Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight (1988)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight (1988) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 No ending date, set to: default date 12 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 KKLS METAR Kelso-Longview Airport WA Lat46.1167 Long:-122.9000 Elev:20 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 43.00 30.00 0.00 0.34 0.3 * START * 1 2 44.60 30.00 0.00 0.78 1.1 1 3 46.90 33.10 0.00 1.72 2.8 1 4 51.80 33.80 0.17 3.82 6.7 1 5 48.00 39.20 0.20 2.95 9.6 1 6 48.20 39.00 0.06 3.00 12.6 1 7 45.00 41.00 0.79 2.00 14.6 1 8 44.60 42.10 0.40 2.35 17.0 1 9 48.20 39.00 0.06 3.00 20.0 1 10 46.90 37.40 0.06 2.13 22.1 1 11 55.90 46.00 0.88 9.95 32.1 1 12 52.00 48.00 0.04 9.00 41.1 1 13 60.80 44.10 0.00 11.45 52.5 1 14 63.00 44.10 0.00 12.55 65.1 1 15 59.00 39.00 0.03 8.27 73.3 1 16 55.40 41.00 0.17 7.20 80.5 1 17 53.60 44.10 0.52 7.85 88.4 1 18 48.90 42.80 0.24 4.85 93.2 1 19 46.90 42.80 0.13 3.85 97.1 1 20 48.90 42.10 0.02 4.50 101.6 1 21 48.90 42.80 0.36 4.85 106.4 1 22 48.90 42.10 0.26 4.50 110.9 1 23 50.00 42.10 0.92 5.05 116.0 1 24 51.80 41.00 0.32 5.40 121.4 1 25 46.90 37.40 0.18 2.13 123.5 1 26 45.00 39.00 0.36 1.51 125.0 1 27 51.80 41.00 0.04 5.40 130.4 1 28 57.90 46.00 0.01 10.95 141.4 1 29 52.00 43.00 0.77 6.50 147.9 1 30 50.00 37.00 0.26 3.47 151.3 1 31 45.00 37.00 0.01 1.27 152.6 2 1 46.90 42.10 0.43 3.50 156.1 2 2 54.00 46.40 0.15 9.20 165.3 2 3 52.00 48.00 0.05 9.00 174.3 2 4 55.90 48.20 0.16 11.05 185.4 2 5 54.00 46.00 0.03 9.00 194.4 2 6 51.80 44.60 0.27 7.20 201.6 2 7 57.90 42.10 0.00 9.00 210.6 2 8 50.00 42.80 0.04 5.40 216.0 2 9 48.20 37.40 0.01 2.72 218.7 2 10 48.90 35.10 0.00 2.72 221.4 2 11 46.90 33.10 0.00 1.72 223.1 2 12 48.20 26.10 0.00 1.81 224.9 2 13 50.00 24.10 0.41 2.34 227.3 2 14 46.40 33.80 0.06 1.58 228.8 2 15 46.40 33.80 0.10 1.58 230.4 2 16 46.90 41.00 0.25 2.95 233.4 2 17 53.10 39.90 0.66 5.64 239.0 2 18 39.20 28.90 0.47 0.00 239.0 2 19 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 239.0 2 20 36.00 28.40 0.30 0.00 239.0 2 21 36.00 19.00 0.08 0.00 239.0 2 22 37.90 23.00 0.02 0.00 239.0 2 23 36.00 19.00 0.14 0.00 239.0 2 24 48.90 33.10 0.21 2.51 241.5 2 25 42.80 33.10 0.56 0.34 241.9 2 26 44.60 33.10 0.05 0.88 242.7 2 27 43.00 35.60 0.04 0.45 243.2 2 28 46.40 37.40 0.43 1.91 245.1 3 1 48.20 39.00 0.07 3.00 248.1 3 2 48.90 37.00 0.01 2.97 251.1 3 3 53.60 30.00 0.00 4.16 255.2 3 4 48.90 28.00 0.08 2.15 257.4 3 5 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 260.3 3 6 57.20 26.60 0.02 5.33 265.6 3 7 54.00 30.20 0.00 4.35 269.9 3 8 54.00 37.40 0.48 5.43 275.4 3 9 54.00 34.00 0.01 4.83 280.2 3 10 64.90 30.00 0.00 9.16 289.4 3 11 69.80 35.60 0.00 12.63 302.0 3 12 72.00 33.80 0.00 13.25 315.2 3 13 55.40 44.10 0.51 8.75 324.0 3 14 51.80 37.40 0.06 4.38 328.4 3 15 55.40 30.00 0.00 4.93 333.3 3 16 52.00 37.40 0.24 4.48 337.8 3 17 52.00 37.00 0.01 4.40 342.2 3 18 52.00 37.40 0.14 4.48 346.7 3 19 57.90 37.00 0.00 7.21 353.9 3 20 61.00 28.00 0.00 7.12 361.0 3 21 53.60 30.20 0.56 4.19 365.2 3 22 50.00 39.00 0.55 3.87 369.0 3 23 46.90 37.00 3.17 2.08 371.1 3 24 41.00 35.60 0.22 0.00 371.1 3 25 51.80 37.00 0.03 4.31 375.4 3 26 48.20 37.40 0.01 2.72 378.1 3 27 51.80 44.60 0.28 7.20 385.3 3 28 54.00 41.00 0.00 6.50 391.8 3 29 60.80 39.00 0.00 9.16 401.0 3 30 55.90 42.80 0.00 8.35 409.4 3 31 63.00 42.80 0.00 11.90 421.3 4 1 46.40 37.40 0.28 1.91 423.2 4 2 54.00 34.00 0.09 4.83 428.0 4 3 51.80 28.40 0.05 3.29 431.3 4 4 55.40 42.80 0.08 8.10 439.4 4 5 54.00 46.40 0.23 9.20 448.6 4 6 68.00 51.80 0.04 18.90 467.5 4 7 64.00 46.40 0.98 14.20 481.7 4 8 53.60 46.40 0.21 9.00 490.7 4 9 66.90 39.00 0.01 12.18 502.9 4 10 62.60 48.00 0.16 14.30 517.2 4 11 55.90 42.80 0.44 8.35 525.5 4 12 54.00 41.00 0.19 6.50 532.0 4 13 53.60 44.60 0.38 8.10 540.1 4 14 57.20 48.20 0.36 11.70 551.8 4 15 50.00 44.10 0.41 6.05 557.9 4 16 48.90 42.10 0.25 4.50 562.4 4 17 54.00 42.10 0.03 7.05 569.4 4 18 60.80 39.00 0.04 9.16 578.6 4 19 66.20 35.10 0.00 10.76 589.3 4 20 63.00 37.40 0.00 9.78 599.1 4 21 60.80 41.00 0.01 9.90 609.0 4 22 63.00 37.40 0.00 9.78 618.8 4 23 78.80 35.60 0.00 17.02 635.8 4 24 82.90 39.00 0.00 20.13 655.9 4 25 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 680.2 4 26 73.00 44.60 0.00 17.80 698.0 4 27 55.90 48.90 4.62 11.40 709.4 4 28 59.00 46.00 0.04 11.50 720.9 4 29 57.90 44.10 0.09 10.00 730.9 4 30 59.00 46.00 0.12 11.50 742.4 5 1 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 755.9 5 2 73.40 46.00 0.00 18.70 774.6 5 3 71.60 46.00 0.00 17.80 792.4 5 4 66.90 51.10 0.00 18.00 810.4 5 5 71.60 50.00 0.00 19.80 830.2 5 6 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 848.2 5 7 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 871.6 peak pheromone trap catch 5 8 77.00 48.20 0.00 21.60 893.2 5 9 66.20 53.10 0.03 18.65 911.9 5 10 62.60 48.90 0.11 14.75 926.6 5 11 68.00 42.10 0.00 14.05 940.7 5 12 80.60 51.10 0.00 24.85 965.5 peak female adult emergence 5 13 89.60 48.00 0.00 27.80 993.3 5 14 81.00 55.00 0.00 27.00 1020.3 peak egg laying 5 15 68.00 55.00 0.00 20.50 1040.8 5 16 64.90 53.60 0.00 18.25 1059.1 5 17 63.00 52.00 0.01 16.50 1075.6 5 18 66.20 51.10 0.00 17.65 1093.2 5 19 70.00 53.60 0.00 20.80 1114.0 5 20 68.00 51.10 0.00 18.55 1132.6 5 21 71.60 46.40 0.00 18.00 1150.6 5 22 82.40 46.40 0.00 23.40 1174.0 5 23 75.20 54.00 0.00 23.60 1197.6 5 24 72.00 54.00 0.00 22.00 1219.6 5 25 69.80 51.10 0.00 19.45 1239.0 5 26 64.40 46.00 0.00 14.20 1253.2 5 27 75.20 44.60 0.00 18.90 1272.1 peak egg hatch 5 28 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 1288.3 5 29 64.90 44.60 0.00 13.75 1302.1 5 30 68.00 39.00 0.00 12.72 1314.8 5 31 66.20 44.60 0.00 14.40 1329.2 6 1 69.80 44.10 0.00 15.95 1345.2 6 2 80.60 48.00 0.00 23.30 1368.5 6 3 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1386.5 6 4 66.90 46.00 0.00 15.45 1401.9 6 5 71.60 42.10 0.00 15.85 1417.8 6 6 75.20 44.10 0.00 18.65 1436.4 6 7 66.90 55.40 0.00 20.15 1456.6 6 8 63.00 53.10 0.31 17.05 1473.6 6 9 62.60 48.90 0.04 14.75 1488.4 6 10 60.80 48.20 0.37 13.50 1501.9 6 11 70.00 48.20 0.00 18.10 1520.0 6 12 75.20 42.80 0.00 18.00 1538.0 6 13 66.90 53.10 0.10 19.00 1557.0 6 14 64.40 51.80 0.01 17.10 1574.1 6 15 70.00 51.10 0.00 19.55 1593.6 6 16 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 1619.5 6 17 90.00 53.10 0.00 30.55 1650.1 6 18 80.60 55.00 0.00 26.80 1676.9 6 19 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 1707.5 6 20 82.90 59.00 0.00 29.95 1737.4 6 21 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 1759.0 6 22 72.00 57.20 0.00 23.60 1782.6 6 23 75.20 57.20 0.01 25.20 1807.8 6 24 86.00 51.80 0.11 27.90 1835.7 6 25 64.90 53.10 0.19 18.00 1853.7 6 26 73.50 46.40 0.00 18.95 1872.7 Px 6 27 72.20 49.40 0.00 19.80 1892.5 Px Pn 6 28 70.40 51.80 0.00 20.10 1912.6 Px Pn 6 29 75.90 62.10 0.00 28.00 1940.6 6 30 72.00 59.00 0.01 24.50 1965.1 7 1 70.00 53.10 0.01 20.55 1985.6 7 2 69.80 53.10 0.01 20.45 2006.1 7 3 78.10 44.10 0.00 20.10 2026.2 7 4 75.90 53.60 0.00 23.75 2049.9 7 5 82.90 53.60 0.00 27.25 2077.2 peak in density large larvae 7 6 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 2103.1 7 7 75.90 57.00 0.00 25.45 2128.5 7 8 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 2154.6 7 9 70.00 59.00 0.00 23.50 2178.1 7 10 75.90 59.00 0.06 26.45 2204.6 7 11 84.20 57.00 0.00 29.60 2234.2 7 12 93.20 57.20 0.00 34.20 2268.4 7 13 84.90 57.20 0.00 30.05 2298.4 7 14 91.90 53.10 0.00 31.50 2329.9 7 15 97.00 57.20 0.00 36.10 2366.0 7 16 89.60 60.10 0.00 33.85 2399.9 7 17 80.60 60.10 0.00 29.35 2429.2 7 18 75.20 57.90 0.03 25.55 2454.8 7 19 70.00 55.00 0.00 21.50 2476.3 7 20 75.90 46.00 0.00 19.95 2496.2 7 21 77.00 48.00 0.00 21.50 2517.7 7 22 91.90 51.80 0.00 30.85 2548.6 7 23 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2580.1 7 24 87.80 57.00 0.00 31.40 2611.5 7 25 91.40 57.00 0.00 33.20 2644.7 7 26 88.00 57.20 0.00 31.60 2676.3 7 27 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 2706.0 7 28 84.20 60.10 0.00 31.15 2737.1 7 29 93.90 60.10 0.00 36.00 2773.1 7 30 79.00 60.10 0.00 28.55 2801.7 7 31 75.90 60.80 0.00 27.35 2829.0 8 1 78.80 60.10 0.00 28.45 2857.5 8 2 69.80 59.00 0.01 23.40 2880.9 8 3 73.90 57.90 0.04 24.90 2905.8 8 4 84.20 52.00 0.00 27.10 2932.9 8 5 88.00 59.00 0.00 32.50 2965.4 8 6 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 2996.9 8 7 91.90 59.00 0.00 34.45 3031.3 8 8 87.80 60.10 0.00 32.95 3064.3 8 9 91.90 60.80 0.00 35.35 3099.6 8 10 80.10 60.10 0.00 29.10 3128.7 8 11 72.00 60.80 0.05 25.40 3154.1 8 12 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 3180.2 8 13 88.00 57.20 0.00 31.60 3211.8 8 14 93.20 57.00 0.00 34.10 3245.9 8 15 79.00 60.10 0.00 28.55 3274.5 8 16 77.00 57.00 0.00 26.00 3300.5 8 17 77.00 48.20 0.00 21.60 3322.1 8 18 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 3349.1 8 19 79.00 59.00 0.00 28.00 3377.1 8 20 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 3406.8 8 21 93.20 53.60 0.00 32.40 3439.2 8 22 78.80 55.00 0.00 25.90 3465.1 8 23 71.60 55.90 0.01 22.75 3487.8 8 24 72.00 51.80 0.01 20.90 3508.7 8 25 69.10 46.40 0.23 16.75 3525.5 8 26 60.80 57.00 0.32 17.90 3543.4 8 27 77.00 53.10 0.01 24.05 3567.4 8 28 87.80 48.00 0.00 26.90 3594.3 8 29 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 3617.7 8 30 73.90 59.00 0.01 25.45 3643.2 8 31 69.80 59.00 0.12 23.40 3666.6 9 1 99.70 83.30 0.00 50.50 3717.1 Px Pn 9 2 91.80 82.20 0.00 46.00 3763.1 Px Pn 9 3 75.90 54.00 0.00 23.95 3787.0 9 4 81.00 44.60 0.00 21.80 3808.8 9 5 89.60 51.80 0.00 29.70 3838.5 9 6 81.00 50.00 0.00 24.50 3863.0 9 7 79.00 53.10 0.02 25.05 3888.1 9 8 71.60 57.00 0.07 23.30 3911.4 9 9 77.00 53.10 0.21 24.05 3935.4 9 10 68.00 55.40 0.04 20.70 3956.1 9 11 66.20 55.00 0.84 19.60 3975.7 9 12 64.90 51.80 0.19 17.35 3993.1 9 13 66.20 48.00 0.07 16.10 4009.2 9 14 69.80 51.80 0.01 19.80 4029.0 9 15 63.00 51.10 0.39 16.05 4045.0 9 16 68.00 48.00 0.22 17.00 4062.0 9 17 68.00 46.00 0.00 16.00 4078.0 9 18 70.00 42.10 0.00 15.05 4093.1 9 19 70.00 44.10 0.00 16.05 4109.1 9 20 70.00 46.00 0.00 17.00 4126.1 9 21 70.10 46.40 0.00 17.25 4143.4 Px 9 22 81.80 61.00 0.00 30.40 4173.8 Px Pn 9 23 69.70 67.30 0.00 27.50 4201.3 Px Pn 9 24 74.50 55.00 0.00 23.75 4225.0 Vx Vn 9 25 75.90 59.00 0.00 26.45 4251.5 9 26 78.80 48.00 0.00 22.40 4273.9 9 27 80.10 52.00 0.00 25.05 4298.9 9 28 84.20 48.00 0.00 25.10 4324.0 9 29 63.00 53.10 0.01 17.05 4341.1 9 30 68.00 51.10 0.00 18.55 4359.6 10 1 68.00 59.00 0.02 22.50 4382.1 10 2 64.90 46.40 0.01 14.65 4396.8 10 3 63.00 39.00 0.00 10.25 4407.0 10 4 62.60 42.10 0.00 11.35 4418.4 10 5 54.00 42.10 0.29 7.05 4425.4 10 6 61.00 44.10 0.47 11.55 4437.0 10 7 54.00 44.10 0.20 8.05 4445.0 10 8 60.10 51.80 0.16 14.95 4460.0 10 9 64.40 50.00 0.08 16.20 4476.2 10 10 66.20 46.00 0.00 15.10 4491.3 10 11 68.00 42.10 0.00 14.05 4505.3 10 12 68.00 41.00 0.00 13.50 4518.8 10 13 66.90 39.90 0.00 12.49 4531.3 10 14 71.60 33.80 0.00 13.06 4544.4
DD accumulation on 10-14-18: 4544QA 97% ok    
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 26 days ahead 2017 ok
 12 days behind 2016 ok
 DDs exceed full year 30-yr normals ok
Forecast using:  Fox - IPPC forecast for KKLS data
 10 15  76.10 33.30  0.00  15.11   4559.5  0.00_7.96%_precip.    
 10 16  79.30 33.80  0.00  16.79   4576.3  0.00_9.43%_precip.    
 10 17  80.40 38.10  0.00  18.57   4594.8  0.00_10.92%_precip.    
 10 18  77.90 38.10  0.00  17.33   4612.2  0.00_9.78%_precip.    
Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg KKLS 2006-2015
 10 19  64.10 45.60  0.11  13.85   4626.0  *hist_fcst*    
 10 20  61.40 46.20  0.15  12.80   4638.8  *hist_fcst*    
 10 21  60.60 45.00  0.11  11.80   4650.6  *hist_fcst*    
 10 22  60.40 45.70  0.10  12.05   4662.7  *hist_fcst*    
 10 23  62.60 44.90  0.13  12.75   4675.4  *hist_fcst*    
 10 24  60.40 43.60  0.13  11.00   4686.4  *hist_fcst*    
 10 25  57.00 41.70  0.16   8.35   4694.8  *hist_fcst*    
 10 26  56.60 42.10  0.24   8.35   4703.1  *hist_fcst*    
 10 27  57.00 41.70  0.13   8.35   4711.5  *hist_fcst*    
 10 28  59.50 41.50  0.14   9.50   4721.0  *hist_fcst*    
 10 29  59.30 44.10  0.17  10.70   4731.7  *hist_fcst*    
 10 30  59.20 43.90  0.20  10.55   4742.2  *hist_fcst*    
 10 31  57.50 44.10  0.36   9.80   4752.0  *hist_fcst*    
 11  1  57.90 42.80  0.23   9.35   4761.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11  2  57.50 43.30  0.25   9.40   4770.8  *hist_fcst*    
 11  3  57.40 42.90  0.28   9.15   4779.9  *hist_fcst*    
 11  4  58.50 43.80  0.22  10.15   4790.1  *hist_fcst*    
 11  5  56.50 44.10  0.11   9.30   4799.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11  6  56.80 45.50  0.44  10.15   4809.5  *hist_fcst*    
 11  7  57.50 45.40  0.39  10.45   4820.0  *hist_fcst*    
 11  8  54.70 43.90  0.22   8.30   4828.3  *hist_fcst*    
 11  9  53.10 43.10  0.08   7.10   4835.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11 10  52.70 41.50  0.11   6.10   4841.5  *hist_fcst*    
 11 11  52.20 39.10  0.18   4.96   4846.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11 12  51.20 40.70  0.21   4.97   4851.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11 13  51.00 41.70  0.27   5.35   4856.8  *hist_fcst*    
 11 14  51.70 40.20  0.21   5.04   4861.8  *hist_fcst*    
 11 15  52.70 38.30  0.09   5.01   4866.8  *hist_fcst*    
 11 16  52.40 39.40  0.18   5.14   4871.9  *hist_fcst*    
 11 17  52.90 40.10  0.32   5.60   4877.5  *hist_fcst*    
 11 18  51.40 38.80  0.39   4.50   4882.0  *hist_fcst*    
 11 19  49.60 40.50  0.41   4.10   4886.1  *hist_fcst*    
 11 20  50.10 37.90  0.28   3.68   4889.8  *hist_fcst*    
 11 21  47.90 35.70  0.18   2.36   4892.2  *hist_fcst*    
 11 22  47.70 35.10  0.31   2.21   4894.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11 23  47.80 34.50  0.34   2.19   4896.6  *hist_fcst*    
 11 24  47.10 34.00  0.22   1.86   4898.4  *hist_fcst*    
 11 25  48.20 34.50  0.16   2.36   4900.8  *hist_fcst*    
 11 26  48.80 35.90  0.07   2.77   4903.6  *hist_fcst*    
 11 27  49.00 36.40  0.21   2.93   4906.5  *hist_fcst*    
 11 28  47.90 36.20  0.13   2.42   4908.9  *hist_fcst*    
 11 29  47.00 35.50  0.11   1.96   4910.9  *hist_fcst*    
 11 30  46.20 35.70  0.07   1.65   4912.5  *hist_fcst*    
 12  1  47.60 37.20  0.24   2.42   4914.9  *hist_fcst*    
 12  2  47.40 36.50  0.29   2.24   4917.2  *hist_fcst*    
 12  3  47.70 35.50  0.41   2.25   4919.4  *hist_fcst*    
 12  4  47.10 36.30  0.26   2.08   4921.5  *hist_fcst*    
 12  5  47.10 33.70  0.07   1.84   4923.4  *hist_fcst*    
 12  6  46.50 34.30  0.08   1.65   4925.0  *hist_fcst*    
 12  7  45.40 35.00  0.21   1.27   4926.3  *hist_fcst*    
 12  8  44.70 33.40  0.24   0.93   4927.2  *hist_fcst*    
 12  9  44.80 32.90  0.33   0.94   4928.2  *hist_fcst*    
 12 10  44.50 34.50  0.19   0.91   4929.1  *hist_fcst*    
 12 11  45.10 34.80  0.21   1.15   4930.2  *hist_fcst*    
 12 12  46.00 35.40  0.21   1.54   4931.8  *hist_fcst*    
 12 13  45.40 36.00  0.32   1.35   4933.1  *hist_fcst*    
 12 14  45.40 34.50  0.13   1.24   4934.3  *hist_fcst*    
 12 15  44.80 35.20  0.30   1.06   4935.4  *hist_fcst*    
 12 16  44.20 35.80  0.16   0.87   4936.3  *hist_fcst*    
 12 17  45.20 34.70  0.24   1.18   4937.5  *hist_fcst*    
 12 18  44.70 35.50  0.23   1.04   4938.5  *hist_fcst*    
 12 19  44.50 35.50  0.17   0.97   4939.5  *hist_fcst*    
 12 20  44.00 36.40  0.34   0.84   4940.3  *hist_fcst*    
 12 21  45.10 36.30  0.36   1.25   4941.6  *hist_fcst*    
 12 22  45.20 35.50  0.16   1.23   4942.8  *hist_fcst*    
 12 23  44.50 36.50  0.18   1.03   4943.8  *hist_fcst*    
 12 24  44.40 35.80  0.25   0.95   4944.8  *hist_fcst*    
 12 25  43.90 35.20  0.20   0.74   4945.5  *hist_fcst*    
 12 26  43.00 35.20  0.14   0.44   4946.0  *hist_fcst*    
 12 27  43.70 35.30  0.29   0.67   4946.6  *hist_fcst*    
 12 28  44.70 36.20  0.32   1.09   4947.7  *hist_fcst*    
 12 29  45.00 35.20  0.20   1.14   4948.9  *hist_fcst*    
 12 30  42.40 32.40  0.16   0.23   4949.1  *hist_fcst*    
 12 31  41.30 30.10  0.08   0.02   4949.1  *hist_fcst*    
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight
Location: 2018 KKLS Kelso-Longview Airport WA
DD accumulation on 10-14-18: 4544 QA 97% ok  - show details 
  
This year is about  versus  QA
 26 days ahead 2017 ok
 12 days behind 2016 ok
 DDs exceed full year 30-yr normals ok
DateDDsEvent
 5-7-18 872peak pheromone trap catch
 5-12-18 966peak female adult emergence
 5-14-18 1020peak egg laying
 5-27-18 1272peak egg hatch
 7-5-18 2077peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight (1988)