Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits]
insect model of Brunner (1991)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner (1991) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 85 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 930 DD after biofix first moth catch 2. 1160 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence 3. 1280 DD after biofix first egg hatch 4. 1345 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch 5. 1430 DD after biofix 95% moth emergence 6. 2250 DD after biofix first moth catch (2nd flight) 7. 2750 DD after biofix 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 8. 2870 DD after biofix first egg hatch (2nd gen) 9. 3025 DD after biofix 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 10. 3300 DD after biofix 95% emergence (2nd flight) ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF23241 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown McClellan OR Lat45.9528 Long:-118.4678 Elev:843 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.00 40.40 0.00 10.74 10.7 * START * 3 2 59.90 43.90 0.00 10.90 21.6 3 3 63.30 44.00 0.00 12.65 34.3 3 4 61.60 34.00 0.00 8.34 42.6 3 5 64.60 48.50 0.00 15.55 58.2 3 6 65.60 45.70 0.00 14.65 72.8 3 7 57.60 42.20 0.00 8.90 81.7 3 8 53.00 37.10 0.00 4.89 86.6 3 9 58.50 42.90 0.00 9.70 96.3 3 10 62.50 49.10 0.00 14.80 111.1 3 11 47.30 34.70 0.00 2.01 113.1 3 12 52.60 40.40 0.00 5.56 118.7 3 13 60.70 38.20 0.00 8.87 127.6 3 14 52.70 40.30 0.00 5.57 133.1 3 15 51.20 32.00 0.00 3.36 136.5 3 16 54.60 32.00 0.00 4.82 141.3 3 17 54.10 31.70 0.00 4.57 145.9 3 18 58.00 27.40 0.00 5.75 151.6 3 19 60.90 32.60 0.00 7.76 159.4 3 20 59.20 38.10 0.00 8.11 167.5 3 21 63.20 43.60 0.00 12.40 179.9 3 22 52.30 43.50 0.00 6.90 186.8 3 23 59.20 44.60 0.00 10.90 197.7 3 24 55.70 46.20 0.00 9.95 207.6 3 25 56.00 41.90 0.00 7.95 215.6 3 26 61.80 38.20 0.00 9.41 225.0 3 27 56.20 44.90 0.00 9.55 234.6 3 28 51.10 38.60 0.00 4.31 238.9 Vx 3 29 62.40 34.30 0.00 8.77 247.6 3 30 64.10 32.00 0.00 9.13 256.8 3 31 71.10 32.00 0.00 12.43 269.2 4 1 76.10 32.00 0.00 14.81 284.0 4 2 76.20 32.00 0.00 14.86 298.9 4 3 75.60 32.00 0.00 14.57 313.4 4 4 59.90 46.40 0.00 12.15 325.6 4 5 64.00 32.00 0.00 9.09 334.7 4 6 72.20 39.80 0.00 15.10 349.8 4 7 73.30 6.50 0.00 10.09 359.9 4 8 76.80 32.00 0.00 15.15 375.0 4 9 81.30 39.70 0.00 19.60 394.6 Hn 4 10 74.30 51.00 0.00 21.65 416.3 Vn 4 11 75.70 47.60 0.00 20.65 436.9 Vn 4 12 68.20 51.40 0.00 18.80 455.7 Vx Vn 4 13 65.10 45.20 0.00 14.15 469.9 Vx Vn 4 14 63.00 43.60 0.00 12.30 482.2 Vx Vn 4 15 66.80 45.60 0.00 15.20 497.4 Vx Vn 4 16 72.20 37.80 0.00 14.42 511.8 Vx Vn 4 17 77.90 38.50 0.00 17.47 529.3 Vx Vn 4 18 80.80 42.20 0.00 20.50 549.8 Vx Vn 4 19 84.40 45.10 0.00 23.75 573.5 Vx Vn 4 20 86.70 43.80 0.00 24.11 597.6 Vx Vn 4 21 79.80 53.50 0.00 25.65 623.3 Vx Vn 4 22 78.00 54.20 0.00 25.10 648.4 Vx Vn 4 23 71.20 53.20 0.00 21.20 669.6 Vx Vn 4 24 67.00 48.10 0.00 16.55 686.1 Vx Vn 4 25 65.90 41.90 0.00 12.90 699.0 Vx Vn 4 26 67.00 42.40 0.00 13.70 712.7 Vx Vn 4 27 62.00 49.20 0.00 14.60 727.3 Vx Vn 4 28 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 747.4 Vx Vn 4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 13.30 760.7 Vx Vn 4 30 68.80 48.30 0.00 17.55 778.2 Vx Vn 5 1 78.50 40.50 0.00 18.52 796.7 Vx Vn 5 2 85.10 32.00 0.00 19.15 815.9 Vx 5 3 68.30 9.00 0.00 8.29 824.2 Hx 5 4 68.60 43.40 0.00 15.00 839.2 Hx Hn 5 5 68.90 43.70 0.00 15.30 854.5 Hx Hn 5 6 77.10 53.20 0.00 24.15 878.6 5 7 82.00 53.00 0.00 26.50 905.1 5 8 75.40 60.40 0.00 26.90 932.0 first moth catch 5 9 64.00 47.10 0.00 14.55 946.6 5 10 72.90 40.00 0.00 15.52 962.1 Vx 5 11 81.20 45.40 0.00 22.30 984.4 Vx Vn 5 12 83.90 61.30 0.00 31.60 1016.0 5 13 83.00 32.00 0.00 18.13 1034.1 5 14 68.20 52.60 0.00 19.40 1053.5 5 15 58.50 51.80 0.00 14.15 1067.7 5 16 72.90 32.00 0.00 13.28 1081.0 5 17 78.40 49.20 0.00 22.80 1103.8 5 18 81.50 32.00 0.00 17.41 1121.2 5 19 66.00 47.90 0.00 15.95 1137.1 5 20 62.00 43.10 0.00 11.55 1148.7 5 21 64.90 47.00 0.00 14.95 1163.6 50% moth emergence 5 22 67.80 52.80 0.00 19.30 1182.9 5 23 70.40 50.00 0.00 19.20 1202.1 Vx 5 24 75.40 53.10 0.00 23.25 1225.4 5 25 79.80 52.80 0.00 25.30 1250.7 5 26 72.40 54.50 0.00 22.45 1273.1 5 27 67.80 50.00 0.00 17.90 1291.0 first egg hatch 5 28 74.40 47.40 0.00 19.90 1310.9 5 29 77.00 55.10 0.00 25.05 1336.0 5 30 76.60 49.30 0.00 21.95 1357.9 50% egg hatch 5 31 84.20 45.40 0.00 23.80 1381.7 6 1 82.70 52.00 0.00 26.35 1408.1 6 2 76.10 64.00 0.00 29.05 1437.1 95% moth emergence 6 3 87.20 56.80 0.00 30.75 1467.9 6 4 94.10 52.90 0.00 30.64 1498.5 6 5 93.70 57.30 0.00 32.65 1531.2 6 6 99.90 32.00 0.00 23.33 1554.5 Vx 6 7 95.30 66.00 0.00 36.95 1591.4 6 8 83.60 65.80 0.00 33.70 1625.1 6 9 77.50 58.90 0.00 27.20 1652.3 6 10 67.00 53.20 0.00 19.10 1671.4 6 11 71.60 21.20 0.00 10.91 1682.3 6 12 77.50 47.50 0.00 21.50 1703.8 6 13 72.50 53.70 0.00 22.10 1725.9 6 14 68.70 50.90 0.00 18.80 1744.7 6 15 65.70 46.60 0.00 15.15 1759.9 6 16 69.00 47.60 0.00 17.30 1777.2 6 17 77.90 32.00 0.00 15.68 1792.9 6 18 67.20 55.00 0.00 20.10 1813.0 6 19 73.90 45.50 0.00 18.70 1831.7 6 20 81.90 48.80 0.00 24.35 1856.0 Vx 6 21 80.80 58.70 0.00 28.75 1884.8 6 22 85.40 48.90 0.00 26.13 1910.9 Vx Vn 6 23 81.70 62.40 0.00 31.05 1942.0 Vx Vn 6 24 73.00 54.50 0.00 22.75 1964.7 Vx Vn 6 25 81.60 52.20 0.00 25.90 1990.6 Vx Vn 6 26 91.00 52.20 0.00 29.58 2020.2 Vx Vn 6 27 93.20 61.00 0.00 34.29 2054.5 Vx Vn 6 28 94.90 67.70 0.00 37.66 2092.1 Vx Vn 6 29 94.30 64.70 0.00 36.21 2128.4 Vx Vn 6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 35.93 2164.3 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 34.57 2198.8 Vx Vn 7 2 89.80 62.60 0.00 34.33 2233.2 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.90 0.00 34.21 2267.4 Vx Vn first moth catch (2nd flight) 7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 28.10 2295.5 Vx Vn 7 5 78.50 55.80 0.00 26.15 2321.6 Vx Vn 7 6 80.70 59.40 0.00 29.05 2350.7 Vx Vn 7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 30.20 2380.9 Vx Vn 7 8 77.60 61.30 0.00 28.45 2409.3 Vx Vn 7 9 77.90 58.70 0.00 27.30 2436.6 Vx Vn 7 10 70.30 59.40 0.00 23.85 2460.5 Vx Vn 7 11 81.00 59.30 0.00 29.15 2489.6 Vx Vn 7 12 80.00 59.90 0.00 28.95 2518.6 Vx Vn 7 13 83.30 56.20 0.00 28.75 2547.3 Vx Vn 7 14 90.00 58.00 0.00 32.15 2579.5 Vx Vn 7 15 81.50 57.40 0.00 28.45 2607.9 Vx Vn 7 16 83.60 59.10 0.00 30.35 2638.3 Vx Vn 7 17 88.70 56.60 0.00 31.11 2669.4 Vx Vn 7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 30.15 2699.5 Vx Vn 7 19 79.60 60.00 0.00 28.80 2728.3 Vx Vn 7 20 87.70 60.20 0.00 32.59 2760.9 Vx Vn 50% moth emergence (2nd flight) 7 21 95.00 55.70 0.00 32.15 2793.1 Vx Vn 7 22 82.70 64.20 0.00 32.45 2825.5 Vx Vn 7 23 84.40 59.40 0.00 30.90 2856.4 Vx Vn 7 24 90.00 53.40 0.00 29.90 2886.3 Vx Vn first egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 25 96.40 58.60 0.00 33.75 2920.1 Vx Vn 7 26 96.10 72.30 0.00 39.80 2959.9 Vx Vn 7 27 95.50 69.60 0.00 38.58 2998.5 Vx Vn 7 28 99.30 69.20 0.00 38.83 3037.3 Vx Vn 50% egg hatch (2nd gen) 7 29 101.90 70.70 0.00 39.67 3077.0 Vx Vn 7 30 94.70 72.40 0.00 39.70 3116.7 Vx Vn 7 31 87.10 62.60 0.00 33.59 3150.2 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF23241 2006-2015
Pandemis leafroller model - Brunner
Location: 2016 MF23241 Brown McClellan OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-8-16 932first moth catch
 5-21-16 116450% moth emergence
 5-27-16 1291first egg hatch
 5-30-16 135850% egg hatch
 6-2-16 143795% moth emergence
 7-3-16 2267first moth catch (2nd flight)
 7-20-16 276150% moth emergence (2nd flight)
 7-24-16 2886first egg hatch (2nd gen)
 7-28-16 303750% egg hatch (2nd gen)
degree-day graph of Pandemis leafroller [tree fruits] Brunner (1991)