Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth [apple & pear]
insect model of Brunner and Hoyt (1987)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner and Hoyt (1987) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: Fully tested and in use Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 250 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 2. 360 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 3. 484 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 4. 610 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5. 800 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6. 1000 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 7. 1260 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 8. 1460 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 9. 1580 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 10. 1750 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 11. 2100 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 12. 2220 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 13. 2430 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 14. 2620 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25442 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Klepper OR Lat45.9600 Long:-118.4106 Elev:908 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 73.50 51.60 0.00 12.55 12.5 * START * 4 11 76.00 47.20 0.00 11.97 24.5 4 12 66.60 52.00 0.03 9.30 33.8 4 13 64.40 49.00 0.01 6.81 40.6 4 14 63.60 45.80 0.02 5.59 46.2 4 15 65.00 46.20 0.00 6.34 52.6 4 16 70.30 41.40 0.00 7.91 60.5 4 17 76.20 38.80 0.00 10.19 70.7 4 18 79.10 40.00 0.00 11.76 82.4 4 19 82.20 48.60 0.00 15.52 97.9 4 20 85.50 44.40 0.00 15.84 113.8 4 21 79.40 55.00 0.00 17.20 131.0 4 22 76.60 55.30 0.00 15.95 146.9 4 23 70.60 53.50 0.00 12.05 159.0 4 24 66.50 51.70 0.00 9.10 168.1 4 25 64.80 43.40 0.00 5.71 173.8 4 26 64.10 43.90 0.00 5.47 179.3 4 27 60.70 49.00 0.01 4.98 184.2 4 28 69.50 51.10 0.00 10.30 194.5 4 29 58.10 52.00 0.00 5.05 199.6 4 30 67.70 48.90 0.01 8.41 208.0 5 1 76.80 40.90 0.00 10.85 218.8 5 2 85.30 44.80 0.00 15.85 234.7 5 3 90.90 69.00 0.00 29.50 264.2 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 5 4 79.80 58.70 0.01 19.25 283.4 5 5 69.10 46.30 0.00 8.34 291.8 Hx Hn 5 6 77.50 53.40 0.00 15.45 307.2 5 7 82.60 53.10 0.00 17.85 325.1 5 8 78.30 55.20 0.00 16.75 341.8 5 9 66.40 48.20 0.00 7.54 349.4 5 10 72.30 42.30 0.00 9.00 358.4 5 11 81.50 46.40 0.00 14.44 372.8 Vx Vn 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 5 12 84.40 63.40 0.00 23.90 396.7 5 13 82.50 47.50 0.00 15.29 412.0 5 14 69.50 54.70 0.10 12.10 424.1 5 15 59.40 53.90 0.04 6.65 430.8 5 16 72.40 53.40 0.02 12.90 443.7 5 17 78.60 50.40 0.00 14.50 458.2 5 18 82.70 60.20 0.00 21.45 479.6 5 19 66.50 50.00 0.00 8.25 487.9 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 5 20 61.80 43.90 0.00 4.42 492.3 5 21 65.10 46.20 0.03 6.39 498.7 5 22 68.80 53.50 0.00 11.15 509.8 5 23 70.20 52.20 0.00 11.20 521.0 Vx 5 24 71.60 53.30 0.00 12.45 533.5 5 25 77.30 51.80 0.00 14.55 548.0 5 26 70.50 54.50 0.00 12.50 560.5 5 27 67.30 51.30 0.00 9.30 569.8 5 28 75.90 49.90 0.00 12.90 582.7 5 29 78.90 55.70 0.00 17.30 600.0 5 30 75.30 49.80 0.00 12.56 612.6 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5 31 84.00 48.00 0.00 16.20 628.8 6 1 85.00 51.70 0.00 18.35 647.1 6 2 76.80 64.60 0.00 20.70 667.8 6 3 87.00 57.20 0.00 22.10 689.9 6 4 94.90 52.70 0.00 22.60 712.5 6 5 95.40 56.40 0.00 24.50 737.0 6 6 99.10 69.80 0.00 31.42 768.4 Vx 6 7 95.00 68.60 0.00 30.23 798.7 6 8 87.40 68.90 0.00 28.15 826.8 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6 9 78.20 60.30 0.00 19.25 846.1 6 10 68.70 54.50 0.04 11.60 857.7 6 11 70.90 50.60 0.00 10.75 868.4 6 12 78.80 47.70 0.00 13.52 881.9 6 13 74.10 57.00 0.00 15.55 897.5 6 14 69.30 51.80 0.00 10.55 908.0 6 15 67.10 48.30 0.00 7.92 916.0 6 16 68.90 47.80 0.02 8.65 924.6 6 17 77.60 47.20 0.02 12.76 937.4 6 18 67.70 55.80 0.09 11.75 949.1 6 19 77.60 46.60 0.00 12.58 961.7 6 20 81.30 48.10 0.00 14.89 976.6 Vx 6 21 80.40 58.50 0.00 19.45 996.0 6 22 87.70 49.40 0.00 18.58 1014.6 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 6 23 80.20 63.10 0.00 21.65 1036.3 6 24 74.50 55.70 0.00 15.10 1051.4 6 25 80.70 51.20 0.00 15.95 1067.3 6 26 90.50 50.30 0.00 20.13 1087.5 6 27 93.40 56.20 0.00 23.91 1111.4 Vx 6 28 94.50 67.30 0.00 29.52 1140.9 6 29 94.30 64.50 0.00 28.14 1169.0 Vx 6 30 90.30 65.70 0.00 27.70 1196.7 Vx Vn 7 1 92.90 60.90 0.00 26.07 1222.8 7 2 89.80 64.00 0.00 26.70 1249.5 Vx 7 3 85.50 69.20 0.00 27.35 1276.9 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 7 4 82.30 54.90 0.00 18.60 1295.5 7 5 81.00 57.30 0.00 19.15 1314.6 7 6 78.50 61.50 0.00 20.00 1334.6 7 7 81.50 61.00 0.00 21.25 1355.9 Vx 7 8 77.70 61.50 0.11 19.60 1375.5 Vx 7 9 78.20 59.10 0.06 18.65 1394.1 7 10 69.80 59.40 0.00 14.60 1408.7 7 11 77.30 59.80 0.00 18.55 1427.3 7 12 79.00 59.00 0.02 19.00 1446.3 7 13 83.30 59.40 0.00 21.35 1467.6 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 7 14 89.70 53.80 0.00 21.59 1489.2 Vx 7 15 81.30 60.10 0.00 20.70 1509.9 Vx 7 16 83.50 60.60 0.00 22.05 1531.9 Vx 7 17 87.90 56.30 0.00 22.10 1554.0 Vx 7 18 81.60 61.70 0.00 21.65 1575.7 7 19 80.30 60.20 0.00 20.25 1595.9 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 7 20 87.30 62.10 0.00 24.70 1620.6 Vx 7 21 94.80 55.80 0.00 24.07 1644.7 Vx 7 22 82.90 65.90 0.00 24.40 1669.1 Vx 7 23 84.30 56.80 0.00 20.55 1689.7 7 24 90.10 55.50 0.00 22.58 1712.2 Vx 7 25 96.60 60.20 0.00 26.58 1738.8 Vx 7 26 95.30 71.40 0.00 31.58 1770.4 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 7 27 92.20 68.00 0.05 29.34 1799.8 7 28 95.00 67.30 0.04 29.62 1829.4 7 29 101.60 69.50 0.00 31.61 1861.0 Vx 7 30 94.60 71.60 0.00 31.55 1892.5 Vx 7 31 84.80 59.90 0.00 22.35 1914.9 8 1 90.40 56.50 0.00 23.18 1938.1 Vx Vn 8 2 78.40 62.30 0.00 20.35 1958.4 Vx Vn 8 3 83.60 57.00 0.00 20.30 1978.7 Vx 8 4 92.70 53.50 0.00 22.40 2001.1 Vx Vn 8 5 90.50 55.60 0.01 22.76 2023.9 8 6 87.40 64.00 0.00 25.70 2049.6 8 7 82.80 60.00 0.00 21.40 2071.0 Vx 8 8 75.90 52.80 0.00 14.35 2085.3 8 9 72.50 57.30 0.00 14.90 2100.2 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 8 10 84.10 58.20 0.00 21.15 2121.4 Vx 8 11 90.10 57.50 0.00 23.57 2144.9 Vx Vn 8 12 95.50 57.00 0.00 24.82 2169.8 Vx 8 13 97.60 57.70 0.00 25.60 2195.4 Vx 8 14 95.50 70.30 0.00 31.11 2226.5 Vx Vn 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 8 15 95.70 63.20 0.00 27.82 2254.3 Vx Vn 8 16 91.90 64.40 0.05 27.52 2281.8 8 17 88.50 64.60 0.03 26.52 2308.3 8 18 96.50 61.80 0.00 27.32 2335.6 Vx 8 19 86.70 57.10 0.00 21.90 2357.5 8 20 91.70 58.60 0.05 24.62 2382.2 8 21 94.40 62.30 0.00 27.11 2409.3 8 22 79.60 55.20 0.00 17.40 2426.7 8 23 82.80 51.20 0.00 17.00 2443.7 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 8 24 86.70 57.20 0.00 21.95 2465.6 Vx 8 25 89.50 51.10 0.00 20.17 2485.8 8 26 88.70 51.50 0.03 20.06 2505.8 8 27 88.30 71.70 0.02 29.98 2535.8 8 28 85.70 64.80 0.03 25.25 2561.1 8 29 91.80 56.30 0.00 23.52 2584.6 Vx 8 30 81.30 62.50 0.00 21.90 2606.5 8 31 83.00 57.50 0.00 20.25 2626.7 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 9 1 78.70 60.10 0.00 19.40 2646.1 9 2 76.00 55.90 0.00 15.95 2662.1 9 3 73.40 57.50 0.00 15.45 2677.5 9 4 73.50 47.30 0.00 10.77 2688.3 9 5 74.50 54.70 0.00 14.60 2702.9 Vx 9 6 66.70 57.50 0.02 12.10 2715.0 9 7 78.50 57.90 0.00 18.20 2733.2 9 8 79.20 59.70 0.00 19.45 2752.7 9 9 79.60 52.20 0.00 15.90 2768.6 9 10 87.10 47.40 0.03 17.53 2786.1 9 11 75.10 56.20 0.00 15.65 2801.8 9 12 73.10 45.10 0.00 9.99 2811.7 Vx 9 13 71.70 37.70 0.00 7.97 2819.7 9 14 79.50 52.20 0.00 15.85 2835.6 9 15 81.20 53.00 0.05 17.10 2852.7 9 16 84.10 57.20 0.05 20.65 2873.3 9 17 73.60 63.80 0.00 18.70 2892.0 9 18 72.10 60.40 0.01 16.25 2908.3 9 19 68.00 59.00 0.00 13.50 2921.8 Vx 9 20 70.80 49.50 0.00 10.18 2931.9 9 21 63.80 43.80 0.00 5.32 2937.3 9 22 59.10 50.80 0.01 4.95 2942.2 9 23 67.40 53.80 0.00 10.60 2952.8 9 24 71.60 53.30 0.00 12.45 2965.3 9 25 83.90 53.20 0.00 18.55 2983.8 9 26 82.80 47.60 0.00 15.47 2999.3 Vx 9 27 81.50 63.30 0.04 22.40 3021.7 9 28 77.70 51.10 0.00 14.40 3036.1 9 29 80.30 48.00 0.00 14.36 3050.4 9 30 75.00 55.30 0.00 15.15 3065.6 10 1 70.30 48.50 0.00 9.57 3075.2 10 2 66.00 39.30 0.00 5.66 3080.8 Vx 10 3 68.80 47.60 0.00 8.55 3089.4 10 4 67.40 49.50 0.08 8.49 3097.8 10 5 64.30 49.90 0.00 7.10 3104.9 10 6 66.20 51.30 0.00 8.75 3113.7 10 7 63.90 56.20 0.01 10.05 3123.7 Vx 10 8 72.70 49.50 0.00 11.13 3134.9 Vx 10 9 67.60 56.80 0.00 12.20 3147.1 10 10 62.50 49.50 0.05 6.04 3153.1 10 11 58.90 38.70 0.00 2.64 3155.8 10 12 59.60 29.80 0.00 2.40 3158.2 10 13 63.10 43.80 0.00 5.00 3163.1 10 14 68.10 54.10 0.05 11.10 3174.2 10 15 61.10 50.40 0.06 5.75 3180.0 10 16 66.00 52.70 0.00 9.35 3189.3 10 17 62.00 50.60 0.01 6.30 3195.6 Vx 10 18 59.80 48.00 0.00 4.26 3199.9 10 19 66.80 40.00 0.00 6.10 3206.0 10 20 69.50 57.60 0.03 13.55 3219.6 10 21 57.80 51.60 0.11 4.70 3224.3 10 22 62.00 42.50 0.00 4.31 3228.6 10 23 56.70 42.40 0.00 2.06 3230.6 10 24 59.70 43.40 0.00 3.42 3234.0 Vx 10 25 66.80 49.00 0.00 8.00 3242.0 10 26 55.60 52.90 0.02 4.25 3246.3 10 27 55.60 51.70 0.00 3.65 3249.9 Vx 10 28 54.60 46.10 0.00 1.53 3251.5 Vx 10 29 49.80 46.70 0.09 0.00 3251.5 10 30 50.40 45.00 0.04 0.05 3251.5 10 31 58.40 48.80 0.01 3.78 3255.3 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF25442 2006-2015
codling moth model - Brunner and Hoyt
Location: 2016 MF25442 Burkes Klepper OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 2641ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 5-11-16 3731ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 5-19-16 4881ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 5-30-16 6131ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 6-8-16 8271ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH
 6-22-16 10152ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE
 7-3-16 12772ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH
 7-13-16 14682ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH
 7-19-16 15962ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 7-26-16 17702ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 8-9-16 21002ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH
 8-14-16 22263RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 8-23-16 24443RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 8-31-16 26273RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
degree-day graph of codling moth [apple & pear] Brunner and Hoyt (1987)