Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 33.80 30.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 30.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 3 26.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 4 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 30.20 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 35.60 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 8 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 42.80 28.40 0.00 0.27 0.3 1 10 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 11 32.00 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 12 30.20 15.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 13 28.40 17.60 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 14 35.60 19.40 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 15 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 16 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 0.3 1 17 50.00 37.00 0.00 3.47 3.7 1 18 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 10.9 1 19 46.40 39.00 0.00 2.15 13.1 1 20 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 15.6 1 21 48.20 39.00 0.00 3.00 18.6 1 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 19.5 1 23 46.40 30.20 0.00 1.37 20.9 1 24 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 20.9 1 25 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 20.9 1 26 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 22.4 1 27 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 24.7 1 28 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 25.7 1 29 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 27.9 1 30 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 29.1 1 31 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.26 29.3 2 1 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 29.3 2 2 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 29.7 2 3 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 4 30.20 28.00 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 5 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 6 28.40 21.20 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 7 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 8 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 29.7 2 9 45.00 30.20 0.00 0.91 30.6 2 10 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 32.5 2 11 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 33.5 2 12 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 35.0 2 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 37.9 2 14 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 40.7 2 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 47.0 2 16 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 56.9 2 17 53.60 39.20 0.00 5.67 62.6 2 18 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 63.7 2 19 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 65.9 2 20 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 68.6 2 21 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 70.2 2 22 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 71.1 2 23 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 72.0 2 24 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 73.4 2 25 41.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 73.4 2 26 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 74.3 2 27 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3 2 28 39.20 26.60 0.00 0.00 74.3 3 1 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 76.5 3 2 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 78.4 3 3 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 80.1 3 4 42.80 30.20 0.00 0.29 80.4 3 5 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 6 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 7 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 80.4 3 8 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 81.2 3 9 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 81.2 3 10 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 84.8 3 11 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 87.8 3 12 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 95.0 3 13 48.20 44.60 0.00 5.40 100.4 3 14 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 110.3 3 15 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 117.5 3 16 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 121.5 3 17 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 123.9 3 18 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 126.4 3 19 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 129.5 3 20 55.40 35.60 0.00 5.73 135.2 3 21 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 141.5 3 22 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 149.6 3 23 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 156.8 3 24 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 164.0 3 25 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 170.3 3 26 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 173.0 3 27 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 179.3 3 28 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 182.9 3 29 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 189.2 3 30 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 195.5 3 31 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 200.4 4 1 53.60 44.60 0.00 8.10 208.5 4 2 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 213.9 4 3 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 219.3 4 4 56.60 39.10 0.00 7.12 226.4 Hx Hn 4 5 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 230.3 Hn 4 6 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 237.5 4 7 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 247.4 4 8 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 251.9 4 9 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 259.1 4 10 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 266.3 4 11 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 274.7 4 12 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 285.5 4 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 293.6 4 14 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 299.9 4 15 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 306.2 4 16 64.40 39.20 0.00 11.01 317.2 4 17 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 328.0 4 18 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 339.7 4 19 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 347.8 4 20 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 358.6 4 21 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 374.8 4 22 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 389.2 4 23 55.40 46.40 0.00 9.90 399.1 4 24 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 409.9 4 25 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 422.5 4 26 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 434.2 4 27 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 443.2 4 28 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 454.0 4 29 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 459.4 4 30 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 469.3 5 1 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 476.5 5 2 62.60 41.00 0.00 10.80 487.3 5 3 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 500.8 5 4 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 524.2 5 5 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 536.8 5 6 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 545.8 5 7 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 555.7 5 8 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 568.3 5 9 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 581.8 5 10 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 598.9 5 11 57.20 50.00 0.00 12.60 611.5 5 12 55.40 44.80 0.00 9.10 620.6 Hn 5 13 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 628.7 5 14 60.80 44.60 0.00 11.70 640.4 5 15 50.00 44.60 0.00 6.30 646.7 5 16 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 653.9 5 17 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 664.7 5 18 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 680.9 5 19 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 698.0 5 20 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 716.9 5 21 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 739.4 5 22 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 764.6 5 23 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 787.1
DD accumulation on 5-23-17: 787QA 100% ok    
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 29 days behind 2016 ok
 23 days behind 2015 ok
 same day 30-yr normal ok
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for CYXX data
  5 24  60.30 47.40  0.01  12.85    799.9  0.007_4.11%_precip.    
  5 25  72.50 48.50  0.00  19.50    819.4  0.00_10.55%_precip.    
  5 26  77.80 44.00  0.00  19.90    839.3  0.00_11.43%_precip.    
  5 27  80.40 45.80  0.00  22.10    861.4  0.00_13.35%_precip.   peak pheromone trap catch
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg CYXX 2006-2015
  5 28  63.00 49.00  0.16  15.00    876.4  *hist_fcst*    
  5 29  64.40 48.30  0.08  15.35    891.8  *hist_fcst*    
  5 30  65.10 47.90  0.02  15.50    907.3  *hist_fcst*    
  5 31  67.20 48.00  0.11  16.60    923.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6  1  69.30 50.10  0.09  18.70    942.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6  2  67.30 51.10  0.15  18.20    960.8  *hist_fcst*   peak female adult emergence
  6  3  68.30 50.30  0.08  18.30    979.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6  4  68.60 50.00  0.11  18.30    997.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6  5  68.60 50.50  0.07  18.55   1015.9  *hist_fcst*   peak egg laying
  6  6  67.90 50.20  0.10  18.05   1034.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6  7  67.50 51.00  0.05  18.25   1052.2  *hist_fcst*    
  6  8  67.30 50.10  0.12  17.70   1069.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6  9  67.20 49.60  0.09  17.40   1087.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 10  66.70 50.00  0.16  17.35   1104.7  *hist_fcst*    
  6 11  65.90 49.60  0.04  16.75   1121.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 12  67.10 49.70  0.04  17.40   1138.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6 13  68.00 50.40  0.07  18.20   1157.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 14  66.30 50.70  0.10  17.50   1174.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 15  65.40 49.70  0.03  16.55   1191.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 16  69.20 49.50  0.02  18.35   1209.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 17  67.10 51.30  0.11  18.20   1227.6  *hist_fcst*    
  6 18  65.70 51.80  0.06  17.75   1245.4  *hist_fcst*    
  6 19  66.30 51.10  0.03  17.70   1263.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 20  67.00 50.20  0.09  17.60   1280.7  *hist_fcst*   peak egg hatch
  6 21  67.70 50.70  0.09  18.20   1298.9  *hist_fcst*    
  6 22  70.60 51.90  0.00  20.25   1319.1  *hist_fcst*    
  6 23  68.60 51.10  0.10  18.85   1338.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 24  70.60 51.40  0.14  20.00   1358.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 25  70.10 52.60  0.15  20.35   1378.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 26  72.00 52.90  0.04  21.45   1399.8  *hist_fcst*    
  6 27  72.50 52.60  0.01  21.55   1421.3  *hist_fcst*    
  6 28  73.20 54.20  0.04  22.70   1444.0  *hist_fcst*    
  6 29  74.50 54.40  0.03  23.45   1467.5  *hist_fcst*    
  6 30  74.50 54.70  0.07  23.60   1491.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7  1  75.70 53.70  0.05  23.70   1514.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7  2  76.20 53.20  0.01  23.70   1538.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7  3  76.20 53.80  0.06  24.00   1562.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7  4  73.10 53.80  0.06  22.45   1584.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7  5  74.00 53.40  0.00  22.70   1607.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7  6  75.40 53.90  0.01  23.65   1631.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7  7  73.10 53.70  0.02  22.40   1653.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7  8  74.80 53.90  0.04  23.35   1677.0  *hist_fcst*    
  7  9  77.50 54.10  0.04  24.80   1701.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 10  77.80 54.70  0.00  25.25   1727.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 11  75.00 54.00  0.00  23.50   1750.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 12  76.80 54.20  0.00  24.50   1775.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 13  73.80 55.20  0.08  23.50   1798.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 14  73.60 54.70  0.02  23.15   1821.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 15  76.00 54.20  0.02  24.10   1845.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 16  76.80 55.40  0.02  25.10   1870.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 17  78.50 55.00  0.02  25.75   1896.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 18  74.70 54.40  0.04  23.55   1920.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 19  74.30 54.90  0.03  23.60   1943.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 20  75.60 55.40  0.01  24.50   1968.3  *hist_fcst*    
  7 21  73.80 55.20  0.11  23.50   1991.8  *hist_fcst*    
  7 22  76.60 55.60  0.07  25.10   2016.9  *hist_fcst*    
  7 23  73.60 55.40  0.04  23.50   2040.4  *hist_fcst*    
  7 24  73.10 55.00  0.16  23.05   2063.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 25  75.50 54.40  0.21  23.95   2087.4  *hist_fcst*   peak in density large larvae
  7 26  76.00 54.50  0.03  24.25   2111.7  *hist_fcst*    
  7 27  75.90 55.70  0.00  24.80   2136.5  *hist_fcst*    
  7 28  76.30 54.90  0.00  24.60   2161.1  *hist_fcst*    
  7 29  77.30 55.00  0.00  25.15   2186.2  *hist_fcst*    
  7 30  77.10 55.60  0.02  25.35   2211.6  *hist_fcst*    
  7 31  76.90 54.30  0.02  24.60   2236.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8  1  76.10 53.20  0.03  23.65   2259.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  2  76.50 54.20  0.00  24.35   2284.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8  3  76.20 54.80  0.02  24.50   2308.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  4  77.30 54.90  0.00  25.10   2333.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  5  78.90 55.10  0.01  26.00   2359.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  6  77.00 55.00  0.00  25.00   2384.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8  7  75.80 54.90  0.00  24.35   2409.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8  8  73.60 55.50  0.04  23.55   2432.7  *hist_fcst*    
  8  9  72.60 55.30  0.01  22.95   2455.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 10  73.60 54.90  0.15  23.25   2478.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 11  74.30 54.90  0.17  23.60   2502.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8 12  76.80 53.90  0.06  24.35   2526.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 13  76.40 55.10  0.04  24.75   2551.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 14  75.90 55.00  0.04  24.45   2576.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 15  76.20 56.10  0.02  25.15   2601.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 16  77.40 56.00  0.00  25.70   2626.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 17  78.00 55.50  0.00  25.75   2652.6  *hist_fcst*    
  8 18  78.10 55.40  0.00  25.75   2678.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 19  76.10 55.30  0.02  24.70   2703.1  *hist_fcst*    
  8 20  75.20 55.50  0.08  24.35   2727.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 21  74.00 54.20  0.07  23.10   2750.5  *hist_fcst*    
  8 22  73.80 53.90  0.03  22.85   2773.4  *hist_fcst*    
  8 23  74.10 53.70  0.06  22.90   2796.3  *hist_fcst*    
  8 24  75.50 53.50  0.02  23.50   2819.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 25  74.70 51.80  0.10  22.25   2842.0  *hist_fcst*    
  8 26  75.20 52.50  0.01  22.85   2864.9  *hist_fcst*    
  8 27  75.30 53.30  0.06  23.30   2888.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 28  76.00 53.20  0.06  23.60   2911.8  *hist_fcst*    
  8 29  74.10 54.80  0.15  23.45   2935.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 30  71.70 54.30  0.26  22.00   2957.2  *hist_fcst*    
  8 31  70.80 52.70  0.06  20.75   2978.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  1  68.60 51.70  0.28  19.15   2997.1  *hist_fcst*    
  9  2  70.70 50.20  0.04  19.45   3016.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9  3  71.70 50.40  0.13  20.05   3036.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9  4  71.70 51.10  0.06  20.40   3057.0  *hist_fcst*    
  9  5  72.60 51.10  0.01  20.85   3077.9  *hist_fcst*    
  9  6  71.50 51.70  0.05  20.60   3098.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9  7  71.80 52.50  0.17  21.15   3119.6  *hist_fcst*    
  9  8  73.60 51.50  0.03  21.55   3141.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9  9  73.00 52.10  0.09  21.55   3162.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9 10  71.50 51.50  0.08  20.50   3183.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9 11  72.80 51.00  0.00  20.90   3204.1  *hist_fcst*    
  9 12  76.60 50.10  0.04  22.35   3226.5  *hist_fcst*    
  9 13  74.10 51.40  0.17  21.75   3248.2  *hist_fcst*    
  9 14  72.00 50.90  0.01  20.45   3268.7  *hist_fcst*    
  9 15  69.90 50.80  0.02  19.35   3288.0  *hist_fcst*    
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2017 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C.
DD accumulation on 5-23-17: 787 QA 100% ok  - show details 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 29 days behind 2016 ok
 23 days behind 2015 ok
 same day 30-yr normal ok
DateDDsEvent
 5-27-17 861peak pheromone trap catch
 6-2-17 961peak female adult emergence
 6-5-17 1016peak egg laying
 6-20-17 1281peak egg hatch
 7-25-17 2087peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)