Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF26036 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Mackenzie Gala OR Lat:45.9714 Long:-118.4039 Elev:876 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.60 41.00 0.00 11.30 11.3 * START * 3 2 60.80 41.60 0.00 10.20 21.5 3 3 64.50 44.70 0.00 13.60 35.1 3 4 63.60 33.90 0.00 9.26 44.4 3 5 66.90 49.30 0.00 17.10 61.5 3 6 67.20 48.80 0.00 17.00 78.5 3 7 57.50 42.80 0.00 9.15 87.6 3 8 53.40 33.60 0.00 4.50 92.1 3 9 59.00 43.40 0.00 10.20 102.3 3 10 64.10 48.80 0.00 15.45 117.8 3 11 48.30 34.80 0.00 2.43 120.2 3 12 52.90 40.40 0.00 5.71 125.9 3 13 59.20 37.40 0.00 7.93 133.8 3 14 53.90 39.00 0.00 5.77 139.6 3 15 51.90 40.00 0.00 5.07 144.7 3 16 55.40 38.50 0.00 6.36 151.0 3 17 54.90 33.90 0.00 5.22 156.3 3 18 57.90 29.20 0.00 5.91 162.2 3 19 63.00 34.20 0.00 9.04 171.2 3 20 60.80 37.10 0.00 8.63 179.8 3 21 63.70 42.10 0.00 11.90 191.7 3 22 53.50 44.30 0.00 7.90 199.6 3 23 60.40 45.00 0.00 11.70 211.3 3 24 56.70 47.30 0.00 11.00 222.3 3 25 56.50 43.10 0.00 8.80 231.1 3 26 62.90 39.70 0.00 10.43 241.6 3 27 57.40 45.30 0.00 10.35 251.9 3 28 51.20 39.20 0.00 4.50 256.4 Vx 3 29 63.50 36.40 0.00 9.77 266.2 3 30 64.60 34.80 0.00 9.93 276.1 3 31 72.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 295.1 4 1 77.10 44.50 0.00 19.80 314.9 4 2 77.80 49.90 0.00 22.85 337.8 4 3 76.80 48.90 0.00 21.85 359.6 4 4 60.30 46.20 0.00 12.25 371.9 4 5 65.10 42.80 0.00 12.95 384.8 4 6 75.00 39.10 0.00 16.24 401.1 4 7 73.50 38.10 0.00 15.15 416.2 4 8 79.50 46.00 0.00 21.75 438.0 4 9 82.00 57.70 0.00 28.85 466.8 4 10 75.20 51.30 0.00 22.25 489.1 4 11 71.10 47.90 0.00 18.50 507.6 4 12 69.70 51.20 0.00 19.45 527.0 4 13 65.00 48.70 0.00 15.85 542.9 4 14 64.70 44.00 0.00 13.35 556.2 4 15 66.10 45.20 0.00 14.65 570.9 4 16 71.50 36.90 0.00 13.81 584.7 4 17 77.10 38.60 0.00 17.11 601.8 4 18 79.60 39.70 0.00 18.75 620.5 4 19 83.90 45.30 0.00 23.60 644.1 4 20 84.80 44.30 0.00 23.55 667.7 4 21 78.80 52.50 0.00 24.65 692.3 4 22 77.20 53.10 0.00 24.15 716.5 4 23 71.70 52.50 0.00 21.10 737.6 4 24 67.70 49.60 0.00 17.65 755.2 4 25 66.40 41.50 0.00 12.95 768.2 4 26 64.30 42.90 0.00 12.60 780.8 4 27 61.50 48.10 0.00 13.80 794.6 4 28 69.70 50.30 0.00 19.00 813.6 4 29 58.00 49.90 0.00 12.95 826.5 4 30 68.10 48.00 0.00 17.05 843.6 5 1 77.40 40.40 0.00 17.93 861.5 5 2 84.80 45.00 0.00 23.90 885.4 5 3 68.70 66.50 0.00 26.60 912.0 Hx 5 4 78.10 57.00 0.00 26.55 938.5 first moth catch 5 5 69.30 45.70 0.00 16.50 955.0 Hx Hn 5 6 76.00 51.20 0.00 22.60 977.6 5 7 82.40 52.60 0.00 26.50 1004.1 5 8 79.10 60.10 0.00 28.60 1032.7 5 9 65.00 47.70 0.00 15.35 1048.1 5 10 77.80 40.00 0.00 17.97 1066.1 Vx 5 11 83.20 46.00 0.00 23.60 1089.7 Vx Vn 5 12 84.60 63.00 0.00 32.80 1122.5 5 13 82.40 46.80 0.00 23.60 1146.1 5 14 68.00 54.10 0.00 20.05 1166.1 50% moth emergence 5 15 58.90 52.00 0.00 14.45 1180.6 5 16 72.80 52.50 0.00 21.65 1202.2 5 17 78.40 50.70 0.00 23.55 1225.8 5 18 82.90 57.80 0.00 29.35 1255.1 5 19 67.70 49.50 0.00 17.60 1272.7 5 20 61.90 43.70 0.00 11.80 1284.5 first egg hatch 5 21 66.30 45.50 0.00 14.90 1299.4 5 22 67.40 51.70 0.00 18.55 1318.0 5 23 70.40 51.20 0.00 19.80 1337.8 Vx 5 24 76.60 51.60 0.00 23.10 1360.9 50% egg hatch 5 25 78.20 48.70 0.00 22.45 1383.3 5 26 70.80 51.90 0.00 20.35 1403.7 5 27 68.80 50.90 0.00 18.85 1422.5 5 28 75.70 49.70 0.00 21.70 1444.2 95% moth emergence 5 29 78.70 54.80 0.00 25.75 1470.0 5 30 76.30 47.40 0.00 20.85 1490.8 Vx 5 31 83.70 45.90 0.00 23.80 1514.6 6 1 84.40 51.30 0.00 26.85 1541.5 6 2 76.60 65.20 0.00 29.90 1571.4 6 3 87.40 56.30 0.00 30.56 1601.9 6 4 94.00 51.70 0.00 30.05 1632.0 6 5 94.80 55.20 0.00 31.88 1663.9 6 6 99.80 66.20 0.00 37.61 1701.5 Vx 6 7 96.70 67.00 0.00 37.59 1739.1 6 8 87.30 73.00 0.00 38.75 1777.8 6 9 78.50 58.70 0.00 27.60 1805.4 Vx 6 10 69.10 54.50 0.00 20.80 1826.2 6 11 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 1846.3 Vx Vn 6 12 78.60 49.20 0.00 22.90 1869.2 Vx Vn 6 13 75.00 58.40 0.00 25.70 1894.9 Vx Vn 6 14 68.80 51.60 0.00 19.20 1914.1 Vx Vn 6 15 67.90 46.80 0.00 16.35 1930.4 Vx Vn 6 16 68.40 49.40 0.00 17.90 1948.3 Vx Vn 6 17 78.60 48.80 0.00 22.70 1971.0 Vx Vn 6 18 67.30 55.60 0.00 20.45 1991.5 Vx 6 19 77.20 46.70 0.00 20.95 2012.4 Vx Vn 6 20 81.50 50.10 0.00 24.80 2037.2 Vx Vn 6 21 79.80 58.50 0.00 28.15 2065.4 Vx Vn 6 22 85.90 49.40 0.00 26.59 2092.0 Vx Vn 6 23 81.60 61.60 0.00 30.60 2122.6 Vx Vn 6 24 73.20 54.70 0.00 22.95 2145.5 Vx 6 25 81.50 51.80 0.00 25.65 2171.2 Vx Vn 6 26 91.60 52.50 0.00 29.88 2201.0 Vx Vn 6 27 93.60 60.40 0.00 34.09 2235.1 Vx Vn 6 28 95.30 66.60 0.00 37.22 2272.3 Vx Vn first moth catch (2nd flight) 6 29 94.60 65.40 0.00 36.58 2308.9 Vx Vn 6 30 90.70 66.30 0.00 36.30 2345.2 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.30 0.00 34.47 2379.7 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 34.62 2414.3 Vx Vn 7 3 85.70 64.80 0.00 34.20 2448.5 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2476.6 Vx Vn 7 5 78.20 55.40 0.00 25.80 2502.4 Vx Vn 7 6 80.70 59.40 0.00 29.05 2531.4 Vx Vn 7 7 81.50 60.50 0.00 30.00 2561.4 Vx Vn 7 8 77.90 60.70 0.00 28.30 2589.7 Vx 7 9 77.00 57.60 0.00 26.30 2616.0 7 10 67.80 58.00 0.00 21.90 2637.9 7 11 80.80 58.50 0.00 28.65 2666.6 Vx 7 12 79.30 56.80 0.00 27.05 2693.6 7 13 83.40 57.50 0.00 29.45 2723.1 Vx 7 14 89.80 53.70 0.00 30.00 2753.1 Vx 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 15 81.50 58.70 0.00 29.10 2782.2 Vx 7 16 83.70 58.10 0.00 29.90 2812.1 Vx 7 17 88.10 56.70 0.00 30.98 2843.0 Vx 7 18 80.80 59.60 0.00 29.20 2872.2 Vx first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 19 80.20 58.20 0.00 28.20 2900.4 Vx 7 20 87.40 62.50 0.00 33.63 2934.1 Vx 7 21 95.20 54.50 0.00 31.62 2965.7 Vx 7 22 83.00 64.60 0.00 32.80 2998.5 Vx Vn 7 23 78.70 55.40 0.00 26.05 3024.5 7 24 90.40 53.50 0.00 30.06 3054.6 Vx 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 25 96.90 59.80 0.00 34.39 3089.0 Vx 7 26 95.90 72.40 0.00 39.83 3128.8 Vx Vn 7 27 88.10 66.50 0.00 35.79 3164.6 7 28 91.10 66.60 0.00 36.52 3201.1 7 29 101.70 65.40 0.00 37.48 3238.6 Vx 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 39.44 3278.0 Vx Vn 7 31 87.00 62.40 0.00 33.46 3311.5 Vx Vn 95% emergence (2nd flight) Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF26036 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF26036 Davis Mackenzie Gala
DateDDsEvent
 5-4-16 939first moth catch
 5-14-16 116650% moth emergence
 5-20-16 1285first egg hatch
 5-24-16 136150% egg hatch
 5-28-16 144495% moth emergence
 6-28-16 2272first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-14-16 275350% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-18-16 2872first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-24-16 305550% egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-31-16 331295% emergence (2nd flight)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)