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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: threecornered alfalfa hopper [legumes, grapes]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 52 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 100 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: under development - new pest of winegrapes
Region of known use: data collected in TX, ARK, LA, SC, KY, GA, CA
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 450 DDs after Jan 1: OW adult first oviposition
2. 780 DDs after Jan 1: OW adult peak OV
3. 1180 DDs after Jan 1: F1 late instar nymphs
4. 1430 DDs after Jan 1: First F1 adults
5. 2180 DDs after Jan 1: F1 peak adults, also F2 young nymphs
6. 2580 DDs after Jan 1: F2 late instar nymphs
7. 2830 DDs after Jan 1: First F2 adults
8. 3580 DDs after Jan 1: F2 peak adults, also F3 young nymphs (warmer climates only)
9. 4230 DDs after Jan 1: First F3 adults (warmer climates only)
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 QCNA3 RAWS CANELO AZ Lat31.5494 Long-110.5192 Elev:4629
mn day max min precip DD52 CUMDD52 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 46.00 33.00 0.27 0.00 0.0 * START *
1 2 52.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0
1 3 62.00 31.00 0.00 2.50 2.5
1 4 66.00 36.00 0.00 4.29 6.8
1 5 63.00 39.00 0.00 3.33 10.1
1 6 58.00 31.00 0.00 1.23 11.3
1 7 66.00 27.00 0.00 3.71 15.1
1 8 76.00 37.00 0.00 8.62 23.7
1 9 73.00 44.00 0.00 8.34 32.0
1 10 68.00 42.00 0.00 5.75 37.8
1 11 67.00 39.00 0.00 4.97 42.7
1 12 64.00 36.00 0.00 3.50 46.2
1 13 65.00 42.00 0.00 4.44 50.7
1 14 59.00 38.00 0.17 1.78 52.4
1 15 42.00 37.00 0.11 0.00 52.4
1 16 49.00 34.00 0.06 0.00 52.4
1 17 54.00 28.00 0.01 0.24 52.7
1 18 56.00 30.00 0.00 0.68 53.4
1 19 52.00 34.00 0.00 0.00 53.4
1 20 46.00 39.00 0.30 0.00 53.4
1 21 45.00 30.00 0.30 0.00 53.4
1 22 60.00 27.00 0.00 1.72 55.1
1 23 58.00 39.00 0.03 1.48 56.6
1 24 46.00 25.00 0.06 0.00 56.6
1 25 47.00 20.00 0.00 0.00 56.6
1 26 54.00 18.00 0.00 0.20 56.8
1 27 47.00 18.00 0.01 0.00 56.8
1 28 54.00 24.00 0.00 0.22 57.0
1 29 62.00 26.00 0.00 2.31 59.3
1 30 68.00 23.00 0.00 4.21 63.5
1 31 68.00 31.00 0.00 4.69 68.2
2 1 71.00 32.00 0.00 5.96 74.2
2 2 72.00 33.00 0.00 6.46 80.6
2 3 71.00 35.00 0.00 6.24 86.8
2 4 72.00 34.00 0.00 6.56 93.4
2 5 69.00 36.00 0.00 5.50 98.9
2 6 62.00 38.00 0.00 2.87 101.8
2 7 66.00 32.00 0.00 4.00 105.8
2 8 72.00 34.00 0.00 6.56 112.3
2 9 84.00 35.00 0.00 11.92 124.3
2 10 80.00 45.00 0.00 11.86 136.1
2 11 75.00 43.00 0.00 9.09 145.2
2 12 66.00 40.00 0.00 4.65 149.8
2 13 54.00 36.00 0.02 0.29 150.1
2 14 56.00 33.00 0.02 0.72 150.9
2 15 58.00 30.00 0.01 1.21 152.1
2 16 66.00 25.00 0.00 3.61 155.7
2 17 59.00 44.00 0.00 2.14 157.8
2 18 49.00 37.00 0.24 0.00 157.8
2 19 51.00 36.00 0.03 0.00 157.8
2 20 62.00 36.00 0.00 2.75 160.6
2 21 75.00 34.00 0.01 7.82 168.4
2 22 76.00 38.00 0.00 8.76 177.1
2 23 61.00 37.00 0.00 2.44 179.6
2 24 58.00 24.00 0.00 1.09 180.7
2 25 61.00 25.00 0.00 1.96 182.6
2 26 57.00 41.00 0.00 1.23 183.9
2 27 59.00 38.00 0.00 1.78 185.6
2 28 57.00 36.00 0.00 1.06 186.7
3 1 65.00 26.00 0.00 3.31 190.0
3 2 68.00 29.00 0.00 4.56 194.6
3 3 66.00 40.00 0.00 4.65 199.2
3 4 71.00 49.00 0.00 8.48 207.7
3 5 68.00 51.00 0.00 7.60 215.3
3 6 67.00 36.00 0.00 4.69 220.0
3 7 75.00 28.00 0.00 7.23 227.2
3 8 81.00 35.00 0.00 10.57 237.8
3 9 81.00 40.00 0.00 11.34 249.1
3 10 82.00 41.00 0.00 11.99 261.1
3 11 80.00 43.00 0.00 11.43 272.5
3 12 79.00 42.00 0.00 10.77 283.3
3 13 82.00 39.00 0.00 11.64 295.0
3 14 83.00 43.00 0.00 12.86 307.8
3 15 82.00 43.00 0.00 12.38 320.2
3 16 81.00 46.00 0.00 12.57 332.8
3 17 82.00 46.00 0.00 13.06 345.8
3 18 83.00 45.00 0.00 13.30 359.1
3 19 83.00 44.00 0.00 13.07 372.2
3 20 83.00 57.00 0.00 18.00 390.2
3 21 81.00 48.00 0.00 13.10 403.3
3 22 78.00 48.00 0.00 11.63 414.9
3 23 58.00 40.00 0.03 1.53 416.4
3 24 68.00 31.00 0.00 4.69 421.1
3 25 73.00 33.00 0.00 6.87 428.0
3 26 71.00 36.00 0.00 6.34 434.3
3 27 73.00 43.00 0.00 8.16 442.5
3 28 61.00 37.00 0.03 2.44 445.0
3 29 69.00 35.00 0.00 5.41 450.4 OW adult first oviposition
3 30 74.00 37.00 0.00 7.74 458.1
3 31 58.00 39.00 0.00 1.48 459.6
4 1 59.00 29.00 0.13 1.47 461.1
4 2 67.00 31.00 0.00 4.31 465.4
4 3 70.00 38.00 0.00 6.13 471.5
4 4 72.00 39.60 0.00 7.20 478.7 Hx Hn
4 5 78.00 41.00 0.00 10.13 488.8 Hn
4 6 82.00 39.00 0.00 11.64 500.5
4 7 80.00 43.00 0.00 11.43 511.9
4 8 80.00 48.00 0.00 12.61 524.5
4 9 71.00 40.00 0.00 6.81 531.3
4 10 78.00 33.00 0.00 9.00 540.3
4 11 82.00 37.00 0.00 11.31 551.6
4 12 82.00 41.00 0.00 11.99 563.6
4 13 82.00 41.00 0.00 11.99 575.6
4 14 79.00 47.00 0.00 11.85 587.5
4 15 79.00 43.00 0.00 10.96 598.4
4 16 80.00 42.00 0.00 11.24 609.7
4 17 83.00 41.00 0.00 12.46 622.1
4 18 83.00 43.00 0.00 12.86 635.0
4 19 82.00 44.00 0.00 12.59 647.6
4 20 84.00 42.00 0.00 13.12 660.7
4 21 85.00 41.00 0.00 13.40 674.1
4 22 88.00 43.00 0.00 15.24 689.3
4 23 87.00 46.00 0.00 15.49 704.8
4 24 81.00 49.00 0.00 13.39 718.2
4 25 72.00 57.00 0.00 12.50 730.7
4 26 76.00 41.00 0.00 9.21 739.9
4 27 79.00 54.00 0.00 14.50 754.4
4 28 72.00 53.00 0.00 10.50 764.9
4 29 64.00 39.00 0.00 3.73 768.7
4 30 76.00 34.00 0.00 8.25 776.9
5 1 82.00 38.00 0.00 11.47 788.4 OW adult peak OV
5 2 83.00 43.00 0.00 12.86 801.2
5 3 88.00 46.00 0.00 15.98 817.2
5 4 91.00 49.00 0.00 18.34 835.6
5 5 93.00 51.00 0.00 20.06 855.6
5 6 80.00 60.00 0.00 18.00 873.6
5 7 69.00 46.00 0.00 6.84 880.5
5 8 67.00 44.00 0.02 5.58 886.0
5 9 54.00 41.00 0.09 0.34 886.4
5 10 67.00 36.00 0.01 4.69 891.1
5 11 79.00 37.00 0.00 9.96 901.0
5 12 87.00 52.30 0.00 17.65 918.7 Pn
5 13 85.00 51.00 0.00 16.07 934.7
5 14 79.00 54.00 0.00 14.50 949.2
5 15 74.00 50.00 0.00 10.25 959.5
5 16 65.00 45.00 0.00 4.83 964.3
5 17 76.00 40.00 0.00 9.05 973.4
5 18 76.00 45.00 0.00 9.95 983.3
5 19 77.00 40.00 0.00 9.51 992.8
5 20 85.00 39.00 0.00 13.02 1005.8
5 21 89.00 45.00 0.00 16.20 1022.0
5 22 89.00 48.00 0.00 17.04 1039.1
5 23 92.00 52.00 0.00 20.00 1059.1
5 24 93.00 52.00 0.00 20.50 1079.6
5 25 85.00 64.00 0.00 22.50 1102.1
5 26 84.00 61.00 0.00 20.50 1122.6
5 27 86.00 53.00 0.00 17.50 1140.1
5 28 89.00 46.00 0.00 16.46 1156.5
5 29 91.00 49.00 0.00 18.34 1174.9
5 30 88.00 56.00 0.00 20.00 1194.9 F1 late instar nymphs
5 31 88.00 57.00 0.00 20.50 1215.4
6 1 82.00 56.00 0.00 17.00 1232.4
6 2 90.00 46.00 0.00 16.95 1249.3
6 3 92.00 54.00 0.00 21.00 1270.3
6 4 93.00 56.00 0.00 22.50 1292.8
6 5 93.00 58.00 0.00 23.50 1316.3
6 6 97.00 59.00 0.00 26.00 1342.3
6 7 94.00 62.00 0.16 26.00 1368.3
6 8 92.00 62.00 0.00 25.00 1393.3
6 9 93.00 55.00 0.00 22.00 1415.3
6 10 90.00 56.00 0.00 21.00 1436.3 First F1 adults
6 11 86.00 59.00 0.00 20.50 1456.8
6 12 87.00 62.00 0.00 22.50 1479.3
6 13 90.00 48.00 0.00 17.53 1496.9
6 14 96.00 48.00 0.00 20.49 1517.4
6 15 98.00 51.00 0.00 22.56 1539.9
6 16 96.00 55.00 0.00 23.50 1563.4
6 17 97.00 55.00 0.00 24.00 1587.4
6 18 100.00 56.00 0.00 26.00 1613.4
6 19 107.00 58.00 0.00 29.36 1642.8
6 20 104.00 68.00 0.00 33.43 1676.2
6 21 101.00 69.00 0.00 32.92 1709.1
6 22 101.00 74.00 0.00 35.42 1744.6
6 23 100.00 71.00 0.00 33.50 1778.1
6 24 102.00 69.00 0.00 33.29 1811.3
6 25 100.00 70.00 0.00 33.00 1844.3
6 26 94.00 63.00 0.02 26.50 1870.8
6 27 97.00 64.00 0.00 28.50 1899.3
6 28 93.00 68.00 0.00 28.50 1927.8
6 29 93.00 65.00 0.00 27.00 1954.8
6 30 96.00 59.00 0.00 25.50 1980.3
Forecast using: 1910 QCNA3 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat31.5494 Long-110.5192 DD50
threecornered alfalfa hopper model - OSU OIPMC model analysisLocation: 2017 QCNA3 CANELO AZ 1910 QCNA3 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Date | DDs | Event |
3-29-17 | 450 | OW adult first oviposition |
5-1-17 | 788 | OW adult peak OV |
5-30-17 | 1195 | F1 late instar nymphs |
6-10-17 | 1436 | First F1 adults |