Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
immaturedamageadult
spotted wing Drosophila [fruit]
invasive insect model of OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 9 15 Model validation status: partly validated-has been compared to 2 years of field data in PNW Region of known use: potential for use in US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 261 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by ow females 2. 510 DDs after Jan 1: Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 3. 565 DDs after Jan 1: 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 4. 755 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5. 995 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6. 1249 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 7. 1489 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 8. 1743 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 9. 1983 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 10. 2237 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 11. 2477 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 12. 2731 DDs after Jan 1: Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 13. 2971 DDs after Jan 1: Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2018 KPIA METAR Peoria Greater Peoria IL Lat:40.6672 Long:-89.6839 Elev:659 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 -2.00 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 * START * 1 2 10.00 -15.00 0.08 0.00 0.0 1 3 19.40 -0.90 0.26 0.00 0.0 1 4 8.60 -7.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 5 10.90 -2.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 6 12.00 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 7 33.80 8.60 0.29 0.00 0.0 1 8 36.00 26.60 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 9 33.80 28.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 1 10 55.40 33.10 0.05 1.16 1.2 1 11 64.90 12.00 10.72 3.46 4.6 1 12 21.20 12.00 0.32 0.00 4.6 1 13 18.00 3.20 0.00 0.00 4.6 1 14 24.80 3.00 0.35 0.00 4.6 1 15 25.00 -0.90 0.92 0.00 4.6 1 16 12.90 -2.90 0.19 0.00 4.6 1 17 21.90 -2.90 0.00 0.00 4.6 1 18 37.40 14.00 0.02 0.00 4.6 1 19 46.40 24.80 0.00 0.00 4.6 1 20 46.90 28.00 0.00 0.00 4.6 1 21 55.40 39.00 0.31 1.36 6.0 1 22 60.80 35.10 0.87 3.12 9.1 1 23 36.00 28.40 0.62 0.00 9.1 1 24 35.60 26.10 0.00 0.00 9.1 1 25 52.00 26.60 0.00 0.24 9.3 1 26 54.00 35.60 0.00 0.81 10.1 1 27 53.60 30.90 0.00 0.62 10.8 1 28 48.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 10.8 1 29 30.20 19.00 0.00 0.00 10.8 1 30 34.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 10.8 1 31 46.00 32.00 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 1 35.60 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 2 24.80 3.00 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 3 45.00 23.00 0.05 0.00 10.8 2 4 36.00 3.90 0.24 0.00 10.8 2 5 17.60 -2.20 0.42 0.00 10.8 2 6 16.00 -0.40 0.16 0.00 10.8 2 7 19.90 6.10 0.01 0.00 10.8 2 8 32.00 6.80 0.04 0.00 10.8 2 9 35.60 19.90 0.14 0.00 10.8 2 10 21.20 14.00 1.11 0.00 10.8 2 11 21.20 10.40 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 12 26.60 6.10 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 13 37.40 12.20 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 14 44.60 26.10 0.00 0.00 10.8 2 15 54.00 37.00 0.04 0.84 11.6 2 16 39.20 18.00 0.00 0.00 11.6 2 17 35.60 17.60 0.00 0.00 11.6 2 18 46.90 15.80 0.22 0.00 11.6 2 19 63.00 41.00 1.80 4.56 16.2 2 20 66.90 28.90 9.48 5.03 21.2 2 21 30.20 24.80 0.00 0.00 21.2 2 22 43.00 28.40 0.00 0.00 21.2 2 23 43.00 33.80 1.02 0.00 21.2 2 24 51.10 33.10 3.20 0.12 21.3 2 25 48.20 33.10 0.00 0.00 21.3 2 26 57.20 24.80 0.00 1.48 22.8 2 27 64.90 37.00 0.00 4.93 27.7 2 28 63.00 46.90 0.20 5.54 33.3 3 1 51.80 35.60 0.11 0.26 33.5 3 2 50.00 28.00 0.00 0.00 33.5 3 3 52.00 30.20 0.00 0.26 33.8 3 4 54.00 33.80 0.22 0.77 34.6 3 5 44.60 30.00 0.57 0.00 34.6 3 6 37.90 30.00 0.05 0.00 34.6 3 7 37.90 24.80 0.02 0.00 34.6 3 8 37.40 19.40 0.00 0.00 34.6 3 9 43.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 34.6 3 10 48.20 26.10 0.00 0.00 34.6 3 11 45.00 30.20 0.00 0.00 34.6 3 12 48.20 30.20 0.00 0.00 34.6 3 13 44.10 24.80 0.00 0.00 34.6 3 14 53.60 19.40 0.00 0.50 35.1 3 15 57.90 30.20 0.00 1.85 36.9 3 16 44.60 28.00 0.44 0.00 36.9 3 17 39.90 28.00 0.12 0.00 36.9 3 18 53.60 24.10 0.00 0.54 37.4 3 19 55.40 34.00 0.00 1.18 38.6 3 20 42.80 30.00 0.00 0.00 38.6 3 21 46.90 26.60 0.00 0.00 38.6 3 22 54.00 24.80 0.00 0.64 39.3 3 23 51.80 32.00 0.45 0.23 39.5 3 24 37.40 30.20 0.65 0.00 39.5 3 25 43.00 26.10 0.00 0.00 39.5 3 26 50.00 30.00 0.48 0.00 39.5 3 27 52.00 35.60 0.10 0.30 39.8 3 28 48.90 33.80 0.09 0.00 39.8 3 29 51.80 39.90 0.31 0.30 40.1 3 30 52.00 35.60 0.00 0.30 40.4 3 31 63.00 32.00 0.00 3.75 44.1 4 1 33.80 17.60 0.17 0.00 44.1 4 2 41.00 14.00 0.03 0.00 44.1 4 3 46.40 33.80 0.11 0.00 44.1 4 4 37.90 23.00 0.00 0.00 44.1 4 5 51.80 24.80 0.05 0.20 44.3 4 6 46.90 23.00 0.00 0.00 44.3 4 7 41.00 17.60 0.00 0.00 44.3 4 8 37.90 23.00 0.21 0.00 44.3 4 9 39.90 30.00 0.01 0.00 44.3 4 10 46.40 32.00 0.00 0.00 44.3 4 11 69.80 33.80 0.00 6.66 51.0 4 12 80.60 53.10 0.00 16.85 67.8 4 13 71.60 50.00 0.53 10.80 78.6 4 14 64.40 39.20 0.57 4.95 83.6 4 15 42.80 30.00 0.09 0.00 83.6 4 16 37.40 28.00 0.09 0.00 83.6 4 17 53.60 28.40 0.00 0.59 84.2 4 18 42.80 33.10 0.02 0.00 84.2 4 19 57.00 33.80 0.01 1.69 85.9 4 20 62.60 28.00 0.00 3.36 89.2 4 21 63.00 44.10 0.00 5.00 94.2 4 22 68.00 46.00 0.00 7.74 102.0 4 23 70.00 48.00 0.01 9.26 111.2 4 24 75.90 51.10 0.00 13.50 124.7 4 25 64.00 45.00 0.00 5.62 130.3 4 26 69.80 35.60 0.00 6.86 137.2 4 27 71.60 43.00 0.00 8.81 146.0 4 28 61.00 37.00 0.00 3.33 149.3 4 29 64.90 33.10 0.00 4.57 153.9 4 30 81.00 44.60 0.00 13.70 167.6 5 1 86.00 53.60 0.00 19.80 187.4 5 2 87.80 66.20 0.31 27.00 214.4 5 3 73.40 64.00 0.03 18.70 233.1 5 4 75.90 60.10 0.14 18.00 251.1 5 5 82.40 50.00 0.00 16.20 267.3 1st egg laying by ow females 5 6 82.90 55.40 0.00 19.15 286.5 5 7 80.60 48.20 0.00 14.58 301.0 5 8 82.40 53.60 0.08 18.00 319.0 5 9 84.20 60.80 0.02 22.50 341.5 5 10 84.20 55.00 0.00 19.60 361.1 5 11 86.00 57.90 0.00 21.95 383.1 5 12 64.40 50.00 0.25 7.20 390.3 5 13 77.00 51.80 0.00 14.40 404.7 5 14 90.00 62.10 0.00 25.82 430.5 5 15 75.20 64.40 0.02 19.80 450.3 5 16 82.90 53.60 0.00 18.25 468.6 5 17 87.80 57.00 0.00 22.40 491.0 5 18 78.80 61.00 0.05 19.90 510.9 Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen 5 19 84.90 60.80 0.00 22.85 533.7 5 20 77.00 59.00 0.89 18.00 551.7 5 21 79.00 55.00 0.35 17.00 568.7 1st egg laying by 1st gen females 5 22 79.00 62.10 0.00 20.55 589.3 5 23 84.20 59.00 0.00 21.60 610.9 5 24 89.60 62.60 0.00 25.93 636.8 5 25 88.00 64.40 0.28 26.20 663.0 5 26 89.60 64.40 0.00 26.83 689.8 5 27 97.00 68.00 0.00 30.30 720.1 5 28 95.00 69.80 0.23 30.79 750.9 5 29 86.00 71.60 1.34 28.80 779.7 Peak adult emerge 1st gen 5 30 87.80 69.80 0.07 28.80 808.5 5 31 89.10 68.00 0.00 28.44 837.0 6 1 91.90 64.90 0.00 27.76 864.7 6 2 84.90 59.00 0.00 21.95 886.7 6 3 82.90 62.10 0.00 22.50 909.2 6 4 82.40 53.60 0.00 18.00 927.2 6 5 89.60 59.00 0.00 24.14 951.3 6 6 86.00 55.40 0.00 20.70 972.0 6 7 91.90 69.10 0.00 29.80 1001.8 Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens. 6 8 84.90 66.20 0.00 25.55 1027.4 6 9 84.90 69.10 0.39 27.00 1054.4 6 10 77.00 66.00 0.15 21.50 1075.9 6 11 78.80 66.00 0.29 22.40 1098.3 6 12 84.90 69.10 0.71 27.00 1125.3 6 13 82.40 60.80 0.00 21.60 1146.9 6 14 80.60 60.10 0.02 20.35 1167.2 6 15 91.90 66.20 0.10 28.39 1195.6 6 16 93.20 73.00 0.00 31.95 1227.6 6 17 91.90 73.40 0.00 31.87 1259.4 Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens. 6 18 95.00 75.00 0.00 33.17 1292.6 6 19 93.20 72.00 0.26 31.48 1324.1 6 20 87.80 68.00 1.82 27.90 1352.0 6 21 80.60 68.00 0.47 24.30 1376.3 6 22 69.80 62.60 0.01 16.20 1392.5 6 23 73.40 62.60 0.00 18.00 1410.5 6 24 82.40 62.10 0.00 22.25 1432.7 6 25 78.80 62.60 0.01 20.70 1453.4 6 26 82.50 71.60 0.09 27.05 1480.5 Px 6 27 104.40 59.90 0.00 27.75 1508.2 Px Pn Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens. 6 28 84.80 64.60 0.00 24.70 1532.9 Px Pn 6 29 91.90 80.60 0.00 35.24 1568.2 6 30 93.20 77.00 0.00 33.80 1602.0 7 1 91.40 73.90 0.12 32.00 1634.0 7 2 87.10 66.90 0.00 27.00 1661.0 7 3 91.40 68.00 0.00 29.14 1690.1 7 4 91.90 75.20 0.00 32.73 1722.8 7 5 91.90 71.60 2.25 31.01 1753.9 Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens. 7 6 82.40 64.00 0.00 23.20 1777.1 7 7 81.00 60.10 0.00 20.55 1797.6 7 8 84.20 60.10 0.00 22.15 1819.8 7 9 90.00 66.00 0.00 27.75 1847.5 7 10 91.40 73.00 0.00 31.57 1879.1 7 11 89.60 66.00 0.00 27.62 1906.7 7 12 87.10 69.80 0.00 28.45 1935.1 7 13 91.40 69.10 0.00 29.68 1964.8 7 14 86.00 70.00 0.96 28.00 1992.8 Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens. 7 15 88.00 69.80 0.00 28.90 2021.7 7 16 89.60 70.00 0.13 29.60 2051.3 7 17 87.80 62.60 0.00 25.20 2076.5 7 18 82.40 64.40 0.00 23.40 2099.9 7 19 82.90 62.60 0.16 22.75 2122.7 7 20 78.80 66.20 0.01 22.50 2145.2 7 21 82.40 66.20 0.00 24.30 2169.5 7 22 75.90 66.20 0.00 21.05 2190.5 7 23 84.90 64.00 0.00 24.45 2215.0 7 24 88.00 66.00 0.00 27.00 2242.0 Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens. 7 25 87.80 64.00 0.00 25.90 2267.9 7 26 81.00 64.00 0.00 22.50 2290.4 7 27 79.00 57.00 0.00 18.00 2308.4 7 28 79.00 57.00 0.00 18.00 2326.4 7 29 73.40 60.80 0.01 17.10 2343.5 7 30 79.00 60.80 0.00 19.90 2363.4 7 31 82.90 60.10 0.82 21.50 2384.9 8 1 84.20 57.20 0.01 20.70 2405.6 8 2 82.90 64.40 0.00 23.65 2429.2 8 3 89.60 64.40 0.00 26.83 2456.1 8 4 90.00 69.10 0.00 29.28 2485.3 Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens. 8 5 91.90 71.10 0.00 30.77 2516.1 8 6 91.40 73.00 1.20 31.57 2547.7 8 7 81.00 68.00 0.00 24.50 2572.2 8 8 82.90 66.90 0.00 24.90 2597.1 8 9 90.00 64.00 0.00 26.76 2623.8 8 10 87.80 69.80 0.00 28.80 2652.6 8 11 88.00 62.60 0.00 25.30 2677.9 8 12 90.00 64.90 0.00 27.21 2705.1 8 13 89.10 66.20 0.00 27.55 2732.7 Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens. 8 14 86.00 66.20 0.00 26.10 2758.8 8 15 80.10 71.60 0.26 25.85 2784.6 8 16 84.90 71.10 0.76 28.00 2812.6 8 17 82.90 69.10 2.22 26.00 2838.6 8 18 84.90 68.00 0.00 26.45 2865.1 8 19 84.90 66.00 0.14 25.45 2890.5 8 20 80.60 69.10 0.46 24.85 2915.4 8 21 80.60 64.90 0.00 22.75 2938.1 8 22 78.80 57.20 0.00 18.00 2956.1 8 23 80.60 55.00 0.25 17.80 2973.9 Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens. 8 24 69.80 62.10 0.20 15.95 2989.9 8 25 89.60 68.00 0.00 28.61 3018.5 8 26 91.90 71.60 0.00 31.01 3049.5 8 27 93.20 73.40 0.00 32.14 3081.7 8 28 93.90 68.00 2.80 29.73 3111.4 8 29 73.90 62.10 0.00 18.00 3129.4 8 30 79.00 59.00 0.00 19.00 3148.4 8 31 84.20 62.60 0.00 23.40 3171.8 9 1 88.00 73.40 0.17 30.70 3202.5 9 2 89.60 73.00 0.00 31.09 3233.6 9 3 89.60 73.40 0.01 31.28 3264.9 Pn 9 4 91.40 73.00 0.00 31.57 3296.4 9 5 91.40 71.60 1.20 30.89 3327.3 9 6 73.40 63.00 0.49 18.20 3345.5 9 7 70.00 62.10 0.73 16.05 3361.6 9 8 69.80 60.10 0.53 14.95 3376.5 9 9 75.20 57.20 0.00 16.20 3392.7 9 10 78.80 53.10 0.00 15.95 3408.7 9 11 82.90 55.00 0.00 18.95 3427.6 9 12 84.00 60.80 0.00 22.40 3450.0 9 13 84.20 57.20 0.00 20.70 3470.7 9 14 89.60 62.10 0.00 25.69 3496.4 9 15 89.60 64.40 0.00 26.83 3523.2 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 KPIA PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
spotted wing Drosophila model - OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0
Location: 2018 KPIA Peoria Greater Peoria
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-5-18 2671st egg laying by ow females
 5-18-18 511Peak (ca. 50%) egg laying by ow females; 1st adult emerge 1st gen
 5-21-18 5691st egg laying by 1st gen females
 5-29-18 780Peak adult emerge 1st gen
 6-7-18 1002Peak egg laying by 1st gen females; max 2+ gens.
 6-17-18 1259Peak adult emerge 2nd gen; max 3+ gens.
 6-27-18 1508Peak egg laying by 2nd gen females; max 4+ gens.
 7-5-18 1754Peak adult emerge 3rd gen; max 5 gens.
 7-14-18 1993Peak egg laying by 3rd gen females; max 6+ gens.
 7-24-18 2242Peak adult emerge 4th gen; max 6+ gens.
 8-4-18 2485Peak egg laying by 4th gen females; max 7+ gens.
 8-13-18 2733Peak adult emerge 5th gen; max 8+ gens.
 8-23-18 2974Peak egg laying by 5th gen females; max 9+ gens.
degree-day graph of spotted wing Drosophila [fruit] OSU OIPMC model analysis vers. 3.0