Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear]
insect model of Knight 2006


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 2006 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: actively undergoing evaluation Region of known use: used in WA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 220 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 2. 340 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 3. 460 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 4. 535 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5. 655 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6. 755 DDs after biofix: 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 7. 920 DDs after biofix: 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 8. 980 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 9. 1160 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 10. 1480 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 11. 1605 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 12. 1765 DDs after biofix: 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 13. 1940 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 14. 2120 DDs after biofix: 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 15. 2200 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 16. 2300 DDs after biofix: 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF23241 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown McClellan OR Lat45.9528 Long:-118.4678 Elev:843 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 74.30 51.00 0.00 12.65 12.6 * START *Vn 4 11 75.70 47.60 0.00 11.95 24.6 Vn 4 12 68.20 51.40 0.00 9.80 34.4 Vx Vn 4 13 65.10 45.20 0.00 6.18 40.6 Vx Vn 4 14 63.00 43.60 0.00 4.92 45.5 Vx Vn 4 15 66.80 45.60 0.00 7.07 52.6 Vx Vn 4 16 72.20 37.80 0.00 8.21 60.8 Vx Vn 4 17 77.90 38.50 0.00 10.92 71.7 Vx Vn 4 18 80.80 42.20 0.00 13.02 84.7 Vx Vn 4 19 84.40 45.10 0.00 15.49 100.2 Vx Vn 4 20 86.70 43.80 0.00 16.26 116.5 Vx Vn 4 21 79.80 53.50 0.00 16.65 133.1 Vx Vn 4 22 78.00 54.20 0.00 16.10 149.2 Vx Vn 4 23 71.20 53.20 0.00 12.20 161.4 Vx Vn 4 24 67.00 48.10 0.00 7.81 169.2 Vx Vn 4 25 65.90 41.90 0.00 5.97 175.2 Vx Vn 4 26 67.00 42.40 0.00 6.55 181.8 Vx Vn 4 27 62.00 49.20 0.00 5.69 187.4 Vx Vn 4 28 72.10 50.00 0.00 11.05 198.5 Vx Vn 4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 4.30 202.8 Vx Vn 4 30 68.80 48.30 0.00 8.76 211.6 Vx Vn 5 1 78.50 40.50 0.00 11.57 223.1 Vx Vn 1ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT 5 2 85.10 32.00 0.00 13.17 236.3 Vx 5 3 68.30 9.00 0.00 4.46 240.8 Hx 5 4 68.60 43.40 0.00 7.47 248.2 Hx Hn 5 5 68.90 43.70 0.00 7.67 255.9 Hx Hn 5 6 77.10 53.20 0.00 15.15 271.1 5 7 82.00 53.00 0.00 17.50 288.6 5 8 75.40 60.40 0.00 17.90 306.5 5 9 64.00 47.10 0.00 6.07 312.5 5 10 72.90 40.00 0.00 8.87 321.4 Vx 5 11 81.20 45.40 0.00 14.01 335.4 Vx Vn 5 12 83.90 61.30 0.00 22.60 358.0 1ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT 5 13 83.00 32.00 0.00 12.22 370.2 5 14 68.20 52.60 0.00 10.40 380.6 5 15 58.50 51.80 0.00 5.15 385.8 5 16 72.90 32.00 0.00 7.78 393.5 5 17 78.40 49.20 0.00 13.86 407.4 5 18 81.50 32.00 0.00 11.55 419.0 5 19 66.00 47.90 0.00 7.26 426.2 5 20 62.00 43.10 0.00 4.39 430.6 5 21 64.90 47.00 0.00 6.48 437.1 5 22 67.80 52.80 0.00 10.30 447.4 5 23 70.40 50.00 0.00 10.20 457.6 Vx 5 24 75.40 53.10 0.00 14.25 471.8 1ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT 5 25 79.80 52.80 0.00 16.30 488.1 5 26 72.40 54.50 0.00 13.45 501.6 5 27 67.80 50.00 0.00 8.90 510.5 5 28 74.40 47.40 0.00 11.25 521.7 5 29 77.00 55.10 0.00 16.05 537.8 1ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT 5 30 76.60 49.30 0.00 13.00 550.8 5 31 84.20 45.40 0.00 15.48 566.3 6 1 82.70 52.00 0.00 17.35 583.6 6 2 76.10 64.00 0.00 20.05 603.7 6 3 87.20 56.80 0.00 22.00 625.7 6 4 94.10 52.90 0.00 22.49 648.1 6 5 93.70 57.30 0.00 24.53 672.7 1ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT 6 6 99.90 32.00 0.00 17.84 690.5 Vx 6 7 95.30 66.00 0.00 29.06 719.6 6 8 83.60 65.80 0.00 24.70 744.3 6 9 77.50 58.90 0.00 18.20 762.5 1ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT 6 10 67.00 53.20 0.00 10.10 772.6 6 11 71.60 21.20 0.00 6.30 778.9 6 12 77.50 47.50 0.00 12.81 791.7 6 13 72.50 53.70 0.00 13.10 804.8 6 14 68.70 50.90 0.00 9.80 814.6 6 15 65.70 46.60 0.00 6.77 821.4 6 16 69.00 47.60 0.00 8.64 830.0 6 17 77.90 32.00 0.00 9.95 840.0 6 18 67.20 55.00 0.00 11.10 851.1 6 19 73.90 45.50 0.00 10.47 861.5 6 20 81.90 48.80 0.00 15.45 877.0 Vx 6 21 80.80 58.70 0.00 19.75 896.7 6 22 85.40 48.90 0.00 17.23 914.0 Vx Vn 6 23 81.70 62.40 0.00 22.05 936.0 Vx Vn 1ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT 6 24 73.00 54.50 0.00 13.75 949.8 Vx Vn 6 25 81.60 52.20 0.00 16.90 966.7 Vx Vn 6 26 91.00 52.20 0.00 21.24 987.9 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT 6 27 93.20 61.00 0.00 26.20 1014.1 Vx Vn 6 28 94.90 67.70 0.00 29.78 1043.9 Vx Vn 6 29 94.30 64.70 0.00 28.24 1072.1 Vx Vn 6 30 90.50 65.60 0.00 27.71 1099.8 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.50 0.00 26.17 1126.0 Vx Vn 7 2 89.80 62.60 0.00 26.00 1152.0 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.90 0.00 25.25 1177.2 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT 7 4 80.50 57.70 0.00 19.10 1196.3 Vx Vn 7 5 78.50 55.80 0.00 17.15 1213.5 Vx Vn 7 6 80.70 59.40 0.00 20.05 1233.5 Vx Vn 7 7 81.70 60.70 0.00 21.20 1254.7 Vx Vn 7 8 77.60 61.30 0.00 19.45 1274.2 Vx Vn 7 9 77.90 58.70 0.00 18.30 1292.5 Vx Vn 7 10 70.30 59.40 0.00 14.85 1307.3 Vx Vn 7 11 81.00 59.30 0.00 20.15 1327.5 Vx Vn 7 12 80.00 59.90 0.00 19.95 1347.4 Vx Vn 7 13 83.30 56.20 0.00 19.75 1367.2 Vx Vn 7 14 90.00 58.00 0.00 23.79 1391.0 Vx Vn 7 15 81.50 57.40 0.00 19.45 1410.4 Vx Vn 7 16 83.60 59.10 0.00 21.35 1431.8 Vx Vn 7 17 88.70 56.60 0.00 22.61 1454.4 Vx Vn 7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 21.15 1475.5 Vx Vn 7 19 79.60 60.00 0.00 19.80 1495.3 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT 7 20 87.70 60.20 0.00 23.95 1519.3 Vx Vn 7 21 95.00 55.70 0.00 24.07 1543.4 Vx Vn 7 22 82.70 64.20 0.00 23.45 1566.8 Vx Vn 7 23 84.40 59.40 0.00 21.90 1588.7 Vx Vn 7 24 90.00 53.40 0.00 21.50 1610.2 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT 7 25 96.40 58.60 0.00 25.78 1636.0 Vx Vn 7 26 96.10 72.30 0.00 32.12 1668.1 Vx Vn 7 27 95.50 69.60 0.00 30.78 1698.9 Vx Vn 7 28 99.30 69.20 0.00 31.19 1730.1 Vx Vn 7 29 101.90 70.70 0.00 32.15 1762.2 Vx Vn 7 30 94.70 72.40 0.00 31.94 1794.2 Vx Vn 2ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT 7 31 87.10 62.60 0.00 24.85 1819.0 Vx Vn 8 1 90.50 55.20 0.00 22.57 1841.6 Vx Vn 8 2 78.20 60.60 0.00 19.40 1861.0 Vx Vn 8 3 84.00 54.80 0.00 19.40 1880.4 Vx Vn 8 4 92.70 53.90 0.00 22.60 1903.0 Vx Vn 8 5 94.40 63.40 0.00 27.64 1930.6 Vx Vn 8 6 89.00 60.70 0.00 24.77 1955.4 Vx Vn 2ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT 8 7 83.00 62.10 0.00 22.55 1977.9 Vx Vn 8 8 76.90 54.20 0.00 15.55 1993.5 Vx Vn 8 9 74.80 57.00 0.00 15.90 2009.4 Vx Vn 8 10 84.00 56.90 0.00 20.45 2029.8 Vx Vn 8 11 90.40 57.60 0.00 23.72 2053.6 Vx Vn 8 12 95.80 61.20 0.00 26.89 2080.5 Vx Vn 8 13 98.00 65.50 0.00 29.32 2109.8 Vx Vn 8 14 95.80 70.60 0.00 31.29 2141.1 Vx Vn 2ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT 8 15 96.00 61.50 0.00 27.07 2168.1 Vx Vn 8 16 95.90 65.10 0.00 28.75 2196.9 Vx Vn 8 17 94.70 63.90 0.00 27.94 2224.8 Vx Vn 3RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT 8 18 96.80 65.80 0.00 29.25 2254.1 Vx Vn 8 19 89.30 64.50 0.00 26.77 2280.9 Vx Vn 8 20 94.60 55.10 0.00 23.68 2304.5 Vx Vn 3RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT 8 21 95.40 65.00 0.00 28.61 2333.1 Vx Vn 8 22 80.40 56.00 0.00 18.20 2351.3 Vx Vn 8 23 83.10 54.50 0.00 18.80 2370.1 Vx Vn 8 24 86.90 51.70 0.00 19.30 2389.4 Vx Vn 8 25 89.70 51.50 0.00 20.45 2409.9 Vx Vn 8 26 91.50 57.50 0.00 24.02 2433.9 Vx Vn 8 27 91.10 68.90 0.00 29.50 2463.4 Vx Vn 8 28 89.50 62.00 0.00 25.60 2489.0 Vx Vn 8 29 92.00 56.60 0.00 23.72 2512.7 Vx Vn 8 30 82.40 61.70 0.00 22.05 2534.8 Vx Vn 8 31 83.30 59.60 0.00 21.45 2556.2 Vx Vn 9 1 79.10 59.40 0.00 19.25 2575.5 Vx Vn 9 2 74.40 55.30 0.00 14.85 2590.3 Vx Vn 9 3 73.20 51.20 0.00 12.20 2602.5 Vx Vn 9 4 74.50 47.30 0.00 11.26 2613.8 Vx Vn 9 5 74.70 52.10 0.00 13.40 2627.2 Vx Vn 9 6 65.80 55.00 0.00 10.40 2637.6 Vx Vn 9 7 77.40 58.20 0.00 17.80 2655.4 Vx Vn 9 8 79.30 56.70 0.00 18.00 2673.4 Vx Vn 9 9 78.90 46.20 0.00 13.11 2686.5 Vx Vn 9 10 89.20 52.00 0.00 20.51 2707.0 Vx Vn 9 11 75.70 51.20 0.00 13.45 2720.5 Vx Vn 9 12 73.10 43.90 0.00 9.71 2730.2 Vx Vn 9 13 72.60 44.70 0.00 9.65 2739.8 Vx Vn 9 14 78.90 46.20 0.00 13.11 2752.9 Vx Vn 9 15 83.50 53.00 0.00 18.25 2771.2 Vx Vn 9 16 88.10 53.10 0.00 20.60 2791.8 Vx Vn 9 17 72.30 62.40 0.00 17.35 2809.1 Vx Vn 9 18 73.10 59.10 0.00 16.10 2825.2 Vx Vn 9 19 67.90 57.10 0.00 12.50 2837.7 Vx Vn 9 20 70.60 48.70 0.00 9.78 2847.5 Vx Vn 9 21 68.60 45.50 0.00 7.91 2855.4 Vx Vn 9 22 57.20 42.70 0.00 2.28 2857.7 Vx Vn 9 23 67.40 51.50 0.00 9.45 2867.2 Vx Vn 9 24 71.20 51.20 0.00 11.20 2878.4 Vx Vn 9 25 83.00 48.80 0.00 16.00 2894.4 Vx Vn 9 26 82.70 49.20 0.00 16.00 2910.4 Vx Vn 9 27 83.90 58.60 0.00 21.25 2931.6 Vx Vn 9 28 77.00 50.60 0.00 13.80 2945.4 Vx Vn 9 29 79.30 50.20 0.00 14.75 2960.2 Vx Vn 9 30 74.60 54.40 0.00 14.50 2974.7 Vx Vn 10 1 70.40 48.50 0.00 9.62 2984.3 Vx Vn 10 2 66.30 38.20 0.00 5.65 2989.9 Vx Vn 10 3 68.40 48.10 0.00 8.50 2998.4 Vx Vn 10 4 66.90 47.70 0.00 7.64 3006.1 Vx Vn 10 5 65.10 49.10 0.00 7.19 3013.3 Vx Vn 10 6 66.70 51.10 0.00 8.90 3022.2 Vx Vn 10 7 63.50 55.90 0.00 9.70 3031.9 Vx Vn 10 8 72.50 50.10 0.00 11.30 3043.2 Vx Vn 10 9 66.10 53.80 0.00 9.95 3053.1 Vx Vn 10 10 60.90 44.00 0.00 4.03 3057.1 Vx Vn 10 11 58.80 37.10 0.00 2.49 3059.6 Vx Vn 10 12 58.50 30.60 0.00 2.06 3061.7 Vx Vn 10 13 61.50 43.10 0.00 4.17 3065.9 Vx Vn 10 14 68.30 52.60 0.00 10.45 3076.3 Vx Vn 10 15 61.40 50.20 0.00 5.80 3082.1 Vx Vn 10 16 64.40 50.90 0.00 7.65 3089.8 Vx Vn 10 17 62.60 48.50 0.00 5.76 3095.5 Vx Vn 10 18 58.90 47.60 0.00 3.73 3099.2 Vx Vn 10 19 65.90 42.20 0.00 6.02 3105.3 Vx Vn 10 20 67.80 56.80 0.00 12.30 3117.6 Vx Vn 10 21 55.50 51.40 0.00 3.45 3121.0 Vx Vn 10 22 61.60 43.30 0.00 4.24 3125.3 Vx Vn 10 23 56.40 43.50 0.00 2.03 3127.3 Vx Vn 10 24 57.60 42.10 0.00 2.39 3129.7 Vx Vn 10 25 65.10 47.30 0.00 6.65 3136.3 Vx Vn 10 26 57.10 52.30 0.00 4.70 3141.0 Vx Vn 10 27 55.60 50.20 0.00 2.90 3143.9 Vx Vn 10 28 56.90 42.50 0.00 2.14 3146.1 Vx Vn 10 29 49.00 43.80 0.00 0.00 3146.1 Vx Vn 10 30 49.40 44.20 0.00 0.00 3146.1 Vx Vn 10 31 57.70 47.60 0.00 3.16 3149.2 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF23241 2006-2015
codling moth revised 06 model - Knight 2006
Location: 2016 MF23241 Brown McClellan OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-1-16 2231ST GENERATION: 1% EGG HATCH, 29% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-12-16 3581ST GENERATION: 3% EGG HATCH, 58% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-24-16 4721ST GENERATION: 10% EGG HATCH, 83% MOTH FLIGHT
 5-29-16 5381ST GENERATION: 20% EGG HATCH, 91% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-5-16 6731ST GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 97% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-9-16 7621ST GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 99% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-23-16 9361ST GEN: 95% EGG HATCH, 2ND GEN: 3% MOTH FLIGHT
 6-26-16 9882ND GENERATION: 5% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-3-16 11772ND GENERATION: 5% EGG HATCH, 18% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-19-16 14952ND GENERATION: 30% EGG HATCH, 74% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-24-16 16102ND GENERATION: 50% EGG HATCH, 89% MOTH FLIGHT
 7-30-16 17942ND GENERATION: 75% EGG HATCH, 96% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-6-16 19552ND GEN: 90% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 7% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-14-16 21412ND GEN: 97% EGG HATCH, 3RD GEN: 35% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-17-16 22253RD GEN: 13% EGG HATCH, 56% MOTH FLIGHT
 8-20-16 23053RD GEN: 56% EGG HATCH, 79% MOTH FLIGHT
degree-day graph of codling moth revised 06 [apple & pear] Knight 2006