.11 3030.3 10 3 68.00 46.90 0.00 7.96 3038.2 10 4 67.70 47.30 0.07 7.92 3046.2 10 5 64.60 49.70 0.00 7.17 3053.3 10 6 65.50 52.00 0.00 8.75 3062.1 10 7 63.80 56.00 0.00 9.90 3072.0 Vx 10 8 72.60 50.80 0.00 11.70 3083.7 Vx 10 9 66.40 57.10 0.00 11.75 3095.4 10 10 61.40 47.90 0.07 5.01 3100.4 10 11 56.80 38.50 0.00 1.83 3102.3 10 12 57.10 30.90 0.00 1.62 3103.9 10 13 61.90 44.20 0.02 4.51 3108.4 10 14 67.60 51.00 0.03 9.30 3117.7 10 15 60.00 50.20 0.03 5.10 3122.8 10 16 64.30 49.10 0.00 6.79 3129.6 10 17 61.10 48.80 0.00 5.11 3134.7 Vx 10 18 59.90 48.00 0.00 4.30 3139.0 10 19 65.00 40.80 0.00 5.41 3144.4 10 20 68.00 55.40 0.07 11.70 3156.1 10 21 56.60 51.40 0.09 4.00 3160.1 10 22 60.60 42.90 0.00 3.75 3163.9 10 23 55.70 42.40 0.00 1.66 3165.5 10 24 60.20 43.30 0.00 3.62 3169.1 Vx 10 25 65.50 50.00 0.03 7.75 3176.9 10 26 54.80 52.50 0.01 3.65 3180.5 10 27 55.60 51.00 0.01 3.30 3183.8 Vx 10 28 48.40 45.70 0.00 0.00 3183.8 Vx 10 29 48.50 44.80 0.09 0.00 3183.8 10 30 48.70 44.30 0.06 0.00 3183.8 10 31 57.30 46.60 0.00 2.79 3186.6 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF22663 2006-2015
codling moth model - Brunner and Hoyt
Location: 2016 MF22663 Burlinggame Lefore OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 2631ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 5-11-16 3711ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 5-21-16 4891ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 5-31-16 6141ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 6-8-16 8041ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH
 6-23-16 10002ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE
 7-5-16 12692ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH
 7-16-16 14802ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH
 7-21-16 15932ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 7-28-16 17802ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 8-11-16 21032ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH
 8-16-16 22423RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 8-25-16 24463RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 9-2-16 26263RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
degree-day graph of codling moth [apple & pear] Brunner and Hoyt (1987)