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Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: spongy moth from Jan 1 [oak-maple]
Type: invasive insect
Model source/other links: Sheehan-simpl.
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 42 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 106 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: experimental
Region of known use: Midwest & PNW US
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 346 DDs after Jan 1: 2% egg hatch
2. 596 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 1st instar
3. 871 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 2nd instar
4. 1052 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 3rd instar
5. 1274 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 4th instar
6. 1637 DDs after Jan 1: 2% pupation
7. 1727 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 5th and 6th instar
8. 2068 DDs after Jan 1: 50% pupation
9. 2180 DDs after Jan 1: 2% adult emergence
10. 2539 DDs after Jan 1: 50% adult emergence
11. 2646 DDs after Jan 1: Final 6th instars present
12. 3250 DDs after Jan 1: 98% adult emergence
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 AW330127 AGWEATHERNET Moses Lake WA Lat47.0039 Long:-119.2381 Elev:1141
The WSU AgWeatherNet Network has a policy that third parties do not share their
weather data publicly; therefore we have removed it from our model outputs. We
apologize for any inconvenience and urge extra caution in using any model that
does not display weather data inputs.
mn day max min precip DD42 CUMDD42 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 * START *Vx Vn
1 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 Vx
1 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn
1 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
1 31 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 Vx
2 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0
2 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.12 0.1
2 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1 Vx
2 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.1
2 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.09 0.2
2 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2
2 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.2 Vx
3 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.03 2.2 Vn
3 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.40 2.6
3 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.69 5.3
3 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.47 6.8
3 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.52 7.3
3 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.95 8.3
3 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 8.3
3 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.04 10.3
3 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.17 10.5
3 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.36 17.8
3 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.12 20.0
3 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.42 25.4
3 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.41 28.8
3 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 12.80 41.6
3 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 12.70 54.3
3 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.13 58.4
3 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.05 60.5
3 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.00 67.5
3 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.10 70.6
3 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.46 73.0
3 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.61 76.6
3 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.30 81.9
3 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.12 86.1
3 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.23 90.3
3 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.41 96.7
3 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.36 98.1
3 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.66 104.7
3 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.35 110.1
3 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.40 118.5
3 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.28 125.8
3 31 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.63 133.4
4 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.20 144.6
4 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.73 151.3
4 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.96 156.3
4 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.65 162.9 Hx Hn
4 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.15 173.1 Vn
4 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 12.25 185.3
4 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.10 194.4
4 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.71 201.1
4 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.89 205.0
4 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.04 211.1
4 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.96 218.0
4 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.15 226.2
4 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.10 234.3
4 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.48 239.8
4 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.51 245.3
4 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.01 254.3
4 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 12.25 266.5
4 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.95 277.5
4 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.19 286.7
4 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.30 298.0
4 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.48 307.4
4 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.37 318.8
4 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.15 330.0
4 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.30 339.3
4 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.72 348.0 2% egg hatch
4 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.40 358.4
4 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.19 367.6
4 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 13.55 381.1
4 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.42 389.6
4 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.67 401.2
5 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.57 405.8
5 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.34 415.1
5 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.50 433.6
5 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 26.55 460.2
5 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.30 478.5
5 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.10 489.6
5 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.59 501.2
5 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.82 513.0
5 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 15.88 528.9
5 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 19.25 548.1
5 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.10 564.2
5 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.27 573.5
5 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.93 581.4
5 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.87 590.3
5 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.55 598.8 Peak 1st instar
5 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.10 607.9
5 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 14.65 622.6
5 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 15.05 637.6
5 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 21.45 659.1
5 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 20.70 679.8
5 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 22.70 702.5
5 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 25.60 728.1
5 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 29.10 757.2
5 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.75 773.9
5 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.20 790.1
5 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.70 808.8
5 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.95 836.8
5 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 28.60 865.4
5 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 30.15 895.5 Peak 2nd instar
5 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 33.40 928.9
5 31 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 20.75 949.7
6 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 21.05 970.7
6 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 23.10 993.8
6 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 24.95 1018.8
6 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.40 1037.2
6 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.85 1055.0 Peak 3rd instar
6 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 24.85 1079.9
6 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 31.05 1110.9
6 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 21.10 1132.0
6 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.05 1148.1
6 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.10 1165.2
6 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 15.96 1181.2
6 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 23.20 1204.4
6 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 19.55 1223.9 Pn
6 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.35 1240.3
6 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 19.80 1260.1
6 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.85 1278.9 Peak 4th instar
6 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.00 1296.9
6 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 28.70 1325.6
6 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 31.30 1356.9
6 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 31.40 1388.3
6 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 25.10 1413.4
6 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 22.40 1435.8
6 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 23.95 1459.8
6 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 29.65 1489.4
6 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 33.65 1523.1
6 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 37.80 1560.9
6 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 32.25 1593.1
6 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 29.50 1622.6
6 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.80 1650.4 2% pupation
6 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 29.40 1679.8
spongy moth from Jan 1 model - Sheehan-simpl.Location: 2017 AW330127 Moses Lake WA | Date | DDs | Event |
| 4-25-17 | 348 | 2% egg hatch |
| 5-15-17 | 599 | Peak 1st instar |
| 5-29-17 | 896 | Peak 2nd instar |
| 6-5-17 | 1055 | Peak 3rd instar |
| 6-16-17 | 1279 | Peak 4th instar |
| 6-29-17 | 1650 | 2% pupation |
![degree-day graph of spongy moth from Jan 1 [oak-maple] Sheehan-simpl.](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?4106964)
