Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 FOGO Agrimet FOREST GROVE OR Lat45.5531 Long:-123.0833 Elev:180 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 36.10 31.60 0.47 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 33.80 29.30 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 34.80 27.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 35.50 22.80 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 37.40 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 35.10 13.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 29.40 18.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 33.80 28.80 0.85 0.00 0.0 1 9 37.70 32.80 0.55 0.00 0.0 1 10 38.30 31.60 0.28 0.00 0.0 1 11 34.20 28.40 0.32 0.00 0.0 1 12 40.50 13.20 0.09 0.00 0.0 1 13 27.60 7.10 0.01 0.00 0.0 1 14 35.50 5.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 15 34.20 8.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 16 35.10 17.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 17 34.70 24.40 0.93 0.00 0.0 1 18 51.90 36.20 1.64 4.21 4.2 1 19 49.30 41.60 0.05 4.45 8.7 1 20 44.00 38.90 0.23 1.05 9.7 1 21 46.80 39.20 0.50 2.38 12.1 1 22 50.70 37.60 0.13 3.91 16.0 1 23 51.50 31.80 0.00 3.47 19.5 1 24 40.80 27.60 0.00 0.00 19.5 1 25 44.90 34.30 0.02 1.05 20.5 1 26 47.50 34.10 0.02 2.03 22.5 1 27 49.70 29.90 0.00 2.57 25.1 1 28 46.40 30.50 0.00 1.39 26.5 1 29 42.50 30.10 0.00 0.22 26.7 1 30 48.10 38.70 0.00 2.90 29.6 1 31 49.40 33.00 0.00 2.71 32.3 2 1 39.00 31.60 0.00 0.00 32.3 2 2 40.20 32.30 0.00 0.00 32.3 2 3 35.50 31.60 0.44 0.00 32.3 2 4 53.00 36.10 0.55 4.71 37.0 2 5 44.10 32.70 1.66 0.71 37.8 2 6 43.70 33.90 0.55 0.62 38.4 2 7 39.50 34.70 0.03 0.00 38.4 2 8 40.40 37.30 1.19 0.00 38.4 2 9 60.30 40.20 1.52 9.32 47.7 2 10 50.00 35.80 0.32 3.29 51.0 2 11 52.30 31.30 0.02 3.75 54.7 2 12 54.30 31.10 0.00 4.58 59.3 2 13 58.50 29.70 0.00 6.24 65.6 2 14 51.30 30.10 0.15 3.23 68.8 2 15 56.30 42.80 1.44 8.55 77.3 2 16 54.40 44.00 1.34 8.20 85.5 2 17 57.50 43.60 0.00 9.55 95.1 2 18 52.10 42.10 0.09 6.10 101.2 2 19 48.50 39.90 0.78 3.37 104.5 2 20 51.60 41.90 0.78 5.75 110.3 2 21 50.70 35.80 0.28 3.61 113.9 2 22 49.20 29.90 0.10 2.38 116.3 2 23 44.10 28.00 0.02 0.59 116.9 2 24 41.20 31.60 0.07 0.01 116.9 2 25 48.90 28.40 0.00 2.17 119.1 2 26 43.70 35.50 0.21 0.68 119.7 2 27 45.40 33.80 0.06 1.20 120.9 2 28 50.70 31.50 0.00 3.11 124.0 3 1 51.60 39.90 0.05 4.89 128.9 3 2 49.60 40.00 0.04 3.94 132.9 3 3 50.30 39.50 0.34 4.14 137.0 3 4 45.10 32.80 0.26 1.04 138.1 3 5 44.10 34.00 0.26 0.75 138.8 3 6 45.10 32.50 0.43 1.03 139.8 3 7 48.60 39.10 0.61 3.22 143.1 3 8 45.80 41.40 0.18 2.60 145.7 3 9 55.50 43.20 0.64 8.35 154.0 3 10 61.10 44.90 0.01 12.00 166.0 3 11 56.20 40.50 0.50 7.39 173.4 3 12 62.90 44.20 0.00 12.55 186.0 3 13 55.00 44.20 0.36 8.60 194.6 *Warning: using yesterdays min* 3 14 58.20 44.20 0.67 10.20 204.8 *Warning: using yesterdays min* 3 15 56.10 44.60 0.96 9.35 214.1 3 16 55.50 35.00 0.00 5.67 219.8 3 17 46.00 34.50 0.51 1.47 221.2 3 18 53.50 36.60 0.36 5.03 226.3 3 19 56.60 32.00 0.00 5.71 232.0 3 20 55.00 36.00 0.14 5.62 237.6 3 21 60.10 44.60 0.36 11.35 249.0 3 22 54.80 40.60 0.04 6.73 255.7 3 23 55.20 39.90 0.34 6.68 262.4 3 24 55.30 45.00 0.31 9.15 271.5 3 25 55.20 37.40 0.03 6.00 277.5 3 26 50.70 43.30 0.44 6.00 283.5 3 27 56.60 42.10 0.06 8.35 291.9 3 28 59.00 45.50 0.08 11.25 303.1 3 29 61.50 45.40 0.31 12.45 315.6 3 30 56.10 39.50 0.01 6.99 322.6 3 31 59.10 33.20 0.00 7.03 329.6 4 1 62.10 46.50 0.01 13.30 342.9 4 2 55.50 34.60 0.00 5.60 348.5 4 3 57.10 34.70 0.00 6.36 354.8 4 4 55.50 36.70 0.00 5.99 360.8 Hx Hn 4 5 54.50 44.90 0.11 8.70 369.5 4 6 60.40 45.20 0.26 11.80 381.3 4 7 54.40 42.80 0.46 7.60 388.9 4 8 53.90 38.90 0.02 5.74 394.7 4 9 56.00 36.90 0.26 6.27 401.0 4 10 56.10 38.60 0.05 6.73 407.7 4 11 58.80 35.50 0.30 7.31 415.0 4 12 60.70 44.50 0.69 11.60 426.6 4 13 53.90 42.10 0.05 7.00 433.6 4 14 55.70 39.30 0.05 6.73 440.3 4 15 59.10 33.20 0.00 7.03 447.4 4 16 63.50 39.50 0.01 10.66 458.0 4 17 58.10 46.20 0.18 11.15 469.2 4 18 65.00 46.90 0.16 14.95 484.1 4 19 53.60 41.70 0.54 6.65 490.8 4 20 60.90 42.20 0.14 10.55 501.3 4 21 68.60 34.40 0.01 11.76 513.1 4 22 61.10 44.90 0.11 12.00 525.1 4 23 56.30 44.10 0.11 9.20 534.3 4 24 56.10 44.80 0.57 9.45 543.7 4 25 52.70 43.60 0.19 7.15 550.9 4 26 59.20 39.90 0.05 8.66 559.5 4 27 59.10 37.10 0.03 7.81 567.3 4 28 61.20 35.40 0.00 8.43 575.8 4 29 62.10 37.00 0.02 9.24 585.0 4 30 58.40 43.00 0.01 9.70 594.7 5 1 52.80 35.70 0.01 4.55 599.3 5 2 63.70 49.90 0.03 15.80 615.1 5 3 82.90 57.20 0.00 29.05 644.1 5 4 83.60 56.40 0.08 29.00 673.1 5 5 59.70 41.40 0.22 9.55 682.7 5 6 60.40 39.50 0.01 9.12 691.8 5 7 66.20 37.80 0.00 11.46 703.2 5 8 71.20 40.40 0.00 14.84 718.1 5 9 76.20 44.70 0.00 19.45 737.5 5 10 72.70 47.50 0.00 19.10 756.6 5 11 58.10 43.50 0.44 9.80 766.4 5 12 56.10 42.50 0.23 8.30 774.7 5 13 55.50 43.50 0.27 8.50 783.2 5 14 61.60 44.90 0.08 12.25 795.5 5 15 58.20 43.40 0.07 9.80 805.3 5 16 56.00 46.70 0.28 10.35 815.6 5 17 59.60 45.80 0.01 11.70 827.3 5 18 69.30 40.00 0.00 13.73 841.1 5 19 75.80 49.50 0.00 21.65 862.7 peak pheromone trap catch 5 20 72.50 48.50 0.00 19.50 882.2 5 21 82.60 51.60 0.00 26.10 908.3 5 22 91.10 58.80 0.00 33.95 942.3 5 23 83.90 51.30 0.00 26.60 968.9 peak female adult emergence 5 24 64.80 46.20 0.00 14.50 983.4 5 25 74.60 43.20 0.00 17.90 1001.3 peak egg laying 5 26 83.00 50.10 0.00 25.55 1026.8 5 27 88.40 52.00 0.00 29.20 1056.0 5 28 83.60 53.90 0.00 27.75 1083.8 5 29 73.90 53.20 0.00 22.55 1106.3 5 30 62.00 53.50 0.00 16.75 1123.1 5 31 74.00 53.30 0.00 22.65 1145.7 6 1 70.40 56.60 0.03 22.50 1168.2 6 2 74.00 53.80 0.00 22.90 1191.1 6 3 65.40 53.70 0.00 18.55 1209.7 6 4 68.20 50.20 0.00 18.20 1227.9 6 5 78.00 43.00 0.00 19.50 1247.4 6 6 84.60 52.90 0.00 27.75 1275.1 peak egg hatch 6 7 77.40 50.70 0.01 23.05 1298.2 6 8 63.70 52.50 0.17 17.10 1315.3 6 9 62.90 49.80 0.15 15.35 1330.6 6 10 60.20 49.40 0.66 13.80 1344.4 6 11 69.60 48.90 0.01 18.25 1362.7 6 12 61.00 48.90 0.00 13.95 1376.6 6 13 65.60 49.30 0.05 16.45 1393.1 6 14 64.90 46.00 0.00 14.45 1407.5 6 15 62.00 53.60 0.31 16.80 1424.3 6 16 65.60 56.40 0.00 20.00 1444.3 6 17 68.90 53.80 0.01 20.35 1464.7 6 18 79.10 58.60 0.00 27.85 1492.5 6 19 88.50 62.20 0.00 34.35 1526.9 6 20 76.70 52.50 0.00 23.60 1550.5 6 21 73.50 45.60 0.00 18.55 1569.0 6 22 82.10 54.40 0.00 27.25 1596.3 6 23 88.80 61.00 0.00 33.90 1630.2 6 24 93.60 60.40 0.00 36.00 1666.2 6 25 99.70 61.30 0.00 39.50 1705.7 6 26 78.50 56.80 0.00 26.65 1732.3 6 27 76.10 55.40 0.00 24.75 1757.1 6 28 74.60 49.80 0.00 21.20 1778.3 6 29 82.00 50.50 0.00 25.25 1803.5 6 30 87.40 56.60 0.00 31.00 1834.5 7 1 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 1860.6 7 2 83.40 50.90 0.00 26.15 1886.8 7 3 76.70 55.20 0.00 24.95 1911.7 7 4 84.60 50.70 0.00 26.65 1938.4 7 5 91.00 55.10 0.00 32.05 1970.4 7 6 89.60 52.40 0.00 30.00 2000.4 7 7 71.30 55.00 0.00 22.15 2022.6 7 8 86.10 49.00 0.00 26.55 2049.1 7 9 83.00 53.20 0.00 27.10 2076.2 peak in density large larvae 7 10 77.30 53.30 0.00 24.30 2100.5 7 11 79.60 48.30 0.00 22.95 2123.5 7 12 83.20 52.70 0.00 26.95 2150.4 7 13 76.20 57.60 0.00 25.90 2176.3 7 14 86.50 51.60 0.00 28.05 2204.4 7 15 80.40 55.50 0.00 26.95 2231.3 7 16 73.00 47.10 0.00 19.05 2250.4 7 17 80.00 50.80 0.00 24.40 2274.8 7 18 83.50 51.50 0.00 26.50 2301.3 7 19 81.20 49.20 0.00 24.20 2325.5 7 20 74.00 51.60 0.00 21.80 2347.3 7 21 83.90 51.00 0.00 26.45 2373.7 7 22 90.80 56.80 0.00 32.80 2406.5 7 23 81.90 60.80 0.00 30.35 2436.9 7 24 86.50 56.40 0.00 30.45 2467.3 7 25 88.90 56.60 0.00 31.75 2499.1 7 26 85.80 59.10 0.00 31.45 2530.5 7 27 78.40 55.50 0.00 25.95 2556.5 7 28 81.70 53.50 0.00 26.60 2583.1 7 29 85.60 50.20 0.00 26.90 2610.0 7 30 88.20 58.30 0.00 32.25 2642.2 7 31 90.50 58.60 0.00 33.55 2675.8 8 1 96.90 61.00 0.00 37.95 2713.7 8 2 102.40 64.10 0.00 42.25 2756.0 8 3 104.40 62.00 0.00 42.20 2798.2 8 4 95.30 57.30 0.00 35.30 2833.5 8 5 87.80 55.70 0.00 30.75 2864.2 8 6 88.80 56.70 0.00 31.75 2896.0 8 7 91.90 60.80 0.00 35.35 2931.3 8 8 94.40 56.90 0.00 34.65 2966.0 8 9 95.50 59.20 0.00 36.35 3002.3 8 10 92.70 58.30 0.00 34.50 3036.8 8 11 87.50 60.90 0.00 33.20 3070.0 8 12 80.60 55.90 0.00 27.25 3097.3 8 13 72.80 57.40 0.11 24.10 3121.4 8 14 74.40 46.20 0.00 19.30 3140.7 8 15 81.50 50.10 0.00 24.80 3165.5 8 16 83.00 57.00 0.00 29.00 3194.5 8 17 79.70 56.80 0.00 27.25 3221.7 8 18 80.00 52.90 0.00 25.45 3247.2 8 19 77.80 55.90 0.00 25.85 3273.0 8 20 80.70 52.50 0.00 25.60 3298.6 8 21 92.50 56.60 0.00 33.55 3332.2 8 22 88.50 55.70 0.00 31.10 3363.3 8 23 85.20 57.90 0.00 30.55 3393.8 8 24 73.10 58.50 0.00 24.80 3418.6 8 25 79.90 48.40 0.00 23.15 3441.8 8 26 91.30 54.10 0.00 31.70 3473.5 8 27 94.90 53.70 0.00 33.30 3506.8 8 28 97.40 54.80 0.00 35.10 3541.9 8 29 89.10 56.50 0.00 31.80 3573.7 8 30 81.30 56.50 0.00 27.90 3601.6 8 31 83.40 59.70 0.00 30.55 3632.1 9 1 93.50 56.40 0.00 33.95 3666.1 9 2 99.30 55.10 0.00 36.20 3702.3 9 3 95.90 57.50 0.00 35.70 3738.0 9 4 92.90 58.30 0.00 34.60 3772.6 9 5 90.60 61.00 0.00 34.80 3807.4 9 6 81.50 60.30 0.00 29.90 3837.3 9 7 85.30 64.20 0.00 33.75 3871.0 9 8 74.60 62.30 0.01 27.45 3898.5 9 9 79.50 59.90 0.07 28.70 3927.2 9 10 79.50 54.40 0.01 25.95 3953.1 9 11 93.40 49.90 0.00 30.65 3983.8 9 12 86.30 57.50 0.00 30.90 4014.7 9 13 75.70 49.60 0.00 21.65 4036.3 9 14 75.50 48.20 0.00 20.85 4057.2 9 15 80.00 43.20 0.00 20.60 4077.8 QA 100% ok  
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for FOGO data
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg FOGO 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 FOGO FOREST GROVE OR
QA 100% ok  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 5-19-17 863peak pheromone trap catch
 5-23-17 969peak female adult emergence
 5-25-17 1001peak egg laying
 6-6-17 1275peak egg hatch
 7-9-17 2076peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)