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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2015 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 37.00 27.10 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 34.50 29.50 0.14 0.00 0.0
1 3 35.20 31.30 0.03 0.00 0.0
1 4 32.90 27.10 0.52 0.00 0.0
1 5 34.50 32.90 2.21 0.00 0.0
1 6 42.30 32.90 0.07 0.21 0.2
1 7 46.00 39.20 0.00 2.00 2.2
1 8 52.20 40.10 0.00 5.25 7.5
1 9 46.40 41.20 0.00 2.80 10.3
1 10 41.50 36.50 0.05 0.07 10.3
1 11 45.30 40.50 0.01 1.97 12.3
1 12 46.90 39.90 0.00 2.59 14.9
1 13 47.10 35.20 0.00 1.97 16.9
1 14 47.10 39.90 0.00 2.69 19.5
1 15 43.50 35.80 0.14 0.63 20.2
1 16 49.80 36.00 0.47 3.23 23.4
1 17 45.30 32.90 0.19 1.12 24.5
1 18 53.20 40.80 0.94 6.01 30.5
1 19 49.60 40.30 0.30 4.03 34.6
1 20 49.60 36.50 0.01 3.21 37.8
1 21 45.70 35.20 0.00 1.41 39.2
1 22 43.30 39.00 0.01 0.76 39.9
1 23 49.80 42.10 1.62 4.95 44.9
1 24 54.10 48.40 1.04 10.25 55.1
1 25 59.00 49.10 0.03 13.05 68.2
1 26 56.50 38.30 0.01 6.85 75.0
1 27 49.50 36.00 0.01 3.10 78.1
1 28 53.60 41.90 0.00 6.75 84.9
1 29 52.00 40.30 0.01 5.22 90.1
1 30 51.10 35.10 0.00 3.68 93.8
1 31 50.40 32.00 0.01 3.03 96.8
2 1 48.70 39.90 0.44 3.47 100.3
2 2 46.40 39.00 0.32 2.15 102.4
2 3 49.80 42.60 0.26 5.20 107.6
2 4 47.50 42.30 0.05 3.90 111.5
2 5 50.20 43.00 1.15 5.60 117.1
2 6 54.00 48.90 1.36 10.45 127.6
2 7 51.60 45.50 0.47 7.55 135.1
2 8 56.70 44.40 0.19 9.55 144.7
2 9 53.10 46.90 0.04 9.00 153.7
2 10 51.80 47.10 0.08 8.45 162.1
2 11 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 171.1
2 12 51.40 43.20 0.06 6.30 177.4
2 13 58.80 48.20 0.02 12.50 189.9
2 14 52.00 41.00 0.00 5.50 195.4
2 15 56.70 37.60 0.00 6.77 202.2
2 16 56.80 41.90 0.00 8.35 210.6
2 17 59.90 46.40 0.00 12.15 222.7
2 18 53.20 40.60 0.02 5.93 228.6
2 19 49.50 45.50 0.17 6.50 235.1
2 20 53.40 42.60 0.12 7.00 242.1
2 21 57.60 41.20 0.00 8.40 250.5
2 22 53.20 38.50 0.00 5.30 255.8
2 23 55.90 31.50 0.00 5.33 261.2
2 24 48.90 31.60 0.00 2.39 263.6
2 25 45.00 31.50 0.08 0.95 264.5
2 26 49.10 41.50 0.05 4.30 268.8
2 27 54.30 42.60 0.00 7.45 276.3
2 28 55.20 42.40 0.00 7.80 284.1
3 1 50.00 33.30 0.00 2.99 287.1
3 2 54.70 37.20 0.00 5.72 292.8
3 3 51.60 31.50 0.00 3.48 296.3
3 4 52.00 27.30 0.00 3.28 299.5
3 5 54.50 30.90 0.00 4.64 304.2
3 6 59.40 39.00 0.00 8.47 312.6
3 7 61.20 36.50 0.00 8.68 321.3
3 8 61.70 36.70 0.00 8.97 330.3
3 9 61.30 32.90 0.00 7.99 338.3
3 10 64.60 36.10 0.00 10.23 348.5
3 11 57.70 46.80 0.33 11.25 359.8
3 12 62.80 50.40 0.07 15.60 375.4
3 13 64.60 50.20 0.00 16.40 391.8
3 14 58.80 45.30 1.14 11.05 402.8
3 15 47.70 42.80 0.74 4.25 407.1
3 16 57.20 41.90 0.00 8.55 415.6
3 17 56.80 43.70 0.00 9.25 424.9
3 18 59.70 45.00 0.00 11.35 436.2
3 19 52.50 46.20 0.14 8.35 444.6
3 20 52.90 45.50 0.78 8.20 452.8
3 21 52.50 45.10 0.74 7.80 460.6
3 22 54.50 41.20 0.17 6.85 467.4
3 23 53.80 43.90 0.29 7.85 475.3
3 24 55.20 40.10 0.02 6.74 482.0
3 25 50.50 43.70 0.50 6.10 488.1
3 26 66.90 47.30 0.03 16.10 504.2
3 27 65.80 48.60 0.08 16.20 520.4
3 28 57.00 48.60 0.26 11.80 532.2
3 29 50.00 45.50 0.57 6.75 539.0
3 30 64.40 45.50 0.11 13.95 552.9
3 31 54.30 45.50 0.34 8.90 561.8
4 1 51.10 42.60 0.32 5.85 567.7
4 2 52.30 42.60 0.05 6.45 574.1
4 3 54.90 41.20 0.15 7.05 581.2
4 4 55.20 39.20 0.04 6.46 587.6
4 5 58.60 38.50 0.00 7.93 595.5
4 6 57.90 38.50 0.00 7.59 603.1
4 7 61.20 41.90 0.00 10.55 613.7
4 8 62.80 43.70 0.00 12.25 625.9
4 9 64.60 39.40 0.00 11.17 637.1
4 10 59.50 42.80 0.23 10.15 647.3
4 11 52.20 43.50 0.24 6.85 654.1
4 12 51.30 40.10 0.02 4.81 658.9
4 13 54.00 41.20 0.30 6.60 665.5
4 14 55.20 40.80 0.05 7.01 672.5
4 15 55.40 39.60 0.00 6.68 679.2
4 16 65.10 37.40 0.00 10.81 690.0
4 17 65.70 41.90 0.00 12.80 702.8
4 18 68.70 41.40 0.00 14.05 716.9
4 19 71.20 45.70 0.00 17.45 734.3
4 20 72.90 49.10 0.00 20.00 754.3
4 21 65.30 43.70 0.25 13.50 767.8
4 22 55.40 42.60 0.04 8.00 775.8
4 23 51.40 41.90 0.47 5.65 781.5
4 24 53.10 40.30 0.50 5.77 787.2
4 25 54.70 41.00 0.00 6.85 794.1
4 26 61.00 37.80 0.01 8.91 803.0
4 27 67.80 49.10 0.00 17.45 820.4
4 28 60.10 46.00 0.11 12.05 832.5
4 29 59.70 43.70 0.01 10.70 843.2
4 30 59.50 47.80 0.05 12.65 855.8 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 1 63.70 46.90 0.01 14.30 870.1
5 2 64.00 43.70 0.00 12.85 883.0
5 3 69.30 42.80 0.00 15.05 898.0
5 4 62.20 43.70 0.09 11.95 910.0
5 5 56.80 41.70 0.71 8.25 918.2
5 6 62.40 43.70 0.00 12.05 930.3
5 7 69.80 47.30 0.01 17.55 947.8
5 8 77.50 49.30 0.00 22.40 970.2 Peak female adult emergence
5 9 77.50 54.70 0.00 25.10 995.3
5 10 72.00 52.20 0.00 21.10 1016.4 Peak egg laying
5 11 64.90 51.60 0.03 17.25 1033.7
5 12 67.80 45.70 0.00 15.75 1049.4
5 13 57.40 52.30 0.04 13.85 1063.3
5 14 68.20 50.50 0.02 18.35 1081.6
5 15 68.70 51.30 0.00 19.00 1100.6
5 16 65.80 56.30 0.00 20.05 1120.7
5 17 73.60 55.60 0.04 23.60 1144.3
5 18 78.80 57.00 0.00 26.90 1171.2
5 19 76.30 59.50 0.00 26.90 1198.1
5 20 79.30 57.70 0.00 27.50 1225.6
5 21 78.60 61.70 0.01 29.15 1254.7
5 22 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 1276.3 Peak egg hatch
5 23 63.00 56.30 0.00 18.65 1295.0
5 24 68.20 54.50 0.01 20.35 1315.3
5 25 61.00 54.70 0.31 16.85 1332.2
5 26 66.20 56.50 0.03 20.35 1352.5
5 27 73.60 56.30 0.00 23.95 1376.5
5 28 80.60 56.80 0.00 27.70 1404.2
5 29 80.60 55.90 0.00 27.25 1431.4
5 30 74.50 57.90 0.00 25.20 1456.6
5 31 76.30 48.70 0.00 21.50 1478.1
6 1 70.90 56.80 0.00 22.85 1501.0
6 2 61.50 54.50 0.21 17.00 1518.0
6 3 64.90 52.70 0.01 17.80 1535.8
6 4 72.30 54.50 0.00 22.40 1558.2
6 5 79.00 50.40 0.00 23.70 1581.9
6 6 83.30 53.40 0.00 27.35 1609.2
6 7 85.30 55.20 0.00 29.25 1638.5
6 8 85.50 54.50 0.00 29.00 1667.5
6 9 80.20 54.00 0.00 26.10 1693.6
6 10 76.60 50.70 0.00 22.65 1716.2
6 11 75.00 52.00 0.00 22.50 1738.7
6 12 64.60 56.10 0.00 19.35 1758.1
6 13 74.80 53.00 0.00 22.90 1781.0 Mn
6 14 84.40 50.40 0.00 26.40 1807.4
6 15 87.10 66.90 0.00 36.00 1843.4
6 16 81.00 54.30 0.00 26.65 1870.0
6 17 75.90 51.40 0.00 22.65 1892.7
6 18 73.00 56.30 0.00 23.65 1916.3
6 19 70.30 56.30 0.20 22.30 1938.6
6 20 73.90 50.20 0.01 21.05 1959.7
6 21 81.70 55.60 0.00 27.65 1987.3
6 22 76.80 51.80 0.00 23.30 2010.6
6 23 78.80 49.30 0.00 23.05 2033.7
6 24 78.60 52.70 0.00 24.65 2058.3
6 25 84.60 54.00 0.00 28.30 2086.6 Peak in density large larvae
6 26 89.80 56.70 0.00 32.25 2118.9
6 27 91.60 58.30 0.00 33.95 2152.8
6 28 88.30 60.30 0.00 33.30 2186.1
6 29 89.60 67.10 0.02 37.35 2223.5
6 30 86.40 61.30 0.00 32.85 2256.3
7 1 92.10 58.80 0.00 34.45 2290.8
7 2 91.90 61.90 0.00 35.90 2326.7
7 3 89.20 58.10 0.00 32.65 2359.3
7 4 87.80 57.00 0.00 31.40 2390.7
7 5 95.40 68.70 0.00 41.05 2431.8
7 6 85.50 59.00 0.00 31.25 2463.0
7 7 81.10 56.50 0.00 27.80 2490.8
7 8 87.60 57.00 0.00 31.30 2522.1
7 9 88.50 56.30 0.00 31.40 2553.5
7 10 73.20 61.50 0.00 26.35 2579.9
7 11 66.60 61.00 0.01 22.80 2602.7
7 12 74.30 59.90 0.01 26.10 2628.8
7 13 74.70 60.40 0.10 26.55 2655.3
7 14 79.20 52.90 0.01 25.05 2680.4
7 15 77.90 50.90 0.00 23.40 2703.8
7 16 75.60 60.40 0.00 27.00 2730.8
7 17 84.20 54.90 0.00 28.55 2759.3
7 18 92.80 59.00 0.00 34.90 2794.2
7 19 93.00 59.00 0.00 35.00 2829.2
7 20 78.30 64.00 0.00 30.15 2859.4
7 21 74.70 60.60 0.00 26.65 2886.0
7 22 73.20 59.00 0.00 25.10 2911.1
7 23 78.10 55.60 0.00 25.85 2937.0
7 24 63.10 54.00 0.80 17.55 2954.5
7 25 69.40 56.30 0.65 21.85 2976.4
7 26 64.80 55.90 0.09 19.35 2995.7
7 27 73.90 54.30 0.00 23.10 3018.8
7 28 79.50 55.40 0.00 26.45 3045.3
7 29 87.60 55.60 0.00 30.60 3075.9
7 30 91.20 58.60 0.00 33.90 3109.8
7 31 91.80 56.70 0.00 33.25 3143.0
8 1 88.30 55.00 0.01 30.65 3173.7
8 2 87.60 56.30 0.00 30.95 3204.6
8 3 81.70 56.50 0.00 28.10 3232.7
8 4 79.00 58.60 0.00 27.80 3260.5
8 5 62.40 53.60 0.27 17.00 3277.5
8 6 71.80 56.30 0.00 23.05 3300.6
8 7 79.30 54.70 0.00 26.00 3326.6
8 8 78.60 55.80 0.00 26.20 3352.8
8 9 81.10 61.70 0.02 30.40 3383.2
8 10 83.50 59.00 0.00 30.25 3413.4
8 11 85.30 60.10 0.00 31.70 3445.1
8 12 87.10 63.10 0.00 34.10 3479.2
8 13 86.40 56.30 0.00 30.35 3509.6
8 14 71.20 56.70 0.55 22.95 3532.5
8 15 66.60 57.40 0.06 21.00 3553.5
8 16 76.60 56.30 0.00 25.45 3579.0
8 17 81.10 52.70 0.00 25.90 3604.9
8 18 90.70 57.90 0.00 33.30 3638.2
8 19 84.70 59.40 0.01 31.05 3669.2
8 20 68.00 61.90 0.00 23.95 3693.2
8 21 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 3716.6
8 22 80.60 57.60 0.00 28.10 3744.7
8 23 82.00 59.70 0.00 29.85 3774.5
8 24 78.10 49.50 0.00 22.80 3797.3
8 25 78.40 46.20 0.00 21.30 3818.6
8 26 79.00 50.70 0.00 23.85 3842.5
8 27 82.80 52.90 0.00 26.85 3869.3
8 28 69.80 59.00 0.08 23.40 3892.7
8 29 65.70 58.80 0.70 21.25 3914.0
8 30 67.50 55.20 0.94 20.35 3934.3
8 31 60.10 54.50 1.25 16.30 3950.6
9 1 62.80 54.50 1.40 17.65 3968.3
9 2 60.40 49.60 0.89 14.00 3982.3
9 3 59.40 47.30 0.08 12.35 3994.6
9 4 66.60 49.10 0.00 16.85 4011.5
9 5 67.80 49.10 0.01 17.45 4028.9
9 6 64.20 51.60 0.00 16.90 4045.8
9 7 70.20 50.90 0.00 19.55 4065.4
9 8 64.90 56.30 0.11 19.60 4085.0
9 9 74.50 55.80 0.00 24.15 4109.1
9 10 79.00 58.10 0.00 27.55 4136.7
9 11 83.50 61.90 0.00 31.70 4168.4
9 12 77.70 54.90 0.00 25.30 4193.7
9 13 69.10 56.50 0.00 21.80 4215.5
9 14 62.20 46.00 0.02 13.10 4228.6
9 15 62.60 47.30 0.22 13.95 4242.5
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2015 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting | Date | DDs | Event |
| 4-30-15 | 856 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-8-15 | 970 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 5-10-15 | 1016 | Peak egg laying |
| 5-22-15 | 1276 | Peak egg hatch |
| 6-25-15 | 2087 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2386107)
