Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25442 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Klepper OR Lat45.9600 Long:-118.4106 Elev:908 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.80 42.00 0.03 11.90 11.9 * START * 3 2 61.00 42.90 0.00 10.95 22.9 3 3 63.60 45.60 0.03 13.60 36.5 3 4 64.00 34.70 0.00 9.62 46.1 3 5 66.50 49.70 0.01 17.10 63.2 3 6 66.60 48.10 0.03 16.35 79.5 3 7 58.00 42.50 0.00 9.25 88.8 3 8 53.40 37.40 0.00 5.14 93.9 3 9 58.70 43.80 0.01 10.25 104.2 3 10 64.30 49.50 0.03 15.90 120.1 3 11 48.30 35.60 0.04 2.52 122.6 3 12 53.40 40.40 0.02 5.95 128.5 3 13 60.10 40.90 0.02 9.50 138.0 3 14 53.50 40.80 0.00 6.16 144.2 3 15 52.30 41.40 0.00 5.85 150.0 3 16 55.40 39.70 0.00 6.71 156.8 3 17 53.30 34.90 0.00 4.65 161.4 3 18 58.50 29.10 0.00 6.16 167.6 3 19 62.10 33.90 0.00 8.55 176.1 3 20 60.70 37.60 0.08 8.71 184.8 3 21 64.30 43.20 0.10 12.75 197.6 3 22 54.00 44.60 0.07 8.30 205.9 3 23 59.90 45.40 0.00 11.65 217.5 3 24 56.90 47.50 0.00 11.20 228.7 3 25 56.10 43.80 0.00 8.95 237.7 3 26 62.50 41.50 0.00 11.00 248.7 3 27 57.70 45.90 0.01 10.80 259.5 3 28 51.00 39.40 0.00 4.46 263.9 Vx 3 29 63.60 36.90 0.00 9.94 273.9 3 30 64.50 35.40 0.00 10.01 283.9 3 31 71.70 48.70 0.00 19.20 303.1 4 1 76.30 46.60 0.00 20.45 323.5 4 2 76.70 57.10 0.00 25.90 349.4 4 3 75.30 47.50 0.00 20.40 369.8 4 4 60.40 48.20 0.06 13.30 383.1 4 5 63.20 43.40 0.00 12.30 395.4 4 6 73.50 39.90 0.00 15.78 411.2 4 7 73.50 37.90 0.00 15.09 426.3 4 8 78.40 45.50 0.00 20.95 447.3 4 9 80.40 55.10 0.00 26.75 474.0 4 10 73.50 51.60 0.00 21.55 495.6 4 11 76.00 47.20 0.00 20.60 516.2 4 12 66.60 52.00 0.03 18.30 534.5 4 13 64.40 49.00 0.01 15.70 550.2 4 14 63.60 45.80 0.02 13.70 563.9 4 15 65.00 46.20 0.00 14.60 578.5 4 16 70.30 41.40 0.00 14.85 593.3 4 17 76.20 38.80 0.00 16.73 610.0 4 18 79.10 40.00 0.00 18.62 628.7 4 19 82.20 48.60 0.00 24.40 653.1 4 20 85.50 44.40 0.00 23.93 677.0 4 21 79.40 55.00 0.00 26.20 703.2 4 22 76.60 55.30 0.00 24.95 728.1 4 23 70.60 53.50 0.00 21.05 749.2 4 24 66.50 51.70 0.00 18.10 767.3 4 25 64.80 43.40 0.00 13.10 780.4 4 26 64.10 43.90 0.00 13.00 793.4 4 27 60.70 49.00 0.01 13.85 807.2 4 28 69.50 51.10 0.00 19.30 826.5 4 29 58.10 52.00 0.00 14.05 840.6 4 30 67.70 48.90 0.01 17.30 857.9 5 1 76.80 40.90 0.00 17.85 875.7 5 2 85.30 44.80 0.00 24.04 899.8 5 3 90.90 69.00 0.00 37.61 937.4 first moth catch 5 4 79.80 58.70 0.01 28.25 965.6 5 5 69.10 46.30 0.00 16.70 982.3 Hx Hn 5 6 77.50 53.40 0.00 24.45 1006.8 5 7 82.60 53.10 0.00 26.85 1033.6 5 8 78.30 55.20 0.00 25.75 1059.4 5 9 66.40 48.20 0.00 16.30 1075.7 5 10 72.30 42.30 0.00 16.30 1092.0 5 11 81.50 46.40 0.00 22.95 1114.9 Vx Vn 5 12 84.40 63.40 0.00 32.90 1147.8 5 13 82.50 47.50 0.00 24.00 1171.8 50% moth emergence 5 14 69.50 54.70 0.10 21.10 1192.9 5 15 59.40 53.90 0.04 15.65 1208.6 5 16 72.40 53.40 0.02 21.90 1230.5 5 17 78.60 50.40 0.00 23.50 1254.0 5 18 82.70 60.20 0.00 30.45 1284.4 first egg hatch 5 19 66.50 50.00 0.00 17.25 1301.7 5 20 61.80 43.90 0.00 11.85 1313.5 5 21 65.10 46.20 0.03 14.65 1328.2 5 22 68.80 53.50 0.00 20.15 1348.3 50% egg hatch 5 23 70.20 52.20 0.00 20.20 1368.5 Vx 5 24 71.60 53.30 0.00 21.45 1390.0 5 25 77.30 51.80 0.00 23.55 1413.5 5 26 70.50 54.50 0.00 21.50 1435.0 95% moth emergence 5 27 67.30 51.30 0.00 18.30 1453.3 5 28 75.90 49.90 0.00 21.90 1475.2 5 29 78.90 55.70 0.00 26.30 1501.5 5 30 75.30 49.80 0.00 21.55 1523.1 5 31 84.00 48.00 0.00 25.00 1548.1 6 1 85.00 51.70 0.00 27.35 1575.4 6 2 76.80 64.60 0.00 29.70 1605.1 6 3 87.00 57.20 0.00 30.88 1636.0 6 4 94.90 52.70 0.00 30.71 1666.7 6 5 95.40 56.40 0.00 32.55 1699.3 6 6 99.10 69.80 0.00 39.06 1738.3 Vx 6 7 95.00 68.60 0.00 38.07 1776.4 6 8 87.40 68.90 0.00 36.78 1813.2 6 9 78.20 60.30 0.00 28.25 1841.5 6 10 68.70 54.50 0.04 20.60 1862.1 6 11 70.90 50.60 0.00 19.75 1881.8 6 12 78.80 47.70 0.00 22.25 1904.1 6 13 74.10 57.00 0.00 24.55 1928.6 6 14 69.30 51.80 0.00 19.55 1948.2 6 15 67.10 48.30 0.00 16.70 1964.9 6 16 68.90 47.80 0.02 17.35 1982.2 6 17 77.60 47.20 0.02 21.40 2003.6 6 18 67.70 55.80 0.09 20.75 2024.4 6 19 77.60 46.60 0.00 21.10 2045.5 6 20 81.30 48.10 0.00 23.70 2069.2 Vx 6 21 80.40 58.50 0.00 28.45 2097.6 6 22 87.70 49.40 0.00 27.24 2124.8 6 23 80.20 63.10 0.00 30.65 2155.5 6 24 74.50 55.70 0.00 24.10 2179.6 6 25 80.70 51.20 0.00 24.95 2204.5 6 26 90.50 50.30 0.00 28.52 2233.1 6 27 93.40 56.20 0.00 32.06 2265.1 Vx first moth catch (2nd flight) 6 28 94.50 67.30 0.00 37.42 2302.6 6 29 94.30 64.50 0.00 36.12 2338.7 Vx 6 30 90.30 65.70 0.00 35.93 2374.6 Vx Vn 7 1 92.90 60.90 0.00 34.19 2408.8 7 2 89.80 64.00 0.00 35.00 2443.8 Vx 7 3 85.50 69.20 0.00 36.31 2480.1 Vx 7 4 82.30 54.90 0.00 27.60 2507.7 7 5 81.00 57.30 0.00 28.15 2535.9 7 6 78.50 61.50 0.00 29.00 2564.9 7 7 81.50 61.00 0.00 30.25 2595.1 Vx 7 8 77.70 61.50 0.11 28.60 2623.7 Vx 7 9 78.20 59.10 0.06 27.65 2651.4 7 10 69.80 59.40 0.00 23.60 2675.0 7 11 77.30 59.80 0.00 27.55 2702.5 7 12 79.00 59.00 0.02 28.00 2730.5 7 13 83.30 59.40 0.00 30.35 2760.9 Vx 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 14 89.70 53.80 0.00 30.02 2790.9 Vx 7 15 81.30 60.10 0.00 29.70 2820.6 Vx 7 16 83.50 60.60 0.00 31.05 2851.6 Vx 7 17 87.90 56.30 0.00 30.72 2882.4 Vx first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 18 81.60 61.70 0.00 30.65 2913.0 7 19 80.30 60.20 0.00 29.25 2942.3 7 20 87.30 62.10 0.00 33.40 2975.7 Vx 7 21 94.80 55.80 0.00 32.16 3007.8 Vx 7 22 82.90 65.90 0.00 33.40 3041.2 Vx 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 23 84.30 56.80 0.00 29.55 3070.8 7 24 90.10 55.50 0.00 30.96 3101.7 Vx 7 25 96.60 60.20 0.00 34.52 3136.2 Vx 7 26 95.30 71.40 0.00 39.33 3175.6 Vx 7 27 92.20 68.00 0.05 37.38 3213.0 7 28 95.00 67.30 0.04 37.50 3250.5 7 29 101.60 69.50 0.00 39.16 3289.6 Vx 7 30 94.60 71.60 0.00 39.34 3329.0 Vx 95% emergence (2nd flight) 7 31 84.80 59.90 0.00 31.35 3360.3 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF25442 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF25442 Burkes Klepper OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 937first moth catch
 5-13-16 117250% moth emergence
 5-18-16 1284first egg hatch
 5-22-16 134850% egg hatch
 5-26-16 143595% moth emergence
 6-27-16 2265first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-13-16 276150% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-17-16 2882first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-22-16 304150% egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-30-16 332995% emergence (2nd flight)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)