Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2015 KMMV METAR McMinnville Muni Apt OR Lat:45.1958 Long:-123.1319 Elev:157 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 43.00 26.10 0.00 0.30 0.3 * START * 1 2 41.00 24.10 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 3 41.00 34.00 0.06 0.00 0.3 1 4 53.10 34.00 0.05 4.42 4.7 1 5 55.90 42.80 0.01 8.35 13.1 1 6 48.90 39.90 0.00 3.57 16.6 1 7 46.00 36.00 0.00 1.59 18.2 1 8 45.00 32.00 0.00 0.97 19.2 1 9 48.90 32.00 0.00 2.42 21.6 1 10 45.00 32.00 0.10 0.97 22.6 1 11 46.90 42.10 0.12 3.50 26.1 1 12 48.90 43.00 0.09 4.95 31.0 1 13 53.10 35.10 0.00 4.59 35.6 1 14 51.10 35.10 0.00 3.68 39.3 1 15 44.60 32.00 0.74 0.84 40.2 1 16 52.00 39.00 0.18 4.84 45.0 1 17 60.10 39.00 1.74 8.81 53.8 1 18 60.10 46.90 0.12 12.50 66.3 1 19 51.10 39.00 0.03 4.40 70.7 1 20 51.10 36.00 0.00 3.82 74.5 1 21 48.90 30.90 0.00 2.34 76.9 1 22 51.10 39.90 0.00 4.65 81.5 1 23 48.90 43.00 0.09 4.95 86.5 1 24 62.10 43.00 0.00 11.55 98.0 1 25 48.00 43.00 0.00 4.50 102.5 1 26 46.90 42.80 0.00 3.85 106.4 1 27 48.90 42.10 0.02 4.50 110.9 1 28 54.00 42.10 0.01 7.05 117.9 1 29 57.90 41.00 0.00 8.45 126.4 1 30 57.90 33.10 0.00 6.46 132.8 1 31 53.10 28.90 0.00 3.85 136.7 2 1 46.90 37.90 0.39 2.20 138.9 2 2 57.90 37.00 0.30 7.21 146.1 2 3 52.00 39.90 0.32 5.09 151.2 2 4 53.10 46.00 0.16 8.55 159.7 2 5 59.00 46.00 1.01 11.50 171.2 2 6 57.00 52.00 0.91 13.50 184.7 2 7 57.90 50.00 0.58 12.95 197.7 2 8 55.00 46.90 0.27 9.95 207.6 2 9 54.00 50.00 1.12 11.00 218.6 2 10 54.00 46.00 0.01 9.00 227.6 2 11 52.00 37.90 0.00 4.58 232.2 2 12 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 236.7 2 13 50.00 39.00 0.00 3.87 240.6 2 14 61.00 41.00 0.00 10.00 250.6 2 15 64.00 36.00 0.00 9.91 260.5 2 16 63.00 46.00 0.00 13.50 274.0 2 17 66.00 37.90 0.00 11.39 285.4 2 18 59.00 35.10 0.00 7.33 292.7 2 19 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 304.7 2 20 59.00 36.00 0.00 7.51 312.2 2 21 60.10 42.10 0.00 10.10 322.3 2 22 57.00 37.00 0.00 6.78 329.1 2 23 60.10 32.00 0.00 7.29 336.4 2 24 59.00 28.00 0.00 6.25 342.6 2 25 53.10 36.00 0.00 4.73 347.4 2 26 54.00 46.90 0.05 9.45 356.8 2 27 55.00 46.00 1.02 9.50 366.3 2 28 57.00 36.00 0.00 6.56 372.9 3 1 57.00 30.00 0.02 5.62 378.5 3 2 55.90 36.00 0.03 6.04 384.5 3 3 57.90 28.90 0.00 5.88 390.4 3 4 59.00 27.00 0.00 6.13 396.6 3 5 61.00 30.90 0.00 7.53 404.1 3 6 64.90 33.10 0.00 9.72 413.8 3 7 71.10 33.10 0.00 12.66 426.5 3 8 66.90 33.10 0.00 10.66 437.1 3 9 68.00 35.10 0.00 11.63 448.7 3 10 61.00 35.10 0.08 8.27 457.0 3 11 59.00 48.90 0.08 12.95 470.0 3 12 68.00 46.90 0.00 16.45 486.4 3 13 63.00 46.00 0.28 13.50 499.9 3 14 57.90 52.00 1.64 13.95 513.9 3 15 60.10 42.10 0.50 10.10 524.0 3 16 64.00 37.90 0.00 10.41 534.4 3 17 59.00 37.90 0.01 7.96 542.3 3 18 63.00 42.10 0.00 11.55 553.9 3 19 66.00 37.40 0.00 11.25 565.1 3 20 62.10 42.10 0.20 11.10 576.2 3 21 60.10 44.10 0.04 11.10 587.3 3 22 57.00 44.10 0.10 9.55 596.9 3 23 54.00 42.10 0.58 7.05 603.9 3 24 57.00 43.00 0.20 9.00 612.9 3 25 63.00 48.90 0.16 14.95 627.9 3 26 72.00 39.00 0.00 14.71 642.6 3 27 66.00 39.00 0.01 11.73 654.3 3 28 61.00 45.00 0.01 12.00 666.3 3 29 66.90 39.90 0.00 12.49 678.8 3 30 68.00 39.00 0.09 12.72 691.6 3 31 55.00 42.10 0.04 7.55 699.1 4 1 52.00 37.00 0.17 4.40 703.5 4 2 57.90 36.00 0.00 6.99 710.5 4 3 51.10 34.00 0.14 3.54 714.0 4 4 55.00 33.10 0.00 5.15 719.2 4 5 55.00 30.90 0.07 4.86 724.0 4 6 55.90 36.00 0.05 6.04 730.1 4 7 61.00 42.10 0.10 10.55 740.6 4 8 57.90 44.10 0.51 10.00 750.6 4 9 64.90 36.00 0.00 10.35 761.0 4 10 59.00 37.00 0.06 7.74 768.7 4 11 55.90 39.00 0.13 6.75 775.5 4 12 59.00 36.00 0.00 7.51 783.0 4 13 53.10 39.00 0.20 5.37 788.4 4 14 54.00 36.00 0.09 5.15 793.5 4 15 60.10 33.10 0.00 7.47 801.0 4 16 73.00 35.10 0.00 14.05 815.0 4 17 73.90 39.00 0.00 15.65 830.7 4 18 77.00 37.90 0.00 16.82 847.5 4 19 79.00 39.00 0.00 18.19 865.7 peak pheromone trap catch 4 20 79.00 42.10 0.00 19.55 885.2 4 21 64.90 39.00 0.00 11.19 896.4 4 22 60.10 36.00 0.00 8.04 904.5 4 23 55.00 37.00 0.07 5.82 910.3 4 24 57.00 44.10 0.15 9.55 919.8 4 25 61.00 39.90 0.09 9.56 929.4 4 26 57.00 37.90 0.02 6.99 936.4 4 27 80.10 37.00 0.00 18.07 954.5 peak female adult emergence 4 28 64.00 42.10 0.04 12.05 966.5 4 29 64.90 35.60 0.00 10.25 976.8 4 30 72.00 37.00 0.00 14.08 990.8 5 1 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 1008.8 peak egg laying 5 2 72.00 39.00 0.00 14.71 1023.6 5 3 75.00 36.00 0.00 15.27 1038.8 5 4 64.00 41.00 0.02 11.50 1050.3 5 5 63.00 42.10 0.11 11.55 1061.9 5 6 64.00 42.10 0.08 12.05 1073.9 5 7 72.00 37.00 0.00 14.08 1088.0 5 8 80.10 37.90 0.00 18.36 1106.4 5 9 82.00 43.00 0.00 21.50 1127.9 5 10 72.00 46.90 0.00 18.45 1146.3 5 11 61.00 46.90 0.18 12.95 1159.3 5 12 55.00 48.90 0.24 10.95 1170.2 5 13 62.10 46.90 0.00 13.50 1183.7 5 14 69.10 42.10 0.00 14.60 1198.3 5 15 62.10 48.00 0.00 14.05 1212.4 5 16 63.00 51.10 0.02 16.05 1228.4 5 17 71.10 51.10 0.00 20.10 1248.5 5 18 75.00 48.00 0.13 20.50 1269.0 5 19 64.90 52.00 0.00 17.45 1286.5 peak egg hatch 5 20 72.00 52.00 0.00 21.00 1307.5 5 21 75.00 53.10 0.12 23.05 1330.5 5 22 63.00 53.10 0.07 17.05 1347.6 5 23 64.90 53.10 0.00 18.00 1365.6 5 24 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 1385.1 5 25 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 1404.7 5 26 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 1425.2 5 27 79.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 1448.7 5 28 84.90 51.10 0.00 27.00 1475.7 5 29 79.00 52.00 0.00 24.50 1500.2 5 30 79.00 48.90 0.00 22.95 1523.2 5 31 84.90 53.10 0.22 28.00 1551.2 6 1 63.00 53.10 0.28 17.05 1568.2 6 2 61.00 53.10 0.08 16.05 1584.3 6 3 66.00 51.10 0.09 17.55 1601.8 6 4 75.00 48.00 0.00 20.50 1622.3 6 5 86.00 48.90 0.00 26.45 1648.8 6 6 90.00 51.10 0.00 29.55 1678.3 6 7 93.00 54.00 0.00 32.50 1710.8 6 8 95.00 53.10 0.00 33.05 1743.9 6 9 91.00 52.00 0.00 30.50 1774.4 6 10 80.10 46.90 0.00 22.50 1796.9 6 11 82.90 48.00 0.00 24.45 1821.3 6 12 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 1841.3 6 13 78.10 43.00 0.00 19.55 1860.8 6 14 88.00 43.00 0.00 24.50 1885.3 6 15 82.00 50.00 0.00 25.00 1910.3 6 16 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 1932.8 6 17 82.00 46.00 0.00 23.00 1955.8 6 18 82.00 53.10 0.00 26.55 1982.4 6 19 78.10 54.00 0.00 25.05 2007.4 6 20 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 2032.9 6 21 82.90 54.00 0.00 27.45 2060.3 6 22 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 2082.8 peak in density large larvae 6 23 84.90 50.00 0.00 26.45 2109.3 6 24 86.00 55.90 0.00 29.95 2139.2 6 25 93.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 2172.2 6 26 99.00 60.10 0.00 38.55 2210.8 6 27 91.90 64.00 0.00 36.95 2247.7 6 28 82.00 63.00 0.00 31.50 2279.2 6 29 91.00 57.00 0.00 33.00 2312.2 6 30 95.00 57.90 0.00 35.45 2347.7 7 1 98.10 55.90 0.00 36.00 2383.7 7 2 100.00 57.90 0.00 37.95 2421.6 7 3 98.10 61.00 0.00 38.55 2460.2 7 4 95.00 55.90 0.00 34.45 2494.6 7 5 93.00 60.10 0.00 35.55 2530.2 7 6 90.00 55.00 0.00 31.50 2561.7 7 7 88.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 2591.2 7 8 91.90 55.90 0.00 32.90 2624.1 7 9 82.00 57.00 0.00 28.50 2652.6 7 10 78.10 60.10 0.00 28.10 2680.7 7 11 72.00 63.00 0.00 26.50 2707.2 7 12 82.90 59.00 0.00 29.95 2737.2 7 13 82.00 59.00 0.00 29.50 2766.7 7 14 86.00 53.10 0.00 28.55 2795.2 7 15 84.90 52.00 0.00 27.45 2822.7 7 16 82.00 53.10 0.00 26.55 2849.2 7 17 89.10 48.90 0.00 28.00 2877.2 7 18 98.10 54.00 0.00 35.05 2912.3 7 19 93.90 61.00 0.00 36.45 2948.7 7 20 88.00 55.90 0.00 30.95 2979.7 7 21 80.10 54.00 0.00 26.05 3005.7 7 22 73.90 50.00 0.00 20.95 3026.7 7 23 82.90 55.90 0.00 28.40 3055.1 7 24 84.00 50.00 0.00 26.00 3081.1 7 25 73.90 55.00 0.01 23.45 3104.5 7 26 73.00 54.00 0.00 22.50 3127.0 7 27 79.00 48.00 0.00 22.50 3149.5 7 28 89.10 48.00 0.00 27.55 3177.1 7 29 100.00 55.00 0.00 36.50 3213.6 7 30 106.00 55.90 0.00 39.95 3253.5 7 31 102.90 57.90 0.00 39.40 3292.9 8 1 102.90 51.10 0.00 36.00 3328.9 8 2 81.00 59.00 0.00 29.00 3357.9 8 3 82.90 60.10 0.00 30.50 3388.4 8 4 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 3416.0 8 5 82.90 48.90 0.00 24.90 3440.9 8 6 82.90 48.00 0.00 24.45 3465.3 8 7 87.10 52.00 0.00 28.55 3493.9 8 8 81.00 54.00 0.00 26.50 3520.4 8 9 84.90 55.00 0.00 28.95 3549.3 8 10 84.90 63.00 0.00 32.95 3582.3 8 11 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 3614.8 8 12 91.00 60.10 0.00 34.55 3649.3 8 13 86.00 55.00 0.00 29.50 3678.8 8 14 75.00 57.90 0.00 25.45 3704.3 8 15 80.10 60.10 0.00 29.10 3733.4 8 16 86.00 48.90 0.00 26.45 3759.8 8 17 91.90 51.10 0.00 30.50 3790.3 8 18 99.00 52.00 0.00 34.50 3824.8 8 19 97.00 57.00 0.00 36.00 3860.8 8 20 82.90 55.00 0.00 27.95 3888.8 8 21 80.10 48.90 0.00 23.50 3912.3 8 22 87.10 46.00 0.00 25.55 3937.8 8 23 86.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 3965.4 8 24 84.00 48.90 0.00 25.45 3990.8 8 25 86.00 46.00 0.00 25.00 4015.8 8 26 88.00 48.90 0.00 27.45 4043.3 8 27 88.00 52.00 0.00 29.00 4072.3 8 28 78.10 62.10 0.23 29.10 4101.4 8 29 73.00 64.40 0.35 27.70 4129.1 8 30 73.00 59.00 0.09 25.00 4154.1 8 31 73.00 57.90 0.00 24.45 4178.5 9 1 75.00 54.00 0.00 23.50 4202.0 9 2 73.00 52.00 0.00 21.50 4223.5 9 3 66.90 46.00 0.02 15.45 4239.0 9 4 68.00 43.00 0.24 14.50 4253.5 9 5 71.10 44.10 0.00 16.60 4270.1 9 6 71.10 43.00 0.02 16.05 4286.1 9 7 77.00 52.00 0.00 23.50 4309.6 9 8 84.00 48.00 0.00 25.00 4334.6 9 9 87.10 51.10 0.00 28.10 4362.7 9 10 90.00 51.10 0.00 29.55 4392.3 9 11 96.10 53.10 0.00 33.60 4425.9 9 12 89.10 57.90 0.00 32.50 4458.4 9 13 80.10 51.10 0.00 24.60 4483.0 9 14 62.10 46.00 0.01 13.05 4496.0 9 15 64.00 44.10 0.05 13.05 4509.1 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KMMV 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2015 KMMV McMinnville Muni Apt
QA 98% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 2-22-17: 78 QA 100% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-17-17: 243 QA 100% ok  - check weather data/Consider using a different Station!
DateDDsEvent
 4-19-15 866peak pheromone trap catch
 4-27-15 954peak female adult emergence
 5-1-15 1009peak egg laying
 5-19-15 1286peak egg hatch
 6-22-15 2083peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)