Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF26038 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Benito OR Lat45.9742 Long:-118.4092 Elev:866 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 64.50 39.60 0.00 11.19 11.2 * START * 3 2 61.00 41.10 0.00 10.05 21.2 3 3 64.50 44.40 0.00 13.45 34.7 3 4 63.70 32.10 0.00 8.97 43.7 3 5 66.10 49.00 0.00 16.55 60.2 3 6 67.50 48.60 0.00 17.05 77.3 3 7 56.90 42.70 0.00 8.80 86.1 3 8 53.80 32.50 0.00 4.53 90.6 3 9 59.10 43.20 0.00 10.15 100.7 3 10 64.30 48.80 0.00 15.55 116.3 3 11 48.30 33.70 0.00 2.32 118.6 3 12 52.60 39.50 0.00 5.27 123.9 3 13 59.20 37.70 0.00 8.01 131.9 3 14 54.10 38.40 0.00 5.71 137.6 3 15 51.90 39.90 0.00 5.04 142.6 3 16 55.20 37.20 0.00 5.96 148.6 3 17 54.20 33.10 0.00 4.79 153.4 3 18 58.50 30.70 0.00 6.37 159.8 3 19 63.20 34.50 0.00 9.19 169.0 3 20 61.10 36.20 0.00 8.56 177.5 3 21 64.30 40.00 0.00 11.24 188.8 3 22 53.70 44.00 0.00 7.85 196.6 3 23 60.50 45.30 0.00 11.90 208.5 3 24 56.80 47.60 0.00 11.20 219.7 3 25 55.90 42.30 0.00 8.10 227.8 3 26 63.00 36.40 0.00 9.53 237.3 3 27 57.20 45.00 0.00 10.10 247.4 3 28 51.30 39.40 0.00 4.60 252.0 Vx 3 29 63.60 35.70 0.00 9.65 261.7 3 30 65.60 36.10 0.00 10.71 272.4 3 31 72.00 47.60 0.00 18.80 291.2 4 1 76.80 43.30 0.00 19.05 310.2 4 2 77.10 47.90 0.00 21.50 331.7 4 3 75.90 49.80 0.00 21.85 353.6 4 4 60.10 46.80 0.00 12.45 366.0 4 5 64.10 42.70 0.00 12.40 378.4 4 6 75.10 37.70 0.00 15.82 394.3 4 7 73.90 37.30 0.00 15.10 409.4 4 8 79.10 44.40 0.00 20.75 430.1 4 9 82.50 56.60 0.00 28.55 458.7 4 10 75.00 50.40 0.00 21.70 480.4 4 11 71.00 47.50 0.00 18.25 498.6 4 12 67.40 50.90 0.00 18.15 516.8 4 13 65.40 48.50 0.00 15.95 532.7 4 14 62.60 42.30 0.00 11.45 544.2 4 15 67.20 45.00 0.00 15.10 559.3 4 16 72.50 35.10 0.00 13.81 573.1 4 17 76.90 36.60 0.00 16.37 589.5 4 18 80.20 38.70 0.00 18.68 608.1 4 19 83.80 42.70 0.00 22.25 630.4 4 20 86.40 42.90 0.00 23.54 653.9 4 21 79.90 50.50 0.00 24.20 678.1 4 22 78.00 52.40 0.00 24.20 702.3 4 23 72.30 53.30 0.00 21.80 724.1 4 24 66.80 50.10 0.00 17.45 741.6 4 25 65.40 40.00 0.00 11.78 753.4 4 26 67.40 40.30 0.00 12.90 766.3 4 27 63.10 46.90 0.00 14.00 780.3 4 28 71.00 49.40 0.00 19.20 799.5 4 29 57.60 49.50 0.00 12.55 812.0 4 30 68.70 47.60 0.00 17.15 829.2 5 1 78.60 38.10 0.00 17.68 846.8 5 2 85.00 42.90 0.00 22.95 869.8 5 3 89.50 59.90 0.00 32.94 902.7 5 4 78.40 57.10 0.00 26.75 929.5 5 5 69.30 45.80 0.00 16.55 946.0 Hx Hn first moth catch 5 6 77.00 50.50 0.00 22.75 968.8 5 7 84.00 50.90 0.00 26.45 995.2 5 8 77.90 59.20 0.00 27.55 1022.8 5 9 64.50 47.60 0.00 15.05 1037.8 5 10 73.00 37.10 0.00 14.60 1052.4 5 11 83.30 46.00 0.00 23.65 1076.1 Vx Vn 5 12 86.50 64.10 0.00 34.13 1110.2 5 13 82.10 44.40 0.00 22.25 1132.5 5 14 68.20 53.50 0.00 19.85 1152.3 5 15 58.50 51.20 0.00 13.85 1166.2 50% moth emergence 5 16 72.90 52.20 0.00 21.55 1187.7 5 17 79.30 48.30 0.00 22.80 1210.5 5 18 81.80 56.10 0.00 27.95 1238.5 5 19 67.60 49.60 0.00 17.60 1256.1 5 20 62.90 42.70 0.00 11.80 1267.9 5 21 65.40 44.50 0.00 13.95 1281.8 first egg hatch 5 22 67.70 52.20 0.00 18.95 1300.8 5 23 70.50 51.10 0.00 19.80 1320.6 Vx 5 24 76.40 50.00 0.00 22.20 1342.8 5 25 79.00 49.40 0.00 23.20 1366.0 50% egg hatch 5 26 70.60 53.20 0.00 20.90 1386.9 5 27 68.30 50.90 0.00 18.60 1405.5 5 28 76.50 49.30 0.00 21.90 1427.4 5 29 79.00 54.30 0.00 25.65 1453.0 95% moth emergence 5 30 76.40 45.10 0.00 19.75 1472.8 Vx 5 31 83.20 40.50 0.00 20.87 1493.6 6 1 84.40 50.10 0.00 26.25 1519.9 6 2 76.30 65.20 0.00 29.75 1549.6 6 3 86.80 55.00 0.00 29.72 1579.4 6 4 91.90 50.50 0.00 28.98 1608.3 6 5 92.30 53.80 0.00 30.67 1639.0 6 6 99.50 61.90 0.00 35.71 1674.7 Vx 6 7 93.00 63.80 0.00 35.57 1710.3 6 8 85.30 68.00 0.00 35.63 1745.9 6 9 77.60 57.50 0.00 26.55 1772.5 6 10 67.20 53.60 0.00 19.40 1791.9 6 11 72.80 46.90 0.00 18.85 1810.7 6 12 79.20 46.10 0.00 21.65 1832.4 6 13 74.60 54.10 0.00 23.35 1855.7 6 14 69.10 51.40 0.00 19.25 1875.0 6 15 67.80 45.90 0.00 15.85 1890.8 6 16 69.20 45.70 0.00 16.45 1907.3 6 17 76.80 44.30 0.00 19.55 1926.8 6 18 67.20 55.60 0.00 20.40 1947.2 6 19 76.20 42.20 0.00 18.20 1965.4 6 20 81.50 47.10 0.00 23.30 1988.7 Vx 6 21 79.90 58.30 0.00 28.10 2016.8 6 22 85.00 46.00 0.00 24.50 2041.3 6 23 80.40 62.00 0.00 30.20 2071.5 6 24 72.80 53.80 0.00 22.30 2093.8 6 25 79.80 49.30 0.00 23.55 2117.4 6 26 87.90 47.50 0.00 26.37 2143.7 6 27 91.20 54.40 0.00 30.70 2174.4 6 28 92.60 62.40 0.00 34.84 2209.3 6 29 93.00 60.10 0.00 33.83 2243.1 6 30 87.30 63.90 0.00 34.29 2277.4 first moth catch (2nd flight) 7 1 87.00 57.00 0.00 30.78 2308.2 7 2 89.00 61.90 0.00 33.79 2342.0 7 3 85.00 66.80 0.00 34.90 2376.9 7 4 81.10 53.40 0.00 26.25 2403.1 7 5 80.50 51.60 0.00 25.05 2428.2 7 6 81.50 59.20 0.00 29.35 2457.5 7 7 80.00 56.80 0.00 27.40 2484.9 7 8 77.20 60.40 0.00 27.80 2512.7 7 9 77.10 57.90 0.00 26.50 2539.2 7 10 67.70 58.30 0.00 22.00 2561.2 7 11 79.40 58.70 0.00 28.05 2589.3 7 12 79.00 56.30 0.00 26.65 2615.9 7 13 83.70 56.80 0.00 29.25 2645.2 7 14 88.90 51.50 0.00 28.66 2673.8 7 15 81.70 56.80 0.00 28.25 2702.1 7 16 82.50 55.50 0.00 28.00 2730.1 7 17 85.50 54.40 0.00 28.92 2759.0 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 18 80.00 58.90 0.00 28.45 2787.5 7 19 78.80 56.80 0.00 26.80 2814.3 7 20 86.30 58.70 0.00 31.38 2845.6 7 21 92.60 52.80 0.00 30.26 2875.9 first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 22 81.30 60.30 0.00 29.80 2905.7 7 23 83.00 53.50 0.00 27.25 2932.9 7 24 88.90 51.00 0.00 28.41 2961.4 7 25 96.90 55.60 0.00 32.45 2993.8 Vx 7 26 92.80 66.60 0.00 36.83 3030.6 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 27 92.60 64.10 0.00 35.64 3066.3 7 28 94.70 64.30 0.00 36.09 3102.4 7 29 96.30 63.00 0.00 35.75 3138.1 7 30 90.50 66.50 0.00 36.35 3174.5 7 31 83.60 57.80 0.00 29.70 3204.2 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF26038 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF26038 Davis Benito OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-5-16 946first moth catch
 5-15-16 116650% moth emergence
 5-21-16 1282first egg hatch
 5-25-16 136650% egg hatch
 5-29-16 145395% moth emergence
 6-30-16 2277first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-17-16 275950% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-21-16 2876first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-26-16 303150% egg hatch (2nd gen)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)