Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear]
insect model of Knight 2006


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 2006 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: actively undergoing evaluation Region of known use: used in WA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 220 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 2. 340 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 3. 460 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 4. 535 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5. 655 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6. 755 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 7. 920 DDs after biofix: 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 8. 980 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 9. 1160 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 10. 1480 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 11. 1605 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 12. 1765 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 13. 1940 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 14. 2120 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 15. 2200 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 16. 2300 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF26038 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Benito OR Lat45.9742 Long:-118.4092 Elev:866 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 75.00 50.40 0.00 12.70 12.7 * START * 4 11 71.00 47.50 0.00 9.60 22.3 4 12 67.40 50.90 0.00 9.15 31.4 4 13 65.40 48.50 0.00 7.14 38.6 4 14 62.60 42.30 0.00 4.55 43.1 4 15 67.20 45.00 0.00 7.13 50.3 4 16 72.50 35.10 0.00 7.98 58.2 4 17 76.90 36.60 0.00 10.15 68.4 4 18 80.20 38.70 0.00 12.03 80.4 4 19 83.80 42.70 0.00 14.58 95.0 4 20 86.40 42.90 0.00 15.89 110.9 4 21 79.90 50.50 0.00 15.20 126.1 4 22 78.00 52.40 0.00 15.20 141.3 4 23 72.30 53.30 0.00 12.80 154.1 4 24 66.80 50.10 0.00 8.45 162.5 4 25 65.40 40.00 0.00 5.48 168.0 4 26 67.40 40.30 0.00 6.41 174.4 4 27 63.10 46.90 0.00 5.59 180.0 4 28 71.00 49.40 0.00 10.24 190.3 4 29 57.60 49.50 0.00 3.60 193.9 4 30 68.70 47.60 0.00 8.50 202.4 5 1 78.60 38.10 0.00 11.18 213.5 5 2 85.00 42.90 0.00 15.21 228.8 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 5 3 89.50 59.90 0.00 24.56 253.3 5 4 78.40 57.10 0.00 17.75 271.1 5 5 69.30 45.80 0.00 8.32 279.4 Hx Hn 5 6 77.00 50.50 0.00 13.75 293.1 5 7 84.00 50.90 0.00 17.45 310.6 5 8 77.90 59.20 0.00 18.55 329.1 5 9 64.50 47.60 0.00 6.44 335.6 5 10 73.00 37.10 0.00 8.47 344.0 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 5 11 83.30 46.00 0.00 15.21 359.2 Vx Vn 5 12 86.50 64.10 0.00 25.30 384.5 5 13 82.10 44.40 0.00 14.18 398.7 5 14 68.20 53.50 0.00 10.85 409.6 5 15 58.50 51.20 0.00 4.85 414.4 5 16 72.90 52.20 0.00 12.55 427.0 5 17 79.30 48.30 0.00 13.97 440.9 5 18 81.80 56.10 0.00 18.95 459.9 5 19 67.60 49.60 0.00 8.63 468.5 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 5 20 62.90 42.70 0.00 4.74 473.3 5 21 65.40 44.50 0.00 6.18 479.4 5 22 67.70 52.20 0.00 9.95 489.4 5 23 70.50 51.10 0.00 10.80 500.2 Vx 5 24 76.40 50.00 0.00 13.20 513.4 5 25 79.00 49.40 0.00 14.24 527.6 5 26 70.60 53.20 0.00 11.90 539.5 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5 27 68.30 50.90 0.00 9.60 549.1 5 28 76.50 49.30 0.00 12.95 562.1 5 29 79.00 54.30 0.00 16.65 578.7 5 30 76.40 45.10 0.00 11.59 590.3 Vx 5 31 83.20 40.50 0.00 13.80 604.1 6 1 84.40 50.10 0.00 17.25 621.4 6 2 76.30 65.20 0.00 20.75 642.1 6 3 86.80 55.00 0.00 20.90 663.0 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6 4 91.90 50.50 0.00 20.69 683.7 6 5 92.30 53.80 0.00 22.43 706.1 6 6 99.50 61.90 0.00 27.91 734.0 Vx 6 7 93.00 63.80 0.00 27.51 761.5 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 6 8 85.30 68.00 0.00 26.65 788.2 6 9 77.60 57.50 0.00 17.55 805.7 6 10 67.20 53.60 0.00 10.40 816.1 6 11 72.80 46.90 0.00 10.31 826.5 6 12 79.20 46.10 0.00 13.22 839.7 6 13 74.60 54.10 0.00 14.35 854.0 6 14 69.10 51.40 0.00 10.25 864.3 6 15 67.80 45.90 0.00 7.62 871.9 6 16 69.20 45.70 0.00 8.25 880.1 6 17 76.80 44.30 0.00 11.58 891.7 6 18 67.20 55.60 0.00 11.40 903.1 6 19 76.20 42.20 0.00 10.82 913.9 6 20 81.50 47.10 0.00 14.66 928.6 Vx 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 6 21 79.90 58.30 0.00 19.10 947.7 6 22 85.00 46.00 0.00 16.05 963.8 6 23 80.40 62.00 0.00 21.20 985.0 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 6 24 72.80 53.80 0.00 13.30 998.3 6 25 79.80 49.30 0.00 14.59 1012.9 6 26 87.90 47.50 0.00 17.97 1030.8 6 27 91.20 54.40 0.00 22.40 1053.2 6 28 92.60 62.40 0.00 26.73 1079.9 6 29 93.00 60.10 0.00 25.71 1105.6 6 30 87.30 63.90 0.00 25.60 1131.2 7 1 87.00 57.00 0.00 22.00 1153.2 7 2 89.00 61.90 0.00 25.37 1178.6 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 7 3 85.00 66.80 0.00 25.90 1204.5 7 4 81.10 53.40 0.00 17.25 1221.8 7 5 80.50 51.60 0.00 16.05 1237.8 7 6 81.50 59.20 0.00 20.35 1258.2 7 7 80.00 56.80 0.00 18.40 1276.6 7 8 77.20 60.40 0.00 18.80 1295.4 7 9 77.10 57.90 0.00 17.50 1312.9 7 10 67.70 58.30 0.00 13.00 1325.9 7 11 79.40 58.70 0.00 19.05 1344.9 7 12 79.00 56.30 0.00 17.65 1362.6 7 13 83.70 56.80 0.00 20.25 1382.8 7 14 88.90 51.50 0.00 20.14 1403.0 7 15 81.70 56.80 0.00 19.25 1422.2 7 16 82.50 55.50 0.00 19.00 1441.2 7 17 85.50 54.40 0.00 19.95 1461.2 7 18 80.00 58.90 0.00 19.45 1480.6 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 7 19 78.80 56.80 0.00 17.80 1498.4 7 20 86.30 58.70 0.00 22.50 1520.9 7 21 92.60 52.80 0.00 22.03 1542.9 7 22 81.30 60.30 0.00 20.80 1563.7 7 23 83.00 53.50 0.00 18.25 1582.0 7 24 88.90 51.00 0.00 19.89 1601.9 7 25 96.90 55.60 0.00 24.46 1626.3 Vx 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 7 26 92.80 66.60 0.00 28.81 1655.1 7 27 92.60 64.10 0.00 27.55 1682.7 7 28 94.70 64.30 0.00 28.13 1710.8 7 29 96.30 63.00 0.00 27.84 1738.7 7 30 90.50 66.50 0.00 28.15 1766.8 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 7 31 83.60 57.80 0.00 20.70 1787.5 8 1 86.10 57.90 0.00 22.00 1809.5 8 2 79.20 59.30 0.00 19.25 1828.8 8 3 82.60 52.00 0.00 17.30 1846.1 8 4 91.30 49.30 0.00 19.94 1866.0 8 5 89.60 52.70 0.00 21.01 1887.0 8 6 85.00 59.30 0.00 22.15 1909.2 8 7 82.90 58.40 0.00 20.65 1929.8 8 8 76.50 51.30 0.00 13.90 1943.7 Vx 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 8 9 73.20 55.10 0.00 14.15 1957.9 8 10 80.30 53.00 0.00 16.65 1974.5 8 11 88.50 52.00 0.00 20.23 1994.8 8 12 92.80 53.60 0.00 22.48 2017.2 8 13 90.50 56.60 0.00 23.26 2040.5 8 14 90.90 61.60 0.00 25.86 2066.3 8 15 96.10 62.10 0.00 27.38 2093.7 Vx 8 16 90.20 60.50 0.00 25.09 2118.8 8 17 91.30 60.90 0.00 25.63 2144.5 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 8 18 96.80 58.50 0.00 25.82 2170.3 Vx 8 19 87.40 55.70 0.00 21.55 2191.8 8 20 90.60 50.30 0.00 20.17 2212.0 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 8 21 93.70 55.70 0.00 23.75 2235.7 Vx 8 22 79.50 52.60 0.00 16.05 2251.8 Vx 8 23 80.80 50.10 0.00 15.45 2267.2 8 24 82.90 53.50 0.00 18.20 2285.4 8 25 85.20 49.40 0.00 17.33 2302.8 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT 8 26 86.50 48.10 0.00 17.48 2320.2 8 27 86.60 60.80 0.00 23.70 2343.9 8 28 86.20 60.20 0.00 23.20 2367.1 Vn 8 29 94.40 53.90 0.00 23.05 2390.2 Vx 8 30 79.20 57.50 0.00 18.35 2408.6 8 31 81.70 53.30 0.00 17.50 2426.1 9 1 79.40 62.00 0.00 20.70 2446.8 Vx 9 2 74.50 55.50 0.00 15.00 2461.8 9 3 73.10 55.00 0.00 14.05 2475.8 9 4 74.40 43.10 0.00 10.16 2486.0 Vx 9 5 74.80 47.20 0.00 11.38 2497.3 Vx 9 6 64.30 56.20 0.00 10.25 2507.6 9 7 75.70 55.00 0.00 15.35 2522.9 9 8 77.30 55.30 0.00 16.30 2539.2 9 9 77.50 45.20 0.00 12.15 2551.4 9 10 85.80 43.40 0.00 15.72 2567.1 9 11 76.00 53.80 0.00 14.90 2582.0 9 12 73.30 41.10 0.00 9.25 2591.3 Vx 9 13 70.30 36.20 0.00 7.15 2598.4 9 14 76.50 43.90 0.00 11.34 2609.7 9 15 83.30 44.50 0.00 14.79 2624.5 Vx 9 16 87.70 48.50 0.00 18.22 2642.8 Vx 9 17 69.20 62.00 0.00 15.60 2658.4 9 18 72.60 57.00 0.00 14.80 2673.2 Vx 9 19 68.20 56.70 0.00 12.45 2685.6 Vx 9 20 68.00 48.00 0.00 8.27 2693.9 9 21 64.70 40.80 0.00 5.28 2699.2 9 22 57.80 46.20 0.00 2.96 2702.1 Vx 9 23 66.20 49.20 0.00 7.77 2709.9 9 24 69.80 51.70 0.00 10.75 2720.6 9 25 82.70 44.20 0.00 14.42 2735.1 Vx 9 26 83.10 46.50 0.00 15.26 2750.3 Vx 9 27 81.50 54.60 0.00 18.05 2768.4 9 28 73.60 47.50 0.00 10.88 2779.3 9 29 79.10 46.10 0.00 13.18 2792.4 Vx 9 30 72.40 51.90 0.00 12.15 2804.6 10 1 68.30 47.00 0.00 8.13 2812.7 10 2 65.40 36.20 0.00 5.05 2817.8 10 3 68.20 44.40 0.00 7.48 2825.3 Vx 10 4 65.40 45.80 0.00 6.44 2831.7 10 5 65.50 47.90 0.00 7.01 2838.7 10 6 65.20 48.20 0.00 6.95 2845.7 10 7 64.10 54.10 0.00 9.10 2854.8 Vx 10 8 72.50 48.50 0.00 10.66 2865.4 Vx 10 9 65.50 56.40 0.00 10.95 2876.4 10 10 60.20 48.90 0.00 4.70 2881.1 10 11 56.70 35.50 0.00 1.66 2882.7 10 12 58.20 29.20 0.00 1.91 2884.6 Vx 10 13 61.70 41.50 0.00 4.06 2888.7 10 14 67.70 49.90 0.00 8.80 2897.5 10 15 58.80 49.20 0.00 4.10 2901.6 10 16 64.60 48.70 0.00 6.81 2908.4 Vx 10 17 61.60 49.00 0.00 5.42 2913.8 Vx 10 18 59.20 46.50 0.00 3.65 2917.5 10 19 64.50 39.30 0.00 5.01 2922.5 10 20 68.00 58.70 0.00 13.35 2935.8 Vx 10 21 55.90 51.30 0.00 3.60 2939.4 10 22 61.00 40.80 0.00 3.68 2943.1 10 23 56.50 41.00 0.00 1.87 2945.0 10 24 46.50 43.00 0.00 0.00 2945.0 Vx 10 25 64.40 47.40 0.00 6.34 2951.3 10 26 55.60 52.30 0.00 3.95 2955.3 10 27 55.70 49.60 0.00 2.69 2958.0 Vx 10 28 55.10 41.50 0.00 1.38 2959.3 Vx 10 29 48.90 46.50 0.00 0.00 2959.3 10 30 48.90 44.60 0.00 0.00 2959.3 Vx 10 31 55.60 45.90 0.00 1.94 2961.3 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF26038 2006-2015
codling moth revised 06 model - Knight 2006
Location: 2016 MF26038 Davis Benito OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-2-16 2291ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-10-16 3441ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-19-16 4691ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-26-16 5401ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-3-16 6631ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-7-16 7621ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-20-16 9291ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-23-16 9852ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-2-16 11792ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-18-16 14812ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-25-16 16262ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-30-16 17672ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-8-16 19442ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-17-16 21442ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-20-16 22123RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-25-16 23033RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT
degree-day graph of codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Knight 2006