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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 91,Song et al 2004
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1
Ending date: 7 31
Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011
Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River
2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier
3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles
4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA
6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations
7. 3049 DDs after biofix: Last trap catch - all locations
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 MF22663 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burlinggame Lefore OR Lat45.9592 Long:-118.3756 Elev:925
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
3 1 63.90 40.00 0.03 11.04 11.0 * START *
3 2 59.30 40.90 0.00 9.10 20.1
3 3 64.60 45.10 0.02 13.85 34.0
3 4 59.60 34.50 0.00 7.49 41.5
3 5 64.60 49.00 0.01 15.80 57.3
3 6 66.00 48.30 0.03 16.15 73.4
3 7 56.60 41.10 0.00 7.85 81.3
3 8 53.20 36.20 0.00 4.82 86.1
3 9 58.10 42.30 0.00 9.20 95.3
3 10 62.00 43.70 0.02 11.85 107.1
3 11 47.10 34.80 0.03 1.93 109.1
3 12 54.50 39.80 0.02 6.30 115.4
3 13 58.40 38.70 0.00 7.89 123.3
3 14 50.70 38.10 0.00 4.01 127.3
3 15 51.60 40.00 0.00 4.93 132.2
3 16 55.40 38.20 0.00 6.29 138.5
3 17 54.30 32.40 0.00 4.74 143.2
3 18 57.80 27.10 0.00 5.63 148.9
3 19 62.50 31.20 0.00 8.26 157.1
3 20 61.50 36.40 0.05 8.80 165.9
3 21 63.60 43.80 0.00 12.70 178.6
3 22 52.80 43.10 0.08 6.95 185.6
3 23 60.20 44.40 0.00 11.30 196.9
3 24 58.10 46.60 0.00 11.35 208.2
3 25 55.90 42.90 0.01 8.40 216.6
3 26 63.10 39.80 0.00 10.57 227.2
3 27 57.60 48.10 0.01 11.85 239.0
3 28 51.10 38.10 0.00 4.20 243.2
3 29 61.60 36.70 0.00 8.92 252.2
3 30 64.30 35.80 0.00 10.01 262.2
3 31 72.00 44.10 0.00 17.05 279.2
4 1 76.90 42.90 0.00 18.90 298.1
4 2 77.40 52.20 0.00 23.80 321.9
4 3 75.90 45.50 0.00 19.70 341.6
4 4 61.80 46.70 0.09 13.25 354.9 Hx
4 5 63.80 40.40 0.00 11.14 366.0
4 6 62.20 38.80 0.00 9.79 375.8 Hx
4 7 75.20 35.60 0.00 15.26 391.0
4 8 78.50 46.50 0.00 21.50 412.5
4 9 81.90 53.70 0.00 26.80 439.3
4 10 75.20 48.70 0.00 20.95 460.3
4 11 78.80 47.80 0.00 22.30 482.6
4 12 67.70 50.80 0.02 18.25 500.8
4 13 63.10 48.40 0.00 14.75 515.6
4 14 64.90 42.50 0.01 12.70 528.3
4 15 67.20 44.70 0.00 14.95 543.2
4 16 71.50 40.10 0.00 14.86 558.1
4 17 79.00 38.80 0.00 18.12 576.2
4 18 79.00 40.50 0.00 18.77 595.0 Vx
4 19 84.30 47.60 0.00 24.95 620.0
4 20 87.30 46.40 0.00 25.85 645.8
4 21 79.80 53.70 0.00 25.75 671.6
4 22 75.10 54.60 0.01 23.85 695.4
4 23 71.70 52.80 0.00 21.25 716.7
4 24 66.20 49.20 0.00 16.70 733.4
4 25 64.60 42.40 0.00 12.50 745.9 Vx
4 26 65.40 43.00 0.00 13.20 759.1
4 27 60.70 47.70 0.01 13.20 772.3
4 28 71.70 49.50 0.00 19.60 791.9
4 29 58.40 48.30 0.03 12.35 804.2
4 30 68.30 47.60 0.01 16.95 821.2
5 1 77.70 42.90 0.00 19.30 840.5
5 2 84.70 45.80 0.00 24.25 864.7 Vx First trap catch - Hood River
5 3 88.40 64.80 0.00 35.60 900.3
5 4 77.30 58.70 0.00 27.00 927.3 First trap catch - Mosier
5 5 69.10 45.80 0.00 16.45 943.8 Hx Hn
5 6 77.70 51.50 0.01 23.60 967.4
5 7 83.70 52.70 0.00 27.20 994.6 First trap catch - The Dalles
5 8 78.70 58.70 0.00 27.70 1022.3
5 9 65.30 47.50 0.00 15.40 1037.7 Vx First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5 10 73.80 40.70 0.00 16.26 1053.9
5 11 81.10 46.20 0.00 22.65 1076.6 Vx Vn First trap catch - WA
5 12 86.50 62.10 0.00 33.30 1109.9
5 13 82.90 47.60 0.00 24.25 1134.1
5 14 67.50 52.70 0.08 19.10 1153.2
5 15 59.20 50.90 0.09 14.05 1167.3
5 16 70.10 51.60 0.03 19.85 1187.1
5 17 77.90 49.90 0.00 22.90 1210.0
5 18 83.30 56.40 0.00 28.85 1238.9
5 19 68.80 49.20 0.00 18.00 1256.9
5 20 61.20 40.90 0.00 10.05 1266.9
5 21 64.10 46.00 0.02 14.05 1281.0
5 22 69.10 50.80 0.00 18.95 1299.9
5 23 72.00 51.20 0.00 20.60 1320.5
5 24 71.90 50.20 0.00 20.05 1340.6
5 25 77.70 48.60 0.00 22.15 1362.7
5 26 70.50 51.20 0.00 19.85 1382.6
5 27 68.30 50.50 0.00 18.40 1401.0
5 28 76.30 48.80 0.00 21.55 1422.5
5 29 78.70 55.30 0.00 26.00 1448.5
5 30 75.90 50.60 0.00 22.25 1470.8 Vx
5 31 84.40 46.70 0.00 24.55 1495.3 Vx
6 1 84.00 52.30 0.00 27.15 1522.5
6 2 75.70 62.00 0.00 27.85 1550.3
6 3 85.80 57.70 0.00 30.75 1581.1
6 4 92.60 51.70 0.00 31.15 1612.2
6 5 92.90 56.40 0.00 33.65 1645.9
6 6 99.00 65.60 0.00 41.30 1687.2 Vx 50% trap catch - all locations
6 7 97.00 65.70 0.00 40.35 1727.5
6 8 86.50 66.90 0.00 35.70 1763.2
6 9 76.90 58.20 0.00 26.55 1789.8
6 10 70.50 52.70 0.04 20.60 1810.4
6 11 74.00 48.90 0.00 20.45 1830.8
6 12 79.50 46.50 0.00 22.00 1852.8
6 13 74.70 54.30 0.00 23.50 1876.3 Vx
6 14 70.00 50.40 0.00 19.20 1895.5
6 15 69.00 48.30 0.00 17.65 1913.2
6 16 67.90 47.00 0.02 16.45 1929.6
6 17 77.10 46.60 0.00 20.85 1950.5
6 18 59.00 54.70 0.07 15.85 1966.3
6 19 73.40 46.80 0.00 19.10 1985.4
6 20 79.60 47.20 0.00 22.40 2007.8
6 21 80.70 58.40 0.00 28.55 2036.4
6 22 85.80 50.10 0.00 26.95 2063.3
6 23 81.10 58.70 0.00 28.90 2092.2
6 24 74.50 54.20 0.01 23.35 2115.6
6 25 80.70 49.90 0.00 24.30 2139.9
6 26 90.80 49.20 0.00 29.00 2168.9
6 27 93.30 56.90 0.00 34.10 2203.0 Vx
6 28 86.00 64.60 0.02 34.30 2237.3
6 29 94.40 66.20 0.00 39.30 2276.6 Vx
6 30 91.80 66.20 0.00 38.00 2314.6 Vx Vn
7 1 88.90 60.50 0.00 33.70 2348.3 Vx
7 2 89.90 62.70 0.00 35.30 2383.6 Vx
7 3 85.40 67.00 0.00 35.20 2418.8 Vx
7 4 80.30 57.30 0.00 27.80 2446.6 Vx Vn
7 5 78.70 55.00 0.00 25.85 2472.4
7 6 80.70 61.00 0.00 29.85 2502.3
7 7 81.30 56.80 0.00 28.05 2530.3 Vx
7 8 77.70 59.70 0.16 27.70 2558.0 Vx
7 9 77.70 57.60 0.07 26.65 2584.7
7 10 67.80 57.30 0.00 21.55 2606.2
7 11 80.50 58.70 0.00 28.60 2634.8 Vx Vn
7 12 80.00 56.80 0.01 27.40 2662.2
7 13 83.70 57.10 0.00 29.40 2691.6
7 14 89.60 57.60 0.00 32.60 2724.2 Vx
7 15 81.20 56.90 0.00 28.05 2752.3 Vx
7 16 83.50 58.50 0.00 30.00 2782.3 Vx
7 17 87.80 59.80 0.00 32.80 2815.1 Vx
7 18 80.60 59.70 0.00 29.15 2844.2 Vx
7 19 80.00 60.00 0.00 29.00 2873.2
7 20 87.40 61.70 0.00 33.55 2906.8 Vx
7 21 95.10 55.60 0.00 34.35 2941.1 Vx
7 22 82.80 63.30 0.00 32.05 2973.2 Vx
7 23 83.90 57.00 0.00 29.45 3002.6 Vx
7 24 90.00 56.20 0.00 32.10 3034.7 Vx
7 25 96.60 63.60 0.00 39.10 3073.8 Vx Last trap catch - all locations
7 26 95.20 71.40 0.00 42.30 3116.1 Vx
7 27 95.00 69.20 0.00 41.10 3157.2 Vx Vn
7 28 99.10 67.70 0.00 42.40 3199.6 Vx
7 29 101.50 69.60 0.00 44.55 3244.2 Vx
7 30 94.50 71.70 0.00 42.10 3286.3 Vx Vn
7 31 86.50 59.70 0.00 32.10 3318.4
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF22663 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones et al 91Location: 2016 MF22663 Burlinggame Lefore OR Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-2-16 | 865 | First trap catch - Hood River |
| 5-4-16 | 927 | First trap catch - Mosier |
| 5-7-16 | 995 | First trap catch - The Dalles |
| 5-9-16 | 1038 | First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater |
| 5-11-16 | 1077 | First trap catch - WA |
| 6-6-16 | 1687 | 50% trap catch - all locations |
| 7-25-16 | 3074 | Last trap catch - all locations |
![degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones et al 91](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?1793618)
