Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
insect model of Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Type: insect Model source/other links: Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011 Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River 2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier 3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles 4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA 6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations 7. 3049 DDs after biofix: last trap catch - all locations ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF24585 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Oliver Cherries OR Lat45.9717 Long:-118.3739 Elev:882 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.30 38.10 0.03 10.12 10.1 * START * 3 2 60.40 40.90 0.00 9.65 19.8 3 3 64.60 44.60 0.02 13.60 33.4 3 4 59.80 32.20 0.00 7.18 40.6 3 5 64.50 49.50 0.01 16.00 56.6 3 6 66.20 48.30 0.03 16.25 72.8 3 7 56.00 39.30 0.00 6.88 79.7 3 8 53.40 32.40 0.00 4.35 84.0 3 9 57.80 42.20 0.00 9.00 93.0 3 10 62.20 42.20 0.01 11.20 104.2 3 11 48.00 33.80 0.02 2.21 106.4 3 12 53.70 39.30 0.01 5.75 112.2 3 13 58.10 37.10 0.01 7.33 119.5 3 14 51.20 37.50 0.00 4.12 123.6 3 15 52.20 39.60 0.00 5.10 128.7 3 16 55.00 36.90 0.00 5.80 134.5 3 17 53.60 32.40 0.00 4.43 139.0 3 18 57.70 26.30 0.00 5.51 144.5 3 19 62.20 32.90 0.00 8.41 152.9 3 20 61.40 34.40 0.05 8.32 161.2 3 21 64.10 38.50 0.00 10.63 171.9 3 22 52.20 43.90 0.05 7.05 178.9 3 23 60.00 44.60 0.00 11.30 190.2 3 24 57.10 46.80 0.00 10.95 201.2 3 25 55.10 42.30 0.00 7.70 208.9 3 26 63.50 36.30 0.00 9.74 218.6 3 27 57.60 48.10 0.00 11.85 230.5 3 28 51.90 37.00 0.00 4.36 234.8 3 29 63.30 35.40 0.00 9.44 244.2 3 30 64.50 32.30 0.00 9.38 253.6 3 31 71.80 42.50 0.00 16.15 269.8 4 1 76.70 39.50 0.00 17.23 287.0 4 2 77.40 44.90 0.00 20.15 307.1 4 3 75.30 41.20 0.00 17.25 324.4 4 4 62.00 45.40 0.12 12.70 337.1 Hx 4 5 63.60 39.80 0.00 10.81 347.9 4 6 62.30 36.70 0.00 9.26 357.2 Hx 4 7 73.00 35.60 0.00 14.18 371.4 4 8 76.80 42.20 0.00 18.50 389.9 4 9 79.20 49.70 0.00 23.45 413.3 4 10 72.80 47.40 0.00 19.10 432.4 4 11 76.00 47.20 0.00 20.60 453.0 4 12 67.50 50.70 0.02 18.10 471.1 4 13 63.60 48.20 0.00 14.90 486.0 4 14 63.20 42.30 0.00 11.75 497.8 4 15 64.80 43.60 0.00 13.20 511.0 4 16 69.50 35.50 0.00 12.45 523.4 4 17 73.60 37.50 0.00 15.02 538.4 4 18 80.00 39.50 0.00 18.87 557.3 Vx 4 19 79.90 43.30 0.00 20.60 577.9 4 20 82.20 43.20 0.00 21.70 599.6 4 21 76.80 50.90 0.00 22.85 622.4 4 22 75.60 52.10 0.00 22.85 645.3 4 23 69.60 52.40 0.00 20.00 665.3 4 24 65.70 49.40 0.00 16.55 681.8 4 25 65.50 39.60 0.00 11.69 693.5 Vx 4 26 63.80 41.50 0.00 11.65 705.2 4 27 60.00 47.20 0.03 12.60 717.8 4 28 68.00 48.50 0.00 17.25 735.0 4 29 57.40 48.90 0.03 12.15 747.2 4 30 66.20 47.50 0.02 15.85 763.0 5 1 74.60 40.20 0.00 16.45 779.5 5 2 85.00 42.80 0.00 22.90 802.4 Vx 5 3 86.10 62.60 0.00 33.35 835.7 5 4 77.70 57.20 0.00 26.45 862.2 5 5 69.30 45.60 0.00 16.45 878.6 Hx Hn First trap catch - Hood River 5 6 75.00 51.20 0.00 22.10 900.7 5 7 79.60 52.10 0.00 24.85 925.6 First trap catch - Mosier 5 8 77.00 57.80 0.00 26.40 952.0 5 9 65.50 47.70 0.00 15.60 967.6 Vx 5 10 71.10 37.90 0.00 13.91 981.5 5 11 82.00 46.10 0.00 23.05 1004.5 Vx Vn First trap catch - The Dalles 5 12 83.40 57.40 0.00 29.40 1033.9 First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5 13 80.70 45.70 0.00 22.20 1056.1 5 14 67.50 51.80 0.07 18.65 1074.8 First trap catch - WA 5 15 58.80 51.70 0.11 14.25 1089.0 5 16 72.00 52.00 0.01 21.00 1110.0 Vx 5 17 75.70 49.80 0.00 21.75 1131.8 5 18 82.20 53.80 0.00 27.00 1158.8 5 19 67.80 49.30 0.00 17.55 1176.3 5 20 61.40 40.90 0.00 10.15 1186.5 5 21 63.60 44.40 0.01 13.00 1199.5 5 22 68.50 50.30 0.00 18.40 1217.9 5 23 70.80 50.70 0.00 19.75 1237.6 5 24 74.00 49.50 0.00 20.75 1258.4 5 25 76.90 47.60 0.00 21.25 1279.6 5 26 70.80 50.80 0.00 19.80 1299.4 5 27 69.80 50.90 0.00 19.35 1318.8 5 28 76.10 48.20 0.00 21.15 1339.9 5 29 79.60 52.60 0.00 25.10 1365.0 5 30 76.30 48.20 0.00 21.25 1386.3 Vx 5 31 84.80 40.80 0.00 21.81 1408.1 Vx 6 1 85.20 49.50 0.00 26.35 1434.5 6 2 78.10 60.80 0.00 28.45 1462.9 6 3 86.40 57.20 0.00 30.80 1493.7 6 4 89.00 50.30 0.00 28.65 1522.4 6 5 91.20 54.30 0.00 31.75 1554.1 6 6 99.20 58.30 0.00 37.75 1591.9 Vx 6 7 94.00 64.20 0.00 38.10 1630.0 6 8 87.70 66.90 0.00 36.30 1666.3 50% trap catch - all locations 6 9 77.20 56.40 0.00 25.80 1692.1 6 10 67.70 53.30 0.01 19.50 1711.6 6 11 72.00 46.10 0.00 18.05 1729.6 6 12 77.30 44.50 0.00 19.90 1749.5 6 13 74.90 53.00 0.00 22.95 1772.5 Vx 6 14 69.30 50.10 0.00 18.70 1791.2 6 15 69.30 46.50 0.00 16.90 1808.1 6 16 69.60 45.30 0.01 16.45 1824.5 6 17 79.10 42.50 0.00 19.80 1844.3 6 18 66.80 52.50 0.06 18.65 1863.0 6 19 76.30 42.50 0.00 18.40 1881.4 6 20 80.20 46.80 0.00 22.50 1903.9 6 21 80.50 58.70 0.00 28.60 1932.5 6 22 87.20 45.70 0.00 25.45 1957.9 6 23 81.30 59.80 0.00 29.55 1987.5 6 24 75.60 54.00 0.02 23.80 2011.3 6 25 81.50 48.10 0.00 23.80 2035.1 6 26 87.70 46.80 0.00 26.25 2061.3 6 27 93.50 60.50 0.00 36.00 2097.3 Vx Vn 6 28 91.20 59.30 0.00 34.25 2131.6 6 29 94.60 63.50 0.00 38.05 2169.6 Vx 6 30 92.00 66.20 0.00 38.10 2207.7 Vx Vn 7 1 89.00 63.10 0.00 35.05 2242.8 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 35.55 2278.3 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 34.20 2312.5 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2340.6 Vx Vn 7 5 78.70 52.30 0.00 24.50 2365.1 7 6 81.40 60.50 0.00 29.95 2395.0 7 7 81.50 60.50 0.00 30.00 2425.0 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 60.30 0.05 28.05 2453.1 Vx 7 9 77.60 57.50 0.06 26.55 2479.6 7 10 69.90 57.20 0.00 22.55 2502.2 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 28.90 2531.1 Vx Vn 7 12 80.20 56.30 0.02 27.25 2558.3 7 13 84.30 55.40 0.00 28.85 2587.2 7 14 89.80 53.00 0.00 30.40 2617.6 Vx 7 15 81.40 57.00 0.00 28.20 2645.8 Vx 7 16 83.70 58.00 0.00 29.85 2675.6 Vx 7 17 88.10 55.40 0.00 30.75 2706.4 Vx 7 18 80.80 59.10 0.00 28.95 2735.3 Vx 7 19 82.90 56.80 0.00 28.85 2764.2 7 20 87.70 58.90 0.00 32.30 2796.5 Vx 7 21 95.20 52.10 0.00 32.65 2829.1 Vx 7 22 83.00 64.50 0.00 32.75 2861.9 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 55.90 0.00 29.00 2890.9 Vx 7 24 90.20 51.90 0.00 30.05 2920.9 Vx 7 25 96.80 58.40 0.00 36.60 2957.5 Vx 7 26 95.90 69.30 0.00 41.60 2999.1 Vx 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 41.30 3040.4 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 63.40 0.00 40.40 3080.8 Vx last trap catch - all locations 7 29 101.70 63.60 0.00 41.65 3122.5 Vx 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 42.25 3164.7 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.40 0.00 33.65 3198.4 Vx Vn Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF24585 2006-2015
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones etal 91
Location: 2016 MF24585 Oliver Cherries OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-5-16 879First trap catch - Hood River
 5-7-16 926First trap catch - Mosier
 5-11-16 1005First trap catch - The Dalles
 5-12-16 1034First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
 5-14-16 1075First trap catch - WA
 6-8-16 166650% trap catch - all locations
 7-28-16 3081last trap catch - all locations
degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones etal 91