Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25394 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown Stephens Hill OR Lat:45.9892 Long:-118.4117 Elev:810 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 65.00 40.60 0.00 11.82 11.8 * START * 3 2 61.50 42.90 0.00 11.20 23.0 3 3 65.20 44.80 0.00 14.00 37.0 3 4 63.40 33.00 0.00 8.99 46.0 3 5 65.90 49.60 0.00 16.75 62.8 3 6 67.70 48.80 0.00 17.25 80.0 3 7 57.20 44.10 0.00 9.65 89.7 3 8 54.40 35.50 0.00 5.25 94.9 3 9 59.40 43.60 0.00 10.50 105.4 3 10 64.90 49.00 0.00 15.95 121.4 3 11 48.90 35.40 0.00 2.75 124.1 3 12 52.40 41.00 0.00 5.70 129.8 3 13 60.60 38.10 0.00 8.80 138.6 3 14 53.90 40.20 0.00 6.13 144.7 3 15 51.90 40.80 0.00 5.36 150.1 3 16 56.50 40.40 0.00 7.50 157.6 3 17 54.80 32.40 0.00 4.96 162.6 3 18 59.30 29.40 0.00 6.55 169.1 3 19 62.70 36.00 0.00 9.29 178.4 3 20 61.30 37.90 0.00 9.09 187.5 3 21 64.50 40.20 0.00 11.41 198.9 3 22 53.40 44.60 0.00 8.00 206.9 3 23 60.70 45.90 0.00 12.30 219.2 3 24 57.00 47.50 0.00 11.25 230.5 3 25 58.10 43.30 0.00 9.70 240.2 3 26 63.90 37.80 0.00 10.33 250.5 3 27 58.00 45.40 0.00 10.70 261.2 3 28 51.70 39.00 0.00 4.69 265.9 Vx 3 29 65.00 35.00 0.00 10.16 276.0 3 30 66.60 36.80 0.00 11.38 287.4 3 31 73.00 47.20 0.00 19.10 306.5 4 1 77.70 44.40 0.00 20.05 326.6 4 2 76.90 48.50 0.00 21.70 348.3 4 3 77.30 49.80 0.00 22.55 370.8 4 4 60.90 46.70 0.00 12.80 383.6 4 5 65.50 43.20 0.00 13.35 397.0 4 6 75.90 40.40 0.00 17.18 414.2 4 7 75.20 40.50 0.00 16.87 431.0 4 8 81.00 44.00 0.00 21.50 452.5 4 9 83.80 54.90 0.00 28.35 480.9 4 10 76.80 52.00 0.00 23.40 504.3 4 11 77.60 44.70 0.00 20.15 524.4 4 12 68.00 51.20 0.00 18.60 543.0 4 13 66.50 49.20 0.00 16.85 559.9 4 14 61.60 43.60 0.00 11.60 571.5 4 15 67.80 45.30 0.00 15.55 587.0 4 16 73.30 39.00 0.00 15.36 602.4 4 17 79.20 40.40 0.00 18.83 621.2 4 18 82.60 42.50 0.00 21.55 642.8 4 19 85.50 46.00 0.00 24.73 667.5 4 20 87.10 46.70 0.00 25.70 693.2 4 21 79.80 54.50 0.00 26.15 719.3 4 22 77.90 52.90 0.00 24.40 743.7 4 23 71.00 53.50 0.00 21.25 765.0 4 24 68.20 50.30 0.00 18.25 783.2 4 25 68.40 40.80 0.00 13.61 796.8 4 26 68.70 40.80 0.00 13.76 810.6 4 27 63.00 48.90 0.00 14.95 825.6 4 28 72.70 49.90 0.00 20.30 845.9 4 29 58.30 49.80 0.00 13.05 858.9 4 30 71.10 48.40 0.00 18.75 877.7 5 1 78.80 40.40 0.00 18.63 896.3 5 2 88.80 45.10 0.00 25.47 921.8 5 3 93.50 53.50 0.00 30.80 952.6 first moth catch 5 4 79.80 59.00 0.00 28.40 981.0 5 5 69.30 44.70 0.00 16.00 997.0 Hx Hn 5 6 77.90 52.30 0.00 24.10 1021.1 5 7 83.00 53.30 0.00 27.15 1048.2 5 8 78.60 54.50 0.00 25.55 1073.8 5 9 67.40 47.30 0.00 16.35 1090.1 5 10 78.00 38.10 0.00 17.38 1107.5 Vx 5 11 82.90 46.50 0.00 23.70 1131.2 Vx Vn 5 12 87.80 63.00 0.00 34.00 1165.2 50% moth emergence 5 13 83.50 45.10 0.00 23.30 1188.5 5 14 68.60 55.00 0.00 20.80 1209.3 5 15 58.80 52.10 0.00 14.45 1223.7 5 16 72.10 52.70 0.00 21.40 1245.1 5 17 79.20 50.10 0.00 23.65 1268.8 5 18 84.00 57.20 0.00 29.60 1298.4 Vx first egg hatch 5 19 67.50 49.40 0.00 17.45 1315.8 Vx 5 20 63.80 43.40 0.00 12.60 1328.4 5 21 64.70 46.40 0.00 14.55 1343.0 Vx 5 22 68.30 51.70 0.00 19.00 1362.0 50% egg hatch 5 23 70.90 51.40 0.00 20.15 1382.1 Vx 5 24 73.30 52.20 0.00 21.75 1403.9 Vx 5 25 77.60 49.60 0.00 22.60 1426.5 5 26 70.90 55.00 0.00 21.95 1448.4 95% moth emergence 5 27 67.70 50.70 0.00 18.20 1466.6 5 28 74.70 48.50 0.00 20.60 1487.2 5 29 78.90 54.40 0.00 25.65 1512.9 5 30 76.50 48.80 0.00 21.65 1534.5 5 31 83.40 44.10 0.00 22.75 1557.3 6 1 85.30 51.70 0.00 27.49 1584.8 6 2 76.60 64.90 0.00 29.75 1614.5 6 3 85.70 58.00 0.00 30.80 1645.3 6 4 91.90 52.50 0.00 29.95 1675.3 6 5 94.50 56.40 0.00 32.38 1707.7 6 6 100.30 63.20 0.00 36.38 1744.0 Vx 6 7 98.60 67.70 0.00 38.12 1782.2 Vx 6 8 86.50 68.40 0.00 36.27 1818.4 6 9 80.80 58.80 0.00 28.80 1847.2 6 10 69.30 54.10 0.00 20.70 1867.9 6 11 73.00 48.40 0.00 19.70 1887.6 6 12 79.00 48.70 0.00 22.85 1910.5 Vx 6 13 73.80 54.30 0.00 23.05 1933.5 6 14 69.40 51.00 0.00 19.20 1952.7 6 15 70.80 47.20 0.00 18.00 1970.7 6 16 68.50 46.30 0.00 16.40 1987.1 6 17 78.70 45.00 0.00 20.85 2008.0 6 18 67.00 55.60 0.00 20.30 2028.3 6 19 76.00 44.80 0.00 19.40 2047.7 6 20 81.80 50.10 0.00 24.95 2072.6 Vx 6 21 79.70 57.50 0.00 27.60 2100.2 6 22 85.50 48.30 0.00 25.88 2126.1 6 23 80.80 61.60 0.00 30.20 2156.3 6 24 73.00 54.00 0.00 22.50 2178.8 6 25 80.80 51.90 0.00 25.35 2204.1 6 26 89.70 49.90 0.00 28.11 2232.3 6 27 91.90 59.00 0.00 33.08 2265.3 first moth catch (2nd flight) 6 28 92.60 64.70 0.00 35.92 2301.2 6 29 92.10 64.60 0.00 35.78 2337.0 6 30 88.70 64.70 0.00 35.07 2372.1 7 1 90.50 59.30 0.00 32.90 2405.0 7 2 90.50 64.20 0.00 35.26 2440.3 7 3 85.00 65.50 0.00 34.25 2474.5 7 4 81.90 56.10 0.00 28.00 2502.5 7 5 79.80 53.10 0.00 25.45 2528.0 7 6 81.10 60.00 0.00 29.55 2557.5 7 7 80.30 55.50 0.00 26.90 2584.4 7 8 75.10 60.60 0.00 26.85 2611.3 7 9 78.10 57.90 0.00 27.00 2638.3 7 10 67.90 58.70 0.00 22.30 2660.6 7 11 78.70 57.90 0.00 27.30 2687.9 7 12 80.30 58.30 0.00 28.30 2716.2 7 13 82.60 57.10 0.00 28.85 2745.0 7 14 88.20 53.50 0.00 29.43 2774.4 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 15 79.00 57.90 0.00 27.45 2801.9 7 16 81.80 56.40 0.00 28.10 2830.0 7 17 84.60 56.80 0.00 29.70 2859.7 7 18 81.00 61.60 0.00 30.30 2890.0 first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 19 79.60 59.90 0.00 28.75 2918.7 7 20 86.50 61.10 0.00 32.64 2951.4 7 21 88.90 55.20 0.00 30.48 2981.9 7 22 82.20 62.70 0.00 31.45 3013.3 7 23 81.80 55.70 0.00 27.75 3041.1 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 24 87.70 53.00 0.00 29.03 3070.1 7 25 97.10 58.30 0.00 33.73 3103.8 Vx 7 26 89.30 68.90 0.00 37.24 3141.1 7 27 91.10 65.90 0.00 36.19 3177.3 7 28 94.00 67.20 0.00 37.30 3214.6 7 29 96.40 64.70 0.00 36.53 3251.1 7 30 88.90 68.80 0.00 37.11 3288.2 7 31 83.70 60.90 0.00 31.30 3319.5 95% emergence (2nd flight) Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF25394 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF25394 Brown Stephens Hill
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 953first moth catch
 5-12-16 116550% moth emergence
 5-18-16 1298first egg hatch
 5-22-16 136250% egg hatch
 5-26-16 144895% moth emergence
 6-27-16 2265first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-14-16 277450% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-18-16 2890first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-23-16 304150% egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-31-16 332095% emergence (2nd flight)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)