Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
insect model of Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Type: insect Model source/other links: Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011 Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River 2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier 3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles 4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA 6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations 7. 3049 DDs after biofix: last trap catch - all locations ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25352 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Gawith Gala OR Lat:45.9689 Long:-118.4081 Elev:879 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.80 40.90 0.00 11.35 11.4 * START *Vx Vn 3 2 60.50 42.60 0.00 10.55 21.9 Vx Vn 3 3 64.40 44.50 0.00 13.45 35.4 Vx Vn 3 4 62.30 33.80 0.00 8.63 44.0 Vx Vn 3 5 66.10 49.60 0.00 16.85 60.8 Vx Vn 3 6 66.60 45.40 0.00 15.00 75.8 Vx Vn 3 7 56.60 42.20 0.00 8.40 84.2 Vx Vn 3 8 53.80 35.70 0.00 5.01 89.2 Vx Vn 3 9 58.30 43.00 0.00 9.65 98.9 Vx Vn 3 10 63.20 43.70 0.00 12.45 111.3 Vx Vn 3 11 48.00 34.90 0.00 2.31 113.7 Vx Vn 3 12 51.80 40.40 0.00 5.16 118.8 Vx Vn 3 13 60.00 37.80 0.00 8.42 127.2 Vx Vn 3 14 53.40 40.80 0.00 6.11 133.3 Vx Vn 3 15 51.90 40.50 0.00 5.24 138.6 Vx Vn 3 16 55.90 38.80 0.00 6.69 145.3 Vx Vn 3 17 54.90 33.30 0.00 5.13 150.4 Vx Vn 3 18 58.50 28.30 0.00 6.07 156.5 Vx Vn 3 19 62.90 34.20 0.00 8.99 165.5 Vx Vn 3 20 61.30 37.00 0.00 8.85 174.3 Vx Vn 3 21 64.10 43.10 0.00 12.60 186.9 Vx Vn 3 22 53.90 44.60 0.00 8.25 195.2 Vx Vn 3 23 60.20 45.10 0.00 11.65 206.8 Vx Vn 3 24 56.80 45.80 0.00 10.30 217.1 Vx Vn 3 25 56.10 39.90 0.00 7.12 224.2 Vx Vn 3 26 62.90 39.50 0.00 10.36 234.6 Vx Vn 3 27 57.40 42.00 0.00 8.70 243.3 Vx Vn 3 28 51.20 38.10 0.00 4.24 247.5 Vx Vn 3 29 61.90 35.70 0.00 8.83 256.4 Vx Vn 3 30 64.50 35.30 0.00 9.99 266.4 Vx Vn 3 31 72.00 46.50 0.00 18.25 284.6 Vx Vn 4 1 76.90 44.40 0.00 19.65 304.3 Vx Vn 4 2 77.20 52.80 0.00 24.00 328.3 Vx Vn 4 3 75.90 48.20 0.00 21.05 349.3 Vx Vn 4 4 62.00 41.60 0.00 10.80 360.1 Hx Hn 4 5 62.20 41.70 0.00 10.95 371.1 Hx Hn 4 6 62.30 41.80 0.00 11.05 382.1 Hx Hn 4 7 76.30 40.20 0.00 17.30 399.4 Vx Vn 4 8 62.70 42.00 0.00 11.35 410.8 Hx Hn 4 9 62.90 42.10 0.00 11.50 422.3 Hx Hn 4 10 74.60 50.10 0.00 21.35 443.6 Vx Vn 4 11 76.60 47.70 0.00 21.15 464.8 Vx Vn 4 12 67.60 51.10 0.00 18.35 483.1 Vx Vn 4 13 64.50 45.20 0.00 13.85 497.0 Vx Vn 4 14 63.60 44.00 0.00 12.80 509.8 Vx Vn 4 15 65.80 45.50 0.00 14.65 524.4 Vx Vn 4 16 71.00 38.50 0.00 14.05 538.5 Vx Vn 4 17 76.30 38.30 0.00 16.61 555.1 Vx Vn 4 18 80.00 42.80 0.00 20.40 575.5 Vx Vn 4 19 82.90 45.60 0.00 23.25 598.7 Vx Vn 4 20 85.30 45.30 0.00 24.30 623.0 Vx Vn 4 21 78.70 53.20 0.00 24.95 648.0 Vx Vn 4 22 77.30 54.70 0.00 25.00 673.0 Vx Vn 4 23 70.90 52.90 0.00 20.90 693.9 Vx Vn 4 24 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 710.1 Vx Vn 4 25 65.50 42.10 0.00 12.80 722.9 Vx Vn 4 26 65.80 42.60 0.00 13.20 736.1 Vx Vn 4 27 61.30 49.50 0.00 14.40 750.5 Vx Vn 4 28 70.70 49.70 0.00 19.20 769.7 Vx Vn 4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 13.30 783.0 Vx Vn 4 30 67.80 47.90 0.00 16.85 799.8 Vx Vn 5 1 77.90 41.40 0.00 18.65 818.5 Vx Vn 5 2 85.00 47.20 0.00 25.10 843.6 Vx Vn 5 3 68.60 45.70 0.00 16.15 859.7 Hx Hn 5 4 68.90 45.90 0.00 16.40 876.1 Hx Hn First trap catch - Hood River 5 5 69.20 46.20 0.00 16.70 892.8 Hx Hn 5 6 77.60 53.40 0.00 24.50 917.3 Vx Vn 5 7 82.70 52.50 0.00 26.60 943.9 Vx Vn First trap catch - Mosier 5 8 78.20 54.50 0.00 25.35 969.3 Vx Vn 5 9 65.50 47.50 0.00 15.50 984.8 Vx Vn 5 10 76.80 41.20 0.00 18.00 1002.8 Vx Vn First trap catch - The Dalles 5 11 82.70 46.30 0.00 23.50 1026.3 Vx Vn 5 12 86.00 63.10 0.00 33.55 1059.8 Vx Vn First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5 13 83.10 48.40 0.00 24.75 1084.6 Vx Vn First trap catch - WA 5 14 67.90 54.40 0.00 20.15 1104.7 Vx Vn 5 15 58.70 52.20 0.00 14.45 1119.2 Vx Vn 5 16 72.00 52.40 0.00 21.20 1140.4 Vx Vn 5 17 78.30 49.80 0.00 23.05 1163.4 Vx Vn 5 18 83.50 56.50 0.00 29.00 1192.4 Vx Vn 5 19 67.00 49.90 0.00 17.45 1209.9 Vx Vn 5 20 62.30 42.20 0.00 11.25 1221.1 Vx Vn 5 21 64.30 47.50 0.00 14.90 1236.0 Vx Vn 5 22 67.90 52.60 0.00 19.25 1255.3 Vx Vn 5 23 70.40 52.00 0.00 20.20 1275.5 Vx Vn 5 24 73.00 52.00 0.00 21.50 1297.0 Vx Vn 5 25 78.50 51.70 0.00 24.10 1321.1 Vx Vn 5 26 70.70 53.10 0.00 20.90 1342.0 Vx Vn 5 27 67.40 50.80 0.00 18.10 1360.1 Vx Vn 5 28 75.30 49.10 0.00 21.20 1381.3 Vx Vn 5 29 78.40 55.30 0.00 25.85 1407.1 Vx Vn 5 30 76.30 49.30 0.00 21.80 1428.9 Vx Vn 5 31 84.80 47.10 0.00 24.95 1453.9 Vx Vn 6 1 85.30 54.00 0.00 28.65 1482.5 Vx Vn 6 2 76.80 64.20 0.00 29.50 1512.0 Vx Vn 6 3 86.40 58.90 0.00 31.65 1543.7 Vx Vn 6 4 94.10 54.00 0.00 33.05 1576.7 Vx Vn 6 5 95.60 59.00 0.00 36.30 1613.0 Vx Vn 6 6 99.40 67.30 0.00 42.35 1655.4 Vx Vn 6 7 98.30 69.00 0.00 42.65 1698.0 Vx Vn 50% trap catch - all locations 6 8 86.00 64.60 0.00 34.30 1732.3 Vx Vn 6 9 78.50 58.40 0.00 27.45 1759.8 Vx Vn 6 10 70.00 54.40 0.00 21.20 1781.0 Vx Vn 6 11 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 1801.0 Vx Vn 6 12 78.60 49.20 0.00 22.90 1823.9 Vx Vn 6 13 74.90 58.40 0.00 25.65 1849.6 Vx Vn 6 14 68.70 51.60 0.00 19.15 1868.7 Vx Vn 6 15 67.90 47.20 0.00 16.55 1885.3 Vx Vn 6 16 68.30 49.40 0.00 17.85 1903.1 Vx Vn 6 17 78.50 48.80 0.00 22.65 1925.8 Vx Vn 6 18 67.30 53.50 0.00 19.40 1945.2 Vx Vn 6 19 77.20 46.70 0.00 20.95 1966.1 Vx Vn 6 20 81.50 50.10 0.00 24.80 1990.9 Vx Vn 6 21 79.80 58.50 0.00 28.15 2019.1 Vx Vn 6 22 85.90 49.30 0.00 26.60 2045.7 Vx Vn 6 23 81.50 61.80 0.00 30.65 2076.3 Vx Vn 6 24 73.20 54.50 0.00 22.85 2099.2 Vx Vn 6 25 81.50 51.80 0.00 25.65 2124.8 Vx Vn 6 26 91.60 52.50 0.00 31.05 2155.9 Vx Vn 6 27 93.50 60.40 0.00 35.95 2191.8 Vx Vn 6 28 95.30 66.60 0.00 39.95 2231.8 Vx Vn 6 29 94.50 65.30 0.00 38.90 2270.7 Vx Vn 6 30 90.60 65.90 0.00 37.25 2307.9 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.20 0.00 35.10 2343.0 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 35.55 2378.6 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 34.20 2412.8 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2440.8 Vx Vn 7 5 78.20 55.40 0.00 25.80 2466.6 Vx Vn 7 6 80.70 59.50 0.00 29.10 2495.7 Vx Vn 7 7 81.60 60.50 0.00 30.05 2525.8 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 61.50 0.00 28.65 2554.4 Vx Vn 7 9 78.00 58.30 0.00 27.15 2581.6 Vx Vn 7 10 69.70 59.00 0.00 23.35 2604.9 Vx Vn 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 28.90 2633.8 Vx Vn 7 12 79.80 59.80 0.00 28.80 2662.6 Vx Vn 7 13 83.40 56.70 0.00 29.05 2691.7 Vx Vn 7 14 89.80 57.90 0.00 32.85 2724.5 Vx Vn 7 15 81.40 58.10 0.00 28.75 2753.3 Vx Vn 7 16 83.70 59.20 0.00 30.45 2783.7 Vx Vn 7 17 88.10 58.00 0.00 32.05 2815.8 Vx Vn 7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 30.15 2845.9 Vx Vn 7 19 80.00 60.50 0.00 29.25 2875.2 Vx Vn 7 20 87.40 61.10 0.00 33.25 2908.4 Vx Vn 7 21 95.20 56.90 0.00 35.05 2943.5 Vx Vn 7 22 83.00 64.60 0.00 32.80 2976.3 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 59.50 0.00 30.80 3007.1 Vx Vn 7 24 90.40 55.10 0.00 31.75 3038.8 Vx Vn 7 25 96.90 60.00 0.00 37.45 3076.3 Vx Vn last trap catch - all locations 7 26 95.90 72.40 0.00 43.15 3119.4 Vx Vn 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 41.30 3160.7 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 68.80 0.00 43.10 3203.8 Vx Vn 7 29 101.70 70.20 0.00 44.95 3248.8 Vx Vn 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 42.25 3291.0 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.40 0.00 33.65 3324.7 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF25352 2006-2015
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones etal 91
Location: 2016 MF25352 Davis Gawith Gala
DateDDsEvent
 5-4-16 876First trap catch - Hood River
 5-7-16 944First trap catch - Mosier
 5-10-16 1003First trap catch - The Dalles
 5-12-16 1060First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
 5-13-16 1085First trap catch - WA
 6-7-16 169850% trap catch - all locations
 7-25-16 3076last trap catch - all locations
degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones etal 91