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apple maggot % emerge [cherry, apple] insect model
of Jones et al 89
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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: apple maggot % emerge [cherry, apple]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 89
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 44 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 113 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: initialize at first emergence from traps
Starting/BIOFIX date: 6 15
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: testing
Region of known use: UT and OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 318 DD after 1st emerge 5% fly emerge
2. 541 DD after 1st emerge 25% fly emerge
3. 797 DD after 1st emerge 50% fly emerge
4. 1046 DD after 1st emerge 75% fly emerge
5. 1252 DD after 1st emerge 95% fly emerge
6. 1694 DD after 1st emerge 99% fly emerge
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 E5848 APRSWXNET EW5848 Gulf Shores AL Lat:30.3000 Long:-87.7000 Elev:30
mn day max min precip DD44 CUMDD44 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
6 15 86.00 70.00 0.12 34.00 34.0 * START *
6 16 90.00 70.00 0.03 36.00 70.0
6 17 84.00 69.00 0.03 32.50 102.5
6 18 87.00 73.00 0.00 36.00 138.5
6 19 87.00 73.00 0.43 36.00 174.5
6 20 75.00 71.00 4.29 29.00 203.5
6 21 81.00 72.00 1.03 32.50 236.0
6 22 85.00 78.00 0.42 37.50 273.5
6 23 85.00 79.00 0.00 38.00 311.5
6 24 88.00 79.00 0.00 39.50 351.0 5% fly emerge
6 25 89.00 72.00 1.14 36.50 387.5
6 26 89.00 68.00 0.00 34.50 422.0
6 27 86.00 71.00 0.02 34.50 456.5
6 28 87.00 73.00 0.78 36.00 492.5
6 29 82.00 73.00 0.90 33.50 526.0
6 30 88.00 77.00 0.08 38.50 564.5 25% fly emerge
Forecast using: 1910 E5848 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat30.3000 Long-87.7000 DD50
apple maggot % emerge model - Jones et al 89Location: 2017 E5848 EW5848 Gulf Shores 1910 E5848 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Date | DDs | Event |
6-24-17 | 351 | 5% fly emerge |
6-30-17 | 564 | 25% fly emerge |
2-20-17 | 812 | 50% fly emerge |
3-5-17 | 1046 | 75% fly emerge |
3-19-17 | 1266 | 95% fly emerge |
4-5-17 | 1696 | 99% fly emerge |