Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
insect model of Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Type: insect Model source/other links: Jones etal 91,Song etal 2004 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1 Ending date: 7 31 Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011 Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River 2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier 3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles 4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA 6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations 7. 3049 DDs after biofix: last trap catch - all locations ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF22663 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Burlinggame Lefore OR Lat45.9592 Long:-118.3756 Elev:925 mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 3 1 63.90 40.00 0.03 11.04 11.0 * START * 3 2 59.30 40.90 0.00 9.10 20.1 3 3 64.60 45.10 0.02 13.85 34.0 3 4 59.60 34.50 0.00 7.49 41.5 3 5 64.60 49.00 0.01 15.80 57.3 3 6 66.00 48.30 0.03 16.15 73.4 3 7 56.60 41.10 0.00 7.85 81.3 3 8 53.20 36.20 0.00 4.82 86.1 3 9 58.10 42.30 0.00 9.20 95.3 3 10 62.00 43.70 0.02 11.85 107.1 3 11 47.10 34.80 0.03 1.93 109.1 3 12 54.50 39.80 0.02 6.30 115.4 3 13 58.40 38.70 0.00 7.89 123.3 3 14 50.70 38.10 0.00 4.01 127.3 3 15 51.60 40.00 0.00 4.93 132.2 3 16 55.40 38.20 0.00 6.29 138.5 3 17 54.30 32.40 0.00 4.74 143.2 3 18 57.80 27.10 0.00 5.63 148.9 3 19 62.50 31.20 0.00 8.26 157.1 3 20 61.50 36.40 0.05 8.80 165.9 3 21 63.60 43.80 0.00 12.70 178.6 3 22 52.80 43.10 0.08 6.95 185.6 3 23 60.20 44.40 0.00 11.30 196.9 3 24 58.10 46.60 0.00 11.35 208.2 3 25 55.90 42.90 0.01 8.40 216.6 3 26 63.10 39.80 0.00 10.57 227.2 3 27 57.60 48.10 0.01 11.85 239.0 3 28 51.10 38.10 0.00 4.20 243.2 3 29 61.60 36.70 0.00 8.92 252.2 3 30 64.30 35.80 0.00 10.01 262.2 3 31 72.00 44.10 0.00 17.05 279.2 4 1 76.90 42.90 0.00 18.90 298.1 4 2 77.40 52.20 0.00 23.80 321.9 4 3 75.90 45.50 0.00 19.70 341.6 4 4 61.80 46.70 0.09 13.25 354.9 Hx 4 5 63.80 40.40 0.00 11.14 366.0 4 6 62.20 38.80 0.00 9.79 375.8 Hx 4 7 75.20 35.60 0.00 15.26 391.0 4 8 78.50 46.50 0.00 21.50 412.5 4 9 81.90 53.70 0.00 26.80 439.3 4 10 75.20 48.70 0.00 20.95 460.3 4 11 78.80 47.80 0.00 22.30 482.6 4 12 67.70 50.80 0.02 18.25 500.8 4 13 63.10 48.40 0.00 14.75 515.6 4 14 64.90 42.50 0.01 12.70 528.3 4 15 67.20 44.70 0.00 14.95 543.2 4 16 71.50 40.10 0.00 14.86 558.1 4 17 79.00 38.80 0.00 18.12 576.2 4 18 79.00 40.50 0.00 18.77 595.0 Vx 4 19 84.30 47.60 0.00 24.95 620.0 4 20 87.30 46.40 0.00 25.85 645.8 4 21 79.80 53.70 0.00 25.75 671.6 4 22 75.10 54.60 0.01 23.85 695.4 4 23 71.70 52.80 0.00 21.25 716.7 4 24 66.20 49.20 0.00 16.70 733.4 4 25 64.60 42.40 0.00 12.50 745.9 Vx 4 26 65.40 43.00 0.00 13.20 759.1 4 27 60.70 47.70 0.01 13.20 772.3 4 28 71.70 49.50 0.00 19.60 791.9 4 29 58.40 48.30 0.03 12.35 804.2 4 30 68.30 47.60 0.01 16.95 821.2 5 1 77.70 42.90 0.00 19.30 840.5 5 2 84.70 45.80 0.00 24.25 864.7 Vx First trap catch - Hood River 5 3 88.40 64.80 0.00 35.60 900.3 5 4 77.30 58.70 0.00 27.00 927.3 First trap catch - Mosier 5 5 69.10 45.80 0.00 16.45 943.8 Hx Hn 5 6 77.70 51.50 0.01 23.60 967.4 5 7 83.70 52.70 0.00 27.20 994.6 First trap catch - The Dalles 5 8 78.70 58.70 0.00 27.70 1022.3 5 9 65.30 47.50 0.00 15.40 1037.7 Vx First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater 5 10 73.80 40.70 0.00 16.26 1053.9 5 11 81.10 46.20 0.00 22.65 1076.6 Vx Vn First trap catch - WA 5 12 86.50 62.10 0.00 33.30 1109.9 5 13 82.90 47.60 0.00 24.25 1134.1 5 14 67.50 52.70 0.08 19.10 1153.2 5 15 59.20 50.90 0.09 14.05 1167.3 5 16 70.10 51.60 0.03 19.85 1187.1 5 17 77.90 49.90 0.00 22.90 1210.0 5 18 83.30 56.40 0.00 28.85 1238.9 5 19 68.80 49.20 0.00 18.00 1256.9 5 20 61.20 40.90 0.00 10.05 1266.9 5 21 64.10 46.00 0.02 14.05 1281.0 5 22 69.10 50.80 0.00 18.95 1299.9 5 23 72.00 51.20 0.00 20.60 1320.5 5 24 71.90 50.20 0.00 20.05 1340.6 5 25 77.70 48.60 0.00 22.15 1362.7 5 26 70.50 51.20 0.00 19.85 1382.6 5 27 68.30 50.50 0.00 18.40 1401.0 5 28 76.30 48.80 0.00 21.55 1422.5 5 29 78.70 55.30 0.00 26.00 1448.5 5 30 75.90 50.60 0.00 22.25 1470.8 Vx 5 31 84.40 46.70 0.00 24.55 1495.3 Vx 6 1 84.00 52.30 0.00 27.15 1522.5 6 2 75.70 62.00 0.00 27.85 1550.3 6 3 85.80 57.70 0.00 30.75 1581.1 6 4 92.60 51.70 0.00 31.15 1612.2 6 5 92.90 56.40 0.00 33.65 1645.9 6 6 99.00 65.60 0.00 41.30 1687.2 Vx 50% trap catch - all locations 6 7 97.00 65.70 0.00 40.35 1727.5 6 8 86.50 66.90 0.00 35.70 1763.2 6 9 76.90 58.20 0.00 26.55 1789.8 6 10 70.50 52.70 0.04 20.60 1810.4 6 11 74.00 48.90 0.00 20.45 1830.8 6 12 79.50 46.50 0.00 22.00 1852.8 6 13 74.70 54.30 0.00 23.50 1876.3 Vx 6 14 70.00 50.40 0.00 19.20 1895.5 6 15 69.00 48.30 0.00 17.65 1913.2 6 16 67.90 47.00 0.02 16.45 1929.6 6 17 77.10 46.60 0.00 20.85 1950.5 6 18 59.00 54.70 0.07 15.85 1966.3 6 19 73.40 46.80 0.00 19.10 1985.4 6 20 79.60 47.20 0.00 22.40 2007.8 6 21 80.70 58.40 0.00 28.55 2036.4 6 22 85.80 50.10 0.00 26.95 2063.3 6 23 81.10 58.70 0.00 28.90 2092.2 6 24 74.50 54.20 0.01 23.35 2115.6 6 25 80.70 49.90 0.00 24.30 2139.9 6 26 90.80 49.20 0.00 29.00 2168.9 6 27 93.30 56.90 0.00 34.10 2203.0 Vx 6 28 86.00 64.60 0.02 34.30 2237.3 6 29 94.40 66.20 0.00 39.30 2276.6 Vx 6 30 91.80 66.20 0.00 38.00 2314.6 Vx Vn 7 1 88.90 60.50 0.00 33.70 2348.3 Vx 7 2 89.90 62.70 0.00 35.30 2383.6 Vx 7 3 85.40 67.00 0.00 35.20 2418.8 Vx 7 4 80.30 57.30 0.00 27.80 2446.6 Vx Vn 7 5 78.70 55.00 0.00 25.85 2472.4 7 6 80.70 61.00 0.00 29.85 2502.3 7 7 81.30 56.80 0.00 28.05 2530.3 Vx 7 8 77.70 59.70 0.16 27.70 2558.0 Vx 7 9 77.70 57.60 0.07 26.65 2584.7 7 10 67.80 57.30 0.00 21.55 2606.2 7 11 80.50 58.70 0.00 28.60 2634.8 Vx Vn 7 12 80.00 56.80 0.01 27.40 2662.2 7 13 83.70 57.10 0.00 29.40 2691.6 7 14 89.60 57.60 0.00 32.60 2724.2 Vx 7 15 81.20 56.90 0.00 28.05 2752.3 Vx 7 16 83.50 58.50 0.00 30.00 2782.3 Vx 7 17 87.80 59.80 0.00 32.80 2815.1 Vx 7 18 80.60 59.70 0.00 29.15 2844.2 Vx 7 19 80.00 60.00 0.00 29.00 2873.2 7 20 87.40 61.70 0.00 33.55 2906.8 Vx 7 21 95.10 55.60 0.00 34.35 2941.1 Vx 7 22 82.80 63.30 0.00 32.05 2973.2 Vx 7 23 83.90 57.00 0.00 29.45 3002.6 Vx 7 24 90.00 56.20 0.00 32.10 3034.7 Vx 7 25 96.60 63.60 0.00 39.10 3073.8 Vx last trap catch - all locations 7 26 95.20 71.40 0.00 42.30 3116.1 Vx 7 27 95.00 69.20 0.00 41.10 3157.2 Vx Vn 7 28 99.10 67.70 0.00 42.40 3199.6 Vx 7 29 101.50 69.60 0.00 44.55 3244.2 Vx 7 30 94.50 71.70 0.00 42.10 3286.3 Vx Vn 7 31 86.50 59.70 0.00 32.10 3318.4 Forecast using: 10 yr Hist Avg MF22663 2006-2015
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones etal 91
Location: 2016 MF22663 Burlinggame Lefore OR
DateDDsEvent
 5-2-16 865First trap catch - Hood River
 5-4-16 927First trap catch - Mosier
 5-7-16 995First trap catch - The Dalles
 5-9-16 1038First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
 5-11-16 1077First trap catch - WA
 6-6-16 168750% trap catch - all locations
 7-25-16 3074last trap catch - all locations
degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones etal 91