Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear]
insect model of Knight 2006


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 2006 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: actively undergoing evaluation Region of known use: used in WA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 220 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 2. 340 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 3. 460 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 4. 535 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5. 655 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6. 755 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 7. 920 DDs after biofix: 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 8. 980 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 9. 1160 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 10. 1480 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 11. 1605 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 12. 1765 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 13. 1940 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 14. 2120 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 15. 2200 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 16. 2300 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 C1244 APRSWXNET Pendleton CW1244 OR Lat45.6733 Long:-118.8069 Elev:1145 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 74.00 42.00 0.00 9.74 9.7 * START * 4 11 77.00 39.00 0.08 10.59 20.3 4 12 66.00 50.00 0.08 8.00 28.3 4 13 62.00 44.00 0.08 4.53 32.9 4 14 61.00 42.00 0.03 3.81 36.7 4 15 66.00 43.00 0.03 6.19 42.9 4 16 72.00 35.00 0.00 7.74 50.6 4 17 74.00 38.00 0.00 9.05 59.7 4 18 83.00 41.00 0.00 13.81 73.5 4 19 83.00 43.00 0.00 14.27 87.7 4 20 84.30 43.10 0.00 14.92 102.7 Vx Vn 4 21 78.00 50.00 0.00 14.00 116.7 4 22 75.00 53.00 0.17 14.00 130.7 4 23 70.00 53.00 0.01 11.50 142.2 4 24 66.00 47.00 0.01 7.01 149.2 4 25 66.00 40.00 0.00 5.75 154.9 4 26 69.00 44.00 0.03 7.78 162.7 4 27 63.00 46.00 0.01 5.34 168.0 4 28 71.00 51.00 0.01 11.00 179.0 4 29 58.00 50.00 0.00 4.00 183.0 4 30 67.00 47.00 0.00 7.50 190.5 5 1 77.00 39.00 0.00 10.59 201.1 5 2 84.00 43.00 0.00 14.75 215.9 5 3 88.00 49.00 0.00 18.57 234.5 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 5 4 79.00 55.00 0.14 17.00 251.5 5 5 72.00 53.00 0.01 12.50 264.0 5 6 76.00 53.00 0.01 14.50 278.5 5 7 84.00 53.00 0.00 18.50 297.0 5 8 75.00 53.00 0.00 14.00 311.0 5 9 67.00 47.00 0.00 7.50 318.5 5 10 74.00 39.00 0.00 9.21 327.7 5 11 86.00 41.00 0.00 15.24 342.9 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 5 12 88.00 48.00 0.00 18.19 361.1 5 13 83.00 46.00 0.19 15.06 376.2 5 14 67.00 53.00 0.34 10.00 386.2 5 15 58.00 53.00 0.29 5.50 391.7 5 16 72.00 52.00 0.22 12.00 403.7 5 17 80.00 47.00 0.00 13.89 417.5 5 18 84.00 53.00 0.07 18.50 436.0 5 19 67.00 48.00 0.00 7.78 443.8 5 20 60.00 39.00 0.04 3.10 446.9 5 21 60.00 43.00 0.52 3.50 450.4 5 22 68.00 52.00 0.00 10.00 460.4 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 5 23 71.00 47.00 0.00 9.46 469.9 5 24 75.00 46.00 0.00 11.14 481.0 5 25 79.00 46.00 0.00 13.10 494.1 5 26 70.00 49.00 0.00 9.59 503.7 5 27 68.00 50.00 0.00 9.00 512.7 5 28 78.00 48.00 0.00 13.22 525.9 5 29 78.00 51.00 0.00 14.50 540.4 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5 30 79.00 50.00 0.00 14.50 554.9 5 31 85.00 43.00 0.00 15.23 570.2 6 1 89.00 50.00 0.01 19.43 589.6 6 2 80.00 62.00 0.01 21.00 610.6 6 3 90.00 56.00 0.00 22.79 633.4 6 4 95.00 52.00 0.00 22.28 655.7 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6 5 99.00 58.00 0.00 26.01 681.7 6 6 104.00 60.00 0.00 27.74 709.4 6 7 103.00 61.00 0.00 28.04 737.5 6 8 83.00 63.00 0.10 23.00 760.5 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 6 9 83.00 56.00 0.25 19.50 780.0 6 10 73.00 53.00 0.25 13.00 793.0 6 11 75.00 47.00 0.00 11.42 804.4 6 12 84.00 43.00 0.00 14.75 819.1 6 13 73.00 51.00 0.00 12.00 831.1 6 14 70.00 50.00 0.00 10.00 841.1 6 15 67.00 43.00 0.01 6.66 847.8 6 16 72.00 48.00 0.01 10.25 858.0 6 17 76.00 46.00 0.58 11.63 869.7 6 18 68.00 51.00 0.01 9.50 879.2 6 19 75.00 43.00 0.00 10.42 889.6 6 20 85.00 48.00 0.00 16.70 906.3 6 21 85.00 57.00 0.00 21.00 927.3 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 6 22 90.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 946.3 6 23 83.00 59.00 0.01 21.00 967.3 6 24 73.00 55.00 0.01 14.00 981.3 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 6 25 86.00 47.00 0.00 16.86 998.1 6 26 91.00 50.00 0.00 20.15 1018.3 6 27 98.00 55.00 0.00 24.40 1042.7 6 28 99.00 59.00 0.00 26.48 1069.2 6 29 98.00 59.00 0.00 26.29 1095.4 6 30 94.00 59.00 0.00 25.43 1120.9 7 1 88.80 54.00 0.00 21.35 1142.2 Vx 7 2 90.50 58.30 0.00 24.10 1166.3 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 7 3 84.40 65.80 0.00 25.10 1191.4 Vx Vn 7 4 81.00 57.00 0.00 19.00 1210.4 Vx Vn 7 5 78.30 52.60 0.00 15.45 1225.9 Vx Vn 7 6 85.00 57.00 0.00 21.00 1246.9 7 7 82.00 53.00 0.17 17.50 1264.4 7 8 80.00 60.00 0.88 20.00 1284.4 7 9 78.00 58.00 0.25 18.00 1302.4 7 10 74.00 58.00 0.00 16.00 1318.4 7 11 85.00 57.00 0.08 21.00 1339.4 7 12 82.00 54.00 0.08 18.00 1357.4 7 13 88.00 56.00 0.00 22.00 1379.4 7 14 94.00 53.00 0.00 22.51 1401.9 7 15 85.00 58.00 0.00 21.50 1423.4 7 16 87.00 54.00 0.00 20.50 1443.9 7 17 91.00 55.00 0.00 22.63 1466.5 7 18 84.00 62.00 0.00 23.00 1489.5 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 7 19 82.00 58.00 0.00 20.00 1509.5 7 20 92.00 60.00 0.00 25.39 1534.9 7 21 98.00 56.00 0.00 24.88 1559.8 7 22 85.00 65.00 0.00 25.00 1584.8 7 23 89.00 54.00 0.00 21.43 1606.2 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 7 24 96.00 52.00 0.00 22.52 1628.7 7 25 102.00 57.00 0.00 26.07 1654.8 7 26 98.00 61.00 0.00 27.23 1682.0 7 27 99.00 59.00 0.00 26.48 1708.5 7 28 102.00 61.00 0.00 27.89 1736.4 7 29 104.00 63.00 0.00 29.07 1765.5 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 7 30 96.00 68.00 0.00 30.13 1795.6 7 31 87.00 54.00 0.00 20.50 1816.1 8 1 92.00 51.00 0.00 20.96 1837.1 8 2 79.00 57.00 0.00 18.00 1855.1 8 3 87.00 53.00 0.00 20.00 1875.1 8 4 95.00 51.00 0.00 21.80 1896.9 8 5 96.00 55.00 0.00 23.97 1920.8 8 6 90.00 61.00 0.00 25.28 1946.1 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 8 7 83.00 54.00 0.00 18.50 1964.6 8 8 76.00 53.00 0.13 14.50 1979.1 8 9 78.00 56.00 0.04 17.00 1996.1 8 10 86.00 51.00 0.00 18.50 2014.6 8 11 93.00 52.00 0.00 21.75 2036.4 8 12 97.00 54.00 0.00 23.71 2060.1 8 13 99.00 57.00 0.00 25.54 2085.6 8 14 99.00 59.00 0.00 26.48 2112.1 8 15 99.00 56.00 0.00 25.07 2137.2 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 8 16 98.00 54.00 0.00 23.93 2161.1 8 17 99.00 56.00 0.00 25.07 2186.2 8 18 99.00 58.00 0.00 26.01 2212.2 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 8 19 93.00 55.00 0.00 23.22 2235.4 8 20 99.00 52.00 0.00 23.18 2258.6 8 21 95.00 56.00 0.00 24.22 2282.8 8 22 76.00 55.00 0.00 15.50 2298.3 8 23 86.00 45.00 0.00 16.25 2314.5 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT 8 24 86.00 49.00 0.00 17.57 2332.1 8 25 90.00 50.00 0.00 19.81 2351.9 8 26 93.00 49.00 0.00 20.34 2372.3 8 27 91.00 57.00 0.00 23.62 2395.9 8 28 91.00 60.00 0.00 25.10 2421.0 8 29 94.00 55.00 0.00 23.49 2444.5 8 30 78.00 61.00 0.00 19.50 2464.0 8 31 86.00 48.00 0.00 17.20 2481.2 9 1 76.00 58.00 0.00 17.00 2498.2 9 2 77.00 57.00 0.00 17.00 2515.2 9 3 75.00 51.00 0.00 13.00 2528.2 9 4 78.00 42.00 0.00 11.64 2539.8 9 5 79.00 47.00 0.30 13.39 2553.2 9 6 66.00 55.00 0.01 10.50 2563.7 9 7 79.00 56.00 0.00 17.50 2581.2 9 8 79.00 55.00 0.00 17.00 2598.2 9 9 81.00 44.00 0.00 13.54 2611.7 9 10 91.00 43.00 0.00 17.83 2629.6 9 11 78.00 52.00 0.00 15.00 2644.6 9 12 73.00 40.00 0.00 8.91 2653.5 9 13 75.00 36.00 0.00 9.21 2662.7 9 14 81.00 37.00 0.00 12.10 2674.8 9 15 86.00 43.00 0.00 15.72 2690.5 9 16 91.00 45.00 0.01 18.38 2708.9 9 17 71.00 58.00 0.12 14.50 2723.4 9 18 72.00 57.00 0.00 14.50 2737.9 9 19 69.00 54.00 0.00 11.50 2749.4 9 20 71.00 48.00 0.00 9.75 2759.1 9 21 71.00 40.00 0.03 8.00 2767.1 9 22 58.00 45.00 0.12 2.87 2770.0 9 23 63.00 48.00 0.00 5.81 2775.8 9 24 75.00 48.00 0.00 11.73 2787.6 9 25 86.00 43.00 0.00 15.72 2803.3 9 26 90.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 2822.3 9 27 86.00 51.00 0.00 18.50 2840.8 9 28 82.00 49.00 0.00 15.57 2856.3 9 29 84.00 47.00 0.00 15.87 2872.2 9 30 74.00 48.00 0.00 11.24 2883.4 10 1 69.00 43.00 0.00 7.59 2891.0 10 2 69.00 35.00 0.00 6.45 2897.5 10 3 70.00 42.00 0.10 7.87 2905.4 10 4 68.00 44.00 0.10 7.31 2912.7 10 5 61.00 43.00 0.09 3.94 2916.6 10 6 65.00 51.00 0.08 8.00 2924.6 10 7 65.00 55.00 0.08 10.00 2934.6 10 8 78.00 49.00 0.00 13.58 2948.2 10 9 68.00 54.00 0.13 11.00 2959.2 10 10 66.00 44.00 0.13 6.37 2965.5 10 11 59.00 33.00 0.00 2.34 2967.9 10 12 61.00 29.00 0.07 2.84 2970.7 10 13 62.00 43.00 0.25 4.38 2975.1 10 14 68.00 55.00 0.05 11.50 2986.6 10 15 55.00 53.00 0.19 4.00 2990.6 10 16 62.70 46.30 0.04 5.26 2995.9 Vx Vn 10 17 61.80 45.70 0.03 4.72 3000.6 Vx Vn 10 18 58.20 43.80 0.03 2.81 3003.4 Vx Vn 10 19 54.00 52.00 0.00 3.00 3006.4 10 20 70.00 52.00 0.12 11.00 3017.4 10 21 57.00 50.00 0.16 3.50 3020.9 10 22 60.00 42.00 0.00 3.38 3024.3 10 23 58.00 41.00 0.00 2.46 3026.7 10 24 74.00 42.00 0.10 9.74 3036.5 10 25 64.00 47.00 0.25 6.04 3042.5 10 26 57.00 51.00 0.12 4.00 3046.5 10 27 55.00 48.00 0.03 1.97 3048.5 10 28 61.00 38.00 0.12 3.41 3051.9 10 29 50.00 45.00 0.18 0.00 3051.9 10 30 49.00 45.00 0.16 0.00 3051.9 10 31 58.00 45.00 0.00 2.87 3054.8 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg C1244 2006-2015
codling moth revised 06 model - Knight 2006
Location: 2016 C1244 Pendleton CW1244 OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-3-16 2341ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-11-16 3431ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-22-16 4601ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-29-16 5401ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-4-16 6561ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-8-16 7601ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-21-16 9271ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-24-16 9812ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-2-16 11662ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-18-16 14902ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-23-16 16062ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-29-16 17652ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-6-16 19462ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-15-16 21372ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-18-16 22123RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-23-16 23153RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT
degree-day graph of codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Knight 2006