Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth [apple & pear]
insect model of Brunner and Hoyt (1987)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner and Hoyt (1987) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: Fully tested and in use Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 250 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 2. 360 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 3. 484 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 4. 610 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5. 800 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6. 1000 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 7. 1260 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 8. 1460 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 9. 1580 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 10. 1750 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 11. 2100 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 12. 2220 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 13. 2430 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 14. 2620 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24644 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown Fuji OR Lat45.9431 Long:-118.4389 Elev:941 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 72.90 50.40 0.00 11.65 11.7 * START * 4 11 75.00 49.20 0.00 12.16 23.8 4 12 66.00 51.40 0.00 8.70 32.5 4 13 63.40 47.20 0.02 5.80 38.3 4 14 61.90 44.30 0.02 4.53 42.8 4 15 64.30 44.80 0.01 5.72 48.6 4 16 69.50 45.30 0.00 8.30 56.9 4 17 74.90 46.30 0.00 11.17 68.0 4 18 79.00 49.80 0.00 14.41 82.4 4 19 81.40 52.70 0.00 17.05 99.5 4 20 84.90 53.30 0.00 19.10 118.6 4 21 79.30 58.60 0.00 18.95 137.5 4 22 76.80 55.00 0.00 15.90 153.4 4 23 69.60 52.30 0.00 10.95 164.4 4 24 65.00 51.20 0.00 8.10 172.5 4 25 64.90 42.20 0.00 5.57 178.1 4 26 68.70 44.70 0.00 7.78 185.8 4 27 64.10 49.70 0.00 6.92 192.8 4 28 73.00 50.60 0.00 11.80 204.6 4 29 58.40 51.40 0.00 4.90 209.5 4 30 71.70 47.10 0.00 9.83 219.3 5 1 79.80 47.00 0.00 13.79 233.1 5 2 87.60 53.20 0.00 20.40 253.5 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 5 3 91.90 65.60 0.00 28.10 281.6 5 4 80.00 60.50 0.09 20.25 301.8 5 5 68.70 45.80 0.00 8.03 309.9 Hx Hn 5 6 80.00 54.20 0.00 17.10 327.0 5 7 86.20 55.70 0.00 20.95 347.9 5 8 77.20 53.90 0.00 15.55 363.5 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 5 9 66.10 46.90 0.00 7.04 370.5 5 10 73.30 43.00 0.00 9.61 380.1 5 11 80.80 46.50 0.00 14.13 394.2 Vx Vn 5 12 88.40 63.20 0.00 25.78 420.0 5 13 82.90 47.90 0.00 15.62 435.6 5 14 68.60 53.90 0.12 11.25 446.9 5 15 59.00 52.10 0.03 5.55 452.4 5 16 75.30 51.90 0.02 13.60 466.0 5 17 82.70 52.00 0.00 17.35 483.4 5 18 82.90 60.00 0.00 21.45 504.8 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 5 19 66.60 48.10 0.00 7.61 512.4 5 20 63.10 44.20 0.00 5.06 517.5 5 21 65.90 48.70 0.05 7.45 525.0 5 22 68.80 52.70 0.00 10.75 535.7 5 23 69.90 50.30 0.00 10.10 545.8 Vx 5 24 74.40 53.30 0.00 13.85 559.7 5 25 80.10 54.40 0.00 17.25 576.9 5 26 72.20 53.30 0.00 12.75 589.7 5 27 69.10 50.10 0.00 9.60 599.3 5 28 78.40 49.20 0.00 13.86 613.1 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5 29 78.70 56.00 0.00 17.35 630.5 5 30 78.50 51.20 0.00 14.85 645.3 5 31 86.60 50.80 0.00 18.70 664.0 6 1 89.00 57.80 0.00 23.32 687.3 6 2 78.80 64.50 0.00 21.65 709.0 6 3 91.50 59.10 0.00 24.81 733.8 6 4 98.50 57.90 0.00 25.87 759.7 6 5 99.70 64.20 0.00 28.99 788.7 6 6 99.00 69.00 0.00 31.05 819.7 Vx 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6 7 97.10 70.80 0.00 31.59 851.3 6 8 88.80 75.60 0.00 32.12 883.4 6 9 78.60 59.40 0.00 19.00 902.4 6 10 71.80 52.80 0.04 12.30 914.7 6 11 75.70 50.30 0.00 13.00 927.7 6 12 78.70 49.20 0.00 14.01 941.7 6 13 76.00 58.30 0.00 17.15 958.9 6 14 71.50 50.30 0.00 10.90 969.8 6 15 68.90 46.10 0.00 8.20 978.0 6 16 72.00 49.20 0.01 10.66 988.6 6 17 79.10 49.80 0.00 14.46 1003.1 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 6 18 69.10 54.60 0.09 11.85 1014.9 6 19 78.80 46.90 0.00 13.26 1028.2 6 20 81.50 52.50 0.00 17.00 1045.2 Vx 6 21 81.30 58.40 0.00 19.85 1065.0 6 22 87.80 54.20 0.00 21.00 1086.0 6 23 83.30 61.10 0.00 22.20 1108.2 6 24 74.50 54.60 0.00 14.55 1122.8 6 25 81.20 52.80 0.00 17.00 1139.8 6 26 91.60 54.90 0.00 22.77 1162.6 6 27 92.80 60.40 0.00 25.80 1188.4 Vx Vn 6 28 93.50 68.70 0.00 29.97 1218.3 6 29 94.00 67.90 0.00 29.70 1248.0 Vx 6 30 90.00 65.00 0.00 27.26 1275.3 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 7 1 90.70 64.60 0.00 27.28 1302.6 7 2 89.50 62.80 0.00 26.00 1328.6 Vx Vn 7 3 85.30 68.30 0.00 26.80 1355.4 Vx 7 4 83.10 58.10 0.00 20.60 1376.0 7 5 81.50 57.20 0.00 19.35 1395.3 7 6 80.10 59.70 0.00 19.90 1415.2 7 7 81.40 62.20 0.00 21.80 1437.0 Vx 7 8 77.50 59.90 0.13 18.70 1455.7 Vx 7 9 77.50 57.30 0.07 17.40 1473.1 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 7 10 69.20 57.90 0.00 13.55 1486.7 7 11 81.50 58.90 0.00 20.20 1506.9 7 12 78.00 57.70 0.02 17.85 1524.7 7 13 83.30 57.70 0.00 20.50 1545.2 7 14 89.50 57.20 0.00 23.21 1568.4 Vx 7 15 81.00 60.20 0.00 20.60 1589.0 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 7 16 83.30 59.90 0.00 21.60 1610.6 Vx 7 17 87.40 60.50 0.00 23.95 1634.6 Vx 7 18 80.70 62.50 0.00 21.60 1656.2 Vx 7 19 79.40 61.70 0.00 20.55 1676.7 Vx 7 20 87.10 64.30 0.00 25.70 1702.4 Vx 7 21 94.50 60.00 0.00 26.03 1728.5 Vx 7 22 82.30 65.10 0.00 23.70 1752.2 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 7 23 86.50 58.20 0.00 22.35 1774.5 7 24 89.80 59.70 0.00 24.56 1799.1 Vx 7 25 96.30 65.50 0.00 29.02 1828.1 Vx 7 26 95.20 73.80 0.00 32.66 1860.8 Vx 7 27 96.30 68.80 0.00 30.55 1891.3 7 28 100.60 71.70 0.00 32.44 1923.7 7 29 101.40 70.90 0.00 32.19 1955.9 Vx 7 30 95.10 72.50 0.00 32.05 1988.0 7 31 86.50 62.30 0.00 24.40 2012.4 8 1 90.00 56.20 0.00 22.89 2035.3 Vx Vn 8 2 78.10 61.50 0.00 19.80 2055.1 Vx Vn 8 3 83.40 57.20 0.00 20.30 2075.4 Vx 8 4 92.30 54.80 0.00 22.92 2098.3 Vx Vn 8 5 93.90 63.60 0.00 27.62 2125.9 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 8 6 89.20 65.50 0.00 27.23 2153.2 8 7 82.70 63.50 0.00 23.10 2176.3 Vx 8 8 77.50 54.50 0.00 16.00 2192.3 8 9 74.00 57.50 0.00 15.75 2208.0 8 10 83.80 58.30 0.00 21.05 2229.1 Vx 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 8 11 89.80 60.00 0.00 24.71 2253.8 Vx 8 12 96.00 63.40 0.00 27.97 2281.7 8 13 98.00 65.80 0.00 29.45 2311.2 8 14 95.40 70.60 0.00 31.23 2342.4 Vx 8 15 95.40 62.60 0.00 27.47 2369.9 Vx Vn 8 16 96.80 67.80 0.00 30.17 2400.1 8 17 93.40 67.00 0.00 29.14 2429.2 8 18 97.30 69.00 0.00 30.80 2460.0 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 8 19 92.00 64.90 0.00 27.79 2487.8 8 20 95.70 65.30 0.00 28.81 2516.6 8 21 95.80 72.20 0.00 32.03 2548.6 8 22 83.50 58.10 0.00 20.80 2569.4 8 23 85.70 56.80 0.00 21.25 2590.7 8 24 86.30 61.90 0.00 24.10 2614.8 Vx 8 25 89.50 59.20 0.00 24.21 2639.0 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 8 26 94.50 61.00 0.00 26.51 2665.5 8 27 91.80 72.30 0.00 31.32 2696.8 8 28 88.80 66.90 0.00 27.78 2724.6 Vx 8 29 91.30 62.10 0.00 26.22 2750.8 Vx 8 30 81.70 67.20 0.00 24.45 2775.3 8 31 85.90 60.90 0.00 23.40 2798.7 9 1 79.70 58.90 0.00 19.30 2818.0 9 2 77.90 54.50 0.01 16.20 2834.2 9 3 73.80 57.50 0.00 15.65 2849.8 9 4 78.70 51.60 0.00 15.15 2865.0 9 5 74.30 54.20 0.00 14.25 2879.2 Vx 9 6 65.80 55.50 0.06 10.65 2889.9 9 7 79.10 60.30 0.00 19.70 2909.6 9 8 81.40 60.00 0.00 20.70 2930.3 9 9 79.60 52.40 0.00 16.00 2946.3 9 10 92.20 56.30 0.00 23.63 2969.9 9 11 77.20 59.50 0.00 18.35 2988.3 9 12 72.70 45.30 0.00 9.84 2998.1 Vx 9 13 75.80 45.70 0.00 11.45 3009.6 9 14 81.60 54.20 0.00 17.90 3027.5 9 15 85.00 57.70 0.00 21.35 3048.8 9 16 88.70 60.80 0.00 24.70 3073.5 9 17 72.40 65.60 0.00 19.00 3092.5 9 18 72.40 61.20 0.00 16.80 3109.3 9 19 67.70 59.00 0.00 13.35 3122.7 Vx 9 20 73.60 52.00 0.00 12.80 3135.5 9 21 68.20 48.30 0.00 8.46 3143.9 9 22 57.60 51.50 0.00 4.55 3148.5 9 23 67.20 53.50 0.00 10.35 3158.8 9 24 72.00 51.90 0.00 11.95 3170.8 9 25 87.10 56.60 0.00 21.85 3192.6 9 26 82.40 56.60 0.00 19.50 3212.1 Vx 9 27 86.40 66.90 0.00 26.65 3238.8 9 28 79.10 55.90 0.00 17.50 3256.3 9 29 83.00 56.30 0.00 19.65 3275.9 9 30 75.40 56.30 0.00 15.85 3291.8 10 1 71.00 49.00 0.00 10.09 3301.9 10 2 67.70 47.40 0.00 7.95 3309.8 10 3 68.90 49.60 0.00 9.27 3319.1 10 4 66.50 48.40 0.05 7.65 3326.7 10 5 65.20 51.20 0.00 8.20 3334.9 10 6 68.60 50.70 0.00 9.65 3344.6 10 7 63.70 54.10 0.03 8.90 3353.5 Vx 10 8 72.70 52.90 0.00 12.80 3366.3 Vx 10 9 67.00 55.60 0.00 11.30 3377.6 10 10 61.50 47.80 0.09 5.03 3382.6 10 11 58.70 40.00 0.00 2.66 3385.3 10 12 58.90 35.60 0.00 2.44 3387.7 10 13 61.10 44.00 0.03 4.12 3391.8 10 14 66.40 52.30 0.09 9.35 3401.2 10 15 59.60 51.80 0.07 5.70 3406.9 10 16 64.40 50.40 0.00 7.40 3414.3 10 17 60.20 49.60 0.01 4.93 3419.2 Vx 10 18 58.90 48.80 0.00 4.03 3423.2 10 19 65.70 44.60 0.00 6.34 3429.6 10 20 68.40 56.50 0.02 12.45 3442.0 10 21 57.10 49.90 0.10 3.50 3445.5 10 22 61.30 45.70 0.00 4.49 3450.0 10 23 55.90 45.50 0.00 2.02 3452.0 10 24 58.30 45.80 0.00 3.12 3455.2 Vx 10 25 65.00 49.80 0.00 7.41 3462.6 10 26 54.50 51.90 0.04 3.20 3465.8 10 27 55.40 50.50 0.01 2.95 3468.7 Vx 10 28 58.30 48.30 0.00 3.60 3472.3 Vx 10 29 47.70 45.10 0.11 0.00 3472.3 10 30 49.20 43.60 0.06 0.00 3472.3 10 31 57.80 49.00 0.00 3.54 3475.9 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24644 2006-2015
codling moth model - Brunner and Hoyt
Location: 2016 MF24644 Brown Fuji OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-2-16 2531ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 5-8-16 3631ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 5-18-16 5051ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 5-28-16 6131ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 6-6-16 8201ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH
 6-17-16 10032ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE
 6-30-16 12752ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH
 7-9-16 14732ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH
 7-15-16 15892ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 7-22-16 17522ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 8-5-16 21262ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH
 8-10-16 22293RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 8-18-16 24603RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 8-25-16 26393RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
degree-day graph of codling moth [apple & pear] Brunner and Hoyt (1987)