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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: western flower thrips [vegetables]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 45 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 104 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: under development
Region of known use: data from numerous sources
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 20 DDs after Jan 1: OW Gen adults present
2. 338 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 1, peak egg hatch
3. 675 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 1, peak adults
4. 1013 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 2, peak egg hatch
5. 1350 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 2, peak adults
6. 2025 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 3, peak adults
7. 2700 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 4, peak adults
8. 3375 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 5, peak adults
9. 4050 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 6, peak adults
10. 4725 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 7, peak adults
11. 5400 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 8, peak adults
12. 6075 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 9, peak adults
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 FZWA3 RAWS FRAZIER WELLS AZ Lat35.8456 Long:-113.0550 Elev:6796
mn day max min precip DD45 CUMDD45 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 38.00 30.00 0.01 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 32.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 39.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 43.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 39.00 35.00 0.16 0.00 0.0
1 6 33.00 12.00 0.04 0.00 0.0
1 7 38.00 18.00 0.02 0.00 0.0
1 8 53.00 33.00 0.00 2.25 2.2
1 9 47.00 34.00 0.46 0.34 2.6
1 10 47.00 31.00 0.00 0.30 2.9
1 11 41.00 33.00 0.04 0.00 2.9
1 12 37.00 31.00 0.01 0.00 2.9
1 13 43.00 31.00 0.24 0.00 2.9
1 14 38.00 32.00 0.06 0.00 2.9
1 15 40.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 16 42.00 25.00 0.01 0.00 2.9
1 17 44.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 18 45.00 30.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 19 31.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 20 29.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 21 31.00 23.00 0.14 0.00 2.9
1 22 29.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 23 32.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 24 27.00 17.00 0.06 0.00 2.9
1 25 26.00 14.00 0.06 0.00 2.9
1 26 28.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 27 29.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 2.9
1 28 45.00 17.00 0.10 0.00 2.9
1 29 47.00 23.00 0.00 0.25 3.1
1 30 58.00 33.00 0.00 4.23 7.4
1 31 58.00 39.00 0.00 4.98 12.3
2 1 53.00 35.00 0.00 2.38 14.7
2 2 50.00 34.00 0.00 1.23 16.0
2 3 50.00 35.00 0.00 1.27 17.2
2 4 53.00 32.00 0.00 2.19 19.4
2 5 54.00 33.00 0.00 2.63 22.0 OW Gen adults present
2 6 41.00 33.00 0.03 0.00 22.0
2 7 48.00 35.00 0.00 0.63 22.7
2 8 59.00 38.00 0.00 5.28 28.0
2 9 64.00 44.00 0.00 9.10 37.0
2 10 59.00 44.00 0.00 6.61 43.7
2 11 45.00 38.00 0.23 0.00 43.7
2 12 41.00 38.00 0.31 0.00 43.7
2 13 47.00 35.00 0.00 0.35 44.0
2 14 49.00 34.00 0.00 0.90 44.9
2 15 53.00 34.00 0.00 2.31 47.2
2 16 53.00 37.00 0.00 2.55 49.8
2 17 45.00 32.00 0.11 0.00 49.8
2 18 39.00 34.00 0.10 0.00 49.8
2 19 38.00 31.00 0.10 0.00 49.8
2 20 45.00 33.00 0.01 0.00 49.8
2 21 54.00 37.00 0.02 2.96 52.7
2 22 50.00 30.00 0.00 1.09 53.8
2 23 34.00 23.00 0.02 0.00 53.8
2 24 35.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 53.8
2 25 38.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 53.8
2 26 40.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 53.8
2 27 33.00 27.00 0.05 0.00 53.8
2 28 36.00 23.00 0.53 0.00 53.8
3 1 43.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 53.8
3 2 49.00 24.00 0.00 0.69 54.5
3 3 57.00 30.00 0.00 3.57 58.1
3 4 54.00 34.00 0.00 2.70 60.8
3 5 47.00 34.00 0.00 0.34 61.1
3 6 41.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 61.1
3 7 58.00 28.00 0.00 3.82 64.9
3 8 66.00 41.00 0.00 9.19 74.1
3 9 67.00 45.00 0.00 11.00 85.1
3 10 67.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 98.6
3 11 65.00 45.00 0.00 10.00 108.6
3 12 67.00 48.00 0.00 12.50 121.1
3 13 69.00 47.00 0.00 13.00 134.1
3 14 73.00 51.00 0.00 17.00 151.1
3 15 68.00 51.00 0.00 14.50 165.6
3 16 67.00 47.00 0.00 12.00 177.6
3 17 72.00 49.00 0.00 15.50 193.1
3 18 69.00 50.00 0.00 14.50 207.6
3 19 69.00 49.00 0.00 14.00 221.6
3 20 69.00 51.00 0.00 15.00 236.6
3 21 66.00 48.00 0.00 12.00 248.6
3 22 54.00 33.00 0.27 2.63 251.3
3 23 40.00 31.00 0.01 0.00 251.3
3 24 59.00 31.00 0.06 4.46 255.7
3 25 50.00 35.00 0.00 1.27 257.0
3 26 55.00 32.00 0.00 2.94 259.9
3 27 53.00 33.00 0.11 2.25 262.2
3 28 52.00 31.00 0.01 1.78 263.9
3 29 62.00 31.00 0.00 5.71 269.7
3 30 59.00 31.00 0.03 4.46 274.1
3 31 39.00 26.00 0.15 0.00 274.1
4 1 50.00 34.00 0.04 1.23 275.3
4 2 60.00 40.00 0.00 6.09 281.4
4 3 56.00 29.00 0.00 3.12 284.6
4 4 58.50 30.90 0.00 4.24 288.8 Hx Hn
4 5 59.00 33.90 0.00 4.75 293.5 Hn
4 6 67.00 42.00 0.00 9.95 303.5
4 7 64.00 45.00 0.00 9.50 313.0
4 8 58.00 42.00 0.00 5.56 318.5
4 9 52.00 31.00 0.00 1.78 320.3
4 10 62.00 35.00 0.00 6.19 326.5
4 11 65.00 42.00 0.00 8.97 335.5
4 12 68.00 46.00 0.00 12.00 347.5 Gen 1, peak egg hatch
4 13 66.00 44.00 0.00 10.09 357.6
4 14 63.00 39.00 0.00 7.31 364.9
4 15 67.00 43.00 0.00 10.25 375.1
4 16 68.00 48.00 0.00 13.00 388.1
4 17 66.00 44.00 0.00 10.09 398.2
4 18 66.00 44.00 0.00 10.09 408.3
4 19 66.00 42.00 0.00 9.46 417.8
4 20 65.00 46.00 0.00 10.50 428.3
4 21 65.00 42.00 0.00 8.97 437.2
4 22 72.00 42.00 0.00 12.41 449.6
4 23 69.00 51.00 0.00 15.00 464.6
4 24 63.00 44.00 0.00 8.60 473.2
4 25 55.00 40.00 0.00 3.77 477.0
4 26 62.00 37.00 0.00 6.49 483.5
4 27 60.00 47.00 0.00 8.50 492.0
4 28 47.00 32.00 0.00 0.31 492.3
4 29 53.00 29.00 0.00 2.03 494.3
4 30 63.00 35.00 0.00 6.64 501.0
5 1 66.00 47.00 0.00 11.50 512.5
5 2 71.00 51.00 0.00 16.00 528.5
5 3 73.00 50.00 0.00 16.50 545.0
5 4 80.00 54.00 0.00 22.00 567.0
5 5 78.00 60.00 0.00 24.00 591.0
5 6 69.00 48.00 0.00 13.50 604.5
5 7 51.00 36.00 0.00 1.69 606.2
5 8 62.00 34.00 0.00 6.06 612.2
5 9 51.00 32.00 0.57 1.48 613.7
5 10 56.00 35.00 0.02 3.60 617.3
5 11 72.00 40.00 0.00 11.85 629.2
5 12 71.00 50.60 0.00 15.80 645.0 Pn
5 13 66.00 45.00 0.00 10.50 655.5
5 14 65.00 40.00 0.00 8.47 663.9
5 15 58.00 40.00 0.00 5.15 669.1
5 16 57.00 35.00 0.00 4.02 673.1
5 17 51.00 34.00 0.20 1.57 674.7
5 18 49.00 30.00 0.00 0.80 675.5 Gen 1, peak adults
5 19 61.00 29.00 0.05 5.09 680.6
5 20 67.00 43.00 0.00 10.25 690.8
5 21 76.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 708.8
5 22 75.00 52.00 0.00 18.50 727.3
5 23 78.00 53.00 0.00 20.50 747.8
5 24 79.00 61.00 0.00 25.00 772.8
5 25 74.00 54.00 0.00 19.00 791.8
5 26 69.00 46.00 0.00 12.50 804.3
5 27 73.00 47.00 0.00 15.00 819.3
5 28 76.00 54.00 0.00 20.00 839.3
5 29 80.00 53.00 0.00 21.50 860.8
5 30 80.00 59.00 0.00 24.50 885.3
5 31 75.00 56.00 0.00 20.50 905.8
6 1 75.00 52.00 0.00 18.50 924.3
6 2 81.00 56.00 0.00 23.50 947.8
6 3 85.00 63.00 0.00 29.00 976.8
6 4 83.00 63.00 0.00 28.00 1004.8
6 5 83.00 62.00 0.00 27.50 1032.3 Gen 2, peak egg hatch
6 6 83.00 65.00 0.00 29.00 1061.3
6 7 83.00 61.00 0.00 27.00 1088.3
6 8 81.00 57.00 0.00 24.00 1112.3
6 9 78.00 57.00 0.00 22.50 1134.8
6 10 77.00 54.00 0.00 20.50 1155.3
6 11 72.00 53.00 0.00 17.50 1172.8
6 12 63.00 46.00 0.00 9.50 1182.3
6 13 73.00 46.00 0.00 14.50 1196.8
6 14 83.00 55.00 0.00 24.00 1220.8
6 15 85.00 62.00 0.00 28.50 1249.3
6 16 87.00 64.00 0.00 30.50 1279.8
6 17 89.00 65.00 0.00 32.00 1311.8
6 18 93.00 69.00 0.00 36.00 1347.8
6 19 92.00 70.00 0.00 36.00 1383.8 Gen 2, peak adults
6 20 94.00 74.00 0.00 39.00 1422.8
6 21 93.00 73.00 0.00 38.00 1460.8
6 22 91.00 70.00 0.00 35.50 1496.3
6 23 93.00 71.00 0.00 37.00 1533.3
6 24 94.00 74.00 0.00 39.00 1572.3
6 25 88.00 71.00 0.00 34.50 1606.8
6 26 86.00 68.00 0.00 32.00 1638.8
6 27 85.00 62.00 0.00 28.50 1667.3
6 28 84.00 60.00 0.00 27.00 1694.3
6 29 86.00 61.00 0.00 28.50 1722.8
6 30 88.00 64.00 0.00 31.00 1753.8
Forecast using: 1910 FZWA3 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat35.8456 Long-113.0550 DD50
western flower thrips model - OSU OIPMC model analysisLocation: 2017 FZWA3 FRAZIER WELLS AZ 1910 FZWA3 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES | Date | DDs | Event |
| 2-5-17 | 22 | OW Gen adults present |
| 4-12-17 | 347 | Gen 1, peak egg hatch |
| 5-18-17 | 675 | Gen 1, peak adults |
| 6-5-17 | 1032 | Gen 2, peak egg hatch |
| 6-19-17 | 1384 | Gen 2, peak adults |
![degree-day graph of western flower thrips [vegetables] OSU OIPMC model analysis](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2336361)
