western flower thrips [vegetables] OSU OIPMC model analysis - Degree Day Models from OSU

Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program: Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: western flower thrips [vegetables] Type: insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 45 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 104 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 7 0 Model validation status: under development Region of known use: data from numerous sources ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 20 DDs after Jan 1: OW Gen adults present 2. 338 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 1, peak egg hatch 3. 675 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 1, peak adults 4. 1013 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 2, peak egg hatch 5. 1350 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 2, peak adults 6. 2025 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 3, peak adults 7. 2700 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 4, peak adults 8. 3375 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 5, peak adults 9. 4050 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 6, peak adults 10. 4725 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 7, peak adults 11. 5400 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 8, peak adults 12. 6075 DDs after Jan 1: Gen 9, peak adults ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 QDUA3 RAWS CORONADO #1 PORTABLE AZ Lat:32.1453 Long:-110.9331 Elev:2566 mn day max min precip DD45 CUMDD45 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 45.00 32.00 0.58 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 53.00 31.00 0.02 2.13 2.1 1 3 60.00 39.00 0.00 5.90 8.0 1 4 65.00 44.00 0.00 9.59 17.6 1 5 61.00 46.00 0.00 8.50 26.1 OW Gen adults present 1 6 58.00 42.00 0.00 5.56 31.7 1 7 64.00 41.00 0.00 8.22 39.9 1 8 73.00 50.00 0.00 16.50 56.4 1 9 72.00 59.00 0.00 20.50 76.9 1 10 70.00 49.00 0.00 14.50 91.4 1 11 65.00 47.00 0.00 11.00 102.4 1 12 63.00 44.00 0.00 8.60 111.0 1 13 65.00 48.00 0.00 11.50 122.5 1 14 59.00 39.00 0.01 5.44 128.0 1 15 47.00 37.00 0.10 0.39 128.3 1 16 48.00 35.00 0.03 0.63 129.0 1 17 56.00 36.00 0.01 3.70 132.7 1 18 59.00 40.00 0.00 5.62 138.3 1 19 52.00 37.00 0.00 2.14 140.4 1 20 46.00 39.00 0.39 0.16 140.6 1 21 43.00 35.00 1.10 0.00 140.6 1 22 58.00 33.00 0.01 4.23 144.8 1 23 60.00 44.00 0.00 7.11 151.9 1 24 47.00 32.00 0.04 0.31 152.2 1 25 45.00 28.00 0.02 0.00 152.2 1 26 53.00 29.00 0.00 2.03 154.3 1 27 45.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 154.3 1 28 52.00 30.00 0.00 1.74 156.0 1 29 58.00 38.00 0.00 4.83 160.8 1 30 66.00 41.00 0.00 9.19 170.0 1 31 71.00 49.00 0.00 15.00 185.0 2 1 69.00 47.00 0.00 13.00 198.0 2 2 70.00 50.00 0.00 15.00 213.0 2 3 72.00 51.00 0.00 16.50 229.5 2 4 72.00 49.00 0.00 15.50 245.0 2 5 71.00 49.00 0.00 15.00 260.0 2 6 61.00 48.00 0.00 9.50 269.5 2 7 66.00 43.00 0.00 9.75 279.3 2 8 68.00 44.00 0.00 11.09 290.4 2 9 81.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 313.4 2 10 84.00 60.00 0.00 27.00 340.4 Gen 1, peak egg hatch 2 11 74.00 57.00 0.00 20.50 360.9 2 12 68.00 47.00 0.00 12.50 373.4 2 13 53.00 39.00 0.26 2.75 376.1 2 14 56.00 44.00 0.00 5.12 381.2 2 15 55.00 41.00 0.00 3.94 385.2 2 16 63.00 40.00 0.00 7.51 392.7 2 17 60.00 44.00 0.00 7.11 399.8 2 18 50.00 35.00 0.44 1.27 401.1 2 19 50.00 33.00 0.05 1.19 402.3 2 20 63.00 39.00 0.00 7.31 409.6 2 21 72.00 45.00 0.00 13.50 423.1 2 22 77.00 52.00 0.00 19.50 442.6 2 23 60.00 45.00 0.00 7.50 450.1 2 24 59.00 33.00 0.00 4.65 454.7 2 25 61.00 38.00 0.00 6.19 460.9 2 26 57.00 47.00 0.00 7.00 467.9 2 27 58.00 39.00 0.00 4.98 472.9 2 28 57.00 46.00 0.00 6.50 479.4 3 1 64.00 38.00 0.00 7.59 487.0 3 2 68.00 44.00 0.00 11.09 498.1 3 3 62.00 52.00 0.00 12.00 510.1 3 4 72.00 53.00 0.00 17.50 527.6 3 5 67.00 53.00 0.00 15.00 542.6 3 6 68.00 44.00 0.00 11.09 553.7 3 7 72.00 42.00 0.00 12.41 566.1 3 8 81.00 55.00 0.00 23.00 589.1 3 9 83.00 59.00 0.00 26.00 615.1 3 10 81.00 60.00 0.00 25.50 640.6 3 11 79.00 61.00 0.00 25.00 665.6 3 12 78.00 61.00 0.00 24.50 690.1 Gen 1, peak adults 3 13 82.00 57.00 0.00 24.50 714.6 3 14 82.00 62.00 0.00 27.00 741.6 3 15 82.00 62.00 0.00 27.00 768.6 3 16 81.00 63.00 0.00 27.00 795.6 3 17 83.00 61.00 0.00 27.00 822.6 3 18 83.00 63.00 0.00 28.00 850.6 3 19 81.00 64.00 0.00 27.50 878.1 3 20 84.00 63.00 0.00 28.50 906.6 3 21 83.00 61.00 0.00 27.00 933.6 3 22 75.00 60.00 0.00 22.50 956.1 3 23 65.70 51.10 0.00 13.40 969.5 Vx Vn 3 24 72.80 44.50 0.00 13.68 983.1 Vx Vn 3 25 79.10 46.30 0.00 17.70 1000.8 Vx Vn 3 26 77.00 50.50 0.00 18.75 1019.6 Vx Vn Gen 2, peak egg hatch 3 27 78.60 51.90 0.00 20.25 1039.8 Vx Vn 3 28 69.20 49.40 0.00 14.30 1054.1 Vx Vn 3 29 76.70 47.60 0.00 17.15 1071.3 Vx Vn 3 30 85.20 49.80 0.00 22.50 1093.8 Vx Vn 3 31 69.50 51.80 0.00 15.65 1109.4 Vx Vn 4 1 66.10 46.10 0.00 11.10 1120.5 Vx Vn 4 2 74.10 41.90 0.00 13.41 1133.9 Vx Vn 4 3 78.30 49.40 0.00 18.85 1152.8 Hx Hn 4 4 79.70 49.50 0.00 19.60 1172.4 Hx Hn 4 5 82.40 50.00 0.00 21.20 1193.6 Hx Hn 4 6 89.30 52.50 0.00 25.90 1219.5 Vx Vn 4 7 88.20 55.50 0.00 26.85 1246.3 Vx Vn 4 8 90.10 55.40 0.00 27.75 1274.1 Vx Vn 4 9 78.10 54.80 0.00 21.45 1295.5 Vx Vn 4 10 83.40 48.90 0.00 21.15 1316.7 Vx Vn 4 11 89.50 49.10 0.00 24.30 1341.0 Vx Vn 4 12 88.90 53.20 0.00 26.05 1367.0 Vx Vn Gen 2, peak adults 4 13 92.20 57.70 0.00 29.95 1397.0 Vx Vn 4 14 88.80 56.70 0.00 27.75 1424.7 Vx Vn 4 15 87.30 53.90 0.00 25.60 1450.3 Vx Vn 4 16 88.50 53.90 0.00 26.20 1476.5 Vx Vn 4 17 88.30 55.20 0.00 26.75 1503.3 Vx Vn 4 18 89.20 56.10 0.00 27.65 1530.9 Vx Vn 4 19 89.10 58.90 0.00 29.00 1559.9 Vx Vn 4 20 87.70 56.20 0.00 26.95 1586.9 Vx Vn 4 21 89.10 54.10 0.00 26.60 1613.5 Vx Vn 4 22 94.00 56.20 0.00 30.10 1643.6 Vx Vn 4 23 96.80 61.40 0.00 34.10 1677.7 Vx Vn 4 24 91.70 61.70 0.00 31.70 1709.4 Vx Vn 4 25 80.60 66.60 0.00 28.60 1738.0 Vx Vn 4 26 83.10 55.40 0.00 24.25 1762.2 Vx Vn 4 27 89.20 62.50 0.00 30.85 1793.1 Vx Vn 4 28 79.10 64.00 0.00 26.55 1819.6 Vx Vn 4 29 71.60 53.30 0.00 17.45 1837.1 Vx Vn 4 30 81.80 49.90 0.00 20.85 1857.9 Vx Vn 5 1 87.60 53.10 0.00 25.35 1883.3 Vx Vn 5 2 90.40 56.40 0.00 28.40 1911.7 Vx Vn 5 3 94.40 61.30 0.00 32.85 1944.5 Vx Vn 5 4 98.50 62.60 0.00 35.55 1980.1 Vx Vn 5 5 101.10 67.90 0.00 39.50 2019.6 Vx Vn 5 6 91.20 71.80 0.00 36.50 2056.1 Vx Vn Gen 3, peak adults 5 7 78.60 63.00 0.00 25.80 2081.9 Vx Vn 5 8 77.00 55.70 0.00 21.35 2103.2 Vx Vn 5 9 68.10 51.40 0.00 14.75 2118.0 Vx Vn 5 10 73.00 50.30 0.00 16.65 2134.6 Vx Vn 5 11 84.80 52.30 0.00 23.55 2158.2 Vx Vn 5 12 95.20 61.80 0.00 33.50 2191.7 Px Pn 5 13 97.80 67.30 0.00 37.55 2229.2 Px Pn 5 14 90.00 63.70 0.00 31.85 2261.1 Px Pn 5 15 85.80 61.70 0.00 28.75 2289.8 Px Pn 5 16 75.30 57.30 0.00 21.30 2311.1 Px Pn 5 17 84.10 52.80 0.00 23.45 2334.6 Px Pn 5 18 81.90 59.20 0.00 25.55 2360.1 Px Pn 5 19 82.30 57.50 0.00 24.90 2385.0 Px Pn 5 20 89.90 54.50 0.00 27.20 2412.2 Px Pn 5 21 96.20 59.70 0.00 32.95 2445.2 Px Pn 5 22 97.10 63.00 0.00 35.05 2480.2 Px Pn 5 23 100.20 66.70 0.00 38.45 2518.7 Px Pn 5 24 102.00 67.20 0.00 39.60 2558.3 Px Pn 5 25 95.50 75.30 0.00 40.40 2598.7 Px Pn 5 26 94.10 68.30 0.00 36.20 2634.9 Px Pn 5 27 94.40 64.20 0.00 34.30 2669.2 Px Pn 5 28 97.20 62.20 0.00 34.70 2703.9 Px Pn Gen 4, peak adults 5 29 99.60 63.20 0.00 36.40 2740.3 Px Pn 5 30 98.00 69.00 0.00 38.50 2778.8 Px Pn 5 31 98.50 74.70 0.00 41.60 2820.4 Px Pn 6 1 95.10 66.90 0.00 36.00 2856.4 Px Pn 6 2 97.80 65.40 0.00 36.60 2893.0 Px Pn 6 3 101.90 71.20 0.00 41.55 2934.5 Px Pn 6 4 101.90 72.20 0.00 42.05 2976.6 Px Pn 6 5 102.40 72.20 0.00 42.30 3018.9 Px Pn 6 6 105.00 74.20 0.00 44.52 3063.4 Px Pn 6 7 104.60 74.60 0.00 44.56 3108.0 Px Pn 6 8 101.70 76.70 0.00 44.20 3152.2 Px Pn 6 9 102.30 71.40 0.00 41.85 3194.0 Px Pn 6 10 100.10 70.60 0.00 40.35 3234.4 Px Pn 6 11 96.10 67.40 0.00 36.75 3271.1 Px Pn 6 12 94.10 69.00 0.00 36.55 3307.7 Px Pn 6 13 94.10 64.10 0.00 34.10 3341.8 Px Pn 6 14 101.90 60.90 0.00 36.40 3378.2 Px Pn Gen 5, peak adults 6 15 105.00 63.50 0.00 39.18 3417.4 Px Pn 6 16 104.20 68.90 0.00 41.54 3458.9 Px Pn 6 17 102.90 70.70 0.00 41.80 3500.7 Px Pn 6 18 105.40 70.70 0.00 42.93 3543.6 Px Pn 6 19 113.10 73.90 0.00 46.59 3590.2 Px Pn 6 20 113.00 86.40 0.00 52.39 3642.6 Px Pn 6 21 114.10 83.50 0.00 51.25 3693.9 Px Pn 6 22 106.70 84.40 0.00 50.15 3744.0 Px Pn 6 23 108.00 82.30 0.00 49.47 3793.5 Px Pn 6 24 111.80 82.50 0.00 50.39 3843.9 Px Pn 6 25 109.80 85.00 0.00 51.18 3895.1 Px Pn 6 26 105.60 82.90 0.00 49.07 3944.1 Px Pn 6 27 106.00 79.40 0.00 47.47 3991.6 Px Pn 6 28 104.30 80.10 0.00 47.19 4038.8 Px Pn 6 29 104.20 78.20 0.00 46.19 4085.0 Px Pn Gen 6, peak adults 6 30 104.30 69.40 0.00 41.84 4126.8 Px Pn Forecast using: 1910 QDUA3 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat32.1453 Long-110.9331 DD50

western flower thrips model - OSU OIPMC model analysis
Location: 2017 QDUA3 CORONADO #1 PORTABLE
1910 QDUA3 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES

Date	DDs	Event
1-5-17	26	OW Gen adults present
2-10-17	340	Gen 1, peak egg hatch
3-12-17	690	Gen 1, peak adults
3-26-17	1020	Gen 2, peak egg hatch
4-12-17	1367	Gen 2, peak adults
5-6-17	2056	Gen 3, peak adults
5-28-17	2704	Gen 4, peak adults
6-14-17	3378	Gen 5, peak adults
6-29-17	4085	Gen 6, peak adults