Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 33.80 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 30.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 26.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 30.20 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 35.60 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.27 0.3 1 10 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 11 32.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 12 30.20 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 13 28.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 14 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 15 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 16 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 17 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 3.7 1 18 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 10.9 1 19 46.40 39.00 0.00 2.15 13.1 1 20 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 15.6 1 21 48.20 39.00 0.00 3.00 18.6 1 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 19.5 1 23 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 20.9 1 24 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 20.9 1 25 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 20.9 1 26 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 22.4 1 27 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 24.7 1 28 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 25.7 1 29 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 27.9 1 30 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 29.1 1 31 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.26 29.3 2 1 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 29.3 2 2 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 29.7 2 3 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 4 30.20 28.00 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 5 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 6 28.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 7 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 8 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 9 45.00 30.20 0.00 0.91 30.6 2 10 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 32.5 2 11 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 33.5 2 12 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 35.0 2 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 37.9 2 14 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 40.7 2 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 47.0 2 16 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 56.9 2 17 53.60 39.20 0.00 5.67 62.6 2 18 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 63.7 2 19 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 65.9 2 20 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 68.6 2 21 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 70.2 2 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 71.1 2 23 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 72.0 2 24 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 73.4 2 25 41.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 73.4 2 26 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 74.3 2 27 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3 2 28 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3 3 1 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 76.5 3 2 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 78.4 3 3 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 80.1 3 4 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 80.4 3 5 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 6 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 7 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 8 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 81.2 3 9 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 81.2 3 10 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 84.8 3 11 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 87.8 3 12 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 95.0 3 13 48.20 44.60 0.00 5.40 100.4 3 14 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 110.3 3 15 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 117.5 3 16 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 121.5 3 17 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 123.9 3 18 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 126.4 3 19 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 129.5 3 20 55.40 35.60 0.00 5.73 135.2 3 21 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 141.5 3 22 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 149.6 3 23 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 156.8 3 24 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 164.0 3 25 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 170.3 3 26 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 173.0 3 27 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 179.3 3 28 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 182.9 3 29 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 189.2 3 30 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 195.5 3 31 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 200.4 4 1 53.60 44.60 0.00 8.10 208.5 4 2 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 213.9 4 3 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 219.3 4 4 56.60 39.10 0.00 7.12 226.4 Hx Hn 4 5 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 230.3 Hn 4 6 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 237.5 4 7 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 247.4 4 8 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 251.9 4 9 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 259.1 4 10 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 266.3 4 11 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 274.7 4 12 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 285.5 4 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 293.6 4 14 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 299.9 4 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 306.2 4 16 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 317.2 4 17 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 328.0 4 18 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 339.7 4 19 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 347.8 4 20 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 358.6 4 21 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 374.8 4 22 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 389.2 4 23 55.40 46.40 0.00 9.90 399.1 4 24 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 409.9 4 25 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 422.5
DD accumulation on 4-25-17: 422QA 100% ok    
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 26 days behind 2016 ok
 36 days behind 2015 ok
 1 day behind 30-yr normal ok
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for CYXX data
  4 26  53.50 45.50  0.58   8.50    431.0  0.584_0.77%_precip.    
  4 27  52.60 42.30  0.04   6.45    437.4  0.045_0.33%_precip.    
  4 28  58.00 40.30  0.01   8.21    445.6  0.005_1.81%_precip.    
  4 29  50.40 40.20  0.28   4.40    450.0  0.282_0.01%_precip.    
  4 30  57.00 46.60  0.18  10.80    460.8  0.184_2.36%_precip.    
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg CYXX 2006-2015
  5  1  59.50 41.80  0.08   9.65    470.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5  2  61.80 42.70  0.03  11.25    481.7  *hist_fcst*    
  5  3  59.80 43.20  0.22  10.50    492.2  *hist_fcst*    
  5  4  60.00 42.50  0.09  10.25    502.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5  5  61.70 42.30  0.24  11.00    513.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5  6  61.10 43.70  0.13  11.40    524.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5  7  60.00 44.50  0.14  11.25    536.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5  8  62.90 43.60  0.08  12.25    548.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5  9  62.70 42.30  0.08  11.50    559.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 10  63.50 42.60  0.00  12.05    571.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 11  63.10 44.20  0.09  12.65    584.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5 12  62.60 44.00  0.27  12.30    596.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 13  63.60 44.00  0.06  12.80    609.7  *hist_fcst*    
  5 14  63.00 45.30  0.18  13.15    622.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5 15  66.30 46.20  0.05  15.25    638.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 16  69.40 48.20  0.03  17.80    655.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 17  67.90 48.90  0.03  17.40    673.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 18  69.10 47.90  0.01  17.50    690.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5 19  66.90 47.80  0.24  16.35    707.1  *hist_fcst*    
  5 20  65.50 48.00  0.11  15.75    722.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 21  64.10 46.90  0.26  14.50    737.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 22  62.00 47.10  0.19  13.55    750.9  *hist_fcst*    
  5 23  62.20 47.10  0.10  13.65    764.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5 24  62.40 47.10  0.13  13.75    778.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 25  66.10 48.30  0.06  16.20    794.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 26  64.50 49.70  0.14  16.10    810.6  *hist_fcst*    
  5 27  63.90 49.80  0.14  15.85    826.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 28  63.00 49.00  0.16  15.00    841.5  *hist_fcst*    
  5 29  64.40 48.30  0.08  15.35    856.8  *hist_fcst*   peak pheromone trap catch
  5 30  65.10 47.90  0.02  15.50    872.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 31  67.20 48.00  0.11  16.60    888.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6  1  69.30 50.10  0.09  18.70    907.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6  2  67.30 51.10  0.15  18.20    925.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6  3  68.30 50.30  0.08  18.30    944.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6  4  68.60 50.00  0.11  18.30    962.4  *hist_fcst*   peak female adult emergence
  6  5  68.60 50.50  0.07  18.55    981.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6  6  67.90 50.20  0.10  18.05    999.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6  7  67.50 51.00  0.05  18.25   1017.3  *hist_fcst*   peak egg laying
  6  8  67.30 50.10  0.12  17.70   1035.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6  9  67.20 49.60  0.09  17.40   1052.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 10  66.70 50.00  0.16  17.35   1069.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 11  65.90 49.60  0.04  16.75   1086.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 12  67.10 49.70  0.04  17.40   1103.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 13  68.00 50.40  0.07  18.20   1122.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 14  66.30 50.70  0.10  17.50   1139.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6 15  65.40 49.70  0.03  16.55   1156.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 16  69.20 49.50  0.02  18.35   1174.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 17  67.10 51.30  0.11  18.20   1192.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 18  65.70 51.80  0.06  17.75   1210.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 19  66.30 51.10  0.03  17.70   1228.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 20  67.00 50.20  0.09  17.60   1245.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 21  67.70 50.70  0.09  18.20   1263.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 22  70.60 51.90  0.00  20.25   1284.2  *hist_fcst*   peak egg hatch
  6 23  68.60 51.10  0.10  18.85   1303.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 24  70.60 51.40  0.14  20.00   1323.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 25  70.10 52.60  0.15  20.35   1343.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 26  72.00 52.90  0.04  21.45   1364.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6 27  72.50 52.60  0.01  21.55   1386.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 28  73.20 54.20  0.04  22.70   1409.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 29  74.50 54.40  0.03  23.45   1432.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 30  74.50 54.70  0.07  23.60   1456.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7  1  75.70 53.70  0.05  23.70   1479.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7  2  76.20 53.20  0.01  23.70   1503.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7  3  76.20 53.80  0.06  24.00   1527.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7  4  73.10 53.80  0.06  22.45   1550.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7  5  74.00 53.40  0.00  22.70   1572.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7  6  75.40 53.90  0.01  23.65   1596.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7  7  73.10 53.70  0.02  22.40   1618.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7  8  74.80 53.90  0.04  23.35   1642.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7  9  77.50 54.10  0.04  24.80   1666.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 10  77.80 54.70  0.00  25.25   1692.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 11  75.00 54.00  0.00  23.50   1715.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 12  76.80 54.20  0.00  24.50   1740.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 13  73.80 55.20  0.08  23.50   1763.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 14  73.60 54.70  0.02  23.15   1786.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 15  76.00 54.20  0.02  24.10   1810.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 16  76.80 55.40  0.02  25.10   1836.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 17  78.50 55.00  0.02  25.75   1861.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 18  74.70 54.40  0.04  23.55   1885.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 19  74.30 54.90  0.03  23.60   1908.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 20  75.60 55.40  0.01  24.50   1933.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7 21  73.80 55.20  0.11  23.50   1956.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 22  76.60 55.60  0.07  25.10   1982.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7 23  73.60 55.40  0.04  23.50   2005.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 24  73.10 55.00  0.16  23.05   2028.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 25  75.50 54.40  0.21  23.95   2052.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 26  76.00 54.50  0.03  24.25   2076.7  *hist_fcst*   peak in density large larvae
  7 27  75.90 55.70  0.00  24.80   2101.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 28  76.30 54.90  0.00  24.60   2126.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 29  77.30 55.00  0.00  25.15   2151.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 30  77.10 55.60  0.02  25.35   2176.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 31  76.90 54.30  0.02  24.60   2201.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8  1  76.10 53.20  0.03  23.65   2224.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8  2  76.50 54.20  0.00  24.35   2249.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8  3  76.20 54.80  0.02  24.50   2273.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  4  77.30 54.90  0.00  25.10   2298.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  5  78.90 55.10  0.01  26.00   2324.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  6  77.00 55.00  0.00  25.00   2349.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  7  75.80 54.90  0.00  24.35   2374.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8  8  73.60 55.50  0.04  23.55   2397.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  9  72.60 55.30  0.01  22.95   2420.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8 10  73.60 54.90  0.15  23.25   2443.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 11  74.30 54.90  0.17  23.60   2467.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8 12  76.80 53.90  0.06  24.35   2491.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 13  76.40 55.10  0.04  24.75   2516.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 14  75.90 55.00  0.04  24.45   2541.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 15  76.20 56.10  0.02  25.15   2566.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 16  77.40 56.00  0.00  25.70   2591.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 17  78.00 55.50  0.00  25.75   2617.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8 18  78.10 55.40  0.00  25.75   2643.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 19  76.10 55.30  0.02  24.70   2668.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 20  75.20 55.50  0.08  24.35   2692.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8 21  74.00 54.20  0.07  23.10   2715.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 22  73.80 53.90  0.03  22.85   2738.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 23  74.10 53.70  0.06  22.90   2761.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 24  75.50 53.50  0.02  23.50   2784.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 25  74.70 51.80  0.10  22.25   2807.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 26  75.20 52.50  0.01  22.85   2829.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 27  75.30 53.30  0.06  23.30   2853.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 28  76.00 53.20  0.06  23.60   2876.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 29  74.10 54.80  0.15  23.45   2900.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 30  71.70 54.30  0.26  22.00   2922.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 31  70.80 52.70  0.06  20.75   2943.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  1  68.60 51.70  0.28  19.15   2962.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9  2  70.70 50.20  0.04  19.45   2981.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9  3  71.70 50.40  0.13  20.05   3001.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9  4  71.70 51.10  0.06  20.40   3022.1  *hist_fcst*    
  9  5  72.60 51.10  0.01  20.85   3042.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9  6  71.50 51.70  0.05  20.60   3063.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9  7  71.80 52.50  0.17  21.15   3084.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9  8  73.60 51.50  0.03  21.55   3106.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9  9  73.00 52.10  0.09  21.55   3127.8  *hist_fcst*    
  9 10  71.50 51.50  0.08  20.50   3148.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9 11  72.80 51.00  0.00  20.90   3169.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9 12  76.60 50.10  0.04  22.35   3191.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9 13  74.10 51.40  0.17  21.75   3213.3  *hist_fcst*    
  9 14  72.00 50.90  0.01  20.45   3233.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9 15  69.90 50.80  0.02  19.35   3253.1  *hist_fcst*    
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C.
QA 98% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-17-17: 2206 QA 100% ok  - show details QA 100% ok  - show detailsDD accumulation on 4-25-17: 422 QA 100% ok  - show details 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 26 days behind 2016 ok
 36 days behind 2015 ok
 1 day behind 30-yr normal ok
DateDDsEvent
 5-29-17 857peak pheromone trap catch
 6-4-17 962peak female adult emergence
 6-7-17 1017peak egg laying
 6-22-17 1284peak egg hatch
 7-26-17 2077peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)