Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
insect model of Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Type: insect Model source/other links: Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011 Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River 2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier 3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles 4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA 6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations 7. 3049 DDs after biofix: last trap catch - all locations ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF26036 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Mackenzie Gala OR Lat:45.9714 Long:-118.4039 Elev:876 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.60 41.00 0.00 11.30 11.3 * START * 3 2 60.80 41.60 0.00 10.20 21.5 3 3 64.50 44.70 0.00 13.60 35.1 3 4 63.60 33.90 0.00 9.26 44.4 3 5 66.90 49.30 0.00 17.10 61.5 3 6 67.20 48.80 0.00 17.00 78.5 3 7 57.50 42.80 0.00 9.15 87.6 3 8 53.40 33.60 0.00 4.50 92.1 3 9 59.00 43.40 0.00 10.20 102.3 3 10 64.10 48.80 0.00 15.45 117.8 3 11 48.30 34.80 0.00 2.43 120.2 3 12 52.90 40.40 0.00 5.71 125.9 3 13 59.20 37.40 0.00 7.93 133.8 3 14 53.90 39.00 0.00 5.77 139.6 3 15 51.90 40.00 0.00 5.07 144.7 3 16 55.40 38.50 0.00 6.36 151.0 3 17 54.90 33.90 0.00 5.22 156.3 3 18 57.90 29.20 0.00 5.91 162.2 3 19 63.00 34.20 0.00 9.04 171.2 3 20 60.80 37.10 0.00 8.63 179.8 3 21 63.70 42.10 0.00 11.90 191.7 3 22 53.50 44.30 0.00 7.90 199.6 3 23 60.40 45.00 0.00 11.70 211.3 3 24 56.70 47.30 0.00 11.00 222.3 3 25 56.50 43.10 0.00 8.80 231.1 3 26 62.90 39.70 0.00 10.43 241.6 3 27 57.40 45.30 0.00 10.35 251.9 3 28 51.20 39.20 0.00 4.50 256.4 Vx 3 29 63.50 36.40 0.00 9.77 266.2 3 30 64.60 34.80 0.00 9.93 276.1 3 31 72.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 295.1 4 1 77.10 44.50 0.00 19.80 314.9 4 2 77.80 49.90 0.00 22.85 337.8 4 3 76.80 48.90 0.00 21.85 359.6 4 4 60.30 46.20 0.00 12.25 371.9 4 5 65.10 42.80 0.00 12.95 384.8 4 6 75.00 39.10 0.00 16.24 401.1 4 7 73.50 38.10 0.00 15.15 416.2 4 8 79.50 46.00 0.00 21.75 438.0 4 9 82.00 57.70 0.00 28.85 466.8 4 10 75.20 51.30 0.00 22.25 489.1 4 11 71.10 47.90 0.00 18.50 507.6 4 12 69.70 51.20 0.00 19.45 527.0 4 13 65.00 48.70 0.00 15.85 542.9 4 14 64.70 44.00 0.00 13.35 556.2 4 15 66.10 45.20 0.00 14.65 570.9 4 16 71.50 36.90 0.00 13.81 584.7 4 17 77.10 38.60 0.00 17.11 601.8 4 18 79.60 39.70 0.00 18.75 620.5 4 19 83.90 45.30 0.00 23.60 644.1 4 20 84.80 44.30 0.00 23.55 667.7 4 21 78.80 52.50 0.00 24.65 692.3 4 22 77.20 53.10 0.00 24.15 716.5 4 23 71.70 52.50 0.00 21.10 737.6 4 24 67.70 49.60 0.00 17.65 755.2 4 25 66.40 41.50 0.00 12.95 768.2 4 26 64.30 42.90 0.00 12.60 780.8 4 27 61.50 48.10 0.00 13.80 794.6 4 28 69.70 50.30 0.00 19.00 813.6 4 29 58.00 49.90 0.00 12.95 826.5 4 30 68.10 48.00 0.00 17.05 843.6 5 1 77.40 40.40 0.00 17.93 861.5 5 2 84.80 45.00 0.00 23.90 885.4 First trap catch - Hood River 5 3 68.70 66.50 0.00 26.60 912.0 Hx 5 4 78.10 57.00 0.00 26.55 938.5 First trap catch - Mosier 5 5 69.30 45.70 0.00 16.50 955.0 Hx Hn 5 6 76.00 51.20 0.00 22.60 977.6 5 7 82.40 52.60 0.00 26.50 1004.1 First trap catch - The Dalles 5 8 79.10 60.10 0.00 28.60 1032.7 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5 9 65.00 47.70 0.00 15.35 1048.1 5 10 77.80 40.00 0.00 17.97 1066.1 Vx First trap catch - WA 5 11 83.20 46.00 0.00 23.60 1089.7 Vx Vn 5 12 84.60 63.00 0.00 32.80 1122.5 5 13 82.40 46.80 0.00 23.60 1146.1 5 14 68.00 54.10 0.00 20.05 1166.1 5 15 58.90 52.00 0.00 14.45 1180.6 5 16 72.80 52.50 0.00 21.65 1202.2 5 17 78.40 50.70 0.00 23.55 1225.8 5 18 82.90 57.80 0.00 29.35 1255.1 5 19 67.70 49.50 0.00 17.60 1272.7 5 20 61.90 43.70 0.00 11.80 1284.5 5 21 66.30 45.50 0.00 14.90 1299.4 5 22 67.40 51.70 0.00 18.55 1318.0 5 23 70.40 51.20 0.00 19.80 1337.8 Vx 5 24 76.60 51.60 0.00 23.10 1360.9 5 25 78.20 48.70 0.00 22.45 1383.3 5 26 70.80 51.90 0.00 20.35 1403.7 5 27 68.80 50.90 0.00 18.85 1422.5 5 28 75.70 49.70 0.00 21.70 1444.2 5 29 78.70 54.80 0.00 25.75 1470.0 5 30 76.30 47.40 0.00 20.85 1490.8 Vx 5 31 83.70 45.90 0.00 23.80 1514.6 6 1 84.40 51.30 0.00 26.85 1541.5 6 2 76.60 65.20 0.00 29.90 1571.4 6 3 87.40 56.30 0.00 30.85 1602.2 6 4 94.00 51.70 0.00 31.85 1634.1 6 5 94.80 55.20 0.00 34.00 1668.1 50% trap catch - all locations 6 6 99.80 66.20 0.00 42.00 1710.1 Vx 6 7 96.70 67.00 0.00 40.85 1750.9 6 8 87.30 73.00 0.00 39.15 1790.1 6 9 78.50 58.70 0.00 27.60 1817.7 Vx 6 10 69.10 54.50 0.00 20.80 1838.5 6 11 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 1858.5 Vx Vn 6 12 78.60 49.20 0.00 22.90 1881.4 Vx Vn 6 13 75.00 58.40 0.00 25.70 1907.1 Vx Vn 6 14 68.80 51.60 0.00 19.20 1926.3 Vx Vn 6 15 67.90 46.80 0.00 16.35 1942.7 Vx Vn 6 16 68.40 49.40 0.00 17.90 1960.6 Vx Vn 6 17 78.60 48.80 0.00 22.70 1983.3 Vx Vn 6 18 67.30 55.60 0.00 20.45 2003.7 Vx 6 19 77.20 46.70 0.00 20.95 2024.7 Vx Vn 6 20 81.50 50.10 0.00 24.80 2049.5 Vx Vn 6 21 79.80 58.50 0.00 28.15 2077.6 Vx Vn 6 22 85.90 49.40 0.00 26.65 2104.3 Vx Vn 6 23 81.60 61.60 0.00 30.60 2134.9 Vx Vn 6 24 73.20 54.70 0.00 22.95 2157.8 Vx 6 25 81.50 51.80 0.00 25.65 2183.5 Vx Vn 6 26 91.60 52.50 0.00 31.05 2214.5 Vx Vn 6 27 93.60 60.40 0.00 36.00 2250.5 Vx Vn 6 28 95.30 66.60 0.00 39.95 2290.5 Vx Vn 6 29 94.60 65.40 0.00 39.00 2329.5 Vx Vn 6 30 90.70 66.30 0.00 37.50 2367.0 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.30 0.00 35.15 2402.1 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 35.55 2437.7 Vx Vn 7 3 85.70 64.80 0.00 34.25 2471.9 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2500.0 Vx Vn 7 5 78.20 55.40 0.00 25.80 2525.8 Vx Vn 7 6 80.70 59.40 0.00 29.05 2554.8 Vx Vn 7 7 81.50 60.50 0.00 30.00 2584.8 Vx Vn 7 8 77.90 60.70 0.00 28.30 2613.1 Vx 7 9 77.00 57.60 0.00 26.30 2639.4 7 10 67.80 58.00 0.00 21.90 2661.3 7 11 80.80 58.50 0.00 28.65 2690.0 Vx 7 12 79.30 56.80 0.00 27.05 2717.0 7 13 83.40 57.50 0.00 29.45 2746.5 Vx 7 14 89.80 53.70 0.00 30.75 2777.2 Vx 7 15 81.50 58.70 0.00 29.10 2806.3 Vx 7 16 83.70 58.10 0.00 29.90 2836.2 Vx 7 17 88.10 56.70 0.00 31.40 2867.6 Vx 7 18 80.80 59.60 0.00 29.20 2896.8 Vx 7 19 80.20 58.20 0.00 28.20 2925.0 Vx 7 20 87.40 62.50 0.00 33.95 2959.0 Vx 7 21 95.20 54.50 0.00 33.85 2992.8 Vx 7 22 83.00 64.60 0.00 32.80 3025.6 Vx Vn 7 23 78.70 55.40 0.00 26.05 3051.7 last trap catch - all locations 7 24 90.40 53.50 0.00 30.95 3082.6 Vx 7 25 96.90 59.80 0.00 37.35 3120.0 Vx 7 26 95.90 72.40 0.00 43.15 3163.1 Vx Vn 7 27 88.10 66.50 0.00 36.30 3199.4 7 28 91.10 66.60 0.00 37.85 3237.3 7 29 101.70 65.40 0.00 42.55 3279.8 Vx 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 42.25 3322.1 Vx Vn 7 31 87.00 62.40 0.00 33.70 3355.8 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF26036 2006-2015
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones etal 91
Location: 2016 MF26036 Davis Mackenzie Gala
DateDDsEvent
 5-2-16 885First trap catch - Hood River
 5-4-16 939First trap catch - Mosier
 5-7-16 1004First trap catch - The Dalles
 5-8-16 1033First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
 5-10-16 1066First trap catch - WA
 6-5-16 166850% trap catch - all locations
 7-23-16 3052last trap catch - all locations
degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones etal 91