Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 KKLS METAR Kelso-Longview Airport WA Lat46.1167 Long:-122.9000 Elev:20 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 36.00 33.10 0.58 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 37.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 37.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 37.40 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 36.00 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 34.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 36.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 39.20 28.00 0.20 0.00 0.0 1 9 39.20 33.10 0.35 0.00 0.0 1 10 43.00 32.00 3.02 0.37 0.4 1 11 34.00 28.00 0.16 0.00 0.4 1 12 36.00 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.4 1 13 30.90 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.4 1 14 35.10 17.10 0.00 0.00 0.4 1 15 32.00 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.4 1 16 33.80 24.10 0.00 0.00 0.4 1 17 37.00 28.00 0.96 0.00 0.4 1 18 48.20 35.60 0.73 2.48 2.8 1 19 50.00 39.90 0.06 4.11 7.0 1 20 46.40 33.10 0.03 1.53 8.5 1 21 46.40 35.60 0.07 1.72 10.2 1 22 51.80 35.10 0.09 4.00 14.2 1 23 52.00 28.90 0.00 3.41 17.6 1 24 39.00 26.10 0.00 0.00 17.6 1 25 45.00 37.00 0.00 1.27 18.9 1 26 48.20 33.00 0.00 2.22 21.1 1 27 48.90 30.00 0.00 2.27 23.4 1 28 46.40 35.10 0.00 1.68 25.0 1 29 45.00 35.10 0.00 1.13 26.2 1 30 47.00 41.00 0.00 3.00 29.2 1 31 48.20 30.00 0.00 2.01 31.2 2 1 45.00 26.10 0.00 0.80 32.0 2 2 46.40 30.00 0.05 1.36 33.3 2 3 37.40 33.80 0.18 0.00 33.3 2 4 52.00 35.10 0.52 4.09 37.4 2 5 45.00 32.00 1.68 0.97 38.4 2 6 41.00 32.00 0.16 0.00 38.4 2 7 41.00 32.00 0.05 0.00 38.4 2 8 42.10 35.60 1.06 0.20 38.6 2 9 60.80 39.00 0.60 9.16 47.8 2 10 50.00 37.00 0.05 3.47 51.2 2 11 51.80 35.10 0.01 4.00 55.2 2 12 51.10 30.00 0.00 3.14 58.4 2 13 59.00 26.60 0.00 6.09 64.5 2 14 51.80 30.00 0.30 3.42 67.9 2 15 51.80 41.00 1.06 5.40 73.3 2 16 52.00 46.00 0.71 8.00 81.3 2 17 55.90 42.10 0.00 8.00 89.3 2 18 48.00 42.80 0.25 4.40 93.7 2 19 46.40 42.10 0.48 3.25 96.9 2 20 48.20 42.10 0.35 4.15 101.1 2 21 52.00 35.10 0.12 4.09 105.2 2 22 45.00 33.10 0.01 1.02 106.2 2 23 46.00 33.10 0.01 1.38 107.6 2 24 44.10 33.80 0.10 0.75 108.3 2 25 48.20 28.40 0.00 1.92 110.2 2 26 43.00 35.10 0.27 0.44 110.7 2 27 42.80 35.60 0.30 0.39 111.1 2 28 46.90 35.60 0.02 1.93 113.0 3 1 50.00 41.00 0.10 4.50 117.5 3 2 48.90 42.10 0.06 4.50 122.0 3 3 52.00 41.00 0.52 5.50 127.5 3 4 46.90 35.60 0.15 1.93 129.4 3 5 46.40 35.60 0.26 1.72 131.1 3 6 44.60 33.10 0.26 0.88 132.0 3 7 46.40 39.00 0.43 2.15 134.2 3 8 44.60 41.00 0.45 1.80 136.0 3 9 55.40 42.10 2.84 7.75 143.7 3 10 57.00 41.00 0.04 8.00 151.7 3 11 54.00 37.90 0.29 5.54 157.3 3 12 62.60 44.10 0.00 12.35 169.6 3 13 54.00 50.00 0.96 11.00 180.6 3 14 59.00 51.80 1.00 14.40 195.0 3 15 57.20 46.00 0.88 10.60 205.6 3 16 55.40 37.00 0.06 6.01 211.6 3 17 48.90 33.80 0.54 2.58 214.2 3 18 53.60 35.10 0.31 4.81 219.0 3 19 55.40 30.20 0.00 4.95 224.0 3 20 53.10 35.10 0.12 4.59 228.6 3 21 60.80 44.10 1.27 11.45 240.0 3 22 55.40 44.10 0.01 8.75 248.8 3 23 55.90 42.80 0.37 8.35 257.1 3 24 54.00 45.00 0.09 8.50 265.6 3 25 50.00 42.80 0.10 5.40 271.0 3 26 50.00 42.80 0.51 5.40 276.4 3 27 54.00 44.60 0.14 8.30 284.7 3 28 55.90 44.60 0.35 9.25 294.0 3 29 57.90 44.60 0.25 10.25 304.2 3 30 55.90 44.10 0.16 9.00 313.2 3 31 60.80 42.10 0.00 10.45 323.7 4 1 59.00 48.00 0.02 12.50 336.2 4 2 55.90 39.00 0.00 6.75 342.9 4 3 59.00 32.00 0.00 6.79 349.7 4 4 56.40 36.80 0.00 6.44 356.1 Hx Hn 4 5 55.40 46.00 0.36 9.70 365.8 4 6 60.80 44.60 0.54 11.70 377.5 4 7 57.20 45.00 0.30 10.10 387.6 4 8 52.00 42.10 0.11 6.05 393.7 4 9 57.20 41.00 0.17 8.10 401.8 4 10 55.90 42.10 0.04 8.00 409.8 4 11 61.00 33.80 0.39 8.02 417.8 4 12 64.40 46.00 0.56 14.20 432.0 4 13 52.00 44.10 0.07 7.05 439.1 4 14 53.60 41.00 0.47 6.30 445.4 4 15 61.00 39.20 0.00 9.32 454.7 4 16 66.90 37.40 0.00 11.69 466.4 4 17 59.00 48.00 0.12 12.50 478.9 4 18 62.60 46.00 0.20 13.30 492.2 4 19 57.20 46.00 0.42 10.60 502.8 4 20 55.90 44.10 0.38 9.00 511.8 4 21 71.60 39.00 0.00 14.51 526.3 4 22 60.80 46.00 0.23 12.40 538.7 4 23 54.00 44.60 0.45 8.30 547.0 4 24 53.10 44.60 0.74 7.85 554.8 4 25 53.60 44.60 0.11 8.10 562.9 4 26 57.90 44.10 0.12 10.00 572.9 4 27 57.00 41.00 0.11 8.00 580.9 4 28 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 589.9 4 29 63.00 37.40 0.36 9.78 599.7 4 30 57.90 41.00 0.59 8.45 608.2 5 1 53.60 37.40 0.01 5.24 613.4 5 2 61.00 48.20 0.11 13.60 627.0 5 3 82.40 57.00 0.01 28.70 655.7 5 4 78.80 55.00 0.11 25.90 681.6 5 5 57.90 46.40 0.33 11.15 692.7 5 6 59.00 37.40 0.01 7.83 700.6 5 7 64.90 37.40 0.00 10.71 711.3 5 8 71.60 39.20 0.00 14.58 725.9 5 9 73.90 41.00 0.00 16.45 742.3 5 10 72.00 44.60 0.06 17.30 759.6 5 11 57.90 51.10 1.92 13.50 773.1 5 12 57.20 45.00 0.05 10.10 783.2 5 13 54.00 46.00 0.27 9.00 792.2 5 14 60.80 43.00 0.05 10.90 803.1 5 15 55.90 41.00 0.68 7.45 810.6 5 16 53.10 46.00 0.25 8.55 819.1 5 17 57.20 48.00 0.03 11.60 830.7 5 18 71.60 41.00 0.00 15.30 846.0 5 19 73.90 51.10 0.00 21.50 867.5 peak pheromone trap catch 5 20 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 890.0 5 21 84.20 51.10 0.00 26.65 916.7 5 22 90.00 55.40 0.00 31.70 948.4 5 23 75.20 48.90 0.00 21.05 969.4 peak female adult emergence 5 24 63.00 46.00 0.00 13.50 982.9 5 25 73.90 44.60 0.00 18.25 1001.2 peak egg laying 5 26 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 1025.5 5 27 86.00 48.20 0.00 26.10 1051.6 5 28 73.90 53.10 0.00 22.50 1074.1 5 29 69.80 53.10 0.00 20.45 1094.5 5 30 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1109.8 5 31 73.90 50.00 0.04 20.95 1130.8 6 1 64.90 53.60 0.44 18.25 1149.0 6 2 75.00 53.60 0.00 23.30 1172.3 6 3 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 1191.2 6 4 64.90 46.90 0.00 14.90 1206.1 6 5 77.00 42.10 0.00 18.55 1224.7 6 6 84.20 48.00 0.00 25.10 1249.8 6 7 75.90 53.10 0.09 23.50 1273.3 peak egg hatch 6 8 61.00 51.10 0.14 15.05 1288.3 6 9 63.00 48.00 0.55 14.50 1302.8 6 10 63.00 46.40 0.01 13.70 1316.5 6 11 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1334.5 6 12 61.00 48.20 0.10 13.60 1348.1 6 13 64.40 50.00 0.03 16.20 1364.3 6 14 63.00 46.00 0.04 13.50 1377.8 6 15 61.00 53.10 0.50 16.05 1393.9 6 16 61.00 55.40 0.06 17.20 1411.1 6 17 69.80 53.10 0.04 20.45 1431.5 6 18 78.80 55.40 0.29 26.10 1457.6 6 19 68.00 60.80 0.00 23.40 1481.0 6 20 73.40 53.10 0.00 22.25 1503.3 6 21 71.60 44.60 0.00 17.10 1520.4 6 22 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 1544.7 6 23 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 1573.2 6 24 96.10 55.00 0.00 34.55 1607.8 6 25 93.90 57.00 0.00 34.45 1642.2 6 26 72.00 55.90 0.00 22.95 1665.2 6 27 75.00 55.40 0.00 24.20 1689.4 6 28 69.80 57.00 0.00 22.40 1711.8 6 29 81.00 55.40 0.00 27.20 1739.0 6 30 75.90 57.20 0.00 25.55 1764.5 7 1 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1787.9 7 2 78.80 53.10 0.00 24.95 1812.9 7 3 73.90 55.90 0.00 23.90 1836.8 7 4 82.90 51.80 0.00 26.35 1863.1 7 5 88.00 48.20 0.00 27.10 1890.2 7 6 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 1918.1 7 7 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1940.6 7 8 84.90 48.00 0.00 25.45 1966.1 7 9 79.00 55.40 0.00 26.20 1992.3 7 10 73.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 2015.3 7 11 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 2035.2 7 12 79.00 48.20 0.00 22.60 2057.8 7 13 75.00 55.90 0.65 24.45 2082.3 peak in density large larvae 7 14 82.90 48.20 0.00 24.55 2106.8 7 15 75.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 2129.3 7 16 73.90 46.40 0.00 19.15 2148.5 7 17 81.00 46.40 0.66 22.70 2171.2 7 18 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 2195.7 7 19 79.00 51.10 0.00 24.05 2219.7 7 20 71.60 54.00 0.02 21.80 2241.5 7 21 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 2265.8 7 22 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2297.3 7 23 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 2326.1 7 24 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 2355.8 7 25 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2386.4 7 26 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 2413.4 7 27 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 2438.5 7 28 75.90 48.20 0.00 21.05 2459.6 7 29 82.90 50.00 0.00 25.45 2485.0 7 30 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2513.8 7 31 89.60 53.10 0.00 30.35 2544.2 8 1 93.90 53.60 0.00 32.75 2576.9 8 2 98.60 60.80 0.00 38.70 2615.6 8 3 102.20 62.60 0.00 41.40 2657.0 8 4 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2688.5 8 5 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2720.0 8 6 84.90 57.20 0.00 30.05 2750.1 8 7 81.00 60.80 0.00 29.90 2780.0 8 8 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 2811.5 8 9 82.90 60.10 0.00 30.50 2842.0 8 10 81.00 60.10 0.00 29.55 2871.5 8 11 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2897.6 8 12 79.00 60.10 0.12 28.55 2926.2 8 13 73.40 55.00 0.07 23.20 2949.4 8 14 73.40 51.10 0.00 21.25 2970.6 8 15 81.00 48.20 0.00 23.60 2994.2 8 16 79.00 51.00 0.00 24.00 3018.2 8 17 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 3044.3 8 18 75.90 51.10 0.00 22.50 3066.8 8 19 75.90 55.40 0.00 24.65 3091.5 8 20 79.00 51.10 0.00 24.05 3115.5 8 21 88.00 55.00 0.00 30.50 3146.0 8 22 79.00 55.00 0.00 26.00 3172.0 8 23 81.00 59.00 0.00 29.00 3201.0 8 24 73.90 55.90 0.00 23.90 3224.9 8 25 81.00 48.00 0.00 23.50 3248.4 8 26 88.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 3277.0 8 27 96.80 55.40 0.00 35.10 3312.1 8 28 98.60 57.00 0.00 36.80 3348.9 8 29 78.80 60.10 0.00 28.45 3377.3 8 30 78.80 60.80 0.00 28.80 3406.1 8 31 80.60 60.10 0.00 29.35 3435.5 9 1 89.60 51.80 0.00 29.70 3465.2 9 2 96.80 57.00 0.00 35.90 3501.1 9 3 96.80 57.20 0.00 36.00 3537.1 9 4 95.00 57.20 0.00 35.10 3572.2 9 5 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 3607.3 9 6 81.00 59.00 0.00 29.00 3636.3 9 7 79.00 62.60 0.00 29.80 3666.1 9 8 72.00 60.10 0.00 25.05 3691.1 9 9 75.90 60.10 0.03 27.00 3718.1 9 10 78.10 55.00 0.00 25.55 3743.7 9 11 89.60 48.90 0.00 28.25 3771.9 9 12 79.00 53.10 0.00 25.05 3797.0 9 13 72.00 44.10 0.00 17.05 3814.0 9 14 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 3836.5 9 15 80.10 42.10 0.00 20.10 3856.6 QA 100% ok  
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for KKLS data
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KKLS 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 KKLS Kelso-Longview Airport WA
QA 100% ok  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 5-19-17 868peak pheromone trap catch
 5-23-17 969peak female adult emergence
 5-25-17 1001peak egg laying
 6-7-17 1273peak egg hatch
 7-13-17 2082peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)