Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth [apple & pear]
insect model of Brunner and Hoyt (1987)


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Brunner and Hoyt (1987) Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: Fully tested and in use Region of known use: Pacific Northwest ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 250 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 2. 360 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 3. 484 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 4. 610 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 5. 800 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6. 1000 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 7. 1260 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 8. 1460 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 9. 1580 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 10. 1750 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 11. 2100 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 12. 2220 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 13. 2430 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 14. 2620 DDs after biofix: 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24220 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown Home OR Lat45.9581 Long:-118.4206 Elev:898 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 72.80 48.40 0.00 10.77 10.8 * START * 4 11 75.60 46.50 0.00 11.57 22.3 4 12 66.10 50.50 0.01 8.30 30.6 4 13 64.60 48.20 0.02 6.66 37.3 4 14 63.50 43.70 0.04 5.16 42.5 4 15 64.90 44.90 0.00 6.02 48.5 4 16 69.40 40.30 0.00 7.32 55.8 4 17 74.10 37.60 0.00 9.03 64.8 4 18 77.20 40.60 0.00 10.98 75.8 4 19 80.00 45.90 0.00 13.56 89.4 4 20 82.00 43.40 0.00 13.88 103.3 4 21 77.00 52.90 0.00 14.95 118.2 4 22 76.50 54.00 0.00 15.25 133.5 4 23 69.50 52.60 0.00 11.05 144.5 4 24 65.90 50.10 0.00 8.00 152.5 4 25 64.80 41.40 0.00 5.41 157.9 4 26 66.30 41.90 0.00 6.15 164.1 4 27 60.30 47.80 0.01 4.45 168.5 4 28 69.80 48.90 0.00 9.46 178.0 4 29 54.70 48.30 0.23 1.88 179.9 4 30 67.80 47.20 0.01 7.94 187.8 5 1 76.00 39.30 0.00 10.18 198.0 5 2 85.00 45.00 0.00 15.76 213.7 5 3 89.70 65.00 0.00 27.16 240.9 5 4 78.20 56.20 0.04 17.20 258.1 1ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 5 5 69.20 46.30 0.00 8.39 266.5 Hx Hn 5 6 74.70 51.00 0.00 12.85 279.3 5 7 80.40 52.40 0.00 16.40 295.7 5 8 76.30 54.00 0.00 15.15 310.9 5 9 65.70 46.50 0.00 6.75 317.6 5 10 72.00 40.10 0.00 8.47 326.1 5 11 81.10 46.30 0.00 14.22 340.3 Vx Vn 5 12 85.40 62.90 0.00 24.15 364.5 1ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 5 13 73.00 46.10 0.73 10.19 374.7 5 14 67.00 53.10 0.10 10.05 384.7 5 15 57.60 51.30 0.03 4.45 389.2 5 16 70.20 51.80 0.03 11.00 400.2 5 17 76.30 49.10 0.00 12.77 412.9 5 18 81.20 57.50 0.00 19.35 432.3 5 19 65.70 49.00 0.00 7.45 439.7 5 20 62.50 43.00 0.00 4.60 444.3 5 21 62.20 45.30 0.05 4.83 449.2 5 22 67.20 52.10 0.00 9.65 458.8 5 23 70.20 50.70 0.00 10.45 469.3 Vx 5 24 74.60 52.00 0.00 13.30 482.6 5 25 71.40 49.50 0.39 10.48 493.1 1ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 5 26 69.00 52.70 0.00 10.85 503.9 5 27 66.50 50.30 0.00 8.40 512.3 5 28 74.30 48.40 0.00 11.52 523.8 5 29 77.40 53.80 0.00 15.60 539.4 5 30 75.50 49.20 0.00 12.41 551.8 5 31 84.80 47.80 0.00 16.53 568.4 6 1 86.50 51.10 0.00 18.80 587.2 6 2 71.70 58.10 0.39 14.90 602.1 6 3 84.30 57.10 0.00 20.70 622.8 1ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 6 4 91.20 53.00 0.00 21.70 644.5 6 5 91.60 55.60 0.00 23.11 667.6 6 6 99.20 64.50 0.40 29.05 696.6 Vx 6 7 96.20 67.70 0.00 30.02 726.7 6 8 87.90 70.70 0.00 29.30 756.0 6 9 77.50 58.10 0.00 17.80 773.8 6 10 67.50 52.80 0.05 10.15 783.9 6 11 71.00 50.10 0.00 10.55 794.5 6 12 76.40 45.00 0.30 11.56 806.0 1ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH 6 13 74.10 56.20 0.00 15.15 821.2 6 14 68.00 50.70 0.00 9.35 830.5 6 15 68.00 46.70 0.00 7.91 838.4 6 16 62.20 46.10 0.41 4.99 843.4 6 17 76.20 46.10 0.02 11.75 855.2 6 18 65.80 53.90 0.11 9.85 865.0 6 19 76.40 46.40 0.00 11.94 877.0 6 20 81.40 47.70 0.00 14.81 891.8 Vx 6 21 79.10 57.00 0.00 18.05 909.8 6 22 84.20 48.40 0.00 16.44 926.3 6 23 71.20 55.30 0.38 13.25 939.5 6 24 71.20 53.40 0.01 12.30 951.8 6 25 78.30 50.70 0.00 14.50 966.3 6 26 87.20 50.60 0.00 18.90 985.2 6 27 93.40 54.90 0.42 23.28 1008.5 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE 6 28 90.60 64.20 0.00 27.05 1035.5 6 29 94.40 64.20 0.00 28.02 1063.6 Vx 6 30 90.40 65.30 0.00 27.53 1091.1 Vx Vn 7 1 86.00 55.20 0.41 20.60 1111.7 7 2 89.80 63.50 0.00 26.45 1138.1 Vx 7 3 85.50 66.90 0.00 26.20 1164.3 Vx 7 4 79.90 54.50 0.00 17.20 1181.5 7 5 71.60 53.60 0.56 12.60 1194.1 7 6 78.30 59.00 0.00 18.65 1212.8 7 7 81.50 58.70 0.00 20.10 1232.9 Vx 7 8 77.80 60.20 0.16 19.00 1251.9 Vx 7 9 77.90 56.80 0.07 17.35 1269.2 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH 7 10 66.50 57.90 0.00 12.20 1281.4 7 11 77.70 57.80 0.00 17.75 1299.2 7 12 76.40 57.20 0.02 16.80 1316.0 7 13 83.30 57.00 0.00 20.15 1336.1 Vx 7 14 89.70 52.60 0.31 20.99 1357.1 Vx 7 15 81.30 57.50 0.00 19.40 1376.5 Vx 7 16 83.60 58.30 0.00 20.95 1397.5 Vx 7 17 87.90 56.20 0.00 22.05 1419.5 Vx 7 18 80.70 58.10 0.08 19.40 1438.9 Vx 7 19 79.50 59.30 0.00 19.40 1458.3 Vx 7 20 87.30 60.50 0.00 23.90 1482.2 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH 7 21 94.90 56.40 0.00 24.39 1506.6 Vx 7 22 82.90 64.70 0.00 23.80 1530.4 Vx Vn 7 23 77.60 54.40 0.00 16.00 1546.4 7 24 90.00 53.00 0.00 21.30 1567.7 Vx 7 25 96.60 58.20 0.00 25.63 1593.3 Vx 2ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 7 26 95.30 72.60 0.00 32.13 1625.5 Vx Vn 7 27 90.60 67.70 0.00 28.77 1654.2 7 28 83.20 61.80 0.00 22.50 1676.7 7 29 101.60 64.90 0.00 29.59 1706.3 Vx 7 30 94.60 71.70 0.00 31.60 1737.9 Vx Vn 7 31 86.80 62.50 0.00 24.65 1762.6 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH 8 1 90.50 56.40 0.00 23.16 1785.7 Vx Vn 8 2 78.40 61.40 0.00 19.90 1805.6 Vx Vn 8 3 83.70 52.00 0.00 17.85 1823.5 Vx 8 4 92.70 52.60 0.00 21.96 1845.5 Vx Vn 8 5 94.10 55.60 0.00 23.80 1869.3 Vx 8 6 85.30 58.10 0.00 21.70 1891.0 8 7 82.80 58.10 0.00 20.45 1911.4 Vx 8 8 67.80 51.30 0.54 9.55 1921.0 8 9 70.50 55.60 0.00 13.05 1934.0 8 10 84.20 55.90 0.00 20.05 1954.1 Vx 8 11 90.20 57.50 0.00 23.61 1977.7 Vx Vn 8 12 95.60 61.30 0.00 26.90 2004.6 Vx Vn 8 13 97.60 65.40 0.00 29.20 2033.8 Vx Vn 8 14 95.50 70.40 0.00 31.15 2064.9 Vx Vn 8 15 95.60 62.50 0.00 27.47 2092.4 Vx Vn 8 16 95.60 64.90 0.00 28.60 2121.0 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH 8 17 95.00 64.20 0.00 28.15 2149.1 Vx Vn 8 18 96.60 65.90 0.00 29.26 2178.4 Vx Vn 8 19 85.40 57.10 0.00 21.25 2199.6 8 20 83.80 54.70 0.24 19.25 2218.9 8 21 84.20 62.70 0.17 23.45 2242.3 3RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH 8 22 76.20 55.00 0.00 15.60 2257.9 8 23 78.90 50.50 0.00 14.70 2272.6 8 24 86.70 53.40 0.00 20.05 2292.7 Vx 8 25 81.10 50.60 0.19 15.85 2308.5 8 26 81.20 50.20 0.26 15.70 2324.2 8 27 84.60 67.00 0.07 25.80 2350.0 8 28 89.00 64.20 0.16 26.51 2376.6 Vx 8 29 91.80 55.50 0.00 23.12 2399.7 Vx 8 30 78.00 60.20 0.00 19.10 2418.8 8 31 79.90 56.00 0.00 17.95 2436.7 3RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH 9 1 76.00 59.00 0.00 17.50 2454.2 9 2 73.50 55.00 0.00 14.25 2468.5 9 3 71.40 55.40 0.00 13.40 2481.9 9 4 71.80 46.70 0.00 9.76 2491.6 9 5 74.60 49.50 0.00 12.08 2503.7 Vx 9 6 64.30 55.60 0.03 9.95 2513.7 9 7 74.70 56.00 0.00 15.35 2529.0 9 8 76.30 55.90 0.00 16.10 2545.1 9 9 76.30 47.40 0.00 12.18 2557.3 9 10 84.30 46.00 0.00 15.70 2573.0 9 11 75.50 56.30 0.00 15.90 2588.9 Vx 9 12 73.10 42.90 0.00 9.50 2598.4 Vx 9 13 69.70 38.00 0.00 7.12 2605.5 9 14 77.50 44.40 0.00 11.94 2617.5 9 15 70.50 47.40 0.69 9.32 2626.8 3RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH 9 16 84.70 49.50 0.00 17.12 2643.9 9 17 68.90 62.20 0.00 15.55 2659.5 9 18 71.60 59.10 0.00 15.35 2674.8 9 19 68.00 56.80 0.00 12.40 2687.2 Vx 9 20 68.00 48.50 0.00 8.43 2695.6 9 21 62.40 42.10 0.00 4.44 2700.1 9 22 55.90 47.40 0.01 2.28 2702.4 9 23 66.10 51.00 0.00 8.55 2710.9 9 24 69.90 51.20 0.00 10.55 2721.5 9 25 79.00 49.00 0.00 14.08 2735.5 9 26 82.90 47.20 0.00 15.38 2750.9 Vx 9 27 82.40 57.90 0.00 20.15 2771.1 9 28 74.60 47.80 0.00 11.47 2782.5 9 29 77.50 47.20 0.00 12.71 2795.3 9 30 74.20 52.80 0.00 13.50 2808.8 10 1 69.40 46.20 0.00 8.46 2817.2 10 2 65.60 39.50 0.00 5.51 2822.7 10 3 67.80 46.60 0.00 7.79 2830.5 10 4 66.00 45.80 0.08 6.73 2837.2 10 5 66.30 47.00 0.00 7.16 2844.4 10 6 66.30 49.00 0.00 7.75 2852.2 10 7 63.90 53.90 0.01 8.90 2861.1 Vx 10 8 72.70 49.40 0.00 11.09 2872.2 Vx 10 9 65.90 56.10 0.00 11.00 2883.2 10 10 61.00 48.60 0.05 5.00 2888.2 10 11 57.30 36.50 0.00 1.91 2890.1 10 12 56.10 30.30 0.00 1.29 2891.4 10 13 59.90 42.70 0.00 3.42 2894.8 10 14 67.50 51.60 0.07 9.55 2904.3 10 15 58.40 49.40 0.10 3.97 2908.3 10 16 64.50 50.20 0.00 7.35 2915.6 10 17 62.30 47.60 0.01 5.37 2921.0 Vx 10 18 59.10 46.80 0.00 3.66 2924.7 10 19 57.70 41.00 0.82 2.34 2927.0 10 20 67.00 55.70 0.03 11.35 2938.4 10 21 55.40 50.80 0.11 3.10 2941.5 10 22 60.60 42.50 0.00 3.70 2945.2 10 23 55.90 42.50 0.00 1.75 2946.9 10 24 59.60 43.50 0.00 3.38 2950.3 Vx 10 25 65.10 48.10 0.01 6.87 2957.2 10 26 54.50 51.90 0.00 3.20 2960.4 10 27 55.70 50.50 0.00 3.10 2963.5 Vx 10 28 57.70 43.60 0.00 2.58 2966.0 Vx 10 29 48.70 45.60 0.10 0.00 2966.0 10 30 48.80 44.00 0.05 0.00 2966.0 10 31 57.20 47.00 0.01 2.81 2968.9 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24220 2006-2015
codling moth model - Brunner and Hoyt
Location: 2016 MF24220 Brown Home OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-4-16 2581ST GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 5-12-16 3641ST GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 5-25-16 4931ST GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 6-3-16 6231ST GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 6-12-16 8061ST GENERATION, 95% EGG HATCH
 6-27-16 10082ND GENERATION, 5% ADULT EMERGENCE
 7-9-16 12692ND GENERATION, 7% EGG HATCH
 7-20-16 14822ND GENERATION, 30% EGG HATCH
 7-25-16 15932ND GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
 7-31-16 17632ND GENERATION, 75% EGG HATCH
 8-16-16 21212ND GENERATION, 99% EGG HATCH
 8-21-16 22423RD GENERATION, 3% EGG HATCH
 8-31-16 24373RD GENERATION, 20% EGG HATCH
 9-15-16 26273RD GENERATION, 50% EGG HATCH
degree-day graph of codling moth [apple & pear] Brunner and Hoyt (1987)