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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2021 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 48.60 38.30 0.91 3.05 3.1 * START *
1 2 48.90 43.20 1.13 5.05 8.1
1 3 46.00 36.50 0.10 1.64 9.7
1 4 43.70 39.90 0.84 1.06 10.8
1 5 43.20 34.90 0.52 0.49 11.3
1 6 46.90 37.40 0.65 2.13 13.4
1 7 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 14.3
1 8 44.20 36.10 0.06 0.89 15.2
1 9 44.10 33.80 0.00 0.75 16.0
1 10 44.80 36.50 0.08 1.15 17.1
1 11 47.10 40.10 0.62 2.74 19.9
1 12 47.30 43.00 1.42 4.15 24.0
1 13 51.10 33.10 0.69 3.44 27.5
1 14 47.50 34.50 0.00 2.07 29.5
1 15 50.50 34.30 0.15 3.32 32.8
1 16 44.80 35.80 0.03 1.10 33.9
1 17 45.70 40.50 0.25 2.17 36.1
1 18 47.50 37.80 0.01 2.46 38.6
1 19 44.10 34.50 0.00 0.77 39.3
1 20 45.90 37.20 0.00 1.67 41.0
1 21 48.40 40.10 0.00 3.38 44.4
1 22 43.20 35.40 0.00 0.51 44.9
1 23 38.80 27.90 0.00 0.00 44.9
1 24 37.20 29.80 0.00 0.00 44.9
1 25 37.80 31.30 0.22 0.00 44.9
1 26 41.50 30.40 0.00 0.05 44.9
1 27 39.60 36.90 0.00 0.00 44.9
1 28 41.20 36.50 0.00 0.02 45.0
1 29 43.20 35.60 0.00 0.52 45.5
1 30 40.60 35.20 0.23 0.00 45.5
1 31 43.20 39.70 1.12 0.80 46.3
2 1 42.40 36.50 0.88 0.30 46.6
2 2 42.10 34.30 0.61 0.18 46.8
2 3 46.90 31.30 0.00 1.61 48.4
2 4 41.20 38.30 0.64 0.02 48.4
2 5 45.90 40.50 0.21 2.27 50.7
2 6 48.20 40.30 0.34 3.34 54.0
2 7 42.60 31.30 0.46 0.26 54.3
2 8 34.50 28.00 0.03 0.00 54.3
2 9 29.30 20.70 0.00 0.00 54.3
2 10 23.90 21.00 0.00 0.00 54.3
2 11 21.60 14.70 0.00 0.00 54.3
2 12 27.10 16.00 0.00 0.00 54.3
2 13 34.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 54.3
2 14 37.00 27.90 0.00 0.00 54.3
2 15 37.00 31.30 0.04 0.00 54.3
2 16 39.40 31.30 0.30 0.00 54.3
2 17 47.10 32.90 0.00 1.78 56.0
2 18 39.20 31.60 0.29 0.00 56.0
2 19 46.20 31.30 0.21 1.36 57.4
2 20 45.70 35.40 0.22 1.42 58.8
2 21 52.70 36.50 0.64 4.64 63.4
2 22 51.60 43.70 0.34 6.65 70.1
2 23 43.70 37.60 0.12 0.80 70.9
2 24 43.50 30.90 0.02 0.48 71.4
2 25 45.00 31.30 0.62 0.95 72.3
2 26 46.80 36.00 0.07 1.92 74.3
2 27 44.80 31.30 0.06 0.88 75.1
2 28 43.70 34.70 0.05 0.65 75.8
3 1 49.10 36.00 0.00 2.92 78.7
3 2 46.60 38.70 0.03 2.19 80.9
3 3 47.00 38.10 0.00 2.28 83.2
3 4 47.00 38.00 0.00 2.26 85.4 Mx Mn
3 5 48.70 38.00 0.04 3.04 88.5 Mn
3 6 51.30 38.10 0.00 4.29 92.8
3 7 48.40 35.20 0.00 2.52 95.3
3 8 52.90 31.30 0.00 4.01 99.3
3 9 52.50 36.50 0.00 4.54 103.8
3 10 48.90 32.90 0.00 2.50 106.3
3 11 53.10 32.90 0.01 4.28 110.6
3 12 55.20 32.90 0.00 5.21 115.8
3 13 59.20 38.80 0.00 8.31 124.1
3 14 48.00 38.80 0.18 2.87 127.0
3 15 47.80 33.80 0.00 2.13 129.1
3 16 51.30 28.60 0.00 3.10 132.2
3 17 57.20 36.90 0.00 6.85 139.1
3 18 54.30 43.70 0.23 8.00 147.1
3 19 53.40 38.70 0.02 5.44 152.5
3 20 48.20 42.10 0.15 4.15 156.7
3 21 43.00 39.20 0.51 0.66 157.3
3 22 49.10 36.50 0.25 2.99 160.3
3 23 51.30 37.00 0.01 4.08 164.4
3 24 46.60 39.00 0.65 2.25 166.6
3 25 55.00 40.60 0.00 6.83 173.5
3 26 48.90 41.00 0.00 3.95 177.4
3 27 49.50 44.20 0.11 5.85 183.3
3 28 46.90 34.50 1.47 1.83 185.1
3 29 49.30 29.10 0.01 2.37 187.5
3 30 49.30 30.70 0.00 2.48 189.9
3 31 58.10 31.60 0.00 6.32 196.3
4 1 54.30 38.30 0.00 5.78 202.0
4 2 48.70 41.50 0.00 4.10 206.1
4 3 51.10 42.30 0.29 5.70 211.8
4 4 52.20 35.60 0.01 4.25 216.1
4 5 55.40 34.00 0.00 5.46 221.6
4 6 57.20 31.50 0.00 5.90 227.5
4 7 46.00 40.80 0.46 2.42 229.9
4 8 50.00 38.30 0.08 3.71 233.6
4 9 44.20 38.30 0.05 1.07 234.7
4 10 47.30 37.60 0.00 2.34 237.0
4 11 53.60 30.40 0.00 4.21 241.2
4 12 59.20 39.90 0.00 8.66 249.9
4 13 64.90 43.30 0.00 13.10 263.0
4 14 73.20 47.30 0.00 19.25 282.2
4 15 76.10 52.00 0.00 23.05 305.3
4 16 75.00 52.70 0.00 22.85 328.1
4 17 76.60 53.80 0.00 24.20 352.3
4 18 74.10 50.90 0.00 21.50 373.8
4 19 71.40 50.20 0.00 19.80 393.6
4 20 70.90 48.00 0.00 18.45 412.1
4 21 68.20 48.70 0.00 17.45 429.5
4 22 65.80 43.00 0.00 13.40 442.9
4 23 60.60 43.70 0.12 11.15 454.1
4 24 52.30 47.10 0.63 8.70 462.8
4 25 55.00 45.30 0.19 9.15 471.9
4 26 58.10 47.30 0.17 11.70 483.6
4 27 58.80 45.50 0.00 11.15 494.8
4 28 58.60 49.30 0.02 12.95 507.7
4 29 69.10 49.10 0.00 18.10 525.8
4 30 64.00 51.10 0.39 16.55 542.4
5 1 59.40 50.70 0.00 14.05 556.4
5 2 62.60 44.80 0.00 12.70 569.1
5 3 58.30 47.10 0.01 11.70 580.8
5 4 63.10 47.10 0.10 14.10 594.9
5 5 71.40 45.30 0.00 17.35 612.3
5 6 64.20 48.20 0.08 15.20 627.5
5 7 54.30 41.90 0.01 7.10 634.6
5 8 56.50 45.30 0.02 9.90 644.5
5 9 62.20 37.60 0.00 9.44 653.9
5 10 64.20 43.90 0.00 13.05 667.0
5 11 70.50 45.50 0.00 17.00 684.0
5 12 63.10 49.60 0.02 15.35 699.3
5 13 73.40 52.20 0.00 21.80 721.1
5 14 74.70 51.30 0.00 22.00 743.1
5 15 74.70 48.90 0.00 20.80 763.9
5 16 76.30 47.80 0.00 21.05 785.0
5 17 61.30 52.00 0.34 15.65 800.6
5 18 57.90 47.10 0.08 11.50 812.1
5 19 58.80 41.00 0.02 8.90 821.0
5 20 64.60 40.10 0.00 11.42 832.4
5 21 68.40 48.70 0.00 17.55 850.0
5 22 70.30 47.10 0.00 17.70 867.7 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 23 59.20 50.90 0.02 14.05 881.7
5 24 57.40 51.40 0.11 13.40 895.1
5 25 66.20 52.50 0.07 18.35 913.5
5 26 60.10 51.60 0.00 14.85 928.3
5 27 61.20 51.30 0.21 15.25 943.6
5 28 59.40 47.10 0.17 12.25 955.8 Peak female adult emergence
5 29 73.00 46.40 0.00 18.70 974.5
5 30 69.80 53.40 0.00 20.60 995.1
5 31 77.40 52.00 0.00 23.70 1018.8 Peak egg laying
6 1 85.80 58.30 0.00 31.05 1049.9
6 2 84.90 64.60 0.00 33.75 1083.6
6 3 77.50 56.70 0.00 26.10 1109.7
6 4 65.50 51.80 0.00 17.65 1127.4
6 5 63.10 53.10 0.25 17.10 1144.5
6 6 55.40 47.50 0.01 10.45 1154.9
6 7 62.10 44.40 0.17 12.25 1167.2
6 8 65.10 43.50 0.07 13.30 1180.5
6 9 65.30 49.10 0.02 16.20 1196.7
6 10 64.80 42.60 0.00 12.70 1209.4
6 11 64.20 53.60 0.01 17.90 1227.3
6 12 71.40 52.30 0.04 20.85 1248.1
6 13 67.10 56.80 0.26 20.95 1269.1
6 14 66.60 57.90 0.04 21.25 1290.3 Peak egg hatch
6 15 67.80 57.00 0.36 21.40 1311.7
6 16 73.60 55.00 0.03 23.30 1335.0
6 17 77.40 50.50 0.00 22.95 1358.0
6 18 74.70 51.10 0.00 21.90 1379.9
6 19 70.30 50.90 0.00 19.60 1399.5
6 20 87.30 57.20 0.00 31.25 1430.7
6 21 89.20 63.10 0.00 35.15 1465.9
6 22 82.80 57.40 0.00 29.10 1495.0
6 23 77.40 55.20 0.00 25.30 1520.3
6 24 82.90 56.70 0.00 28.80 1549.1
6 25 93.60 63.10 0.00 37.35 1586.4
6 26 101.80 71.10 0.00 45.45 1631.9
6 27 104.50 75.40 0.00 48.95 1680.8
6 28 104.70 79.30 0.00 51.00 1731.8
6 29 95.00 74.70 0.00 43.85 1775.7
6 30 80.10 65.10 0.00 31.60 1807.3
7 1 74.80 63.70 0.00 28.25 1835.5
7 2 81.10 66.20 0.00 32.65 1868.2
7 3 82.80 60.30 0.00 30.55 1898.7
7 4 82.60 59.50 0.00 30.05 1928.8
7 5 79.50 59.70 0.00 28.60 1957.4
7 6 84.20 55.80 0.00 29.00 1986.4
7 7 70.70 58.10 0.00 23.40 2009.8
7 8 74.10 60.40 0.00 26.25 2036.0
7 9 83.10 56.30 0.00 28.70 2064.7
7 10 82.00 58.30 0.00 29.15 2093.9 Peak in density large larvae
7 11 82.20 54.10 0.00 27.15 2121.0
7 12 83.50 56.80 0.00 29.15 2150.2
7 13 82.60 57.70 0.00 29.15 2179.3
7 14 79.00 54.50 0.00 25.75 2205.1
7 15 73.80 54.30 0.00 23.05 2228.1
7 16 69.60 52.70 0.00 20.15 2248.3
7 17 74.30 60.30 0.00 26.30 2274.6
7 18 79.90 54.30 0.00 26.10 2300.7
7 19 83.10 53.60 0.00 27.35 2328.0
7 20 75.70 57.70 0.00 25.70 2353.7
7 21 72.00 50.00 0.00 20.00 2373.7
7 22 76.50 50.20 0.00 22.35 2396.1
7 23 79.20 54.50 0.00 25.85 2421.9
7 24 84.60 54.50 0.00 28.55 2450.5
7 25 84.20 55.00 0.00 28.60 2479.1
7 26 84.20 54.50 0.00 28.35 2507.4
7 27 85.30 54.50 0.00 28.90 2536.3
7 28 87.30 55.80 0.00 30.55 2566.9
7 29 90.30 55.00 0.00 31.65 2598.5
7 30 94.60 60.40 0.00 36.50 2635.0
7 31 78.30 65.80 0.00 31.05 2666.1
8 1 75.20 66.00 0.08 29.60 2695.7
8 2 87.60 61.00 0.00 33.30 2729.0
8 3 87.30 59.00 0.00 32.15 2761.1
8 4 89.60 57.00 0.00 32.30 2793.4
8 5 87.80 56.50 0.00 31.15 2824.6
8 6 77.70 65.80 0.01 30.75 2855.3
8 7 68.20 56.30 0.34 21.25 2876.6
8 8 65.80 55.90 0.05 19.85 2896.4
8 9 71.80 60.10 0.00 24.95 2921.4
8 10 82.90 60.80 0.00 30.85 2952.2
8 11 89.40 60.60 0.00 34.00 2986.2
8 12 99.50 70.20 0.00 43.85 3030.1
8 13 87.10 65.80 0.00 35.45 3065.5
8 14 87.30 59.20 0.00 32.25 3097.8
8 15 85.10 59.90 0.00 31.50 3129.3
8 16 70.90 63.50 0.06 26.20 3155.5
8 17 69.80 56.70 0.17 22.25 3177.7
8 18 75.00 54.70 0.00 23.85 3201.6
8 19 75.90 54.70 0.00 24.30 3225.9
8 20 67.80 61.70 0.00 23.75 3249.6
8 21 68.70 59.20 0.00 22.95 3272.6
8 22 66.20 56.30 0.06 20.25 3292.8
8 23 69.80 54.70 0.00 21.25 3314.1
8 24 80.40 56.30 0.00 27.35 3341.4
8 25 80.10 59.40 0.00 28.75 3370.2
8 26 68.40 54.90 0.57 20.65 3390.8
8 27 66.70 55.00 0.02 19.85 3410.7
8 28 75.70 49.80 0.00 21.75 3432.4
8 29 79.70 52.20 0.00 24.95 3457.4
8 30 61.30 55.40 0.00 17.35 3474.7
8 31 62.20 51.40 0.08 15.80 3490.5
9 1 73.90 42.80 0.00 17.35 3507.9
9 2 80.20 52.90 0.00 25.55 3533.4
9 3 73.60 57.60 0.00 24.60 3558.0
9 4 70.20 51.30 0.26 19.75 3577.8
9 5 69.30 58.10 0.05 22.70 3600.5
9 6 74.50 58.30 0.00 25.40 3625.9
9 7 81.10 58.30 0.00 28.70 3654.6
9 8 73.40 59.90 0.04 25.65 3680.2
9 9 81.30 60.60 0.00 29.95 3710.2
9 10 70.70 53.40 0.00 21.05 3731.2
9 11 67.30 59.70 0.02 22.50 3753.7
9 12 63.00 56.30 0.42 18.65 3772.4
9 13 69.30 53.20 0.00 20.25 3792.6
9 14 59.20 51.10 0.26 14.15 3806.8
9 15 62.10 50.50 0.19 15.30 3822.1
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2021 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-22-21 | 868 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-28-21 | 956 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-31-21 | 1019 | Peak egg laying |
| 6-14-21 | 1290 | Peak egg hatch |
| 7-10-21 | 2094 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?25375)
