Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24585 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Oliver Cherries OR Lat45.9717 Long:-118.3739 Elev:882 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.30 38.10 0.03 10.12 10.1 * START * 3 2 60.40 40.90 0.00 9.65 19.8 3 3 64.60 44.60 0.02 13.60 33.4 3 4 59.80 32.20 0.00 7.18 40.6 3 5 64.50 49.50 0.01 16.00 56.6 3 6 66.20 48.30 0.03 16.25 72.8 3 7 56.00 39.30 0.00 6.88 79.7 3 8 53.40 32.40 0.00 4.35 84.0 3 9 57.80 42.20 0.00 9.00 93.0 3 10 62.20 42.20 0.01 11.20 104.2 3 11 48.00 33.80 0.02 2.21 106.4 3 12 53.70 39.30 0.01 5.75 112.2 3 13 58.10 37.10 0.01 7.33 119.5 3 14 51.20 37.50 0.00 4.12 123.6 3 15 52.20 39.60 0.00 5.10 128.7 3 16 55.00 36.90 0.00 5.80 134.5 3 17 53.60 32.40 0.00 4.43 139.0 3 18 57.70 26.30 0.00 5.51 144.5 3 19 62.20 32.90 0.00 8.41 152.9 3 20 61.40 34.40 0.05 8.32 161.2 3 21 64.10 38.50 0.00 10.63 171.9 3 22 52.20 43.90 0.05 7.05 178.9 3 23 60.00 44.60 0.00 11.30 190.2 3 24 57.10 46.80 0.00 10.95 201.2 3 25 55.10 42.30 0.00 7.70 208.9 3 26 63.50 36.30 0.00 9.74 218.6 3 27 57.60 48.10 0.00 11.85 230.5 3 28 51.90 37.00 0.00 4.36 234.8 3 29 63.30 35.40 0.00 9.44 244.2 3 30 64.50 32.30 0.00 9.38 253.6 3 31 71.80 42.50 0.00 16.15 269.8 4 1 76.70 39.50 0.00 17.23 287.0 4 2 77.40 44.90 0.00 20.15 307.1 4 3 75.30 41.20 0.00 17.25 324.4 4 4 62.00 45.40 0.12 12.70 337.1 Hx 4 5 63.60 39.80 0.00 10.81 347.9 4 6 62.30 36.70 0.00 9.26 357.2 Hx 4 7 73.00 35.60 0.00 14.18 371.4 4 8 76.80 42.20 0.00 18.50 389.9 4 9 79.20 49.70 0.00 23.45 413.3 4 10 72.80 47.40 0.00 19.10 432.4 4 11 76.00 47.20 0.00 20.60 453.0 4 12 67.50 50.70 0.02 18.10 471.1 4 13 63.60 48.20 0.00 14.90 486.0 4 14 63.20 42.30 0.00 11.75 497.8 4 15 64.80 43.60 0.00 13.20 511.0 4 16 69.50 35.50 0.00 12.45 523.4 4 17 73.60 37.50 0.00 15.02 538.4 4 18 80.00 39.50 0.00 18.87 557.3 Vx 4 19 79.90 43.30 0.00 20.60 577.9 4 20 82.20 43.20 0.00 21.70 599.6 4 21 76.80 50.90 0.00 22.85 622.4 4 22 75.60 52.10 0.00 22.85 645.3 4 23 69.60 52.40 0.00 20.00 665.3 4 24 65.70 49.40 0.00 16.55 681.8 4 25 65.50 39.60 0.00 11.69 693.5 Vx 4 26 63.80 41.50 0.00 11.65 705.2 4 27 60.00 47.20 0.03 12.60 717.8 4 28 68.00 48.50 0.00 17.25 735.0 4 29 57.40 48.90 0.03 12.15 747.2 4 30 66.20 47.50 0.02 15.85 763.0 5 1 74.60 40.20 0.00 16.45 779.5 5 2 85.00 42.80 0.00 22.90 802.4 Vx 5 3 86.10 62.60 0.00 33.25 835.6 5 4 77.70 57.20 0.00 26.45 862.1 5 5 69.30 45.60 0.00 16.45 878.5 Hx Hn 5 6 75.00 51.20 0.00 22.10 900.6 5 7 79.60 52.10 0.00 24.85 925.5 5 8 77.00 57.80 0.00 26.40 951.9 first moth catch 5 9 65.50 47.70 0.00 15.60 967.5 Vx 5 10 71.10 37.90 0.00 13.91 981.4 5 11 82.00 46.10 0.00 23.05 1004.4 Vx Vn 5 12 83.40 57.40 0.00 29.40 1033.8 5 13 80.70 45.70 0.00 22.20 1056.0 5 14 67.50 51.80 0.07 18.65 1074.7 5 15 58.80 51.70 0.11 14.25 1088.9 5 16 72.00 52.00 0.01 21.00 1109.9 Vx 5 17 75.70 49.80 0.00 21.75 1131.7 5 18 82.20 53.80 0.00 27.00 1158.7 5 19 67.80 49.30 0.00 17.55 1176.2 50% moth emergence 5 20 61.40 40.90 0.00 10.15 1186.4 5 21 63.60 44.40 0.01 13.00 1199.4 5 22 68.50 50.30 0.00 18.40 1217.8 5 23 70.80 50.70 0.00 19.75 1237.5 5 24 74.00 49.50 0.00 20.75 1258.3 5 25 76.90 47.60 0.00 21.25 1279.5 5 26 70.80 50.80 0.00 19.80 1299.3 first egg hatch 5 27 69.80 50.90 0.00 19.35 1318.7 5 28 76.10 48.20 0.00 21.15 1339.8 5 29 79.60 52.60 0.00 25.10 1364.9 50% egg hatch 5 30 76.30 48.20 0.00 21.25 1386.2 Vx 5 31 84.80 40.80 0.00 21.81 1408.0 Vx 6 1 85.20 49.50 0.00 26.34 1434.3 95% moth emergence 6 2 78.10 60.80 0.00 28.45 1462.8 6 3 86.40 57.20 0.00 30.67 1493.5 6 4 89.00 50.30 0.00 28.10 1521.6 6 5 91.20 54.30 0.00 30.65 1552.2 6 6 99.20 58.30 0.00 34.06 1586.3 Vx 6 7 94.00 64.20 0.00 35.93 1622.2 6 8 87.70 66.90 0.00 35.88 1658.1 6 9 77.20 56.40 0.00 25.80 1683.9 6 10 67.70 53.30 0.01 19.50 1703.4 6 11 72.00 46.10 0.00 18.05 1721.4 6 12 77.30 44.50 0.00 19.90 1741.3 6 13 74.90 53.00 0.00 22.95 1764.3 Vx 6 14 69.30 50.10 0.00 18.70 1783.0 6 15 69.30 46.50 0.00 16.90 1799.9 6 16 69.60 45.30 0.01 16.45 1816.3 6 17 79.10 42.50 0.00 19.80 1836.1 6 18 66.80 52.50 0.06 18.65 1854.8 6 19 76.30 42.50 0.00 18.40 1873.2 6 20 80.20 46.80 0.00 22.50 1895.7 6 21 80.50 58.70 0.00 28.60 1924.3 6 22 87.20 45.70 0.00 25.23 1949.5 6 23 81.30 59.80 0.00 29.55 1979.1 6 24 75.60 54.00 0.02 23.80 2002.9 6 25 81.50 48.10 0.00 23.80 2026.7 6 26 87.70 46.80 0.00 25.95 2052.6 6 27 93.50 60.50 0.00 34.12 2086.7 Vx Vn 6 28 91.20 59.30 0.00 33.07 2119.8 6 29 94.60 63.50 0.00 35.71 2155.5 Vx 6 30 92.00 66.20 0.00 36.51 2192.0 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.10 0.00 34.37 2226.4 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 34.62 2261.0 Vx Vn first moth catch (2nd flight) 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 34.16 2295.2 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2323.2 Vx Vn 7 5 78.70 52.30 0.00 24.50 2347.7 7 6 81.40 60.50 0.00 29.95 2377.7 7 7 81.50 60.50 0.00 30.00 2407.7 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 60.30 0.05 28.05 2435.7 Vx 7 9 77.60 57.50 0.06 26.55 2462.3 7 10 69.90 57.20 0.00 22.55 2484.8 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 28.90 2513.7 Vx Vn 7 12 80.20 56.30 0.02 27.25 2541.0 7 13 84.30 55.40 0.00 28.85 2569.8 7 14 89.80 53.00 0.00 29.65 2599.5 Vx 7 15 81.40 57.00 0.00 28.20 2627.7 Vx 7 16 83.70 58.00 0.00 29.85 2657.5 Vx 7 17 88.10 55.40 0.00 30.34 2687.9 Vx 7 18 80.80 59.10 0.00 28.95 2716.8 Vx 7 19 82.90 56.80 0.00 28.85 2745.7 7 20 87.70 58.90 0.00 31.95 2777.6 Vx 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 21 95.20 52.10 0.00 30.49 2808.1 Vx 7 22 83.00 64.50 0.00 32.75 2840.8 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 55.90 0.00 29.00 2869.8 Vx 7 24 90.20 51.90 0.00 29.23 2899.1 Vx first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 25 96.80 58.40 0.00 33.73 2932.8 Vx 7 26 95.90 69.30 0.00 38.50 2971.3 Vx 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 38.45 3009.8 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 63.40 0.00 36.36 3046.1 Vx 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 29 101.70 63.60 0.00 36.72 3082.8 Vx 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 39.44 3122.3 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.40 0.00 33.42 3155.7 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24585 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF24585 Oliver Cherries OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-8-16 952first moth catch
 5-19-16 117650% moth emergence
 5-26-16 1299first egg hatch
 5-29-16 136550% egg hatch
 6-1-16 143495% moth emergence
 7-2-16 2261first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-20-16 277850% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-24-16 2899first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-28-16 304650% egg hatch (2nd gen)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)