Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
insect model of Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Type: insect Model source/other links: Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011 Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River 2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier 3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles 4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA 6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations 7. 3049 DDs after biofix: last trap catch - all locations ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24644 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Brown Fuji OR Lat45.9431 Long:-118.4389 Elev:941 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 62.70 45.00 0.04 12.85 12.9 * START * 3 2 60.40 44.40 0.00 11.40 24.2 3 3 63.50 44.30 0.02 12.90 37.1 3 4 63.10 36.40 0.00 9.57 46.7 3 5 63.70 48.40 0.00 15.05 61.8 3 6 65.40 47.60 0.04 15.50 77.3 3 7 56.50 43.00 0.00 8.75 86.0 3 8 53.00 37.20 0.00 4.91 90.9 3 9 57.30 41.50 0.01 8.40 99.3 3 10 62.90 48.30 0.00 14.60 113.9 3 11 47.20 37.00 0.04 2.21 116.1 3 12 52.00 40.90 0.02 5.45 121.6 3 13 60.50 41.00 0.01 9.75 131.4 3 14 52.30 40.10 0.00 5.30 136.7 3 15 49.90 40.00 0.00 4.09 140.7 3 16 53.70 40.30 0.00 6.07 146.8 3 17 52.90 33.90 0.00 4.32 151.1 3 18 56.30 31.80 0.00 5.55 156.7 3 19 60.60 36.00 0.00 8.28 165.0 3 20 58.50 42.00 0.12 9.25 174.2 3 21 64.70 45.50 0.05 14.10 188.3 3 22 52.10 42.70 0.09 6.40 194.7 3 23 58.80 44.80 0.00 10.80 205.5 3 24 55.00 45.80 0.00 9.40 214.9 3 25 55.30 42.60 0.01 7.95 222.9 3 26 61.50 39.20 0.00 9.57 232.4 3 27 56.00 44.40 0.01 9.20 241.6 3 28 50.90 37.80 0.00 4.04 245.7 Vx 3 29 61.20 35.80 0.00 8.52 254.2 3 30 63.40 40.20 0.00 10.86 265.0 3 31 70.00 49.60 0.00 18.80 283.8 4 1 74.90 51.30 0.00 22.10 305.9 4 2 75.10 56.70 0.00 24.90 330.8 4 3 74.10 51.80 0.00 21.95 352.8 4 4 60.90 46.30 0.04 12.60 365.4 4 5 63.20 43.00 0.00 12.10 377.5 4 6 71.70 44.80 0.00 17.25 394.7 4 7 72.70 44.70 0.00 17.70 412.4 4 8 76.80 53.60 0.00 24.20 436.6 4 9 79.20 58.70 0.00 27.95 464.6 4 10 72.90 50.40 0.00 20.65 485.2 4 11 75.00 49.20 0.00 21.10 506.3 4 12 66.00 51.40 0.00 17.70 524.0 4 13 63.40 47.20 0.02 14.30 538.3 4 14 61.90 44.30 0.02 12.10 550.4 4 15 64.30 44.80 0.01 13.55 564.0 4 16 69.50 45.30 0.00 16.40 580.4 4 17 74.90 46.30 0.00 19.60 600.0 4 18 79.00 49.80 0.00 23.40 623.4 4 19 81.40 52.70 0.00 26.05 649.4 4 20 84.90 53.30 0.00 28.10 677.5 4 21 79.30 58.60 0.00 27.95 705.5 4 22 76.80 55.00 0.00 24.90 730.4 4 23 69.60 52.30 0.00 19.95 750.3 4 24 65.00 51.20 0.00 17.10 767.4 4 25 64.90 42.20 0.00 12.55 780.0 4 26 68.70 44.70 0.00 15.70 795.7 4 27 64.10 49.70 0.00 15.90 811.6 4 28 73.00 50.60 0.00 20.80 832.4 4 29 58.40 51.40 0.00 13.90 846.3 4 30 71.70 47.10 0.00 18.40 864.7 First trap catch - Hood River 5 1 79.80 47.00 0.00 22.40 887.1 5 2 87.60 53.20 0.00 29.40 916.5 5 3 91.90 65.60 0.00 37.75 954.2 First trap catch - Mosier 5 4 80.00 60.50 0.09 29.25 983.5 5 5 68.70 45.80 0.00 16.25 999.7 Hx Hn First trap catch - The Dalles 5 6 80.00 54.20 0.00 26.10 1025.8 5 7 86.20 55.70 0.00 29.95 1055.8 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5 8 77.20 53.90 0.00 24.55 1080.3 First trap catch - WA 5 9 66.10 46.90 0.00 15.50 1095.8 5 10 73.30 43.00 0.00 17.15 1113.0 5 11 80.80 46.50 0.00 22.65 1135.6 Vx Vn 5 12 88.40 63.20 0.00 34.80 1170.4 5 13 82.90 47.90 0.00 24.40 1194.8 5 14 68.60 53.90 0.12 20.25 1215.1 5 15 59.00 52.10 0.03 14.55 1229.6 5 16 75.30 51.90 0.02 22.60 1252.2 5 17 82.70 52.00 0.00 26.35 1278.6 5 18 82.90 60.00 0.00 30.45 1309.0 5 19 66.60 48.10 0.00 16.35 1325.4 5 20 63.10 44.20 0.00 12.65 1338.0 5 21 65.90 48.70 0.05 16.30 1354.3 5 22 68.80 52.70 0.00 19.75 1374.1 5 23 69.90 50.30 0.00 19.10 1393.2 Vx 5 24 74.40 53.30 0.00 22.85 1416.0 5 25 80.10 54.40 0.00 26.25 1442.3 5 26 72.20 53.30 0.00 21.75 1464.0 5 27 69.10 50.10 0.00 18.60 1482.6 5 28 78.40 49.20 0.00 22.80 1505.4 5 29 78.70 56.00 0.00 26.35 1531.8 5 30 78.50 51.20 0.00 23.85 1555.6 5 31 86.60 50.80 0.00 27.70 1583.3 6 1 89.00 57.80 0.00 32.40 1615.7 6 2 78.80 64.50 0.00 30.65 1646.4 6 3 91.50 59.10 0.00 34.30 1680.7 50% trap catch - all locations 6 4 98.50 57.90 0.00 37.20 1717.9 6 5 99.70 64.20 0.00 40.95 1758.8 6 6 99.00 69.00 0.00 43.00 1801.8 Vx 6 7 97.10 70.80 0.00 42.95 1844.8 6 8 88.80 75.60 0.00 41.20 1886.0 6 9 78.60 59.40 0.00 28.00 1914.0 6 10 71.80 52.80 0.04 21.30 1935.3 6 11 75.70 50.30 0.00 22.00 1957.3 6 12 78.70 49.20 0.00 22.95 1980.2 6 13 76.00 58.30 0.00 26.15 2006.4 6 14 71.50 50.30 0.00 19.90 2026.3 6 15 68.90 46.10 0.00 16.50 2042.8 6 16 72.00 49.20 0.01 19.60 2062.4 6 17 79.10 49.80 0.00 23.45 2085.8 6 18 69.10 54.60 0.09 20.85 2106.7 6 19 78.80 46.90 0.00 21.85 2128.5 6 20 81.50 52.50 0.00 26.00 2154.5 Vx 6 21 81.30 58.40 0.00 28.85 2183.4 6 22 87.80 54.20 0.00 30.00 2213.4 6 23 83.30 61.10 0.00 31.20 2244.6 6 24 74.50 54.60 0.00 23.55 2268.1 6 25 81.20 52.80 0.00 26.00 2294.1 6 26 91.60 54.90 0.00 32.25 2326.4 6 27 92.80 60.40 0.00 35.60 2362.0 Vx Vn 6 28 93.50 68.70 0.00 40.10 2402.1 6 29 94.00 67.90 0.00 39.95 2442.0 Vx 6 30 90.00 65.00 0.00 36.50 2478.5 Vx Vn 7 1 90.70 64.60 0.00 36.65 2515.2 7 2 89.50 62.80 0.00 35.15 2550.3 Vx Vn 7 3 85.30 68.30 0.00 35.80 2586.1 Vx 7 4 83.10 58.10 0.00 29.60 2615.7 7 5 81.50 57.20 0.00 28.35 2644.1 7 6 80.10 59.70 0.00 28.90 2673.0 7 7 81.40 62.20 0.00 30.80 2703.8 Vx 7 8 77.50 59.90 0.13 27.70 2731.5 Vx 7 9 77.50 57.30 0.07 26.40 2757.9 7 10 69.20 57.90 0.00 22.55 2780.4 7 11 81.50 58.90 0.00 29.20 2809.6 7 12 78.00 57.70 0.02 26.85 2836.5 7 13 83.30 57.70 0.00 29.50 2866.0 7 14 89.50 57.20 0.00 32.35 2898.3 Vx 7 15 81.00 60.20 0.00 29.60 2927.9 Vx 7 16 83.30 59.90 0.00 30.60 2958.5 Vx 7 17 87.40 60.50 0.00 32.95 2991.5 Vx 7 18 80.70 62.50 0.00 30.60 3022.1 Vx 7 19 79.40 61.70 0.00 29.55 3051.6 Vx last trap catch - all locations 7 20 87.10 64.30 0.00 34.70 3086.3 Vx 7 21 94.50 60.00 0.00 36.25 3122.6 Vx 7 22 82.30 65.10 0.00 32.70 3155.3 Vx 7 23 86.50 58.20 0.00 31.35 3186.6 7 24 89.80 59.70 0.00 33.75 3220.4 Vx 7 25 96.30 65.50 0.00 39.90 3260.3 Vx 7 26 95.20 73.80 0.00 43.50 3303.8 Vx 7 27 96.30 68.80 0.00 41.55 3345.3 7 28 100.60 71.70 0.00 45.15 3390.5 7 29 101.40 70.90 0.00 45.15 3435.6 Vx 7 30 95.10 72.50 0.00 42.80 3478.4 7 31 86.50 62.30 0.00 33.40 3511.8 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24644 2006-2015
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones etal 91
Location: 2016 MF24644 Brown Fuji OR
DateDDsEvent
 4-30-16 865First trap catch - Hood River
 5-3-16 954First trap catch - Mosier
 5-5-16 1000First trap catch - The Dalles
 5-7-16 1056First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
 5-8-16 1080First trap catch - WA
 6-3-16 168150% trap catch - all locations
 7-19-16 3052last trap catch - all locations
degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones etal 91