Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
peach twig borer [stone fruits]
insect model of 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: peach twig borer [stone fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: 1st consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps
   (ca. 405 DD after Mar 1 or Jan 1 in warm climates) Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 15 Ending date: 9 30 Model validation status: requires local validation Region of known use: used in NW USA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 55 DDs after biofix: OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 2. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 3. 350 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 4. 500 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 5. 684 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 6. 1080 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7. 1280 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 8. 1500 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 9. 1760 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 10. 2240 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 11. 2580 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight 12. 2820 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 3rd gen. 4% male flight 13. 3180 DDs after biofix: 4th gen. ca. 13% egg hatch (warmer climates only) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24513 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Wondra OR Lat45.9542 Long:-118.4481 Elev:839 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 5 26 72.50 55.50 0.00 14.00 14.0 * START * 5 27 68.30 51.40 0.00 9.85 23.8 5 28 75.60 50.10 0.00 12.85 36.7 5 29 79.70 55.80 0.00 17.75 54.4 5 30 76.30 50.00 0.00 13.15 67.6 OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 5 31 85.40 45.60 0.00 16.13 83.7 6 1 86.10 52.70 0.00 19.40 103.1 6 2 78.90 65.60 0.00 22.25 125.4 6 3 87.00 59.90 0.00 23.45 148.8 6 4 94.30 53.20 0.00 22.69 171.5 6 5 95.80 55.60 0.00 24.21 195.7 6 6 100.00 65.00 0.00 29.40 225.1 Vx 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 6 7 100.00 68.10 0.00 30.79 255.9 6 8 89.70 70.30 0.00 29.78 285.7 6 9 81.00 61.00 0.00 21.00 306.7 6 10 69.10 54.40 0.00 11.75 318.5 6 11 72.20 51.20 0.00 11.70 330.2 6 12 79.90 49.50 0.00 14.73 344.9 6 13 77.10 56.60 0.00 16.85 361.7 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 6 14 69.60 52.40 0.00 11.00 372.7 6 15 68.60 48.30 0.00 8.66 381.4 6 16 69.70 47.30 0.00 8.90 390.3 6 17 79.10 47.00 0.00 13.44 403.7 6 18 67.20 55.10 0.00 11.15 414.9 6 19 78.20 45.00 0.00 12.44 427.3 6 20 81.70 47.90 0.00 15.02 442.3 Vx 6 21 79.70 58.10 0.00 18.90 461.2 6 22 85.70 50.50 0.00 18.10 479.3 Vx 6 23 80.10 62.30 0.00 21.20 500.5 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 6 24 74.80 55.30 0.00 15.05 515.6 6 25 81.50 53.50 0.00 17.50 533.1 Vx 6 26 90.80 51.20 0.00 20.68 553.8 6 27 93.20 58.30 0.00 24.88 578.7 Vx 6 28 95.00 68.30 0.00 30.09 608.7 6 29 94.40 64.90 0.00 28.36 637.1 Vx Vn 6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 27.71 664.8 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 26.17 691.0 Vx Vn 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 7 2 89.80 62.80 0.00 26.10 717.1 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 65.00 0.00 25.30 742.4 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 19.10 761.5 Vx Vn 7 5 80.30 58.40 0.00 19.35 780.8 7 6 80.60 60.50 0.00 20.55 801.4 Vx 7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 21.20 822.6 Vx Vn 7 8 77.60 61.10 0.00 19.35 841.9 Vx 7 9 78.00 57.80 0.00 17.90 859.8 Vx 7 10 69.70 58.90 0.00 14.30 874.1 7 11 78.50 59.70 0.00 19.10 893.2 7 12 77.20 58.50 0.00 17.85 911.1 7 13 83.20 59.70 0.00 21.45 932.5 Vx 7 14 90.00 53.50 0.00 21.55 954.1 Vx 7 15 81.40 59.30 0.00 20.35 974.4 Vx 7 16 83.60 60.60 0.00 22.10 996.5 Vx 7 17 88.10 60.00 0.00 24.05 1020.6 Vx 7 18 80.80 62.40 0.00 21.60 1042.2 Vx 7 19 79.50 61.60 0.00 20.55 1062.7 Vx 7 20 87.70 63.10 0.00 25.40 1088.1 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7 21 95.00 56.50 0.00 24.46 1112.6 Vx 7 22 82.60 64.30 0.00 23.45 1136.0 Vx Vn 7 23 85.20 58.50 0.00 21.85 1157.9 7 24 90.20 55.10 0.00 22.41 1180.3 Vx 7 25 96.70 60.10 0.00 26.55 1206.9 Vx 7 26 95.60 72.90 0.00 32.31 1239.2 Vx 7 27 96.60 70.00 0.00 31.15 1270.3 7 28 99.00 66.40 0.00 29.88 1300.2 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 7 29 101.90 67.00 0.00 30.56 1330.8 Vx 7 30 94.80 76.30 0.00 33.73 1364.5 Vx 7 31 87.20 62.60 0.00 24.90 1389.4 Vx Vn 8 1 90.60 55.40 0.00 22.70 1412.1 Vx Vn 8 2 78.40 61.10 0.00 19.75 1431.8 Vx Vn 8 3 84.10 56.50 0.00 20.30 1452.1 Vx 8 4 92.90 54.20 0.00 22.80 1474.9 Vx Vn 8 5 94.40 54.70 0.00 23.44 1498.4 Vx 8 6 89.90 64.30 0.00 26.88 1525.3 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 8 7 83.00 64.20 0.00 23.60 1548.9 Vx 8 8 78.50 55.00 0.00 16.75 1565.6 8 9 74.50 56.70 0.00 15.60 1581.2 8 10 84.00 58.00 0.00 21.00 1602.2 Vx 8 11 90.40 57.60 0.00 23.72 1625.9 Vx Vn 8 12 95.90 61.30 0.00 26.96 1652.9 Vx Vn 8 13 98.00 65.50 0.00 29.32 1682.2 Vx Vn 8 14 95.80 70.70 0.00 31.34 1713.5 Vx Vn 8 15 95.90 62.40 0.00 27.48 1741.0 Vx Vn 8 16 98.80 63.80 0.00 28.67 1769.7 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 8 17 95.00 65.40 0.00 28.72 1798.4 Vx 8 18 97.50 62.60 0.00 27.88 1826.3 8 19 94.10 59.10 0.00 25.50 1851.8 8 20 99.50 55.80 0.00 25.07 1876.9 8 21 98.30 66.40 0.00 29.78 1906.6 8 22 83.80 56.70 0.00 20.25 1926.9 8 23 86.60 51.20 0.00 18.90 1945.8 8 24 86.90 52.80 0.00 19.85 1965.6 Vx 8 25 95.90 50.70 0.00 21.87 1987.5 8 26 94.00 50.00 0.00 21.05 2008.6 8 27 92.80 71.70 0.00 31.25 2039.8 8 28 95.70 59.30 0.00 25.96 2065.8 Vn 8 29 91.80 57.30 0.00 24.01 2089.8 Vx 8 30 85.10 64.10 0.00 24.60 2114.4 8 31 91.90 59.60 0.00 25.17 2139.5 9 1 80.90 59.50 0.00 20.20 2159.7 9 2 77.00 55.40 0.00 16.20 2175.9 9 3 74.40 58.30 0.00 16.35 2192.3 9 4 76.50 46.30 0.00 11.96 2204.3 9 5 74.70 53.40 0.00 14.05 2218.3 Vx 9 6 66.60 57.10 0.00 11.85 2230.2 9 7 79.20 60.00 0.00 19.60 2249.8 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 9 8 80.50 60.70 0.00 20.60 2270.4 9 9 81.50 50.20 0.00 15.85 2286.2 9 10 92.60 45.60 0.00 19.06 2305.3 9 11 75.80 59.00 0.00 17.40 2322.7 Vx 9 12 73.10 45.30 0.00 10.03 2332.7 Vx 9 13 74.30 38.10 0.00 9.20 2341.9 9 14 81.80 47.10 0.00 14.81 2356.7 9 15 86.60 53.70 0.00 20.15 2376.9 9 16 90.00 51.00 0.00 20.31 2397.2 9 17 73.10 65.10 0.00 19.10 2416.3 9 18 74.50 60.80 0.00 17.65 2433.9 9 19 68.10 59.80 0.00 13.95 2447.9 Vx 9 20 71.20 49.80 0.00 10.51 2458.4 9 21 65.10 41.30 0.00 5.53 2463.9 9 22 58.50 48.60 0.00 3.78 2467.7 9 23 68.20 53.90 0.00 11.05 2478.7 9 24 70.80 52.60 0.00 11.70 2490.4 Vx 9 25 84.90 50.20 0.00 17.55 2508.0 9 26 82.80 48.00 0.00 15.60 2523.6 Vx 9 27 87.20 60.30 0.00 23.75 2547.3 9 28 79.10 52.00 0.00 15.55 2562.9 9 29 81.80 48.00 0.00 15.11 2578.0 9 30 77.10 55.30 0.00 16.20 2594.2 3rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24513 2006-2015
peach twig borer model - 2007 USU Ext.
Location: 2016 MF24513 Burkes Wondra OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-30-16 68OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying
 6-6-16 2251st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight
 6-13-16 3621st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight
 6-23-16 5011st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight
 7-1-16 6911st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation
 7-20-16 10882nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight
 7-28-16 13002nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight
 8-6-16 15252nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight
 8-16-16 17702nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight
 9-7-16 22503rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight
 9-30-16 25943rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight
degree-day graph of peach twig borer [stone fruits] 2007 USU Ext.