Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
peach twig borer [stone fruits]
insect model of 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: peach twig borer [stone fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: 1st consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps
   (ca. 405 DD after Mar 1 or Jan 1 in warm climates) Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 15 Ending date: 9 30 Model validation status: requires local validation Region of known use: used in NW USA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 55 DDs after biofix: OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 2. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 3. 350 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 4. 500 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 5. 684 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 6. 1080 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7. 1280 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 8. 1500 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 9. 1760 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 10. 2240 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 11. 2580 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight 12. 2820 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 3rd gen. 4% male flight 13. 3180 DDs after biofix: 4th gen. ca. 13% egg hatch (warmer climates only) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF22700 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Blue Mt Cherry OR Lat:45.9567 Long:-118.4367 Elev:869 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 5 26 69.40 52.40 0.00 10.90 10.9 * START * 5 27 66.90 49.00 0.00 8.05 19.0 5 28 71.90 47.50 0.00 10.04 29.0 5 29 75.60 54.60 0.00 15.10 44.1 5 30 73.40 47.40 0.00 10.75 54.8 5 31 81.30 44.70 0.00 13.87 68.7 OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 6 1 82.40 51.40 0.00 16.90 85.6 6 2 76.80 64.20 0.00 20.50 106.1 6 3 84.70 57.50 0.00 21.10 127.2 6 4 90.90 52.90 0.00 21.56 148.8 6 5 92.60 55.50 0.00 23.35 172.1 6 6 99.80 64.50 0.00 29.15 201.3 Vx 6 7 97.80 64.50 0.00 28.82 230.1 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 6 8 89.90 69.60 0.00 29.50 259.6 6 9 79.70 59.60 0.00 19.65 279.2 6 10 69.80 53.00 0.06 11.40 290.6 6 11 71.50 50.90 0.00 11.20 301.8 6 12 81.40 48.40 0.00 15.05 316.9 6 13 75.80 52.90 0.00 14.35 331.2 6 14 70.90 51.20 0.00 11.05 342.3 6 15 71.50 48.20 0.00 10.06 352.4 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 6 16 70.60 49.00 0.02 9.89 362.2 6 17 78.20 46.50 0.00 12.85 375.1 6 18 68.00 54.60 0.14 11.30 386.4 6 19 76.50 43.90 0.00 11.34 397.7 6 20 81.50 46.80 0.00 14.57 412.3 Vx 6 21 80.00 56.20 0.00 18.10 430.4 6 22 84.30 50.20 0.00 17.25 447.7 6 23 79.00 61.30 0.00 20.15 467.8 6 24 71.00 52.90 0.02 11.95 479.8 6 25 79.60 52.40 0.00 16.00 495.8 6 26 87.00 50.10 0.00 18.55 514.3 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 6 27 89.30 52.10 0.00 20.60 534.9 6 28 90.70 63.60 0.00 26.78 561.7 6 29 88.30 60.80 0.00 24.54 586.2 6 30 87.90 63.50 0.00 25.70 611.9 7 1 86.70 58.50 0.00 22.60 634.5 7 2 88.20 62.20 0.00 25.19 659.7 7 3 85.60 67.70 0.00 26.65 686.4 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 7 4 81.70 56.00 0.00 18.85 705.2 7 5 78.30 55.70 0.00 17.00 722.2 7 6 77.70 59.70 0.00 18.70 740.9 7 7 76.80 55.00 0.00 15.90 756.8 7 8 71.50 59.00 0.15 15.25 772.1 7 9 76.00 56.50 0.15 16.25 788.3 7 10 65.70 56.60 0.00 11.15 799.5 7 11 76.30 58.20 0.00 17.25 816.7 7 12 75.00 57.30 0.04 16.15 832.9 7 13 80.30 59.90 0.00 20.10 853.0 7 14 84.70 54.10 0.00 19.40 872.4 7 15 79.30 57.00 0.00 18.15 890.5 7 16 80.30 59.70 0.00 20.00 910.5 7 17 84.80 56.00 0.00 20.40 930.9 7 18 78.90 58.60 0.00 18.75 949.7 7 19 78.00 60.10 0.00 19.05 968.7 7 20 79.80 60.00 0.00 19.90 988.6 7 21 87.70 53.40 0.00 20.55 1009.2 7 22 80.00 64.10 0.00 22.05 1031.2 7 23 79.80 56.20 0.00 18.00 1049.2 7 24 86.10 52.20 0.00 19.15 1068.4 7 25 96.70 57.90 0.00 25.51 1093.9 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7 26 90.00 69.00 0.00 29.24 1123.1 7 27 89.60 65.90 0.00 27.57 1150.7 7 28 92.10 63.60 0.00 27.18 1177.9 7 29 94.00 64.10 0.00 27.88 1205.7 7 30 92.10 70.00 0.00 30.29 1236.0 7 31 86.10 61.60 0.00 23.85 1259.9 8 1 90.60 57.30 0.00 23.64 1283.5 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 8 2 80.80 58.10 0.00 19.45 1303.0 8 3 79.80 57.60 0.00 18.70 1321.7 8 4 89.40 52.60 0.00 20.88 1342.6 8 5 90.90 55.20 0.00 22.70 1365.3 8 6 88.90 62.20 0.00 25.48 1390.7 8 7 84.70 58.20 0.00 21.45 1412.2 8 8 77.90 55.00 0.00 16.45 1428.6 8 9 72.80 54.90 0.00 13.85 1442.5 8 10 84.60 57.10 0.00 20.85 1463.3 8 11 92.80 52.10 0.00 21.74 1485.1 8 12 91.70 54.80 0.00 22.75 1507.8 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 8 13 91.80 55.20 0.00 22.97 1530.8 8 14 91.00 60.90 0.00 25.54 1556.3 8 15 95.70 60.70 0.00 26.63 1583.0 Vx 8 16 90.80 59.90 0.00 24.99 1608.0 8 17 88.90 62.40 0.00 25.58 1633.5 8 18 89.10 60.00 0.00 24.46 1658.0 8 19 85.40 56.20 0.00 20.80 1678.8 8 20 90.00 55.20 0.00 22.40 1701.2 8 21 92.20 64.00 0.00 27.40 1728.6 8 22 77.50 55.60 0.00 16.55 1745.1 8 23 80.80 51.20 0.00 16.00 1761.1 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 8 24 86.90 52.20 0.00 19.55 1780.7 Vx 8 25 86.60 50.90 0.00 18.75 1799.4 8 26 88.30 51.50 0.00 19.89 1819.3 8 27 90.90 70.00 0.00 29.98 1849.3 8 28 89.10 63.80 0.00 26.35 1875.7 Vx 8 29 91.90 53.80 0.00 22.31 1898.0 Vx 8 30 77.70 59.70 0.00 18.70 1916.7 8 31 82.60 57.60 0.00 20.10 1936.8 9 1 76.60 58.90 0.00 17.75 1954.5 9 2 74.00 53.30 0.02 13.65 1968.2 9 3 71.70 56.90 0.00 14.30 1982.5 9 4 73.10 44.60 0.00 9.87 1992.4 9 5 74.70 50.80 0.00 12.75 2005.1 Vx 9 6 65.70 56.40 0.07 11.05 2016.2 9 7 77.50 55.90 0.00 16.70 2032.9 Vx 9 8 75.70 57.80 0.00 16.75 2049.6 9 9 76.10 49.90 0.00 13.00 2062.6 9 10 85.50 46.10 0.00 16.33 2078.9 9 11 75.70 56.00 0.00 15.85 2094.8 Vx 9 12 72.20 43.70 0.00 9.24 2104.0 9 13 71.30 37.80 0.00 7.80 2111.8 9 14 77.50 45.10 0.00 12.12 2123.9 9 15 82.80 48.10 0.00 15.64 2139.6 9 16 87.40 50.20 0.00 18.80 2158.4 9 17 72.80 64.30 0.00 18.55 2176.9 9 18 73.00 59.90 0.01 16.45 2193.4 9 19 68.20 58.10 0.00 13.15 2206.5 Vx 9 20 71.00 47.10 0.00 9.48 2216.0 9 21 67.30 40.80 0.00 6.44 2222.5 9 22 58.30 47.60 0.02 3.44 2225.9 9 23 70.00 52.70 0.00 11.35 2237.2 9 24 70.20 51.10 0.00 10.65 2247.9 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 9 25 80.70 48.10 0.00 14.60 2262.5 9 26 79.70 46.80 0.00 13.68 2276.2 9 27 81.70 58.00 0.00 19.85 2296.0 9 28 73.80 49.70 0.00 11.76 2307.8 9 29 76.00 47.70 0.02 12.13 2319.9 9 30 74.80 53.40 0.00 14.10 2334.0 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF22700 2006-2015
peach twig borer model - 2007 USU Ext.
Location: 2016 MF22700 Blue Mt Cherry
DateDDsEvent
 5-31-16 69OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying
 6-7-16 2301st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight
 6-15-16 3521st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight
 6-26-16 5141st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight
 7-3-16 6861st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation
 7-25-16 10942nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight
 8-1-16 12842nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight
 8-12-16 15082nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight
 8-23-16 17612nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight
 9-24-16 22483rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight
degree-day graph of peach twig borer [stone fruits] 2007 USU Ext.