Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 C1244 APRSWXNET Pendleton CW1244 OR Lat45.6733 Long:-118.8069 Elev:1145 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 67.00 39.00 0.23 12.23 12.2 * START * 3 2 61.00 36.00 0.04 8.47 20.7 3 3 64.00 40.00 0.04 11.09 31.8 3 4 64.00 34.00 0.00 9.47 41.3 3 5 65.00 55.00 0.17 19.00 60.3 3 6 66.00 44.00 0.17 14.00 74.3 3 7 58.00 39.00 0.00 7.78 82.0 3 8 54.00 33.00 0.03 4.69 86.7 3 9 59.00 37.00 0.13 7.74 94.5 3 10 63.00 39.00 0.08 10.25 104.7 3 11 52.00 35.00 0.17 4.07 108.8 3 12 55.00 39.00 0.07 6.30 115.1 3 13 63.00 36.00 0.03 9.43 124.5 3 14 51.00 38.00 0.00 4.13 128.6 3 15 50.00 38.00 0.00 3.65 132.3 3 16 55.00 36.00 0.00 5.62 137.9 3 17 56.00 32.00 0.00 5.44 143.4 3 18 59.00 24.00 0.00 5.82 149.2 3 19 63.00 33.00 0.00 8.80 158.0 3 20 64.00 35.00 0.32 9.68 167.7 3 21 61.00 36.00 0.29 8.47 176.1 3 22 57.00 43.00 0.00 9.00 185.1 3 23 62.00 40.00 0.03 10.09 195.2 3 24 56.00 45.00 0.01 9.50 204.7 3 25 57.00 36.00 0.01 6.56 211.3 3 26 63.00 29.00 0.13 8.15 219.4 3 27 58.00 40.00 0.13 8.10 227.5 3 28 51.00 32.00 0.00 3.28 230.8 3 29 62.00 35.00 0.00 8.73 239.5 3 30 66.00 31.00 0.00 9.84 249.4 3 31 74.00 35.00 0.00 14.51 263.9 4 1 78.00 38.00 0.00 17.35 281.2 4 2 76.00 41.00 0.00 17.50 298.7 4 3 75.00 39.00 0.12 16.20 314.9 4 4 61.00 45.00 0.12 12.00 326.9 4 5 64.00 40.00 0.00 11.09 338.0 4 6 76.00 36.00 0.00 15.76 353.8 4 7 77.00 38.00 0.00 16.86 370.6 4 8 80.00 41.00 0.00 19.50 390.1 4 9 82.00 44.00 0.00 22.00 412.1 4 10 74.00 42.00 0.00 17.00 429.1 4 11 77.00 39.00 0.08 17.20 446.3 4 12 66.00 50.00 0.08 17.00 463.3 4 13 62.00 44.00 0.08 12.00 475.3 4 14 61.00 42.00 0.03 10.50 485.8 4 15 66.00 43.00 0.03 13.50 499.3 4 16 72.00 35.00 0.00 13.54 512.9 4 17 74.00 38.00 0.00 15.37 528.3 4 18 83.00 41.00 0.00 21.00 549.3 4 19 83.00 43.00 0.00 22.00 571.3 4 20 84.30 43.10 0.00 22.70 594.0 Vx Vn 4 21 78.00 50.00 0.00 23.00 617.0 4 22 75.00 53.00 0.17 23.00 640.0 4 23 70.00 53.00 0.01 20.50 660.5 4 24 66.00 47.00 0.01 15.50 676.0 4 25 66.00 40.00 0.00 12.08 688.0 4 26 69.00 44.00 0.03 15.50 703.5 4 27 63.00 46.00 0.01 13.50 717.0 4 28 71.00 51.00 0.01 20.00 737.0 4 29 58.00 50.00 0.00 13.00 750.0 4 30 67.00 47.00 0.00 16.00 766.0 5 1 77.00 39.00 0.00 17.20 783.2 5 2 84.00 43.00 0.00 22.50 805.7 5 3 88.00 49.00 0.00 27.14 832.9 5 4 79.00 55.00 0.14 26.00 858.9 5 5 72.00 53.00 0.01 21.50 880.4 5 6 76.00 53.00 0.01 23.50 903.9 5 7 84.00 53.00 0.00 27.50 931.4 first moth catch 5 8 75.00 53.00 0.00 23.00 954.4 5 9 67.00 47.00 0.00 16.00 970.4 5 10 74.00 39.00 0.00 15.70 986.1 5 11 86.00 41.00 0.00 22.44 1008.5 5 12 88.00 48.00 0.00 26.65 1035.2 5 13 83.00 46.00 0.19 23.50 1058.7 5 14 67.00 53.00 0.34 19.00 1077.7 5 15 58.00 53.00 0.29 14.50 1092.2 5 16 72.00 52.00 0.22 21.00 1113.2 5 17 80.00 47.00 0.00 22.50 1135.7 5 18 84.00 53.00 0.07 27.50 1163.2 50% moth emergence 5 19 67.00 48.00 0.00 16.50 1179.7 5 20 60.00 39.00 0.04 8.76 1188.4 5 21 60.00 43.00 0.52 10.50 1198.9 5 22 68.00 52.00 0.00 19.00 1217.9 5 23 71.00 47.00 0.00 18.00 1235.9 5 24 75.00 46.00 0.00 19.50 1255.4 5 25 79.00 46.00 0.00 21.50 1276.9 5 26 70.00 49.00 0.00 18.50 1295.4 first egg hatch 5 27 68.00 50.00 0.00 18.00 1313.4 5 28 78.00 48.00 0.00 22.00 1335.4 5 29 78.00 51.00 0.00 23.50 1358.9 50% egg hatch 5 30 79.00 50.00 0.00 23.50 1382.4 5 31 85.00 43.00 0.00 23.00 1405.4 6 1 89.00 50.00 0.01 27.95 1433.4 95% moth emergence 6 2 80.00 62.00 0.01 30.00 1463.4 6 3 90.00 56.00 0.00 31.17 1494.6 6 4 95.00 52.00 0.00 30.40 1525.0 6 5 99.00 58.00 0.00 33.89 1558.9 6 6 104.00 60.00 0.00 35.43 1594.3 6 7 103.00 61.00 0.00 35.75 1630.0 6 8 83.00 63.00 0.10 32.00 1662.0 6 9 83.00 56.00 0.25 28.50 1690.5 6 10 73.00 53.00 0.25 22.00 1712.5 6 11 75.00 47.00 0.00 20.00 1732.5 6 12 84.00 43.00 0.00 22.50 1755.0 6 13 73.00 51.00 0.00 21.00 1776.0 6 14 70.00 50.00 0.00 19.00 1795.0 6 15 67.00 43.00 0.01 14.00 1809.0 6 16 72.00 48.00 0.01 19.00 1828.0 6 17 76.00 46.00 0.58 20.00 1848.0 6 18 68.00 51.00 0.01 18.50 1866.5 6 19 75.00 43.00 0.00 18.00 1884.5 6 20 85.00 48.00 0.00 25.50 1910.0 6 21 85.00 57.00 0.00 30.00 1940.0 6 22 90.00 48.00 0.00 27.26 1967.3 6 23 83.00 59.00 0.01 30.00 1997.3 6 24 73.00 55.00 0.01 23.00 2020.3 6 25 86.00 47.00 0.00 25.43 2045.7 6 26 91.00 50.00 0.00 28.51 2074.2 6 27 98.00 55.00 0.00 32.36 2106.6 6 28 99.00 59.00 0.00 34.35 2140.9 6 29 98.00 59.00 0.00 34.19 2175.1 6 30 94.00 59.00 0.00 33.51 2208.6 7 1 88.80 54.00 0.00 29.86 2238.5 Vx 7 2 90.50 58.30 0.00 32.42 2270.9 Vx Vn first moth catch (2nd flight) 7 3 84.40 65.80 0.00 34.10 2305.0 Vx Vn 7 4 81.00 57.00 0.00 28.00 2333.0 Vx Vn 7 5 78.30 52.60 0.00 24.45 2357.5 Vx Vn 7 6 85.00 57.00 0.00 30.00 2387.5 7 7 82.00 53.00 0.17 26.50 2414.0 7 8 80.00 60.00 0.88 29.00 2443.0 7 9 78.00 58.00 0.25 27.00 2470.0 7 10 74.00 58.00 0.00 25.00 2495.0 7 11 85.00 57.00 0.08 30.00 2525.0 7 12 82.00 54.00 0.08 27.00 2552.0 7 13 88.00 56.00 0.00 30.61 2582.6 7 14 94.00 53.00 0.00 30.67 2613.2 7 15 85.00 58.00 0.00 30.50 2643.7 7 16 87.00 54.00 0.00 29.29 2673.0 7 17 91.00 55.00 0.00 30.94 2704.0 7 18 84.00 62.00 0.00 32.00 2736.0 7 19 82.00 58.00 0.00 29.00 2765.0 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 20 92.00 60.00 0.00 33.58 2798.6 7 21 98.00 56.00 0.00 32.82 2831.4 7 22 85.00 65.00 0.00 34.00 2865.4 7 23 89.00 54.00 0.00 29.92 2895.3 first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 24 96.00 52.00 0.00 30.60 2925.9 7 25 102.00 57.00 0.00 33.87 2959.8 7 26 98.00 61.00 0.00 35.10 2994.9 7 27 99.00 59.00 0.00 34.35 3029.2 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 28 102.00 61.00 0.00 35.63 3064.9 7 29 104.00 63.00 0.00 36.71 3101.6 7 30 96.00 68.00 0.00 37.94 3139.5 7 31 87.00 54.00 0.00 29.29 3168.8 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg C1244 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 C1244 Pendleton CW1244 OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-7-16 931first moth catch
 5-18-16 116350% moth emergence
 5-26-16 1295first egg hatch
 5-29-16 135950% egg hatch
 6-1-16 143395% moth emergence
 7-2-16 2271first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-19-16 276550% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-23-16 2895first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-27-16 302950% egg hatch (2nd gen)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)