Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 33.80 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 30.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 26.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 30.20 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 35.60 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.27 0.3 1 10 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 11 32.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 12 30.20 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 13 28.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 14 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 15 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 16 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 17 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 3.7 1 18 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 10.9 1 19 46.40 39.00 0.00 2.15 13.1 1 20 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 15.6 1 21 48.20 39.00 0.00 3.00 18.6 1 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 19.5 1 23 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 20.9 1 24 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 20.9 1 25 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 20.9 1 26 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 22.4 1 27 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 24.7 1 28 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 25.7 1 29 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 27.9 1 30 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 29.1 1 31 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.26 29.3 2 1 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 29.3 2 2 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 29.7 2 3 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 4 30.20 28.00 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 5 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 6 28.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 7 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 8 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 9 45.00 30.20 0.00 0.91 30.6 2 10 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 32.5 2 11 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 33.5 2 12 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 35.0 2 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 37.9 2 14 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 40.7 2 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 47.0 2 16 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 56.9 2 17 53.60 39.20 0.00 5.67 62.6 2 18 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 63.7 2 19 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 65.9 2 20 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 68.6 2 21 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 70.2 2 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 71.1 2 23 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 72.0 2 24 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 73.4 2 25 41.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 73.4 2 26 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 74.3 2 27 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3 2 28 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3 3 1 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 76.5 3 2 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 78.4 3 3 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 80.1 3 4 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 80.4 3 5 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 6 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 7 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 8 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 81.2 3 9 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 81.2 3 10 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 84.8 3 11 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 87.8 3 12 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 95.0 3 13 48.20 44.60 0.00 5.40 100.4 3 14 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 110.3 3 15 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 117.5 3 16 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 121.5 3 17 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 123.9 3 18 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 126.4 3 19 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 129.5 3 20 55.40 35.60 0.00 5.73 135.2 3 21 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 141.5 3 22 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 149.6 3 23 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 156.8 3 24 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 164.0 3 25 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 170.3 3 26 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 173.0 3 27 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 179.3 3 28 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 182.9 3 29 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 189.2 3 30 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 195.5 3 31 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 200.4 4 1 53.60 44.60 0.00 8.10 208.5 4 2 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 213.9 4 3 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 219.3 4 4 54.60 37.40 0.00 5.71 225.0 Hx Hn 4 5 50.00 39.30 0.00 3.94 229.0 Hn 4 6 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 236.2 4 7 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 246.1 4 8 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 250.6 4 9 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 257.8 4 10 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 265.0 4 11 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 273.3 4 12 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 284.1 4 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 292.2 4 14 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 298.5 4 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 304.8 4 16 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 315.8 4 17 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 326.6 4 18 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 338.3 4 19 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 346.4 4 20 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 357.2 4 21 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 373.4 4 22 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 387.8 4 23 55.40 46.40 0.00 9.90 397.7 4 24 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 408.5 4 25 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 421.1 4 26 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 432.8 4 27 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 441.8 4 28 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 452.6 4 29 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 458.0 4 30 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 467.9 5 1 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 475.1 5 2 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 485.9 5 3 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 499.4 5 4 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 522.8 5 5 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 535.4 5 6 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 544.4 5 7 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 554.3 5 8 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 566.9 5 9 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 580.4 5 10 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 597.5 5 11 57.20 50.00 0.00 12.60 610.1 5 12 55.40 44.50 0.00 8.95 619.1 Hn 5 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 627.2 5 14 60.80 44.60 0.00 11.70 638.9 5 15 50.00 44.60 0.00 6.30 645.2 5 16 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 652.4 5 17 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 663.2 5 18 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 679.4 5 19 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 696.5 5 20 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 715.4 5 21 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 737.9 5 22 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 763.1 5 23 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 785.6 5 24 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 799.1 5 25 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 815.3 5 26 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 838.7 5 27 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 863.9 peak pheromone trap catch 5 28 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 893.6 5 29 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 918.8 5 30 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 932.3 5 31 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 951.2 peak female adult emergence 6 1 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 970.1 6 2 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 989.9 6 3 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1006.1 peak egg laying 6 4 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1022.3 6 5 73.40 42.80 0.00 17.10 1039.4 6 6 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 1065.5 6 7 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 1092.5 6 8 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1108.7 6 9 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1124.9 6 10 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1140.2 6 11 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 1159.1 6 12 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 1178.0 6 13 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1194.2 6 14 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 1209.5 6 15 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 1223.0 6 16 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1241.0 6 17 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 1255.4 6 18 59.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 1269.8 6 19 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1290.5 peak egg hatch 6 20 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 1311.2 6 21 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1329.2 6 22 73.40 46.40 0.00 18.90 1348.1 6 23 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 1372.4 6 24 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 1403.9 6 25 87.80 64.40 0.00 35.10 1439.0 6 26 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1463.3 6 27 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1484.0 6 28 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1505.6 6 29 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 1530.8 6 30 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 1558.7 7 1 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 1580.3 7 2 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 1603.7 7 3 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1626.2 7 4 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1649.6 7 5 84.20 51.80 0.00 27.00 1676.6 7 6 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 1704.5 7 7 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1727.0 7 8 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 1751.3 7 9 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 1778.3 7 10 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1800.8 7 11 73.40 51.80 0.00 21.60 1822.4 7 12 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1844.9 7 13 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 1868.3 7 14 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1891.7 7 15 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1916.0 7 16 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1936.7 7 17 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 1958.3 7 18 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 1984.4 7 19 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2008.7 7 20 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 2033.9 7 21 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2055.5 7 22 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 2080.7 peak in density large larvae 7 23 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2107.7 7 24 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2133.8 7 25 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2162.6 7 26 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2187.8 7 27 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2209.4 7 28 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 2232.8 7 29 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 2258.0 7 30 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 2286.8 7 31 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2314.7 8 1 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2345.3 8 2 93.20 59.00 0.00 35.10 2380.4 8 3 87.80 59.00 0.00 32.40 2412.8 8 4 78.80 60.80 0.00 28.80 2441.6 8 5 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 2465.0 8 6 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2492.9 8 7 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2520.8 8 8 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 2550.5 8 9 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 2582.0 8 10 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2613.5 8 11 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 2641.4 8 12 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 2667.5 8 13 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2691.8 8 14 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 2714.3 8 15 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 2735.9 8 16 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 2758.4 8 17 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2785.4 8 18 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 2808.8 8 19 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 2832.2 8 20 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2856.5 8 21 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 2882.6 8 22 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2913.2 8 23 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2940.2 8 24 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 2963.6 8 25 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 2985.2 8 26 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3011.3 8 27 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 3041.0 8 28 89.60 59.00 0.00 33.30 3074.3 8 29 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 3107.6 8 30 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 3132.8 8 31 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 3159.8 9 1 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 3186.8 9 2 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 3218.3 9 3 91.40 57.20 0.00 33.30 3251.6 9 4 95.00 57.20 0.00 35.10 3286.7 9 5 86.00 64.40 0.00 34.20 3320.9 9 6 80.60 64.40 0.00 31.50 3352.4 9 7 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 3378.5 9 8 69.80 60.80 0.00 24.30 3402.8 9 9 62.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 3421.7 9 10 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 3442.4 9 11 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 3467.6 9 12 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 3491.9 9 13 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 3512.6 9 14 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 3537.8 9 15 77.00 42.80 0.00 18.90 3556.7 QA 100% ok  
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for CYXX data
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg CYXX 2006-2015
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C.
QA 100% ok  - show details
DateDDsEvent
 5-27-17 864peak pheromone trap catch
 5-31-17 951peak female adult emergence
 6-3-17 1006peak egg laying
 6-19-17 1290peak egg hatch
 7-22-17 2081peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)