Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear]
insect model of Knight 2006


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 2006 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: actively undergoing evaluation Region of known use: used in WA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 220 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 2. 340 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 3. 460 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 4. 535 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5. 655 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6. 755 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 7. 920 DDs after biofix: 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 8. 980 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 9. 1160 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 10. 1480 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 11. 1605 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 12. 1765 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 13. 1940 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 14. 2120 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 15. 2200 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 16. 2300 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25394 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown Stephens Hill OR Lat:45.9892 Long:-118.4117 Elev:810 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 76.80 52.00 0.00 14.40 14.4 * START * 4 11 77.60 44.70 0.00 12.07 26.5 4 12 68.00 51.20 0.00 9.60 36.1 4 13 66.50 49.20 0.00 7.92 44.0 4 14 61.60 43.60 0.00 4.29 48.3 4 15 67.80 45.30 0.00 7.48 55.8 4 16 73.30 39.00 0.00 8.89 64.6 4 17 79.20 40.40 0.00 11.88 76.5 4 18 82.60 42.50 0.00 13.95 90.5 4 19 85.50 46.00 0.00 16.30 106.8 4 20 87.10 46.70 0.00 17.30 124.1 4 21 79.80 54.50 0.00 17.15 141.2 4 22 77.90 52.90 0.00 15.40 156.6 4 23 71.00 53.50 0.00 12.25 168.9 4 24 68.20 50.30 0.00 9.25 178.1 4 25 68.40 40.80 0.00 6.94 185.1 4 26 68.70 40.80 0.00 7.08 192.1 4 27 63.00 48.90 0.00 6.08 198.2 4 28 72.70 49.90 0.00 11.30 209.5 4 29 58.30 49.80 0.00 4.06 213.6 4 30 71.10 48.40 0.00 9.93 223.5 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 5 1 78.80 40.40 0.00 11.69 235.2 5 2 88.80 45.10 0.00 17.61 252.8 5 3 93.50 53.50 0.00 22.62 275.4 5 4 79.80 59.00 0.00 19.40 294.8 5 5 69.30 44.70 0.00 8.07 302.9 Hx Hn 5 6 77.90 52.30 0.00 15.10 318.0 5 7 83.00 53.30 0.00 18.15 336.2 5 8 78.60 54.50 0.00 16.55 352.7 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 5 9 67.40 47.30 0.00 7.78 360.5 5 10 78.00 38.10 0.00 10.90 371.4 Vx 5 11 82.90 46.50 0.00 15.16 386.6 Vx Vn 5 12 87.80 63.00 0.00 25.40 412.0 5 13 83.50 45.10 0.00 15.05 427.0 5 14 68.60 55.00 0.00 11.80 438.8 5 15 58.80 52.10 0.00 5.45 444.3 5 16 72.10 52.70 0.00 12.40 456.7 5 17 79.20 50.10 0.00 14.65 471.3 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 5 18 84.00 57.20 0.00 20.60 491.9 Vx 5 19 67.50 49.40 0.00 8.50 500.4 Vx 5 20 63.80 43.40 0.00 5.25 505.7 5 21 64.70 46.40 0.00 6.24 511.9 Vx 5 22 68.30 51.70 0.00 10.00 521.9 5 23 70.90 51.40 0.00 11.15 533.0 Vx 5 24 73.30 52.20 0.00 12.75 545.8 Vx 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5 25 77.60 49.60 0.00 13.62 559.4 5 26 70.90 55.00 0.00 12.95 572.4 5 27 67.70 50.70 0.00 9.20 581.6 5 28 74.70 48.50 0.00 11.75 593.3 5 29 78.90 54.40 0.00 16.65 610.0 5 30 76.50 48.80 0.00 12.76 622.7 5 31 83.40 44.10 0.00 14.74 637.5 6 1 85.30 51.70 0.00 18.50 656.0 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6 2 76.60 64.90 0.00 20.75 676.7 6 3 85.70 58.00 0.00 21.85 698.6 6 4 91.90 52.50 0.00 21.67 720.2 6 5 94.50 56.40 0.00 24.29 744.5 6 6 100.30 63.20 0.00 28.63 773.2 Vx 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 6 7 98.60 67.70 0.00 30.41 803.6 Vx 6 8 86.50 68.40 0.00 27.45 831.0 6 9 80.80 58.80 0.00 19.80 850.8 6 10 69.30 54.10 0.00 11.70 862.5 6 11 73.00 48.40 0.00 10.87 873.4 6 12 79.00 48.70 0.00 13.96 887.4 Vx 6 13 73.80 54.30 0.00 14.05 901.4 6 14 69.40 51.00 0.00 10.20 911.6 6 15 70.80 47.20 0.00 9.41 921.0 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 6 16 68.50 46.30 0.00 8.05 929.1 6 17 78.70 45.00 0.00 12.68 941.7 6 18 67.00 55.60 0.00 11.30 953.0 6 19 76.00 44.80 0.00 11.32 964.4 6 20 81.80 50.10 0.00 15.95 980.3 Vx 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 6 21 79.70 57.50 0.00 18.60 998.9 6 22 85.50 48.30 0.00 17.05 1016.0 6 23 80.80 61.60 0.00 21.20 1037.2 6 24 73.00 54.00 0.00 13.50 1050.7 6 25 80.80 51.90 0.00 16.35 1067.0 6 26 89.70 49.90 0.00 19.65 1086.7 6 27 91.90 59.00 0.00 24.87 1111.5 6 28 92.60 64.70 0.00 27.84 1139.4 6 29 92.10 64.60 0.00 27.67 1167.1 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 6 30 88.70 64.70 0.00 26.65 1193.7 7 1 90.50 59.30 0.00 24.60 1218.3 7 2 90.50 64.20 0.00 27.02 1245.3 7 3 85.00 65.50 0.00 25.25 1270.6 7 4 81.90 56.10 0.00 19.00 1289.6 7 5 79.80 53.10 0.00 16.45 1306.0 7 6 81.10 60.00 0.00 20.55 1326.6 7 7 80.30 55.50 0.00 17.90 1344.5 7 8 75.10 60.60 0.00 17.85 1362.3 7 9 78.10 57.90 0.00 18.00 1380.3 7 10 67.90 58.70 0.00 13.30 1393.6 7 11 78.70 57.90 0.00 18.30 1411.9 7 12 80.30 58.30 0.00 19.30 1431.2 7 13 82.60 57.10 0.00 19.85 1451.1 7 14 88.20 53.50 0.00 20.84 1471.9 7 15 79.00 57.90 0.00 18.45 1490.4 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 7 16 81.80 56.40 0.00 19.10 1509.5 7 17 84.60 56.80 0.00 20.70 1530.2 7 18 81.00 61.60 0.00 21.30 1551.5 7 19 79.60 59.90 0.00 19.75 1571.2 7 20 86.50 61.10 0.00 23.80 1595.0 7 21 88.90 55.20 0.00 21.99 1617.0 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 7 22 82.20 62.70 0.00 22.45 1639.5 7 23 81.80 55.70 0.00 18.75 1658.2 7 24 87.70 53.00 0.00 20.35 1678.6 7 25 97.10 58.30 0.00 25.78 1704.3 Vx 7 26 89.30 68.90 0.00 28.96 1733.3 7 27 91.10 65.90 0.00 28.03 1761.3 7 28 94.00 67.20 0.00 29.37 1790.7 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 7 29 96.40 64.70 0.00 28.66 1819.4 7 30 88.90 68.80 0.00 28.77 1848.1 7 31 83.70 60.90 0.00 22.30 1870.4 8 1 91.20 59.60 0.00 24.96 1895.4 Vx 8 2 80.00 62.10 0.00 21.05 1916.4 8 3 80.00 53.60 0.00 16.80 1933.2 8 4 89.10 51.80 0.00 20.37 1953.6 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 8 5 90.30 55.80 0.00 22.80 1976.4 8 6 85.60 61.30 0.00 23.45 1999.9 8 7 79.30 60.80 0.00 20.05 2019.9 8 8 74.80 54.50 0.00 14.65 2034.6 8 9 73.80 55.80 0.00 14.80 2049.4 8 10 82.80 56.30 0.00 19.55 2068.9 8 11 88.50 53.30 0.00 20.87 2089.8 8 12 92.40 55.10 0.00 23.10 2112.9 8 13 91.20 58.50 0.00 24.42 2137.3 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 8 14 93.20 66.20 0.00 28.71 2166.0 8 15 96.30 66.20 0.00 29.34 2195.4 Vx 8 16 90.50 63.20 0.00 26.53 2221.9 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 8 17 92.30 64.50 0.00 27.67 2249.6 8 18 93.40 61.50 0.00 26.49 2276.0 8 19 88.30 57.70 0.00 22.99 2299.0 8 20 89.60 54.10 0.00 21.71 2320.7 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT 8 21 92.10 60.30 0.00 25.57 2346.3 8 22 78.50 55.20 0.00 16.85 2363.2 8 23 83.40 53.20 0.00 18.30 2381.5 8 24 87.70 54.90 0.00 21.30 2402.8 Vx 8 25 83.90 52.40 0.00 18.15 2420.9 8 26 89.60 52.60 0.00 20.96 2441.9 8 27 88.50 68.00 0.00 28.22 2470.1 8 28 89.50 64.20 0.00 26.69 2496.8 Vx 8 29 94.70 56.80 0.00 24.53 2521.3 Vx 8 30 80.00 62.40 0.00 21.20 2542.5 8 31 85.90 57.00 0.00 21.45 2564.0 9 1 80.50 59.10 0.00 19.80 2583.8 9 2 75.70 55.50 0.00 15.60 2599.4 9 3 76.80 54.80 0.00 15.80 2615.2 9 4 77.60 46.30 0.00 12.50 2627.6 9 5 76.00 49.30 0.00 12.70 2640.3 Vx 9 6 66.20 56.60 0.00 11.40 2651.7 9 7 77.50 56.90 0.00 17.20 2668.9 9 8 80.70 57.00 0.00 18.85 2687.8 9 9 81.90 47.60 0.00 15.02 2702.8 9 10 90.50 45.20 0.00 18.27 2721.1 9 11 79.20 56.20 0.00 17.70 2738.8 9 12 75.50 43.90 0.00 10.86 2749.6 Vx 9 13 74.30 39.80 0.00 9.48 2759.1 9 14 80.90 46.00 0.00 14.03 2773.2 9 15 85.50 52.40 0.00 18.95 2792.1 9 16 88.80 49.90 0.00 19.30 2811.4 9 17 71.60 61.70 0.00 16.65 2828.1 9 18 73.00 59.00 0.00 16.00 2844.1 9 19 68.20 57.80 0.00 13.00 2857.1 Vx 9 20 71.60 49.50 0.00 10.58 2867.6 9 21 67.40 42.10 0.00 6.69 2874.3 9 22 57.60 48.00 0.00 3.20 2877.5 9 23 67.80 50.10 0.00 8.95 2886.5 9 24 74.60 52.00 0.00 13.30 2899.8 9 25 86.10 47.00 0.00 16.90 2916.7 9 26 83.60 51.00 0.00 17.30 2934.0 Vx 9 27 88.00 56.70 0.00 22.35 2956.3 9 28 79.70 50.50 0.00 15.10 2971.4 9 29 83.00 49.00 0.00 16.07 2987.5 9 30 77.00 54.40 0.00 15.70 3003.2 10 1 72.70 49.00 0.00 10.94 3014.1 10 2 69.80 40.30 0.00 7.50 3021.6 10 3 70.60 44.40 0.00 8.62 3030.3 10 4 70.20 45.00 0.00 8.57 3038.8 10 5 67.50 48.20 0.00 8.09 3046.9 10 6 69.00 49.20 0.00 9.17 3056.1 10 7 63.40 54.60 0.00 9.00 3065.1 Vx 10 8 72.40 49.50 0.00 10.98 3076.1 Vx 10 9 68.40 56.00 0.00 12.20 3088.3 10 10 60.80 49.00 0.00 5.02 3093.3 Vx 10 11 61.60 37.40 0.00 3.60 3096.9 10 12 60.30 30.40 0.00 2.67 3099.6 10 13 61.50 43.70 0.00 4.25 3103.8 10 14 71.30 50.40 0.00 10.85 3114.7 10 15 60.70 50.00 0.00 5.35 3120.0 10 16 65.30 51.80 0.00 8.55 3128.6 10 17 60.60 50.80 0.00 5.70 3134.3 Vx 10 18 59.10 47.50 0.00 3.80 3138.1 10 19 69.10 42.30 0.00 7.51 3145.6 10 20 67.80 56.40 0.00 12.10 3157.7 10 21 55.20 51.40 0.00 3.30 3161.0 10 22 62.00 42.90 0.00 4.37 3165.3 Vx 10 23 56.80 42.80 0.00 2.13 3167.5 10 24 60.00 44.50 0.00 3.70 3171.2 Vx 10 25 65.90 48.60 0.00 7.42 3178.6 10 26 56.50 52.40 0.00 4.45 3183.0 Vx 10 27 55.90 50.50 0.00 3.20 3186.2 Vx 10 28 49.80 43.70 0.00 0.00 3186.2 Vx 10 29 48.60 46.50 0.00 0.00 3186.2 10 30 49.00 44.80 0.00 0.00 3186.2 10 31 57.50 47.20 0.00 2.99 3189.2 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF25394 2006-2015
codling moth revised 06 model - Knight 2006
Location: 2016 MF25394 Brown Stephens Hill
DateDDsEvent
 4-30-16 2241ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-8-16 3531ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-17-16 4711ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-24-16 5461ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-1-16 6561ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-6-16 7731ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-15-16 9211ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-20-16 9802ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-29-16 11672ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-15-16 14902ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-21-16 16172ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-28-16 17912ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-4-16 19542ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-13-16 21372ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-16-16 22223RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-20-16 23213RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT
degree-day graph of codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Knight 2006