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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 91,Song et al 2004
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011
Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River
2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier
3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles
4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA
6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations
7. 3049 DDs after biofix: Last trap catch - all locations
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 KCDH METAR Camden / Harrell Field AR Lat:33.6167 Long:-92.7667 Elev:131
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
3 1 73.40 39.20 0.00 15.48 15.5 * START *
3 2 66.20 32.00 0.00 10.12 25.6
3 3 68.00 32.00 0.00 10.96 36.6
3 4 69.80 35.60 0.00 12.63 49.2
3 5 64.40 48.20 0.04 15.30 64.5
3 6 73.40 59.00 0.02 25.20 89.7
3 7 69.80 39.20 0.00 13.69 103.4
3 8 75.20 33.80 0.00 14.80 118.2
3 9 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 139.8
3 10 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 156.0
3 11 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 158.7
3 12 59.00 32.00 0.00 6.79 165.5
3 13 59.00 32.00 0.00 6.79 172.3
3 14 55.40 28.40 0.00 4.76 177.0
3 15 53.60 32.00 0.00 4.39 181.4
3 16 64.40 41.00 0.00 11.70 193.1
3 17 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 219.2
3 18 82.40 55.40 0.00 27.90 247.1
3 19 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 274.1
3 20 87.80 59.00 0.00 32.40 306.5
3 21 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 335.3
3 22 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 358.7
3 23 86.00 48.20 0.00 26.10 384.8
3 24 80.60 59.00 0.02 28.80 413.6
3 25 73.40 50.00 0.03 20.70 434.3
3 26 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 458.6
3 27 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 488.3
3 28 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 516.2
3 29 80.60 64.40 0.03 31.50 547.7
3 30 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 563.9
3 31 82.40 41.00 0.00 20.70 584.6
4 1 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 613.4
4 2 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 635.9
4 3 77.00 53.60 0.00 24.30 660.2
4 4 75.10 49.40 0.00 21.25 681.4 Hx Hn
4 5 64.40 48.20 0.00 15.30 696.7
4 6 71.60 41.00 0.00 15.30 712.0
4 7 73.40 37.40 0.00 14.89 726.9
4 8 80.60 44.60 0.00 21.60 748.5
4 9 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 775.5
4 10 80.60 60.80 0.16 29.70 805.2
4 11 68.00 59.00 0.05 22.50 827.7
4 12 77.00 59.00 0.02 27.00 854.7
4 13 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 883.5 First trap catch - Hood River
4 14 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 913.2
4 15 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 942.0 First trap catch - Mosier
4 16 84.20 64.40 0.00 33.30 975.3
4 17 78.80 62.60 0.01 29.70 1005.0 First trap catch - The Dalles
4 18 84.20 59.00 0.00 30.60 1035.6 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
4 19 84.20 60.80 0.00 31.50 1067.1 First trap catch - WA
4 20 84.20 62.60 0.00 32.40 1099.5
4 21 86.00 62.60 0.00 33.30 1132.8
4 22 71.60 51.80 0.00 20.70 1153.5
4 23 71.60 46.40 0.00 18.00 1171.5
4 24 80.60 41.00 0.00 19.80 1191.3
4 25 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 1215.6
4 26 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 1238.1
4 27 73.40 44.60 0.00 18.00 1256.1
4 28 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 1287.6
4 29 82.40 68.00 0.00 34.20 1321.8
4 30 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1344.3
5 1 77.00 46.40 0.00 20.70 1365.0
5 2 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 1389.3
5 3 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 1412.7
5 4 62.60 48.20 0.00 14.40 1427.1
5 5 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 1447.8
5 6 80.60 46.40 0.00 22.50 1470.3
5 7 86.00 50.00 0.00 27.00 1497.3
5 8 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 1526.1
5 9 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 1554.9
5 10 86.00 62.60 0.00 33.30 1588.2
5 11 84.20 66.20 0.00 34.20 1622.4
5 12 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 1650.3
5 13 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1675.5 50% trap catch - all locations
5 14 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 1701.6
5 15 86.00 55.40 0.00 29.70 1731.3
5 16 86.00 59.00 0.00 31.50 1762.8
5 17 84.20 64.40 0.00 33.30 1796.1
5 18 87.80 71.60 0.00 38.70 1834.8
5 19 89.60 68.00 0.00 37.80 1872.6
5 20 80.60 68.00 0.00 33.30 1905.9
5 21 78.80 60.80 0.00 28.80 1934.7
5 22 66.20 59.00 0.00 21.60 1956.3
5 23 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 1984.2
5 24 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 2004.9
5 25 84.20 46.40 0.00 24.30 2029.2
5 26 86.00 66.20 0.00 35.10 2064.3
5 27 89.60 73.40 0.00 40.50 2104.8
5 28 84.20 64.40 0.00 33.30 2138.1
5 29 84.20 64.40 0.00 33.30 2171.4
5 30 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 2206.5
5 31 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 2241.6
6 1 75.20 66.20 0.00 29.70 2271.3
6 2 86.00 68.00 0.00 36.00 2307.3
6 3 87.80 68.00 0.00 36.90 2344.2
6 4 84.20 69.80 0.00 36.00 2380.2
6 5 86.00 69.80 0.00 36.90 2417.1
6 6 89.60 71.60 0.00 39.60 2456.7
6 7 82.40 59.00 0.00 29.70 2486.4
6 8 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2515.2
6 9 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2544.0
6 10 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2575.5
6 11 91.40 66.20 0.00 37.80 2613.3
6 12 91.40 71.60 0.00 40.50 2653.8
6 13 89.60 69.80 0.00 38.70 2692.5
6 14 91.40 71.60 0.00 40.50 2733.0
6 15 91.40 73.40 0.00 41.40 2774.4
6 16 95.00 73.40 0.00 43.20 2817.6
6 17 91.40 69.80 0.00 39.60 2857.2
6 18 87.80 71.60 0.00 38.70 2895.9
6 19 86.00 66.20 0.00 35.10 2931.0
6 20 91.40 64.40 0.00 36.90 2967.9
6 21 86.00 66.20 0.00 35.10 3003.0
6 22 84.20 73.40 0.00 37.80 3040.8
6 23 89.60 69.80 0.00 38.70 3079.5 Last trap catch - all locations
6 24 84.20 68.00 0.00 35.10 3114.6
6 25 86.00 64.40 0.00 34.20 3148.8
6 26 87.80 62.60 0.00 34.20 3183.0
6 27 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 3218.1
6 28 89.60 64.40 0.00 36.00 3254.1
6 29 89.60 71.60 0.00 39.60 3293.7
6 30 89.60 68.00 0.00 37.80 3331.5
Forecast using: 1910 KCDH PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat33.6167 Long-92.7667 DD50
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones et al 91Location: 2017 KCDH Camden / Harrell 1910 KCDH PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES | Date | DDs | Event |
| 4-13-17 | 884 | First trap catch - Hood River |
| 4-15-17 | 942 | First trap catch - Mosier |
| 4-17-17 | 1005 | First trap catch - The Dalles |
| 4-18-17 | 1036 | First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater |
| 4-19-17 | 1067 | First trap catch - WA |
| 5-13-17 | 1676 | 50% trap catch - all locations |
| 6-23-17 | 3080 | Last trap catch - all locations |
![degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones et al 91](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?2381459)
