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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Knight 1988
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 9 15
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch
2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence
3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying
4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch
5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 CWZA CANADA Agassiz Auto RePting S BC Lat:49.2500 Long:-121.7667 Elev:49
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 36.30 30.20 0.05 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 30.60 25.30 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 26.60 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 4 35.40 25.30 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 5 29.70 21.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 6 37.20 23.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 7 37.80 30.40 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 8 39.90 31.30 0.08 0.00 0.0
1 9 32.90 24.80 0.29 0.00 0.0
1 10 31.10 23.40 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 11 30.20 22.60 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 12 26.40 15.10 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 13 25.30 18.50 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 14 31.80 22.50 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 15 34.90 26.40 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 16 39.90 29.50 0.13 0.00 0.0
1 17 42.60 34.20 1.50 0.30 0.3
1 18 46.80 39.60 0.98 2.47 2.8
1 19 40.50 36.50 0.59 0.00 2.8
1 20 46.40 34.00 0.01 1.59 4.4
1 21 48.90 36.10 0.00 2.84 7.2
1 22 45.10 37.40 0.04 1.35 8.6
1 23 46.20 31.30 0.00 1.36 9.9
1 24 43.50 29.50 0.00 0.46 10.4
1 25 41.20 31.30 0.00 0.01 10.4
1 26 45.00 31.60 0.00 0.96 11.3
1 27 47.50 29.70 0.00 1.74 13.1
1 28 46.90 31.60 0.00 1.62 14.7
1 29 41.00 32.00 0.02 0.00 14.7
1 30 44.40 37.80 0.03 1.10 15.8
1 31 42.10 35.80 0.00 0.20 16.0
2 1 41.40 33.40 0.00 0.04 16.0
2 2 41.90 33.10 0.00 0.12 16.2
2 3 34.20 27.70 0.17 0.00 16.2
2 4 33.10 27.10 0.44 0.00 16.2
2 5 32.90 25.30 0.26 0.00 16.2
2 6 29.30 24.10 0.03 0.00 16.2
2 7 30.20 24.10 0.02 0.00 16.2
2 8 28.80 24.10 0.05 0.00 16.2
2 9 34.00 27.00 1.69 0.00 16.2
2 10 43.70 31.50 0.14 0.55 16.7
2 11 43.70 32.90 0.00 0.59 17.3
2 12 46.00 30.40 0.00 1.24 18.5
2 13 55.60 37.00 0.00 6.11 24.7
2 14 52.50 40.60 0.05 5.58 30.2
2 15 49.80 40.10 1.67 4.07 34.3
2 16 50.20 41.00 0.41 4.60 38.9
2 17 52.00 39.40 0.03 4.95 43.8
2 18 46.40 40.10 0.11 2.40 46.2
2 19 47.80 38.30 0.18 2.68 48.9
2 20 46.90 37.40 0.11 2.13 51.1
2 21 46.90 37.00 0.00 2.08 53.1
2 22 44.80 30.70 0.21 0.86 54.0
2 23 44.40 31.60 0.00 0.77 54.8
2 24 45.50 30.90 0.00 1.10 55.9
2 25 39.70 28.20 0.12 0.00 55.9
2 26 43.30 31.50 0.20 0.44 56.3
2 27 36.50 27.10 0.15 0.00 56.3
2 28 37.60 23.20 0.06 0.00 56.3
3 1 47.80 32.90 0.23 2.06 58.4
3 2 44.40 36.50 0.24 0.99 59.3
3 3 44.40 36.90 1.27 1.02 60.4
3 4 42.30 31.30 0.24 0.19 60.6
3 5 39.40 33.10 0.06 0.00 60.6
3 6 43.50 31.30 0.14 0.49 61.1
3 7 39.70 31.50 0.29 0.00 61.1
3 8 43.30 32.90 0.22 0.47 61.5
3 9 40.50 31.30 0.41 0.00 61.5
3 10 50.50 36.50 0.92 3.62 65.1
3 11 46.20 40.10 0.78 2.30 67.4
3 12 52.00 43.70 0.13 6.85 74.3
3 13 48.70 43.70 0.49 5.20 79.5
3 14 52.20 45.50 0.95 7.85 87.3
3 15 50.20 45.30 0.73 6.75 94.1
3 16 48.70 37.80 0.12 3.01 97.1
3 17 48.20 36.30 0.28 2.56 99.7
3 18 46.80 39.90 1.67 2.54 102.2
3 19 49.60 35.40 0.03 3.06 105.3
3 20 55.60 39.00 0.00 6.60 111.9
3 21 48.90 44.20 0.03 5.55 117.4
3 22 53.40 43.00 0.11 7.20 124.6
3 23 54.50 39.90 0.01 6.33 130.9
3 24 53.10 41.90 0.44 6.50 137.4
3 25 50.00 40.10 0.11 4.17 141.6
3 26 49.30 40.10 0.06 3.82 145.4
3 27 54.30 42.40 0.22 7.35 152.8
3 28 47.50 41.90 0.85 3.70 156.5
3 29 50.90 43.20 0.55 6.05 162.5
3 30 54.10 43.70 0.05 7.90 170.4
3 31 54.10 41.90 0.00 7.00 177.4
4 1 52.20 44.80 0.53 7.50 184.9
4 2 50.50 42.10 0.12 5.30 190.2
4 3 55.80 38.70 0.00 6.61 196.8
4 4 53.00 42.00 0.00 6.50 203.3 Mx Mn
4 5 50.40 43.00 0.38 5.70 209.0 Mn
4 6 52.50 45.70 0.18 8.10 217.1
4 7 51.80 46.20 0.20 8.00 225.1
4 8 51.60 40.80 0.24 5.21 230.4
4 9 55.40 39.40 0.04 6.62 237.0
4 10 51.60 42.30 0.04 5.95 242.9
4 11 58.60 39.40 0.01 8.20 251.1
4 12 55.80 47.50 0.00 10.65 261.8
4 13 54.90 43.20 0.50 8.05 269.8
4 14 53.40 42.60 0.27 7.00 276.8
4 15 54.30 40.10 0.17 6.30 283.1
4 16 62.80 42.40 0.00 11.60 294.7
4 17 57.60 47.30 0.13 11.45 306.2
4 18 57.20 46.20 0.91 10.70 316.9
4 19 52.20 43.70 0.03 6.95 323.8
4 20 55.80 43.70 0.37 8.75 332.6
4 21 66.20 45.50 0.02 14.85 347.4
4 22 59.90 49.50 0.07 13.70 361.1
4 23 58.50 47.30 0.10 11.90 373.0
4 24 60.10 44.40 0.08 11.25 384.3
4 25 57.60 48.90 0.00 12.25 396.5
4 26 57.40 46.00 0.32 10.70 407.2
4 27 54.90 43.70 0.21 8.30 415.5
4 28 57.60 45.10 0.01 10.35 425.9
4 29 54.00 37.80 0.33 5.52 431.4
4 30 56.70 43.70 0.14 9.20 440.6
5 1 53.80 44.10 0.11 7.95 448.5
5 2 64.60 40.80 0.00 11.71 460.2
5 3 57.70 50.90 0.22 13.30 473.5
5 4 76.50 52.90 0.25 23.70 497.2
5 5 61.90 48.60 0.41 14.25 511.5
5 6 55.90 42.10 0.00 8.00 519.5
5 7 61.30 40.60 0.00 9.97 529.5
5 8 64.00 42.10 0.00 12.05 541.5
5 9 67.30 45.50 0.00 15.40 556.9
5 10 68.50 50.90 0.00 18.70 575.6
5 11 60.30 50.20 0.53 14.25 589.9
5 12 55.90 45.00 0.03 9.45 599.3 Mn
5 13 56.10 41.20 0.00 7.65 607.0
5 14 59.20 42.80 0.00 10.00 617.0
5 15 48.90 45.70 0.37 6.30 623.3
5 16 47.10 43.70 0.66 4.40 627.7
5 17 57.70 43.70 0.00 9.70 637.4
5 18 65.50 49.80 0.00 16.65 654.0
5 19 68.70 47.50 0.00 17.10 671.1
5 20 73.60 49.10 0.00 20.35 691.5
5 21 78.30 51.10 0.00 23.70 715.2
5 22 82.60 58.80 0.00 29.70 744.9
5 23 78.10 56.30 0.00 26.20 771.1
5 24 60.30 49.50 0.00 13.90 785.0
5 25 73.20 45.70 0.00 18.45 803.4
5 26 78.60 54.50 0.00 25.55 829.0
5 27 83.30 55.90 0.00 28.60 857.6 Peak pheromone trap catch
5 28 85.80 61.50 0.00 32.65 890.2
5 29 87.30 59.40 0.00 32.35 922.6
5 30 62.10 54.90 0.15 17.50 940.1
5 31 67.80 52.70 0.05 19.25 959.3 Peak female adult emergence
6 1 65.80 57.40 0.38 20.60 979.9
6 2 68.70 54.50 0.04 20.60 1000.5 Peak egg laying
6 3 61.50 51.80 0.00 15.65 1016.2
6 4 65.50 52.00 0.00 17.75 1033.9
6 5 74.70 44.60 0.00 18.65 1052.6
6 6 83.50 55.00 0.00 28.25 1080.8
6 7 83.70 57.40 0.00 29.55 1110.4
6 8 62.10 52.50 0.36 16.30 1126.7
6 9 65.80 49.10 0.03 16.45 1143.1
6 10 63.10 50.90 0.00 16.00 1159.1
6 11 68.70 55.00 0.00 20.85 1180.0
6 12 64.20 56.50 0.00 19.35 1199.3
6 13 60.40 53.60 0.00 16.00 1215.3
6 14 60.40 51.60 0.00 15.00 1230.3
6 15 58.80 50.70 0.41 13.75 1244.1
6 16 65.10 53.80 0.39 18.45 1262.5
6 17 65.10 52.70 0.00 17.90 1280.4 Peak egg hatch
6 18 60.30 52.90 0.04 15.60 1296.0
6 19 69.60 54.30 0.00 20.95 1317.0
6 20 71.80 57.70 0.13 23.75 1340.7
6 21 67.50 52.20 0.00 18.85 1359.6
6 22 76.60 46.60 0.00 20.60 1380.2
6 23 81.90 53.10 0.00 26.50 1406.7
6 24 90.30 60.10 0.00 34.20 1440.9
6 25 88.70 68.70 0.00 37.70 1478.6
6 26 77.40 59.40 0.00 27.40 1506.0
6 27 73.00 52.20 0.00 21.60 1527.6
6 28 73.60 57.20 0.00 24.40 1552.0
6 29 79.00 54.00 0.00 25.50 1577.5
6 30 84.90 54.50 0.00 28.70 1606.2
7 1 74.10 58.60 0.00 25.35 1631.5
7 2 77.40 52.00 0.00 23.70 1655.2
7 3 73.80 54.30 0.00 23.05 1678.3
7 4 78.60 49.10 0.00 22.85 1701.1
7 5 84.90 52.30 0.00 27.60 1728.7
7 6 85.30 54.90 0.00 29.10 1757.8
7 7 74.10 56.10 0.00 24.10 1781.9
7 8 81.70 54.50 0.00 27.10 1809.0
7 9 78.30 57.70 0.00 27.00 1836.0
7 10 73.90 56.50 0.00 24.20 1860.2
7 11 75.60 53.80 0.00 23.70 1883.9
7 12 77.00 50.90 0.00 22.95 1906.9
7 13 70.50 57.70 0.00 23.10 1930.0
7 14 81.10 52.70 0.00 25.90 1955.9
7 15 76.80 52.70 0.00 23.75 1979.6
7 16 70.30 58.10 0.00 23.20 2002.8
7 17 77.50 50.00 0.00 22.75 2025.6
7 18 81.30 53.20 0.00 26.25 2051.8
7 19 78.40 49.80 0.00 23.10 2074.9 Peak in density large larvae
7 20 70.20 58.60 0.29 23.40 2098.3
7 21 70.00 53.10 0.00 20.55 2118.9
7 22 70.50 59.90 0.03 24.20 2143.1
7 23 76.50 61.90 0.01 28.20 2171.3
7 24 81.10 54.50 0.00 26.80 2198.1
7 25 84.20 55.80 0.00 29.00 2227.1
7 26 81.90 55.00 0.00 27.45 2254.5
7 27 74.80 56.30 0.00 24.55 2279.1
7 28 77.70 50.00 0.01 22.85 2301.9
7 29 80.20 50.90 0.00 24.55 2326.5
7 30 80.40 54.70 0.00 26.55 2353.0
7 31 83.70 53.60 0.00 27.65 2380.7
8 1 85.80 61.00 0.00 32.40 2413.1
8 2 87.00 65.70 0.00 35.35 2448.4
8 3 88.50 62.10 0.00 34.30 2482.7
8 4 79.50 61.00 0.00 29.25 2512.0
8 5 76.60 59.20 0.00 26.90 2538.9
8 6 81.70 54.50 0.00 27.10 2566.0
8 7 85.50 54.50 0.00 29.00 2595.0
8 8 84.60 57.00 0.00 29.80 2624.8
8 9 85.80 58.60 0.00 31.20 2656.0
8 10 88.20 61.00 0.00 33.60 2689.6
8 11 86.00 58.50 0.00 31.25 2720.8
8 12 76.30 56.80 0.00 25.55 2746.4
8 13 72.70 60.10 0.28 25.40 2771.8
8 14 72.90 53.10 0.00 22.00 2793.8
8 15 77.00 50.70 0.00 22.85 2816.6
8 16 76.30 51.60 0.00 22.95 2839.6
8 17 77.70 60.60 0.00 28.15 2867.7
8 18 70.20 53.20 0.00 20.70 2888.4
8 19 75.60 57.70 0.00 25.65 2914.1
8 20 77.70 50.40 0.00 23.05 2937.1
8 21 81.70 50.90 0.00 25.30 2962.4
8 22 86.20 54.10 0.00 29.15 2991.6
8 23 79.50 56.30 0.00 26.90 3018.5
8 24 72.00 55.90 0.01 22.95 3041.4
8 25 75.00 48.70 0.00 20.85 3062.3
8 26 82.80 50.70 0.00 25.75 3088.0
8 27 88.20 54.90 0.00 30.55 3118.6
8 28 91.40 59.20 0.00 34.30 3152.9
8 29 90.10 63.10 0.00 35.60 3188.5
8 30 76.60 57.20 0.00 25.90 3214.4
8 31 77.70 60.60 0.00 28.15 3242.5
9 1 82.60 50.90 0.00 25.75 3268.3
9 2 89.80 56.30 0.00 32.05 3300.3
9 3 92.50 59.40 0.00 34.95 3335.3
9 4 97.00 63.70 0.00 39.35 3374.6
9 5 85.30 74.70 0.01 39.00 3413.6
9 6 81.30 63.10 0.00 31.20 3444.8
9 7 75.90 59.20 0.00 26.55 3471.4
9 8 68.70 63.30 0.05 25.00 3496.4
9 9 65.10 54.50 0.78 18.80 3515.2
9 10 70.90 51.60 0.00 20.25 3535.4
9 11 80.20 48.60 0.00 23.40 3558.8
9 12 71.40 58.30 0.00 23.85 3582.7
9 13 75.40 54.00 0.00 23.70 3606.4
9 14 76.50 51.80 0.00 23.15 3629.5
9 15 78.60 50.00 0.00 23.30 3652.8
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988Location: 2017 CWZA Agassiz Auto RePting | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-27-17 | 858 | Peak pheromone trap catch |
| 5-31-17 | 959 | Peak female adult emergence |
| 6-2-17 | 1001 | Peak egg laying |
| 6-17-17 | 1280 | Peak egg hatch |
| 7-19-17 | 2075 | Peak in density large larvae |
![degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2372786)
