Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
peach twig borer [stone fruits]
insect model of 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: peach twig borer [stone fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: 2007 USU Ext. WSU IPM info Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: 1st consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps
   (ca. 405 DD after Mar 1 or Jan 1 in warm climates) Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 15 Ending date: 9 30 Model validation status: requires local validation Region of known use: used in NW USA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 55 DDs after biofix: OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 2. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 3. 350 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 4. 500 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 5. 684 DDs after biofix: 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 6. 1080 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7. 1280 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 8. 1500 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 9. 1760 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 10. 2240 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 11. 2580 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight 12. 2820 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 3rd gen. 4% male flight 13. 3180 DDs after biofix: 4th gen. ca. 13% egg hatch (warmer climates only) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF22663 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burlinggame Lefore OR Lat45.9592 Long:-118.3756 Elev:925 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 5 26 70.50 51.20 0.00 10.85 10.9 * START * 5 27 68.30 50.50 0.00 9.40 20.2 5 28 76.30 48.80 0.00 12.66 32.9 5 29 78.70 55.30 0.00 17.00 49.9 5 30 75.90 50.60 0.00 13.25 63.2 Vx OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying 5 31 84.40 46.70 0.00 15.97 79.1 Vx 6 1 84.00 52.30 0.00 18.15 97.3 6 2 75.70 62.00 0.00 18.85 116.1 6 3 85.80 57.70 0.00 21.75 137.9 6 4 92.60 51.70 0.00 21.49 159.4 6 5 92.90 56.40 0.00 23.88 183.2 6 6 99.00 65.60 0.00 29.52 212.8 Vx 6 7 97.00 65.70 0.00 29.24 242.0 1st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight 6 8 86.50 66.90 0.00 26.70 268.7 6 9 76.90 58.20 0.00 17.55 286.2 6 10 70.50 52.70 0.04 11.60 297.8 6 11 74.00 48.90 0.00 11.55 309.4 6 12 79.50 46.50 0.00 13.49 322.9 6 13 74.70 54.30 0.00 14.50 337.4 Vx 6 14 70.00 50.40 0.00 10.20 347.6 6 15 69.00 48.30 0.00 8.86 356.4 1st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight 6 16 67.90 47.00 0.02 7.94 364.4 6 17 77.10 46.60 0.00 12.34 376.7 6 18 59.00 54.70 0.07 6.85 383.6 6 19 73.40 46.80 0.00 10.58 394.1 6 20 79.60 47.20 0.00 13.75 407.9 6 21 80.70 58.40 0.00 19.55 427.4 6 22 85.80 50.10 0.00 17.95 445.4 6 23 81.10 58.70 0.00 19.90 465.3 6 24 74.50 54.20 0.01 14.35 479.6 6 25 80.70 49.90 0.00 15.30 494.9 6 26 90.80 49.20 0.00 19.74 514.7 1st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight 6 27 93.30 56.90 0.00 24.23 538.9 Vx 6 28 86.00 64.60 0.02 25.30 564.2 6 29 94.40 66.20 0.00 28.97 593.2 Vx 6 30 91.80 66.20 0.00 28.37 621.6 Vx Vn 7 1 88.90 60.50 0.00 24.63 646.2 Vx 7 2 89.90 62.70 0.00 26.09 672.3 Vx 7 3 85.40 67.00 0.00 26.20 698.5 Vx 1st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation 7 4 80.30 57.30 0.00 18.80 717.3 Vx Vn 7 5 78.70 55.00 0.00 16.85 734.1 7 6 80.70 61.00 0.00 20.85 755.0 7 7 81.30 56.80 0.00 19.05 774.0 Vx 7 8 77.70 59.70 0.16 18.70 792.7 Vx 7 9 77.70 57.60 0.07 17.65 810.4 7 10 67.80 57.30 0.00 12.55 822.9 7 11 80.50 58.70 0.00 19.60 842.5 Vx Vn 7 12 80.00 56.80 0.01 18.40 860.9 7 13 83.70 57.10 0.00 20.40 881.3 7 14 89.60 57.60 0.00 23.45 904.8 Vx 7 15 81.20 56.90 0.00 19.05 923.8 Vx 7 16 83.50 58.50 0.00 21.00 944.8 Vx 7 17 87.80 59.80 0.00 23.80 968.6 Vx 7 18 80.60 59.70 0.00 20.15 988.8 Vx 7 19 80.00 60.00 0.00 20.00 1008.8 7 20 87.40 61.70 0.00 24.55 1033.3 Vx 7 21 95.10 55.60 0.00 24.05 1057.4 Vx 7 22 82.80 63.30 0.00 23.05 1080.4 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight 7 23 83.90 57.00 0.00 20.45 1100.9 Vx 7 24 90.00 56.20 0.00 22.89 1123.8 Vx 7 25 96.60 63.60 0.00 28.18 1151.9 Vx 7 26 95.20 71.40 0.00 31.56 1183.5 Vx 7 27 95.00 69.20 0.00 30.51 1214.0 Vx Vn 7 28 99.10 67.70 0.00 30.49 1244.5 Vx 7 29 101.50 69.60 0.00 31.64 1276.1 Vx 7 30 94.50 71.70 0.00 31.58 1307.7 Vx Vn 2nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight 7 31 86.50 59.70 0.00 23.10 1330.8 8 1 90.70 57.30 0.00 23.67 1354.5 Vx Vn 8 2 78.70 62.60 0.00 20.65 1375.1 8 3 83.70 56.60 0.00 20.15 1395.3 Vx 8 4 92.80 55.40 0.00 23.36 1418.7 Vx Vn 8 5 93.50 60.80 0.00 26.18 1444.8 Vx 8 6 88.40 63.80 0.00 26.08 1470.9 8 7 82.80 62.10 0.00 22.45 1493.4 Vx 8 8 77.50 53.90 0.00 15.70 1509.1 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight 8 9 74.00 56.00 0.02 15.00 1524.1 8 10 84.00 56.00 0.00 20.00 1544.1 Vx 8 11 90.00 57.50 0.00 23.54 1567.6 Vx Vn 8 12 95.50 56.00 0.00 24.33 1591.9 Vx 8 13 97.00 65.10 0.00 28.96 1620.9 Vx Vn 8 14 95.50 69.80 0.00 30.87 1651.8 Vx Vn 8 15 95.70 63.30 0.00 27.87 1679.6 Vx Vn 8 16 95.40 61.20 0.06 26.81 1706.4 Vx 8 17 94.90 62.80 0.04 27.46 1733.9 Vx 8 18 96.40 65.90 0.00 29.22 1763.1 Vx 2nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight 8 19 86.20 60.40 0.02 23.30 1786.4 8 20 81.20 57.90 0.09 19.55 1806.0 8 21 94.40 59.70 0.00 25.86 1831.8 8 22 78.60 56.00 0.00 17.30 1849.1 8 23 82.90 52.50 0.00 17.70 1866.8 8 24 86.90 58.60 0.00 22.75 1889.6 Vx 8 25 89.10 53.60 0.00 21.27 1910.8 8 26 91.20 57.20 0.00 23.78 1934.6 8 27 89.40 67.80 0.00 28.45 1963.1 8 28 89.00 64.00 0.04 26.41 1989.5 Vx 8 29 94.20 57.00 0.00 24.51 2014.0 Vx 8 30 79.70 62.40 0.00 21.05 2035.0 8 31 84.70 58.00 0.00 21.35 2056.4 9 1 78.20 60.60 0.00 19.40 2075.8 9 2 74.60 55.30 0.00 14.95 2090.7 9 3 72.90 56.70 0.00 14.80 2105.5 9 4 76.00 47.90 0.00 12.20 2117.7 9 5 74.60 49.90 0.00 12.25 2130.0 Vx 9 6 63.70 55.50 0.03 9.60 2139.6 9 7 78.70 56.10 0.00 17.40 2157.0 9 8 79.50 58.90 0.00 19.20 2176.2 9 9 79.30 47.40 0.00 13.67 2189.9 9 10 88.90 49.40 0.00 19.12 2209.0 9 11 77.50 57.80 0.00 17.65 2226.6 9 12 75.00 44.20 0.00 10.69 2237.3 Vx 9 13 70.80 42.10 0.00 8.26 2245.6 3rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight 9 14 80.90 47.30 0.00 14.43 2260.0 9 15 83.20 50.10 0.00 16.65 2276.7 9 16 88.80 54.60 0.00 21.65 2298.3 9 17 70.60 62.70 0.01 16.65 2315.0 9 18 72.30 59.40 0.00 15.85 2330.8 9 19 67.90 58.30 0.00 13.10 2343.9 Vx 9 20 68.90 49.50 0.00 9.23 2353.1 9 21 64.70 44.40 0.00 5.84 2359.0 9 22 58.00 49.20 0.00 3.70 2362.7 9 23 67.10 51.70 0.00 9.40 2372.1 9 24 71.20 51.70 0.00 11.45 2383.5 9 25 83.00 48.50 0.00 15.88 2399.4 9 26 82.40 48.70 0.00 15.66 2415.1 Vx 9 27 86.40 59.70 0.00 23.05 2438.1 9 28 75.60 51.50 0.00 13.55 2451.7 9 29 78.50 50.20 0.00 14.35 2466.0 9 30 73.50 51.40 0.00 12.45 2478.5 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF22663 2006-2015
peach twig borer model - 2007 USU Ext.
Location: 2016 MF22663 Burlinggame Lefore OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-30-16 63OW gen. ca. 1st egg laying
 6-7-16 2421st gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, OW 49% male flight
 6-15-16 3561st gen. ca. 14% egg hatch (time to sample young larvae), OW 87% male flight
 6-26-16 5151st gen. ca. 63% egg hatch, OW 98% male flight
 7-3-16 6981st gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, earliest pupation
 7-22-16 10802nd gen. ca. 1st egg hatch, 1st gen. 19% male flight
 7-30-16 13082nd gen. ca. 13% egg hatch, 1st gen. 66% male flight
 8-8-16 15092nd gen. ca. 61% egg hatch, 1st gen. 96% male flight
 8-18-16 17632nd gen. ca. 96% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 1st male flight
 9-13-16 22463rd gen. ca. 14% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 56% male flight
 9-28-16 25803rd gen. ca. 73% egg hatch, 2nd gen. 96% male flight
degree-day graph of peach twig borer [stone fruits] 2007 USU Ext.