Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth [apple & pear]
insect model of Brunner and Hoyt (1987)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner and Hoyt (1987) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: Fully tested and in use Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 250 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 2. 360 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 3. 484 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 4. 610 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5. 800 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6. 1000 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 7. 1260 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 8. 1460 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 9. 1580 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 10. 1750 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 11. 2100 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 12. 2220 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 13. 2430 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 14. 2620 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24513 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burkes Wondra OR Lat45.9542 Long:-118.4481 Elev:839 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 73.20 50.80 0.00 12.00 12.0 * START * 4 11 75.70 47.70 0.00 11.98 24.0 4 12 66.40 51.80 0.00 9.10 33.1 4 13 64.00 48.30 0.00 6.39 39.5 4 14 62.60 44.80 0.00 4.93 44.4 4 15 64.60 45.70 0.00 6.04 50.4 4 16 70.10 39.50 0.00 7.51 58.0 4 17 75.20 39.30 0.00 9.81 67.8 4 18 79.00 39.90 0.00 11.69 79.5 4 19 81.80 45.00 0.00 14.19 93.6 4 20 84.80 44.20 0.00 15.44 109.1 4 21 79.00 55.60 0.00 17.30 126.4 4 22 76.80 55.60 0.00 16.20 142.6 4 23 70.50 53.30 0.00 11.90 154.5 4 24 66.40 51.90 0.00 9.15 163.6 4 25 64.90 43.20 0.00 5.72 169.4 4 26 66.00 45.80 0.00 6.73 176.1 4 27 60.80 50.10 0.00 5.45 181.5 4 28 70.50 51.50 0.00 11.00 192.5 4 29 59.00 52.00 0.00 5.50 198.0 4 30 68.50 48.80 0.00 8.78 206.8 5 1 78.00 41.00 0.00 11.43 218.3 5 2 85.50 46.30 0.00 16.39 234.6 5 3 90.90 62.10 0.00 26.11 260.7 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 5 4 79.70 59.00 0.00 19.35 280.1 5 5 69.20 44.90 0.00 8.06 288.2 Hx Hn 5 6 77.00 53.90 0.00 15.45 303.6 5 7 82.90 53.50 0.00 18.20 321.8 5 8 77.70 54.80 0.00 16.25 338.1 5 9 65.90 48.00 0.00 7.24 345.3 5 10 72.90 41.60 0.00 9.15 354.4 Vx 5 11 81.10 46.00 0.00 14.13 368.6 Vx Vn 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 5 12 85.70 62.30 0.00 24.00 392.6 5 13 82.70 46.20 0.00 14.98 407.6 5 14 68.70 54.80 0.00 11.75 419.3 5 15 59.30 53.50 0.00 6.40 425.7 5 16 70.90 53.20 0.00 12.05 437.8 5 17 78.30 49.90 0.00 14.10 451.9 5 18 83.60 60.80 0.00 22.20 474.1 Vx 5 19 67.40 49.50 0.00 8.49 482.5 5 20 62.30 44.80 0.00 4.79 487.3 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 5 21 64.50 47.60 0.00 6.44 493.8 5 22 69.70 53.70 0.00 11.70 505.5 5 23 70.70 51.40 0.00 11.05 516.5 Vx 5 24 73.80 53.00 0.00 13.40 529.9 5 25 78.10 53.00 0.00 15.55 545.5 5 26 72.50 55.50 0.00 14.00 559.5 5 27 68.30 51.40 0.00 9.85 569.3 5 28 75.60 50.10 0.00 12.85 582.2 5 29 79.70 55.80 0.00 17.75 599.9 5 30 76.30 50.00 0.00 13.15 613.1 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5 31 85.40 45.60 0.00 16.13 629.2 6 1 86.10 52.70 0.00 19.40 648.6 6 2 78.90 65.60 0.00 22.25 670.9 6 3 87.00 59.90 0.00 23.45 694.3 6 4 94.30 53.20 0.00 22.69 717.0 6 5 95.80 55.60 0.00 24.21 741.2 6 6 100.00 65.00 0.00 29.40 770.6 Vx 6 7 100.00 68.10 0.00 30.79 801.4 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6 8 89.70 70.30 0.00 29.78 831.2 6 9 81.00 61.00 0.00 21.00 852.2 6 10 69.10 54.40 0.00 11.75 863.9 6 11 72.20 51.20 0.00 11.70 875.6 6 12 79.90 49.50 0.00 14.73 890.4 6 13 77.10 56.60 0.00 16.85 907.2 6 14 69.60 52.40 0.00 11.00 918.2 6 15 68.60 48.30 0.00 8.66 926.9 6 16 69.70 47.30 0.00 8.90 935.8 6 17 79.10 47.00 0.00 13.44 949.2 6 18 67.20 55.10 0.00 11.15 960.4 6 19 78.20 45.00 0.00 12.44 972.8 6 20 81.70 47.90 0.00 15.02 987.8 Vx 6 21 79.70 58.10 0.00 18.90 1006.7 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 6 22 85.70 50.50 0.00 18.10 1024.8 Vx 6 23 80.10 62.30 0.00 21.20 1046.0 6 24 74.80 55.30 0.00 15.05 1061.1 6 25 81.50 53.50 0.00 17.50 1078.6 Vx 6 26 90.80 51.20 0.00 20.68 1099.3 6 27 93.20 58.30 0.00 24.88 1124.1 Vx 6 28 95.00 68.30 0.00 30.09 1154.2 6 29 94.40 64.90 0.00 28.36 1182.6 Vx Vn 6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 27.71 1210.3 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 26.17 1236.5 Vx Vn 7 2 89.80 62.80 0.00 26.10 1262.6 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 7 3 85.60 65.00 0.00 25.30 1287.9 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 19.10 1307.0 Vx Vn 7 5 80.30 58.40 0.00 19.35 1326.3 7 6 80.60 60.50 0.00 20.55 1346.9 Vx 7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 21.20 1368.1 Vx Vn 7 8 77.60 61.10 0.00 19.35 1387.4 Vx 7 9 78.00 57.80 0.00 17.90 1405.3 Vx 7 10 69.70 58.90 0.00 14.30 1419.6 7 11 78.50 59.70 0.00 19.10 1438.7 7 12 77.20 58.50 0.00 17.85 1456.6 7 13 83.20 59.70 0.00 21.45 1478.0 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 7 14 90.00 53.50 0.00 21.55 1499.6 Vx 7 15 81.40 59.30 0.00 20.35 1519.9 Vx 7 16 83.60 60.60 0.00 22.10 1542.0 Vx 7 17 88.10 60.00 0.00 24.05 1566.1 Vx 7 18 80.80 62.40 0.00 21.60 1587.7 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 7 19 79.50 61.60 0.00 20.55 1608.2 Vx 7 20 87.70 63.10 0.00 25.40 1633.6 Vx 7 21 95.00 56.50 0.00 24.46 1658.1 Vx 7 22 82.60 64.30 0.00 23.45 1681.5 Vx Vn 7 23 85.20 58.50 0.00 21.85 1703.4 7 24 90.20 55.10 0.00 22.41 1725.8 Vx 7 25 96.70 60.10 0.00 26.55 1752.3 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 7 26 95.60 72.90 0.00 32.31 1784.6 Vx 7 27 96.60 70.00 0.00 31.15 1815.8 7 28 99.00 66.40 0.00 29.88 1845.7 7 29 101.90 67.00 0.00 30.56 1876.2 Vx 7 30 94.80 76.30 0.00 33.73 1910.0 Vx 7 31 87.20 62.60 0.00 24.90 1934.9 Vx Vn 8 1 90.60 55.40 0.00 22.70 1957.6 Vx Vn 8 2 78.40 61.10 0.00 19.75 1977.3 Vx Vn 8 3 84.10 56.50 0.00 20.30 1997.6 Vx 8 4 92.90 54.20 0.00 22.80 2020.4 Vx Vn 8 5 94.40 54.70 0.00 23.44 2043.8 Vx 8 6 89.90 64.30 0.00 26.88 2070.7 8 7 83.00 64.20 0.00 23.60 2094.3 Vx 8 8 78.50 55.00 0.00 16.75 2111.1 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 8 9 74.50 56.70 0.00 15.60 2126.7 8 10 84.00 58.00 0.00 21.00 2147.7 Vx 8 11 90.40 57.60 0.00 23.72 2171.4 Vx Vn 8 12 95.90 61.30 0.00 26.96 2198.4 Vx Vn 8 13 98.00 65.50 0.00 29.32 2227.7 Vx Vn 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 8 14 95.80 70.70 0.00 31.34 2259.0 Vx Vn 8 15 95.90 62.40 0.00 27.48 2286.5 Vx Vn 8 16 98.80 63.80 0.00 28.67 2315.2 8 17 95.00 65.40 0.00 28.72 2343.9 Vx 8 18 97.50 62.60 0.00 27.88 2371.8 8 19 94.10 59.10 0.00 25.50 2397.3 8 20 99.50 55.80 0.00 25.07 2422.3 8 21 98.30 66.40 0.00 29.78 2452.1 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 8 22 83.80 56.70 0.00 20.25 2472.4 8 23 86.60 51.20 0.00 18.90 2491.3 8 24 86.90 52.80 0.00 19.85 2511.1 Vx 8 25 95.90 50.70 0.00 21.87 2533.0 8 26 94.00 50.00 0.00 21.05 2554.0 8 27 92.80 71.70 0.00 31.25 2585.3 8 28 95.70 59.30 0.00 25.96 2611.2 Vn 8 29 91.80 57.30 0.00 24.01 2635.3 Vx 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 8 30 85.10 64.10 0.00 24.60 2659.9 8 31 91.90 59.60 0.00 25.17 2685.0 9 1 80.90 59.50 0.00 20.20 2705.2 9 2 77.00 55.40 0.00 16.20 2721.4 9 3 74.40 58.30 0.00 16.35 2737.8 9 4 76.50 46.30 0.00 11.96 2749.7 9 5 74.70 53.40 0.00 14.05 2763.8 Vx 9 6 66.60 57.10 0.00 11.85 2775.6 9 7 79.20 60.00 0.00 19.60 2795.2 9 8 80.50 60.70 0.00 20.60 2815.8 9 9 81.50 50.20 0.00 15.85 2831.7 9 10 92.60 45.60 0.00 19.06 2850.7 9 11 75.80 59.00 0.00 17.40 2868.1 Vx 9 12 73.10 45.30 0.00 10.03 2878.2 Vx 9 13 74.30 38.10 0.00 9.20 2887.4 9 14 81.80 47.10 0.00 14.81 2902.2 9 15 86.60 53.70 0.00 20.15 2922.3 9 16 90.00 51.00 0.00 20.31 2942.6 9 17 73.10 65.10 0.00 19.10 2961.7 9 18 74.50 60.80 0.00 17.65 2979.4 9 19 68.10 59.80 0.00 13.95 2993.3 Vx 9 20 71.20 49.80 0.00 10.51 3003.8 9 21 65.10 41.30 0.00 5.53 3009.4 9 22 58.50 48.60 0.00 3.78 3013.1 9 23 68.20 53.90 0.00 11.05 3024.2 9 24 70.80 52.60 0.00 11.70 3035.9 Vx 9 25 84.90 50.20 0.00 17.55 3053.4 9 26 82.80 48.00 0.00 15.60 3069.1 Vx 9 27 87.20 60.30 0.00 23.75 3092.8 9 28 79.10 52.00 0.00 15.55 3108.4 9 29 81.80 48.00 0.00 15.11 3123.5 9 30 77.10 55.30 0.00 16.20 3139.7 10 1 72.60 48.60 0.00 10.74 3150.4 10 2 66.30 38.80 0.00 5.73 3156.1 Vx 10 3 69.80 47.70 0.00 9.07 3165.2 10 4 67.20 48.80 0.00 8.13 3173.3 10 5 65.40 50.50 0.00 7.95 3181.3 10 6 68.00 51.90 0.00 9.95 3191.2 10 7 64.20 55.40 0.00 9.80 3201.0 Vx 10 8 72.70 49.00 0.00 10.94 3212.0 Vx 10 9 67.70 55.80 0.00 11.75 3223.7 10 10 61.80 48.50 0.00 5.37 3229.1 10 11 60.60 39.30 0.00 3.36 3232.4 10 12 59.10 29.70 0.00 2.22 3234.7 10 13 61.90 43.60 0.00 4.42 3239.1 10 14 68.30 53.00 0.00 10.65 3249.7 10 15 60.60 50.20 0.00 5.40 3255.1 10 16 64.90 51.40 0.00 8.15 3263.3 10 17 63.00 50.20 0.00 6.60 3269.9 Vx 10 18 59.10 48.80 0.00 4.13 3274.0 10 19 67.50 41.80 0.00 6.69 3280.7 10 20 69.70 57.20 0.00 13.45 3294.2 10 21 57.90 51.00 0.00 4.45 3298.6 10 22 62.00 44.10 0.00 4.54 3303.1 10 23 57.00 43.40 0.00 2.27 3305.4 10 24 58.80 44.40 0.00 3.15 3308.6 Vx 10 25 66.40 48.50 0.00 7.64 3316.2 10 26 54.60 52.30 0.00 3.45 3319.6 10 27 55.70 50.60 0.00 3.15 3322.8 Vx 10 28 59.50 45.30 0.00 3.59 3326.4 Vx 10 29 49.00 45.70 0.00 0.00 3326.4 10 30 49.50 44.20 0.00 0.00 3326.4 10 31 57.60 47.80 0.00 3.15 3329.5 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24513 2006-2015
codling moth model - Brunner and Hoyt
Location: 2016 MF24513 Burkes Wondra OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 2611ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 5-11-16 3691ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 5-20-16 4871ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 5-30-16 6131ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 6-7-16 8011ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH
 6-21-16 10072ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE
 7-2-16 12632ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH
 7-13-16 14782ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH
 7-18-16 15882ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 7-25-16 17522ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 8-8-16 21112ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH
 8-13-16 22283RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 8-21-16 24523RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 8-29-16 26353RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
degree-day graph of codling moth [apple & pear] Brunner and Hoyt (1987)