spotted wing Drosoph overwint mortal [fruit] invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis

Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data

 ==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
 Model species/general links:       spotted wing Drosoph overwint mortal [fruit]
 Type:                              invasive insect
 Model source/other links:          OSU OIPMC model analysis
 Calculation method:                heating (power), chilling
 Lower threshold:                   53 degrees Fahrenheit
 Upper threshold:                   120 degrees Fahrenheit
 Directions for starting/BIOFIX:    calendar date
 Starting/BIOFIX date:              11 15
 Ending date:                       12 0
 Model validation status:           under development - use with caution
 Region of known use:               potential for use in US
 ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
 1.  100 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: Urban places: 15.8%, open fields: 39% mortality
 2.  300 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 53% (urban) to 82% (open)
 3.  500 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 74% (urban) to 95% (open)
 4.  750 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 87% (urban) to 98.9% (open)
 5. 1000 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 94% (urban) to 99.8% (open)
 6. 1250 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 97% (urban) to 99.95% (open)
 7. 1500 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 98.6% (urban) to 99.99% (open)
 8. 1750 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 99.3% (urban) to 99.998% or 2 out of 100,000 survive (open)
 9. 2000 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 99.7% (urban) to 99.9995% or 5 out of 1 million survive (open)
10. 2500 Chilling DDs after Nov 15: 99.92% (urban) to 99.99998% or 2 out of 10 million survive (open)

==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 KSAD METAR Safford Muni Apt AZ Lat:32.8569 Long:-109.6356 Elev:3176 
 mn day  max   min  precip  DD53    CUMDD53  event
 -- --- ----- ----- ------  ----    ------- -------
 11 15  79.00 39.20  0.00   0.00      0.0 * START *  
 11 16  78.80 44.10  0.01   0.00      0.0    
 11 17  70.00 42.80  0.00   0.00      0.0    
 11 18  69.80 30.90  0.01   2.65      2.7    
 11 19  69.80 46.00  0.00   0.00      2.7    
 11 20  70.00 50.00  0.01   0.00      2.7    
 11 21  72.00 50.00  0.08   0.00      2.7    
 11 22  64.90 39.00  0.01   1.05      3.7    
 11 23  69.80 41.00  0.03   0.00      3.7    
 11 24  70.00 35.10  0.00   0.45      4.2    
 11 25  69.80 42.10  0.00   0.00      4.2    
 11 26  64.90 46.00  0.10   0.00      4.2    
 11 27  66.20 44.10  0.06   0.00      4.2    
 11 28  52.00 39.00  0.01   7.50     11.7    
 11 29  54.00 28.90  0.14  11.55     23.2    
 11 30  55.90 24.10  0.02  13.00     36.2    
Forecast using: 1910 KSAD PRISM_rev1_4km 2006-2015 AVERAGES Lat32.8569 Long-109.6356 DD50