Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 KBLI METAR Bellingham Int Apt WA Lat:48.7989 Long:-122.5406 Elev:148 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 37.90 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 37.90 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 37.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 37.00 30.00 0.04 0.00 0.0 1 5 37.00 33.10 0.08 0.00 0.0 1 6 46.00 28.90 0.00 1.18 1.2 1 7 41.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 1.2 1 8 46.90 30.00 0.00 1.54 2.7 1 9 46.00 26.10 0.00 1.09 3.8 1 10 44.10 28.00 0.00 0.59 4.4 1 11 46.90 24.10 0.10 1.31 5.7 1 12 55.00 37.00 0.23 5.82 11.5 1 13 55.00 42.10 0.01 7.55 19.1 1 14 48.00 30.90 0.00 1.99 21.1 1 15 42.10 26.10 0.14 0.12 21.2 1 16 53.10 39.00 0.21 5.37 26.6 1 17 53.10 42.10 0.20 6.60 33.2 1 18 52.00 44.10 0.04 7.05 40.2 1 19 48.90 41.00 0.02 3.95 44.2 1 20 48.90 41.00 0.28 3.95 48.1 1 21 60.10 42.10 0.10 10.10 58.2 1 22 59.00 41.00 0.44 9.00 67.2 1 23 45.00 39.00 0.07 1.51 68.7 1 24 48.00 36.00 0.07 2.44 71.2 1 25 48.00 33.10 0.00 2.15 73.3 1 26 54.00 43.00 0.31 7.50 80.8 1 27 61.00 45.00 0.07 12.00 92.8 1 28 59.00 44.10 0.16 10.55 103.4 1 29 46.90 42.10 0.41 3.50 106.9 1 30 45.00 36.00 0.19 1.19 108.1 1 31 43.00 39.90 0.12 0.74 108.8 2 1 43.00 37.00 0.15 0.51 109.3 2 2 45.00 35.10 0.00 1.13 110.4 2 3 46.90 37.90 0.13 2.20 112.6 2 4 48.90 44.10 0.08 5.50 118.1 2 5 60.10 41.00 0.22 9.55 127.7 2 6 48.90 33.10 0.00 2.51 130.2 2 7 48.00 32.00 0.01 2.07 132.3 2 8 59.00 36.00 0.00 7.51 139.8 2 9 61.00 32.00 0.00 7.70 147.5 2 10 57.00 39.00 0.10 7.29 154.8 2 11 54.00 36.00 0.43 5.15 159.9 2 12 55.90 46.00 0.93 9.95 169.9 2 13 50.00 44.10 0.04 6.05 175.9 2 14 53.10 45.00 0.74 8.05 184.0 2 15 53.10 46.00 1.31 8.55 192.5 2 16 54.00 45.00 0.03 8.50 201.0 2 17 53.10 45.00 0.87 8.05 209.1 2 18 52.00 46.00 0.09 8.00 217.1 2 19 51.10 46.00 0.08 7.55 224.6 2 20 48.90 37.00 0.04 2.97 227.6 2 21 48.00 33.10 0.04 2.15 229.7 2 22 50.00 32.00 0.04 2.86 232.6 2 23 55.00 30.00 0.00 4.76 237.4 2 24 59.00 37.90 0.00 7.96 245.3 2 25 60.10 36.00 0.00 8.04 253.4 2 26 57.00 35.10 0.12 6.39 259.8 2 27 53.10 46.00 0.04 8.55 268.3 2 28 54.00 45.00 0.07 8.50 276.8 2 29 52.00 42.10 0.01 6.05 282.9 3 1 57.90 43.00 0.56 9.45 292.3 3 2 57.00 45.00 0.09 10.00 302.3 3 3 55.90 48.00 0.04 10.95 313.3 3 4 57.90 44.10 0.15 10.00 323.3 3 5 64.00 46.90 0.07 14.45 337.7 3 6 59.00 44.10 0.09 10.55 348.3 3 7 48.00 42.10 0.43 4.05 352.3 3 8 51.10 39.90 0.00 4.65 357.0 3 9 57.00 42.10 0.51 8.55 365.5 3 10 57.90 46.00 0.05 10.95 376.5 3 11 53.10 39.00 0.24 5.37 381.8 3 12 52.00 45.00 0.05 7.50 389.3 3 13 50.00 43.00 0.19 5.50 394.8 3 14 48.00 42.10 0.05 4.05 398.9 3 15 50.00 41.00 0.10 4.50 403.4 3 16 48.90 36.00 0.03 2.83 406.2 3 17 55.90 34.00 0.00 5.69 411.9 3 18 60.10 36.00 0.00 8.04 419.9 3 19 61.00 37.90 0.00 8.94 428.9 3 20 55.90 46.90 0.08 10.40 439.3 3 21 57.90 46.90 0.25 11.40 450.7 3 22 55.90 46.00 0.01 9.95 460.6 3 23 51.80 46.00 0.20 7.90 468.5 3 24 50.00 45.00 0.03 6.50 475.0 3 25 54.00 37.90 0.00 5.54 480.6 3 26 57.90 37.90 0.44 7.43 488.0 3 27 50.00 43.00 0.21 5.50 493.5 3 28 55.90 37.90 0.04 6.46 499.9 3 29 63.00 36.00 0.00 9.43 509.4 3 30 64.00 37.00 0.00 10.16 519.5 3 31 68.00 39.90 0.00 13.04 532.6 4 1 60.10 46.90 0.00 12.50 545.1 4 2 55.90 46.90 0.01 10.40 555.5 4 3 68.00 41.00 0.84 13.50 569.0 4 4 57.00 46.00 0.04 10.50 579.5 4 5 54.00 46.00 0.12 9.00 588.5 4 6 64.90 50.00 0.00 16.45 604.9 4 7 71.10 48.90 0.00 19.00 623.9 4 8 64.90 44.10 0.00 13.50 637.4 4 9 61.00 43.00 0.00 11.00 648.4 4 10 59.00 44.10 0.00 10.55 659.0 4 11 57.00 48.90 0.00 11.95 670.9 4 12 55.90 44.10 1.39 9.00 679.9 4 13 55.90 44.10 0.05 9.00 688.9 4 14 50.00 44.10 0.01 6.05 695.0 4 15 55.90 43.00 0.00 8.45 703.4 4 16 64.00 39.90 0.00 11.05 714.5 4 17 70.00 41.00 0.00 14.50 729.0 4 18 82.90 43.00 0.00 21.95 750.9 4 19 73.90 46.90 0.00 19.40 770.3 4 20 78.10 46.00 0.00 21.05 791.4 4 21 66.00 54.00 0.02 19.00 810.4 4 22 63.00 50.00 0.01 15.50 825.9 4 23 61.00 51.10 0.64 15.05 840.9 4 24 55.00 46.90 0.15 9.95 850.9 peak pheromone trap catch 4 25 57.90 44.10 0.03 10.00 860.9 4 26 59.00 44.10 0.00 10.55 871.4 4 27 61.00 45.00 0.00 12.00 883.4 4 28 61.00 50.00 0.00 14.50 897.9 4 29 61.00 45.00 0.05 12.00 909.9 4 30 64.90 42.10 0.00 12.50 922.4 5 1 72.00 39.90 0.00 15.04 937.5 5 2 86.00 45.00 0.00 24.50 962.0 peak female adult emergence 5 3 69.10 55.90 0.00 21.50 983.5 5 4 61.00 50.00 0.10 14.50 998.0 5 5 67.00 44.00 0.00 14.50 1012.5 peak egg laying 5 6 75.00 42.00 0.00 17.50 1030.0 5 7 73.90 44.10 0.00 18.00 1048.0 5 8 62.10 46.90 0.02 13.50 1061.5 5 9 64.90 41.00 0.00 11.95 1073.4 5 10 71.10 39.90 0.00 14.59 1088.0 5 11 73.00 48.90 0.00 19.95 1108.0 5 12 71.10 44.10 0.00 16.60 1124.6 5 13 80.10 46.90 0.00 22.50 1147.1 5 14 63.00 50.00 0.00 15.50 1162.6 5 15 59.00 54.00 0.00 15.50 1178.1 5 16 62.10 54.00 0.00 17.05 1195.1 5 17 69.10 52.00 0.00 19.55 1214.7 5 18 62.10 50.00 0.19 15.05 1229.7 5 19 57.90 45.00 0.09 10.45 1240.2 5 20 64.90 46.00 0.01 14.45 1254.6 5 21 60.10 50.00 0.01 14.05 1268.7 5 22 64.90 54.00 0.00 18.45 1287.1 peak egg hatch 5 23 61.00 53.10 0.01 16.05 1303.2 5 24 64.90 54.00 0.00 18.45 1321.6 5 25 66.00 52.00 0.00 18.00 1339.6 5 26 59.00 52.00 0.08 14.50 1354.1 5 27 60.10 48.90 0.10 13.50 1367.6 5 28 59.00 48.90 0.45 12.95 1380.6 5 29 64.00 50.00 0.01 16.00 1396.6 5 30 70.00 43.00 0.00 15.50 1412.1 5 31 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 1432.0 6 1 70.00 57.00 0.08 22.50 1454.5 6 2 64.90 57.00 0.03 19.95 1474.5 6 3 77.00 55.90 0.00 25.45 1499.9 6 4 82.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 1526.9 6 5 84.90 55.90 0.00 29.40 1556.3 6 6 80.10 59.00 0.00 28.55 1584.9 6 7 73.00 53.10 0.00 22.05 1606.9 6 8 61.00 55.90 0.04 17.45 1624.4 6 9 64.00 53.10 0.00 17.55 1641.9 6 10 64.00 52.00 0.10 17.00 1658.9 6 11 60.10 48.00 0.00 13.05 1672.0 6 12 64.90 48.90 0.00 15.90 1687.9 6 13 61.00 50.00 0.05 14.50 1702.4 6 14 60.10 48.90 0.00 13.50 1715.9 6 15 64.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 1729.4 6 16 64.90 45.00 0.00 13.95 1743.3 6 17 71.10 42.10 0.02 15.60 1758.9 6 18 57.90 53.10 0.39 14.50 1773.4 6 19 69.10 50.00 0.00 18.55 1792.0 6 20 70.00 48.00 0.00 18.00 1810.0 6 21 64.00 55.90 0.00 18.95 1828.9 6 22 71.10 51.10 0.10 20.10 1849.0 6 23 63.00 54.00 0.11 17.50 1866.5 6 24 64.90 52.00 0.00 17.45 1884.0 6 25 70.00 53.10 0.00 20.55 1904.5 6 26 77.00 48.90 0.00 21.95 1926.5 6 27 77.00 55.00 0.00 25.00 1951.5 6 28 69.10 55.90 0.00 21.50 1973.0 6 29 66.90 57.00 0.00 20.95 1993.9 6 30 66.00 55.00 0.00 19.50 2013.4 7 1 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2035.0 7 2 70.00 57.00 0.00 22.50 2057.5 7 3 69.80 57.00 0.19 22.40 2079.9 peak in density large larvae 7 4 66.20 55.00 0.01 19.60 2099.5 7 5 63.00 51.80 0.19 16.40 2115.9 7 6 72.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 2134.9 7 7 66.20 55.00 0.13 19.60 2154.5 7 8 73.40 60.10 0.20 25.75 2180.3 7 9 70.00 57.00 1.42 22.50 2202.8 7 10 72.00 55.40 0.00 22.70 2225.5 7 11 69.80 57.00 0.04 22.40 2247.9 7 12 72.00 55.40 0.20 22.70 2270.6 7 13 72.00 55.40 0.00 22.70 2293.3 7 14 73.40 53.10 0.00 22.25 2315.5 7 15 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 2336.1 7 16 71.60 55.90 0.00 22.75 2358.8 7 17 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2383.1 7 18 72.00 55.00 0.00 22.50 2405.6 7 19 75.00 57.90 0.00 25.45 2431.1 7 20 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 2457.1 7 21 80.60 53.10 0.04 25.85 2482.9 7 22 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 2508.1 7 23 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 2531.5 7 24 78.10 51.80 0.00 23.95 2555.5 7 25 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 2584.3 7 26 70.00 59.00 0.00 23.50 2607.8 7 27 79.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 2634.8 7 28 80.10 59.00 0.00 28.55 2663.3 7 29 79.00 57.90 0.00 27.45 2690.8 7 30 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 2716.2 7 31 73.40 55.00 0.00 23.20 2739.4 8 1 72.00 51.10 0.00 20.55 2760.0 8 2 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 2781.6 8 3 73.00 54.00 0.02 22.50 2804.1 8 4 78.10 51.10 0.00 23.60 2827.7 8 5 72.00 53.10 0.00 21.55 2849.2 8 6 69.80 55.00 0.00 21.40 2870.6 8 7 68.00 53.10 0.00 19.55 2890.2 8 8 72.00 53.60 0.00 21.80 2912.0 8 9 64.90 59.00 0.00 20.95 2932.9 8 10 75.00 57.00 0.00 25.00 2957.9 8 11 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2982.2 8 12 82.90 57.00 0.00 28.95 3011.2 8 13 84.20 60.10 0.00 31.15 3042.3 8 14 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 3069.3 8 15 75.20 57.00 0.00 25.10 3094.4 8 16 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 3119.9 8 17 75.90 54.00 0.00 23.95 3143.8 8 18 88.00 53.60 0.00 29.80 3173.6 8 19 89.60 60.10 0.00 33.85 3207.5 8 20 81.00 55.40 0.00 27.20 3234.7 8 21 66.90 57.00 0.00 20.95 3255.6 8 22 71.60 52.00 0.00 20.80 3276.4 8 23 73.90 46.00 0.00 18.95 3295.4 8 24 82.90 51.10 0.00 26.00 3321.4 8 25 84.90 53.60 0.00 28.25 3349.6 8 26 87.80 53.60 0.00 29.70 3379.3 8 27 69.80 60.10 0.00 23.95 3403.3 8 28 64.90 57.20 0.04 20.05 3423.3 8 29 75.00 57.00 0.00 25.00 3448.3 8 30 66.90 57.00 0.00 20.95 3469.3 8 31 64.90 57.00 0.23 19.95 3489.2 9 1 66.90 55.40 0.01 20.15 3509.4 9 2 66.90 55.00 0.07 19.95 3529.3 9 3 66.90 48.90 0.00 16.90 3546.2 9 4 68.00 44.10 0.00 15.05 3561.3 9 5 60.80 53.60 0.03 16.20 3577.5 9 6 66.00 53.60 0.01 18.80 3596.3 9 7 64.00 55.40 0.14 18.70 3615.0 9 8 69.80 51.10 0.10 19.45 3634.4 9 9 72.00 44.10 0.00 17.05 3651.5 9 10 70.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 3673.0 9 11 69.80 46.90 0.00 17.35 3690.3 9 12 77.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 3710.8 9 13 71.60 41.00 0.00 15.30 3726.1 9 14 73.40 44.10 0.00 17.75 3743.9 9 15 69.80 50.00 0.00 18.90 3762.8 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KBLI 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2016 KBLI Bellingham Int Apt
DateDDsEvent
 4-24-16 851peak pheromone trap catch
 5-2-16 962peak female adult emergence
 5-5-16 1012peak egg laying
 5-22-16 1287peak egg hatch
 7-3-16 2080peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)