|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
No ending date, set to: default date 12 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2018 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 30.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 39.20 28.40 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 39.20 35.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 6 42.80 37.40 0.00 0.46 0.5
1 7 39.20 35.60 0.00 0.00 0.5
1 8 42.80 37.40 0.00 0.46 0.9
1 9 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 2.3
1 10 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 3.6
1 11 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 3.6
1 12 33.80 32.00 0.00 0.00 3.6
1 13 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 3.6
1 14 53.60 37.40 0.00 5.24 8.9
1 15 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 12.8
1 16 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 19.1
1 17 55.40 41.00 0.00 7.20 26.3
1 18 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 32.6
1 19 44.60 41.00 0.00 1.80 34.4
1 20 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 36.6
1 21 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 42.0
1 22 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 43.9
1 23 39.20 35.60 0.00 0.00 43.9
1 24 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 45.0
1 25 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 45.0
1 26 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 45.4
1 27 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 45.4
1 28 45.30 33.70 0.00 1.16 46.6 Hx Hn
1 29 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 50.5
1 30 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 52.7
1 31 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 53.1
2 1 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 53.1
2 2 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 57.9
2 3 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 65.1
2 4 53.60 44.60 0.00 8.10 73.2
2 5 48.20 44.60 0.00 5.40 78.6
2 6 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 82.2
2 7 50.00 44.60 0.00 6.30 88.5
2 8 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 95.7
2 9 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 95.7
2 10 41.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 95.7
2 11 44.60 30.20 0.00 0.78 96.5
2 12 41.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 96.5
2 13 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 96.5
2 14 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 96.5
2 15 39.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 96.5
2 16 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 98.2
2 17 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 99.6
2 18 33.80 26.60 0.00 0.00 99.6
2 19 33.80 24.80 0.00 0.00 99.6
2 20 47.40 19.40 0.00 1.33 101.0 Hx
2 21 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 101.0
2 22 37.40 23.00 0.00 0.00 101.0
2 23 30.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 101.0
2 24 37.40 28.40 0.00 0.00 101.0
2 25 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 101.3
2 26 39.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 101.3
2 27 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 101.7
2 28 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 102.1
3 1 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 103.8
3 2 41.00 33.80 0.00 0.00 103.8
3 3 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 104.7
3 4 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 104.7
3 5 44.60 32.00 0.00 0.84 105.5
3 6 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 108.6
3 7 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 111.4
3 8 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 113.6
3 9 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 117.2
3 10 55.40 32.00 0.00 5.17 122.3
3 11 60.80 35.60 0.00 8.29 130.6
3 12 66.20 41.00 0.00 12.60 143.2
3 13 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 154.9
3 14 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 157.6
3 15 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 163.0
3 16 57.20 32.00 0.00 5.98 169.0
3 17 53.60 32.00 0.00 4.39 173.4
3 18 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 177.3
3 19 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 180.6
3 20 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 183.9
3 21 59.00 37.40 0.00 7.83 191.7
3 22 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 195.0
3 23 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 196.0
3 24 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 196.4
3 25 48.20 28.40 0.00 1.92 198.3
3 26 44.60 41.00 0.00 1.80 200.1
3 27 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 208.2
3 28 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 214.5
3 29 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 218.1
3 30 53.60 41.00 0.00 6.30 224.4
3 31 55.40 35.60 0.00 5.73 230.1
4 1 48.20 33.80 0.00 2.29 232.4
4 2 50.00 30.20 0.00 2.71 235.1
4 3 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 238.2
4 4 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 242.7
4 5 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 247.2
4 6 60.80 46.40 0.00 12.60 259.8
4 7 57.20 48.20 0.00 11.70 271.5
4 8 51.80 46.40 0.00 8.10 279.6
4 9 59.00 46.40 0.00 11.70 291.3
4 10 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 302.1
4 11 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 309.3
4 12 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 314.1
4 13 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 319.5
4 14 50.00 44.60 0.00 6.30 325.8
4 15 55.40 42.80 0.00 8.10 333.9
4 16 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 338.4
4 17 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 344.7
4 18 59.00 39.20 0.00 8.33 353.0
4 19 59.00 37.40 0.00 7.83 360.8
4 20 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 370.7
4 21 55.40 46.40 0.00 9.90 380.6
4 22 60.80 35.60 0.00 8.29 388.9
4 23 69.80 41.00 0.00 14.40 403.3
4 24 73.40 42.80 0.00 17.10 420.4
4 25 78.80 46.40 0.00 21.60 442.0
4 26 80.60 51.80 0.00 25.20 467.2
4 27 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 480.7
4 28 53.60 48.20 0.00 9.90 490.6
4 29 53.60 46.40 0.00 9.00 499.6
4 30 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 510.4
5 1 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 523.9
5 2 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 537.4
5 3 69.80 48.20 0.00 18.00 555.4
5 4 57.20 50.00 0.00 12.60 568.0
5 5 71.60 42.80 0.00 16.20 584.2
5 6 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 609.4
5 7 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 630.1
5 8 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 654.4
5 9 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 672.4
5 10 59.00 48.20 0.00 12.60 685.0
5 11 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 701.2
5 12 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 721.9
5 13 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 746.2
5 14 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 775.0
5 15 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 797.5
5 16 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 817.3
5 17 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 835.3
5 18 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 853.3 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 19 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 874.0
5 20 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 892.0
5 21 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 911.8
5 22 78.80 48.20 0.00 22.50 934.3
5 23 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 958.6 Peak female adult emergence
5 24 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 979.3
5 25 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 997.3
5 26 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 1013.5 Peak egg laying
5 27 71.60 50.00 0.00 19.80 1033.3
5 28 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 1053.1
5 29 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 1067.5
5 30 64.40 44.60 0.00 13.50 1081.0
5 31 62.60 46.40 0.00 13.50 1094.5
6 1 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 1108.0
6 2 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1130.5
6 3 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 1144.9
6 4 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 1160.2
6 5 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 1175.5
6 6 71.60 44.60 0.00 17.10 1192.6
6 7 62.60 50.00 0.00 15.30 1207.9
6 8 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 1222.3
6 9 62.60 48.20 0.00 14.40 1236.7
6 10 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 1250.2
6 11 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 1265.5
6 12 64.40 44.60 0.00 13.50 1279.0 Peak egg hatch
6 13 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1295.2
6 14 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1311.4
6 15 68.00 48.20 0.00 17.10 1328.5
6 16 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 1355.5
6 17 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 1384.3
6 18 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 1414.9
6 19 82.40 60.80 0.00 30.60 1445.5
6 20 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 1478.8
6 21 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 1501.3
6 22 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 1520.2
6 23 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1542.7
6 24 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1566.1
6 25 71.20 53.60 0.00 21.40 1587.5 Hx
6 26 72.70 51.80 0.00 21.25 1608.8 Hx
6 27 71.80 52.40 0.00 21.10 1629.9 Hx Hn
6 28 73.50 54.10 0.00 22.80 1652.7 Hx Hn
6 29 64.40 54.70 0.00 18.55 1671.2 Hn
6 30 62.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 1690.1
7 1 68.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 1709.9
7 2 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 1727.9
7 3 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 1746.8
7 4 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 1777.4
7 5 82.40 64.40 0.00 32.40 1809.8
7 6 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 1837.7
7 7 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 1860.2
7 8 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 1885.4
7 9 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 1908.8
7 10 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 1931.3
7 11 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 1958.3
7 12 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 1985.3
7 13 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 2013.2
7 14 91.40 57.20 0.00 33.30 2046.5
7 15 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2078.0 Peak in density large larvae
7 16 89.60 57.20 0.00 32.40 2110.4
7 17 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 2140.1
7 18 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 2166.2
7 19 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 2187.8
7 20 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2212.1
7 21 75.20 50.00 0.00 21.60 2233.7
7 22 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 2262.5
7 23 87.80 59.00 0.00 32.40 2294.9
7 24 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 2325.5
7 25 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2357.0
7 26 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2387.6
7 27 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 2420.0
7 28 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 2450.6
7 29 93.20 59.00 0.00 35.10 2485.7
7 30 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 2520.8
7 31 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 2548.7
8 1 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 2573.0
8 2 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 2593.7
8 3 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 2618.9
8 4 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 2644.1
8 5 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 2673.8
8 6 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2705.3
8 7 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2736.8
8 8 95.00 60.80 0.00 36.90 2773.7
8 9 93.20 60.80 0.00 36.00 2809.7
8 10 86.00 57.20 0.00 30.60 2840.3
8 11 71.60 60.80 0.00 25.20 2865.5
8 12 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2891.6
8 13 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 2917.7
8 14 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2946.5
8 15 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2975.3
8 16 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 2999.6
8 17 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 3022.1
8 18 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 3044.6
8 19 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 3068.9
8 20 91.40 53.60 0.00 31.50 3100.4
8 21 75.70 54.20 0.00 23.95 3124.4 Hx Hn
8 22 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 3152.3
8 23 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 3173.0
8 24 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 3192.8
8 25 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 3208.1
8 26 59.00 55.40 0.00 16.20 3224.3
8 27 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 3248.6
8 28 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 3272.0
8 29 69.80 53.60 0.00 20.70 3292.7
8 30 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 3315.2
8 31 68.00 51.80 0.00 18.90 3334.1
9 1 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 3356.6
9 2 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 3375.5
9 3 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 3398.9
9 4 78.80 46.40 0.00 21.60 3420.5
9 5 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 3444.8
9 6 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 3472.7
9 7 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 3492.5
9 8 66.20 55.40 0.00 19.80 3512.3
9 9 62.60 57.20 0.00 18.90 3531.2
9 10 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 3549.2
9 11 62.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 3566.3
9 12 62.60 53.60 0.00 17.10 3583.4
9 13 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 3602.3
9 14 60.80 51.80 0.00 15.30 3617.6
9 15 60.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 3633.8
9 16 60.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 3650.0
9 17 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 3665.3
9 18 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 3678.8
9 19 66.20 46.40 0.00 15.30 3694.1
9 20 60.80 53.60 0.00 16.20 3710.3
9 21 59.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 3724.7
9 22 64.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 3742.7
9 23 57.20 48.20 0.00 11.70 3754.4
9 24 64.40 46.40 0.00 14.40 3768.8
9 25 68.00 44.60 0.00 15.30 3784.1
9 26 66.20 46.40 0.00 15.30 3799.4
9 27 71.60 44.60 0.00 17.10 3816.5
9 28 75.20 62.60 0.00 27.90 3844.4
9 29 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 3866.0
9 30 57.20 51.80 0.00 13.50 3879.5
10 1 59.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 3893.9
10 2 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 3903.8
10 3 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 3908.1
10 4 57.20 37.40 0.00 6.96 3915.1
10 5 57.20 41.00 0.00 8.10 3923.2
10 6 60.80 35.60 0.00 8.29 3931.5
10 7 53.60 46.40 0.00 9.00 3940.5
10 8 53.60 50.00 0.00 10.80 3951.3
10 9 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 3966.6
10 10 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 3979.2
10 11 62.60 39.20 0.00 10.11 3989.3
10 12 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 3998.3
10 13 66.20 41.00 0.00 12.60 4010.9
10 14 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 4022.6
10 15 66.20 42.80 0.00 13.50 4036.1
10 16 69.80 42.80 0.00 15.30 4051.4
10 17 69.80 44.60 0.00 16.20 4067.6
10 18 66.20 44.60 0.00 14.40 4082.0
10 19 66.20 41.00 0.00 12.60 4094.6
10 20 59.00 35.60 0.00 7.43 4102.0
10 21 64.40 35.60 0.00 10.01 4112.0
10 22 66.20 37.40 0.00 11.35 4123.4
10 23 53.60 37.40 0.00 5.24 4128.6
10 24 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 4139.4
10 25 55.40 50.00 0.00 11.70 4151.1
10 26 60.80 44.60 0.00 11.70 4162.8
10 27 57.20 39.20 0.00 7.44 4170.3
10 28 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 4181.1
10 29 51.80 46.40 0.00 8.10 4189.2
10 30 53.60 48.20 0.00 9.90 4199.1
10 31 51.80 46.40 0.00 8.10 4207.2
11 1 59.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 4221.6
11 2 60.80 50.00 0.00 14.40 4236.0
11 3 53.60 50.00 0.00 10.80 4246.8
11 4 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 4260.3
11 5 53.60 46.40 0.00 9.00 4269.3
11 6 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 4275.6
11 7 51.80 35.60 0.00 4.07 4279.6
11 8 48.20 32.00 0.00 2.14 4281.8
11 9 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 4282.2
11 10 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 4285.4
11 11 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 4288.3
11 12 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 4291.4
11 13 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 4294.2
11 14 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 4303.2
11 15 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 4310.4
11 16 57.20 46.40 0.00 10.80 4321.2
11 17 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 4324.5
11 18 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 4327.3
11 19 51.80 30.20 0.00 3.44 4330.8
11 20 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 4334.4
11 21 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 4337.1
11 22 48.20 44.60 0.00 5.40 4342.5
11 23 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 4347.0
11 24 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 4350.0
11 25 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 4353.1
11 26 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 4363.0
11 27 62.60 48.20 0.00 14.40 4377.4
11 28 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 4381.0
11 29 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 4386.4
11 30 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 4389.1
12 1 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 4390.7
12 2 46.40 28.40 0.00 1.30 4392.0
12 3 44.60 30.20 0.00 0.78 4392.8
12 4 41.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 4392.8
12 5 42.80 26.60 0.00 0.26 4393.0
12 6 39.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 4393.0
12 7 41.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 4393.0
12 8 39.20 33.80 0.00 0.00 4393.0
12 9 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 4393.4
12 10 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 4396.1
12 11 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 4399.2
12 12 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 4401.1
12 13 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 4402.4
12 14 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 4411.4
12 15 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 4413.2
12 16 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 4418.6
12 17 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 4425.8
12 18 50.00 42.80 0.00 5.40 4431.2
12 19 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 4435.7
12 20 59.00 41.00 0.00 9.00 4444.7
12 21 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 4445.0
12 22 39.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 4445.0
12 23 44.60 37.40 0.00 1.15 4446.1
12 24 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 4447.8
12 25 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 4447.8
12 26 35.60 35.60 0.00 0.00 4447.8
12 27 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 4447.8
12 28 37.40 33.80 0.00 0.00 4447.8
12 29 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 4451.4
12 30 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 4452.3
12 31 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 4452.3
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 CYXX PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2018 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C. Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME Date | DDs | Event |
5-18-18 | 853 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
5-23-18 | 959 | Peak female adult emergence |
5-26-18 | 1014 | Peak egg laying |
6-12-18 | 1279 | Peak egg hatch |
7-15-18 | 2078 | Peak in density large larvae |