Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamagepupaadult
orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit]
insect model of Knight 1988


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 1988 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 850 DDs after biofix: Peak pheromone trap catch 2. 950 DDs after biofix: Peak female adult emergence 3. 1000 DDs after biofix: Peak egg laying 4. 1270 DDs after biofix: Peak egg hatch 5. 2070 DDs after biofix: Peak in density large larvae ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2023 CYXX CANADA Abbotsford: B. C. BC Lat:49.0331 Long:-122.3667 Elev:177 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 0.9 * START * 1 2 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 1.2 1 3 39.20 32.00 0.00 0.00 1.2 1 4 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 2.1 1 5 53.60 42.80 0.00 7.20 9.3 1 6 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 15.6 1 7 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 18.3 1 8 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 19.7 1 9 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 23.2 1 10 51.80 41.00 0.00 5.40 28.6 1 11 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 31.4 1 12 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 35.0 1 13 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 42.2 1 14 51.80 42.80 0.00 6.30 48.5 1 15 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 53.0 1 16 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 55.2 1 17 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 57.3 1 18 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 58.9 1 19 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 59.8 1 20 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 61.3 1 21 41.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 61.3 1 22 39.20 35.60 0.00 0.00 61.3 1 23 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 61.7 1 24 41.00 39.20 0.00 0.00 61.7 1 25 44.60 41.00 0.00 1.80 63.5 1 26 42.80 41.00 0.00 0.90 64.4 1 27 44.60 41.00 0.00 1.80 66.2 1 28 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 67.7 1 29 37.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 67.7 1 30 32.00 21.20 0.00 0.00 67.7 1 31 32.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 67.7 2 1 37.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 67.7 2 2 41.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 67.7 2 3 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 71.0 2 4 46.40 42.80 0.00 3.60 74.6 2 5 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 76.8 2 6 48.20 41.00 0.00 3.60 80.4 2 7 50.00 41.00 0.00 4.50 84.9 2 8 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 86.5 2 9 42.80 39.20 0.00 0.57 87.0 2 10 51.80 35.60 0.00 4.07 91.1 2 11 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 92.6 2 12 42.80 39.20 0.00 0.57 93.1 2 13 48.20 37.40 0.00 2.72 95.9 2 14 46.40 32.00 0.00 1.46 97.3 2 15 44.60 28.40 0.00 0.74 98.1 2 16 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 99.1 2 17 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 99.4 2 18 44.60 39.20 0.00 1.36 100.8 2 19 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 103.0 2 20 46.40 44.60 0.00 4.50 107.5 2 21 44.60 33.80 0.00 0.92 108.4 2 22 32.00 24.80 0.00 0.00 108.4 2 23 30.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 108.4 2 24 32.00 17.60 0.00 0.00 108.4 2 25 35.60 24.80 0.00 0.00 108.4 2 26 41.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 108.4 2 27 37.40 26.60 0.00 0.00 108.4 2 28 35.60 24.80 0.00 0.00 108.4 3 1 39.20 21.20 0.00 0.00 108.4 3 2 46.40 35.60 0.00 1.72 110.1 3 3 42.80 35.60 0.00 0.39 110.5 3 4 42.80 33.80 0.00 0.35 110.8 3 5 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 113.9 3 6 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 116.4 3 7 50.00 32.00 0.00 2.86 119.2 3 8 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 122.8 3 9 55.40 33.80 0.00 5.43 128.3 3 10 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 130.5 3 11 46.40 37.40 0.00 1.91 132.4 3 12 48.20 35.60 0.00 2.48 134.9 3 13 46.40 39.20 0.00 2.19 137.0 3 14 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 140.3 3 15 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 143.6 3 16 55.40 32.00 0.00 5.17 148.7 3 17 59.00 35.60 0.00 7.43 156.2 3 18 64.40 37.40 0.00 10.47 166.6 3 19 60.80 41.00 0.00 9.90 176.5 3 20 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 183.7 3 21 59.00 42.80 0.00 9.90 193.6 3 22 60.80 35.60 0.00 8.29 201.9 3 23 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 206.7 3 24 41.00 35.60 0.00 0.00 206.7 3 25 44.60 35.60 0.00 1.01 207.7 3 26 46.40 33.80 0.00 1.58 209.3 3 27 57.20 32.00 0.00 5.98 215.3 3 28 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 227.0 3 29 62.60 44.60 0.00 12.60 239.6 3 30 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 244.5 3 31 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 249.0 4 1 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 252.5 4 2 42.80 32.00 0.00 0.32 252.8 4 3 48.20 32.00 0.00 2.14 255.0 4 4 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 258.5 4 5 51.80 32.00 0.00 3.61 262.1 4 6 48.20 42.80 0.00 4.50 266.6 4 7 53.60 46.40 0.00 9.00 275.6 4 8 51.80 44.60 0.00 7.20 282.8 4 9 55.40 44.60 0.00 9.00 291.8 4 10 46.40 41.00 0.00 2.70 294.5 4 11 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 298.9 4 12 53.60 33.80 0.00 4.62 303.5 4 13 51.80 37.40 0.00 4.38 307.9 4 14 55.40 32.00 0.00 5.17 313.1 4 15 50.00 39.20 0.00 3.92 317.0 4 16 48.20 39.20 0.00 3.05 320.1 4 17 50.00 33.80 0.00 3.04 323.1 4 18 50.00 37.40 0.00 3.54 326.7 4 19 53.60 35.60 0.00 4.90 331.5 4 20 50.00 35.60 0.00 3.26 334.8 4 21 51.80 39.20 0.00 4.79 339.6 4 22 57.20 42.80 0.00 9.00 348.6 4 23 50.00 46.40 0.00 7.20 355.8 4 24 57.20 44.60 0.00 9.90 365.7 4 25 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 376.5 4 26 59.00 44.60 0.00 10.80 387.3 4 27 68.00 42.80 0.00 14.40 401.7 4 28 77.00 46.40 0.00 20.70 422.4 4 29 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 444.9 4 30 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 458.4 5 1 57.20 48.20 0.00 11.70 470.1 5 2 75.20 48.20 0.00 20.70 490.8 5 3 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 514.2 5 4 66.20 51.80 0.00 18.00 532.2 5 5 53.60 48.20 0.00 9.90 542.1 5 6 55.40 48.20 0.00 10.80 552.9 5 7 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 566.4 5 8 62.60 42.80 0.00 11.70 578.1 5 9 64.40 44.60 0.00 13.50 591.6 5 10 68.00 44.60 0.00 15.30 606.9 5 11 73.40 44.60 0.00 18.00 624.9 5 12 80.60 50.00 0.00 24.30 649.2 5 13 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 680.7 5 14 91.40 62.60 0.00 36.00 716.7 5 15 87.80 62.60 0.00 34.20 750.9 5 16 73.40 59.00 0.00 25.20 776.1 5 17 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 802.2 5 18 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 829.2 5 19 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 854.4 Peak pheromone trap catch 5 20 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 877.8 5 21 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 896.7 5 22 55.40 50.00 0.00 11.70 908.4 5 23 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 921.9 5 24 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 939.9 5 25 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 963.3 Peak female adult emergence 5 26 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 989.4 5 27 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 1009.2 Peak egg laying 5 28 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 1029.0 5 29 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1047.0 5 30 62.60 46.40 0.00 13.50 1060.5 5 31 64.40 44.60 0.00 13.50 1074.0 6 1 68.00 46.40 0.00 16.20 1090.2 6 2 71.60 46.40 0.00 18.00 1108.2 6 3 71.60 48.20 0.00 18.90 1127.1 6 4 69.80 46.40 0.00 17.10 1144.2 6 5 73.40 46.40 0.00 18.90 1163.1 6 6 86.00 44.60 0.00 24.30 1187.4 6 7 86.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 1216.2 6 8 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1240.5 6 9 62.60 51.80 0.00 16.20 1256.7 6 10 59.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 1271.1 Peak egg hatch 6 11 71.60 55.40 0.00 22.50 1293.6 6 12 80.60 55.40 0.00 27.00 1320.6 6 13 66.20 53.60 0.00 18.90 1339.5 6 14 62.60 50.00 0.00 15.30 1354.8 6 15 71.60 53.60 0.00 21.60 1376.4 6 16 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 1398.0 6 17 64.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 1414.2 6 18 60.80 48.20 0.00 13.50 1427.7 6 19 53.60 48.20 0.00 9.90 1437.6 6 20 59.00 50.00 0.00 13.50 1451.1 6 21 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 1470.0 6 22 77.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 1492.5 6 23 78.80 53.60 0.00 25.20 1517.7 6 24 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 1536.6 6 25 75.20 51.80 0.00 22.50 1559.1 6 26 73.40 53.60 0.00 22.50 1581.6 6 27 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1605.0 6 28 77.00 57.20 0.00 26.10 1631.1 6 29 78.80 57.20 0.00 27.00 1658.1 6 30 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 1684.2 7 1 75.20 53.60 0.00 23.40 1707.6 7 2 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 1731.0 7 3 84.20 53.60 0.00 27.90 1758.9 7 4 87.80 55.40 0.00 30.60 1789.5 7 5 87.80 60.80 0.00 33.30 1822.8 7 6 84.20 57.20 0.00 29.70 1852.5 7 7 73.40 57.20 0.00 24.30 1876.8 7 8 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 1900.2 7 9 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 1925.4 7 10 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 1946.1 7 11 75.20 59.00 0.00 26.10 1972.2 7 12 75.20 55.40 0.00 24.30 1996.5 7 13 78.80 55.40 0.00 26.10 2022.6 7 14 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 2051.4 7 15 87.80 57.20 0.00 31.50 2082.9 Peak in density large larvae 7 16 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 2111.7 7 17 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 2138.7 7 18 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 2164.8 7 19 89.60 55.40 0.00 31.50 2196.3 7 20 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 2228.7 7 21 78.80 59.00 0.00 27.90 2256.6 7 22 80.60 57.20 0.00 27.90 2284.5 7 23 82.40 57.20 0.00 28.80 2313.3 7 24 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 2334.9 7 25 68.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 2355.6 7 26 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 2376.3 7 27 77.00 55.40 0.00 25.20 2401.5 7 28 80.20 55.80 0.00 27.00 2428.5 Hx Hn 7 29 81.40 55.10 0.00 27.25 2455.8 Hx Hn 7 30 84.50 56.00 0.00 29.25 2485.0 Hx Hn 7 31 84.40 57.30 0.00 29.85 2514.9 Hx Hn 8 1 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2541.0 8 2 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 2567.1 8 3 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 2594.1 8 4 82.40 53.60 0.00 27.00 2621.1 8 5 77.00 59.00 0.00 27.00 2648.1 8 6 77.00 60.80 0.00 27.90 2676.0 8 7 77.00 62.60 0.00 28.80 2704.8 8 8 75.20 60.80 0.00 27.00 2731.8 8 9 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2757.9 8 10 73.40 60.80 0.00 26.10 2784.0 8 11 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 2808.3 8 12 80.60 59.00 0.00 28.80 2837.1 8 13 91.40 59.00 0.00 34.20 2871.3 8 14 89.60 62.60 0.00 35.10 2906.4 8 15 89.60 60.80 0.00 34.20 2940.6 8 16 89.60 64.40 0.00 36.00 2976.6 8 17 86.00 60.80 0.00 32.40 3009.0 8 18 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 3032.4 8 19 82.40 51.80 0.00 26.10 3058.5 8 20 78.80 51.80 0.00 24.30 3082.8 8 21 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 3103.5 8 22 74.90 53.60 0.00 23.25 3126.7 Hx 8 23 69.80 55.40 0.00 21.60 3148.3 8 24 80.60 53.60 0.00 26.10 3174.4 8 25 78.80 60.80 0.00 28.80 3203.2 8 26 91.40 59.00 0.00 34.20 3237.4 8 27 89.60 59.00 0.00 33.30 3270.7 8 28 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 3294.1 8 29 62.60 59.00 0.00 19.80 3313.9 8 30 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 3336.4 8 31 71.60 57.20 0.00 23.40 3359.8 9 1 84.20 55.40 0.00 28.80 3388.6 9 2 84.20 52.90 0.00 27.55 3416.2 Hn 9 3 69.80 57.20 0.00 22.50 3438.7 9 4 64.40 55.40 0.00 18.90 3457.6 9 5 68.00 57.20 0.00 21.60 3479.2 9 6 69.80 50.00 0.00 18.90 3498.1 9 7 69.80 51.80 0.00 19.80 3517.9 9 8 73.40 50.00 0.00 20.70 3538.6 9 9 82.40 48.20 0.00 24.30 3562.9 9 10 77.00 51.80 0.00 23.40 3586.3 9 11 75.80 54.00 0.00 23.90 3610.2 Hx Hn 9 12 64.40 53.20 0.00 17.80 3628.0 Hn 9 13 73.40 55.40 0.00 23.40 3651.4 9 14 78.80 50.00 0.00 23.40 3674.8 9 15 82.40 50.00 0.00 25.20 3700.0 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 CYXX PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
orange tortrix (mild winter) model - Knight 1988
Location: 2023 CYXX Abbotsford: B. C.
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-19-23 854Peak pheromone trap catch
 5-25-23 963Peak female adult emergence
 5-27-23 1009Peak egg laying
 6-10-23 1271Peak egg hatch
 7-15-23 2083Peak in density large larvae
degree-day graph of orange tortrix (mild winter) [small fruit] Knight 1988