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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: western bean cutworm [corn & beans]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Neb. IPM
Calculation method: simp avg/grow
Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 5 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: unknown
Region of known use: developed in Neb.
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 1320 DDs after biofix: 25% moth emergence; begin scouting in corn for eggs/small larvae
2. 1422 DDs after biofix: 50% moth emergence
3. 1536 DDs after biofix: 75% emergence of moths
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 MRSA1 SCAN MORRIS FARMS AL Lat32.4097 Long:-85.9097 Elev:220
mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
5 1 85.30 54.30 0.16 19.80 19.8 * START *
5 2 82.20 48.70 0.00 15.45 35.2
5 3 85.30 48.70 0.00 17.00 52.2
5 4 71.80 52.70 1.13 12.25 64.5
5 5 55.00 50.00 0.02 2.50 67.0
5 6 75.20 46.20 0.00 10.70 77.7
5 7 78.30 45.90 0.00 12.10 89.8
5 8 82.00 44.10 0.00 13.05 102.8
5 9 86.50 44.10 0.00 15.30 118.1
5 10 87.30 50.40 0.00 18.85 137.0
5 11 87.80 55.90 0.00 21.85 158.8
5 12 81.50 63.30 0.00 22.40 181.2 Pn
5 13 82.20 62.80 0.63 22.50 203.8
5 14 85.30 56.50 0.00 20.90 224.7
5 15 87.40 56.50 0.00 21.95 246.6
5 16 91.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 270.9
5 17 91.60 58.50 0.01 25.05 296.0
5 18 90.90 61.30 0.03 26.10 322.1
5 19 90.50 64.90 0.00 27.70 349.8
5 20 91.40 65.50 2.32 28.45 378.2
5 21 86.50 65.30 1.67 25.90 404.1
5 22 83.10 66.90 0.00 25.00 429.1
5 23 74.30 66.90 1.34 20.60 449.7
5 24 77.90 63.10 0.26 20.50 470.2
5 25 74.60 54.60 0.00 14.60 484.8 Px Pn
5 26 85.90 52.60 0.00 19.25 504.1 Px Pn
5 27 86.00 58.20 0.00 22.10 526.2 Px Pn
5 28 85.00 68.30 0.00 26.65 552.8 Px Pn
5 29 85.10 67.30 0.00 26.20 579.0
5 30 81.70 69.80 0.05 25.75 604.8
5 31 82.80 69.10 0.20 25.95 630.7
6 1 84.90 67.60 0.27 26.25 657.0
6 2 86.90 67.60 0.02 27.25 684.2
6 3 87.30 66.60 0.01 26.95 711.2
6 4 87.10 66.60 0.55 26.85 738.0
6 5 86.90 69.80 1.57 28.35 766.4
6 6 84.60 69.60 0.50 27.10 793.5
6 7 82.20 66.90 0.01 24.55 818.0
6 8 83.70 61.00 0.00 22.35 840.4
6 9 86.40 60.60 0.00 23.50 863.9
6 10 87.10 60.40 0.00 23.75 887.6
6 11 90.50 63.70 0.00 27.10 914.7
6 12 90.50 64.90 1.05 27.70 942.4
6 13 89.60 68.50 0.01 29.05 971.5
6 14 88.00 69.40 0.00 28.70 1000.2
6 15 89.20 68.00 0.86 28.60 1028.8
6 16 91.40 67.60 0.00 29.50 1058.3
6 17 86.00 67.60 0.00 26.80 1085.1
6 18 85.30 69.40 1.38 27.35 1112.4
6 19 88.30 68.90 0.00 28.60 1141.0
6 20 77.90 68.90 0.89 23.40 1164.4
6 21 78.10 71.10 0.84 24.60 1189.0
6 22 83.70 70.90 0.78 27.30 1216.3
6 23 90.30 73.60 0.03 31.95 1248.2
6 24 91.00 73.00 0.12 32.00 1280.2
6 25 90.00 67.10 0.00 28.55 1308.8
6 26 85.80 61.50 0.00 23.65 1332.5 25% moth emergence; begin scouting in corn for eggs/small larvae
6 27 86.20 61.30 0.00 23.75 1356.2
6 28 88.20 63.30 0.00 25.75 1382.0
6 29 88.90 63.70 0.11 26.30 1408.2
6 30 84.70 72.00 0.43 28.35 1436.6 50% moth emergence
Forecast using: 1910 MRSA1 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat32.4097 Long-85.9097 DD50
western bean cutworm model - Neb. IPMLocation: 2017 MRSA1 MORRIS FARMS AL 1910 MRSA1 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Date | DDs | Event |
6-26-17 | 1332 | 25% moth emergence; begin scouting in corn for eggs/small larvae |
6-30-17 | 1437 | 50% moth emergence |