Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2023 HPROS HMMN Prosser Barricade Hanf WA Lat:46.3919 Long:-119.4119 Elev:479 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 34.50 28.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 34.40 30.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 39.10 28.50 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 38.00 25.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 45.70 30.20 0.00 1.14 1.1 1 6 43.60 23.80 0.00 0.41 1.5 1 7 39.10 29.20 0.00 0.00 1.5 1 8 39.80 32.00 0.00 0.00 1.5 1 9 41.90 28.80 0.00 0.10 1.6 1 10 43.20 26.40 0.00 0.34 2.0 1 11 40.80 32.10 0.00 0.00 2.0 1 12 42.20 36.70 0.00 0.24 2.2 1 13 44.60 34.40 0.00 0.94 3.2 1 14 46.00 34.20 0.00 1.45 4.6 1 15 47.20 31.70 0.00 1.74 6.4 1 16 51.50 27.10 0.00 3.07 9.4 1 17 34.70 22.60 0.00 0.00 9.4 1 18 35.40 31.70 0.00 0.00 9.4 1 19 50.20 24.70 0.00 2.44 11.9 1 20 41.50 18.70 0.00 0.03 11.9 1 21 36.80 17.00 0.00 0.00 11.9 1 22 39.90 22.30 0.00 0.00 11.9 1 23 42.40 19.90 0.00 0.15 12.1 1 24 43.30 18.00 0.00 0.30 12.4 1 25 43.20 23.20 0.00 0.31 12.7 1 26 37.10 22.70 0.00 0.00 12.7 1 27 58.90 32.70 0.00 6.85 19.5 1 28 45.00 26.20 0.00 0.80 20.3 1 29 32.80 9.50 0.00 0.00 20.3 1 30 32.90 4.10 0.00 0.00 20.3 1 31 28.80 21.50 0.00 0.00 20.3 2 1 35.90 18.60 0.00 0.00 20.3 2 2 41.80 15.80 0.00 0.06 20.4 2 3 39.80 18.00 0.00 0.00 20.4 2 4 53.00 36.20 0.00 4.72 25.1 2 5 48.10 33.40 0.00 2.22 27.3 2 6 54.40 32.20 0.00 4.76 32.1 2 7 51.30 40.10 0.00 4.81 36.9 2 8 53.60 29.30 0.00 4.09 41.0 2 9 49.30 25.40 0.00 2.16 43.1 2 10 46.40 26.50 0.00 1.23 44.4 2 11 51.60 19.70 0.00 2.69 47.1 2 12 52.30 21.60 0.00 3.03 50.1 2 13 54.80 35.00 0.00 5.35 55.4 2 14 50.90 28.70 0.00 2.95 58.4 2 15 48.30 22.20 0.00 1.69 60.1 2 16 48.30 19.20 0.00 1.59 61.7 2 17 55.50 32.70 0.00 5.31 67.0 2 18 58.90 33.00 0.00 6.90 73.9 2 19 57.30 35.60 0.00 6.62 80.5 2 20 59.60 46.70 0.00 12.15 92.7 2 21 52.50 38.60 0.00 4.98 97.6 2 22 38.50 22.50 0.00 0.00 97.6 2 23 23.90 16.70 0.00 0.00 97.6 2 24 30.90 9.20 0.00 0.00 97.6 2 25 37.00 9.70 0.00 0.00 97.6 2 26 52.60 15.80 0.00 2.86 100.5 2 27 38.20 23.20 0.00 0.00 100.5 2 28 47.90 27.90 0.00 1.79 102.3 3 1 49.90 24.40 0.00 2.32 104.6 3 2 55.70 36.10 0.00 5.97 110.6 3 3 51.40 32.10 0.00 3.46 114.0 3 4 48.60 22.70 0.00 1.80 115.8 3 5 52.70 23.70 0.00 3.30 119.1 3 6 51.10 29.50 0.00 3.09 122.2 3 7 52.60 24.30 0.00 3.30 125.5 3 8 46.70 24.30 0.00 1.25 126.8 3 9 49.60 23.60 0.00 2.18 129.0 3 10 53.10 32.60 0.00 4.24 133.2 3 11 55.80 30.10 0.00 5.11 138.3 3 12 49.70 23.20 0.00 2.19 140.5 3 13 63.50 34.60 0.00 9.36 149.9 3 14 50.40 27.30 0.00 2.67 152.5 3 15 56.70 25.50 0.00 5.02 157.6 3 16 56.90 24.40 0.00 5.00 162.6 3 17 58.20 22.90 0.00 5.39 168.0 3 18 62.00 28.80 0.00 7.67 175.6 3 19 57.90 28.70 0.00 5.85 181.5 3 20 51.90 43.90 0.00 6.90 188.4 3 21 59.90 38.30 0.00 8.51 196.9 3 22 63.60 30.10 0.00 8.59 205.5 3 23 60.10 40.20 0.00 9.22 214.7 3 24 54.60 34.80 0.00 5.22 219.9 3 25 54.40 28.30 0.00 4.33 224.2 3 26 57.30 30.00 0.00 5.75 230.0 3 27 57.90 20.40 0.00 5.07 235.1 3 28 55.00 37.30 0.00 5.88 241.0 3 29 54.00 41.00 0.00 6.50 247.5 3 30 62.30 30.80 0.00 8.10 255.6 3 31 56.50 33.10 0.00 5.82 261.4 4 1 57.70 37.00 0.00 7.11 268.5 4 2 55.50 34.20 0.00 5.54 274.0 4 3 53.10 32.20 0.00 4.19 278.2 4 4 56.50 27.40 0.00 5.12 283.3 4 5 58.10 23.80 0.00 5.43 288.8 4 6 63.50 31.30 0.00 8.74 297.5 4 7 64.70 46.00 0.00 14.35 311.9 4 8 62.30 39.20 0.00 9.96 321.8 4 9 69.00 44.60 0.00 15.80 337.6 4 10 58.00 48.30 0.00 12.15 349.8 4 11 58.90 34.30 0.00 7.13 356.9 4 12 57.70 26.90 0.00 5.57 362.5 4 13 59.40 28.70 0.00 6.51 369.0 4 14 62.80 34.20 0.00 8.94 377.9 4 15 65.40 29.30 0.00 9.28 387.2 4 16 64.80 40.10 0.00 11.52 398.7 4 17 60.40 36.40 0.00 8.27 407.0 4 18 58.90 38.20 0.00 7.99 415.0 4 19 61.20 34.10 0.00 8.17 423.2 4 20 54.20 28.60 0.00 4.28 427.4 4 21 58.20 35.30 0.00 6.99 434.4 4 22 69.50 41.60 0.00 14.55 449.0 4 23 74.10 46.00 0.00 19.05 468.0 4 24 68.30 45.50 0.00 15.90 483.9 4 25 72.60 32.30 0.00 13.21 497.1 4 26 80.10 35.80 0.00 17.71 514.8 4 27 79.00 45.40 0.00 21.20 536.0 4 28 84.50 36.30 0.00 20.03 556.1 4 29 89.30 45.10 0.00 26.20 582.3 4 30 87.30 46.70 0.00 26.00 608.3 5 1 75.50 49.90 0.00 21.70 630.0 5 2 74.00 46.40 0.00 19.20 649.2 5 3 91.00 45.60 0.00 27.30 676.5 5 4 83.20 54.60 0.00 27.90 704.4 5 5 60.00 51.90 0.00 14.95 719.3 5 6 72.50 50.50 0.00 20.50 739.8 5 7 68.80 48.30 0.00 17.55 757.4 5 8 75.80 38.90 0.00 16.56 773.9 5 9 74.10 46.80 0.00 19.45 793.4 5 10 79.30 38.50 0.00 18.16 811.5 5 11 83.10 40.50 0.00 20.82 832.4 5 12 87.70 40.70 0.00 23.21 855.6 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 13 91.60 47.70 0.00 28.65 884.2 5 14 92.40 62.50 0.00 36.45 920.7 5 15 91.50 61.80 0.00 35.65 956.3 Peak female adult emergence 5 16 84.10 62.10 0.00 32.10 988.4 5 17 87.50 52.30 0.00 28.90 1017.3 Peak egg laying 5 18 96.10 55.40 0.00 34.75 1052.1 5 19 98.50 57.60 0.00 37.05 1089.1 5 20 100.60 65.60 0.00 42.10 1131.2 5 21 87.00 55.90 0.00 30.45 1161.7 5 22 77.00 52.40 0.00 23.70 1185.4 5 23 77.40 45.20 0.00 20.30 1205.7 5 24 83.20 42.70 0.00 21.95 1227.6 5 25 81.40 53.50 0.00 26.45 1254.1 5 26 82.80 61.70 0.00 31.25 1285.3 Peak egg hatch 5 27 88.80 51.20 0.00 29.00 1314.3 5 28 88.90 53.40 0.00 30.15 1344.5 5 29 91.10 53.50 0.00 31.30 1375.8 5 30 87.60 49.40 0.00 27.50 1403.3 5 31 80.60 49.10 0.00 23.85 1427.1 6 1 82.30 40.70 0.00 20.51 1447.6 6 2 86.00 46.70 0.00 25.35 1473.0 6 3 90.90 50.30 0.00 29.60 1502.6 6 4 92.80 54.20 0.00 32.50 1535.1 6 5 94.70 55.30 0.00 34.00 1569.1 6 6 95.40 61.30 0.00 37.35 1606.4 6 7 100.60 53.60 0.00 36.10 1642.5 6 8 87.20 59.80 0.00 32.50 1675.0 6 9 77.30 57.40 0.00 26.35 1701.4 6 10 79.70 55.70 0.00 26.70 1728.1 6 11 90.00 52.90 0.00 30.45 1758.5 6 12 97.90 68.80 0.00 42.35 1800.9 6 13 96.20 61.50 0.00 37.85 1838.7 6 14 79.80 50.20 0.00 24.00 1862.7 6 15 85.20 52.70 0.00 27.95 1890.7 6 16 90.40 50.80 0.00 29.60 1920.3 6 17 84.60 59.70 0.00 31.15 1951.4 6 18 74.40 48.60 0.00 20.50 1971.9 6 19 73.70 40.40 0.00 16.08 1988.0 6 20 71.10 48.00 0.00 18.55 2006.6 6 21 81.40 41.40 0.00 20.40 2027.0 6 22 86.10 50.30 0.00 27.20 2054.2 6 23 92.20 51.20 0.00 30.70 2084.9 Peak in density large larvae 6 24 91.40 50.00 0.00 29.70 2114.6 6 25 93.00 58.60 0.00 34.80 2149.4 6 26 94.20 62.70 0.00 37.45 2186.8 6 27 91.10 65.20 0.00 37.15 2224.0 6 28 92.70 64.90 0.00 37.80 2261.8 6 29 98.90 62.90 0.00 39.90 2301.7 6 30 100.30 60.50 0.00 39.40 2341.1 7 1 96.50 59.10 0.00 36.80 2377.9 7 2 90.60 55.80 0.00 32.20 2410.1 7 3 92.10 57.10 0.00 33.60 2443.7 7 4 93.30 56.50 0.00 33.90 2477.6 7 5 97.00 54.90 0.00 34.95 2512.5 7 6 99.20 60.60 0.00 38.90 2551.4 7 7 100.90 62.30 0.00 40.60 2592.0 7 8 99.20 66.10 0.00 41.65 2633.7 7 9 102.20 69.70 0.00 44.95 2678.6 7 10 91.10 67.80 0.00 38.45 2717.1 7 11 90.60 57.60 0.00 33.10 2750.2 7 12 93.80 61.30 0.00 36.55 2786.7 7 13 94.30 62.70 0.00 37.50 2824.2 7 14 97.30 60.40 0.00 37.85 2862.1 7 15 102.50 61.10 0.00 40.80 2902.9 7 16 99.90 67.30 0.00 42.60 2945.5 Px Pn 7 17 88.40 70.80 0.00 38.60 2984.1 7 18 87.60 54.40 0.00 30.00 3014.1 7 19 98.80 54.50 0.00 35.65 3049.7 7 20 103.60 61.80 0.00 41.70 3091.4 7 21 101.30 66.40 0.00 42.85 3134.3 7 22 100.20 57.50 0.00 37.85 3172.1 7 23 99.00 61.40 0.00 39.20 3211.3 7 24 94.60 64.60 0.00 38.60 3249.9 7 25 88.60 63.20 0.00 34.90 3284.8 7 26 85.30 59.20 0.00 31.25 3316.1 Pn 7 27 91.60 55.40 0.00 32.50 3348.6 7 28 93.70 63.10 0.00 37.40 3386.0 Hx Hn 7 29 96.40 63.70 0.00 39.05 3425.0 Hx Hn 7 30 99.40 63.80 0.00 40.60 3465.6 Hx Hn 7 31 100.80 64.60 0.00 41.70 3507.3 Hx Hn 8 1 94.10 54.10 0.00 33.10 3540.4 8 2 98.60 59.90 0.00 38.25 3578.7 8 3 96.10 63.70 0.00 38.90 3617.6 8 4 84.40 63.20 0.00 32.80 3650.4 8 5 85.20 68.40 0.00 35.80 3686.2 8 6 87.30 66.50 0.00 35.90 3722.1 8 7 78.70 65.90 0.00 31.30 3753.4 8 8 91.90 57.50 0.00 33.70 3787.1 8 9 92.90 59.50 0.00 35.20 3822.3 8 10 90.60 53.60 0.00 31.10 3853.4 8 11 91.00 56.40 0.00 32.70 3886.1 8 12 94.80 54.80 0.00 33.80 3919.9 8 13 98.50 68.90 0.00 42.70 3962.6 8 14 104.60 61.60 0.00 42.10 4004.7 8 15 109.60 64.00 0.00 45.80 4050.5 8 16 106.40 67.80 0.00 46.10 4096.6 8 17 103.40 65.50 0.00 43.45 4140.0 8 18 97.50 69.70 0.00 42.60 4182.6 8 19 87.70 65.70 0.00 35.70 4218.3 8 20 85.90 61.70 0.00 32.80 4251.1 8 21 82.00 61.00 0.00 30.50 4281.6 8 22 77.30 62.00 0.00 28.65 4310.3 8 23 82.00 53.10 0.00 26.55 4336.8 8 24 87.40 48.90 0.00 27.15 4364.0 8 25 84.60 65.60 0.00 34.10 4398.1 8 26 92.00 57.10 0.00 33.55 4431.6 8 27 100.50 56.40 0.00 37.45 4469.1 8 28 105.00 61.40 0.00 42.20 4511.3 8 29 85.10 67.90 0.00 35.50 4546.8 8 30 85.10 63.30 0.00 33.20 4580.0 8 31 70.10 57.40 0.00 22.75 4602.7 9 1 80.90 57.30 0.00 28.10 4630.8 9 2 88.90 54.60 0.00 30.75 4661.6 9 3 87.50 67.40 0.00 36.45 4698.0 9 4 79.60 58.00 0.00 27.80 4725.8 9 5 80.70 50.60 0.00 24.65 4750.5 9 6 86.50 45.80 0.00 25.15 4775.6 9 7 83.90 50.40 0.00 26.15 4801.8 9 8 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 4828.8 9 9 91.30 48.00 0.00 28.65 4857.4 9 10 92.30 55.20 0.00 32.75 4890.2 9 11 85.40 54.40 0.00 28.90 4919.1 Vx Vn 9 12 86.70 54.80 0.00 29.75 4948.8 Vn 9 13 83.60 53.50 0.00 27.55 4976.4 9 14 87.00 47.80 0.00 26.40 5002.8 9 15 89.90 46.00 0.00 26.95 5029.7 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 HPROS PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2023 HPROS Prosser Barricade Hanf
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-12-23 856Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-15-23 956Peak female adult emergence
 5-17-23 1017Peak egg laying
 5-26-23 1285Peak egg hatch
 6-23-23 2085Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988